2025 NBA Draft

Post #1141 » by **Bensational** » Tue May 13, 2025 12:16 am

basketballRob wrote:Castle is probably going to be an all-star. I doubt they trade him.

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Is he going to be a HOF like Giannis?

Wemby/Giannis/Fox would terrorize the league. Factor in they’ll still have one of Sochan/Vassell after and they’re even deeper.

Post #1142 » by **FFBlitzace** » Tue May 13, 2025 12:33 am

I don't know if it's rigged, but it's statistically remarkable how many times the lottery has been won now by a low odds team. I mean, 2-ish percent means it happens twice per one hundred lotteries. But now we've got four sub-2% victories just in the last 32 draws, not even counting that Cavs win at 2.8%.

Don't know if it's rigged. But it's remarkable.

Post #1143 » by **SOUL** » Tue May 13, 2025 12:38 am

Absolutely shocked the people I argue with think the lottery is rigged :lol:

. Stories write themselves lol.

Magic#1 · Post #1144 » by **Magic#1** » Tue May 13, 2025 12:45 am

Nico Harrison just got his job saved.

Post #1145 » by **FFBlitzace** » Tue May 13, 2025 12:47 am

The odds sound staggering when you speak them, but anyone who has dealt with RNG knows that you can have improbable runs of good or bad luck. And we're still at a small number of lotteries to use as data, so it's volatile. Maybe in 200 years if we're up to like 25+ miracle winners like the pace we're on now, we can conclude there's something fishy going on. And by "we" I mean the lizard people that have taken over the world by then. We'll be long dead.

Idiosyncratic · Post #1146 » by **Idiosyncratic** » Tue May 13, 2025 12:59 am

FFBlitzace wrote:The odds sound staggering when you speak them, but anyone who has dealt with RNG knows that you can have improbable runs of good or bad luck. And we're still at a small number of lotteries to use as data, so it's volatile. Maybe in 200 years if we're up to like 25+ miracle winners like the pace we're on now, we can conclude there's something fishy going on. And by "we" I mean the lizard people that have taken over the world by then. We'll be long dead.

I mean the odds any of us are even here are astronomically lower than a 1.8% chance or whatever the Mavs had. People talk as if 2% chances are so impossible, 2% chances happen to you several times in your day. Stuff even rarer happens all the time. The odds of any individual team getting the #1 pick were extremely unlikely and all combinations of the final lottery order are statistically improbable.

Biggest takeaway for me is the odds structure probably isn't ideal. I get that they want to dissuade tanking, but it seems like it over rewards decent teams who get hurt or just bench everyone to end the year to improve lottery odds a little. I don't know really know what the answer is, but it is also worth noting that #1 picks rarely win a title with their team that drafted them and good players come from all over the draft, especially within those first several picks and the teams who tanked are still relatively near the top.

Ducklett · Post #1147 » by **Ducklett** » Tue May 13, 2025 12:59 am

FFBlitzace wrote:The odds sound staggering when you speak them, but anyone who has dealt with RNG knows that you can have improbable runs of good or bad luck. And we're still at a small number of lotteries to use as data, so it's volatile. Maybe in 200 years if we're up to like 25+ miracle winners like the pace we're on now, we can conclude there's something fishy going on. And by "we" I mean the lizard people that have taken over the world by then. We'll be long dead.

As a Magic player and a tabletop dice roller, yeah, you can be like "I just lost 5 75%ers in a row once a week.

CZ Eddie · Post #1148 » by **CZ Eddie** » Tue May 13, 2025 1:01 am

Spurs don't need another guard, not even at #2 overall.
Possible trade/pics swap target.

basketballRob · Post #1149 » by **basketballRob** » Tue May 13, 2025 1:30 am

Sorber is a beast!

Read on Twitter

?s=19

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basketballRob · Post #1150 » by **basketballRob** » Tue May 13, 2025 1:34 am

Rasheer Fleming and Danny Wolf both measured pretty well.

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basketballRob · Post #1151 » by **basketballRob** » Tue May 13, 2025 1:41 am

Read on Twitter

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RookieStar · Post #1152 » by **RookieStar** » Tue May 13, 2025 1:42 am

Bensational wrote:
RookieStar wrote:GA to MIL?

MIL gonna need frontcourt help if they are rebuilding. Also... if they are moving Castle, they cant get rod of #2( harper/bqiley/vj/whoever)

lol wut?

Giannis back to Milwaukee after they trade him for a rebuild package? Would be some smooth operating.

My bad. GA to SA.

But my point stands. SA would trade Castle ( wing) + #2 ( another wing) ?who would be left?

KillMonger · Post #1153 » by **KillMonger** » Tue May 13, 2025 1:43 am

basketballRob wrote:Sorber is a beast!

Read on Twitter
?s=19

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Dwight like numbers

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Optimus_Steel · Post #1154 » by **Optimus_Steel** » Tue May 13, 2025 1:46 am

Bensational wrote:Tanking teams got hammered this draft. Washington picking 6th after going 18-64 is a punishment.

That has to a tough spill to swallow for their fans after seeing their train wreck season, and the prior season…not even a top 5 pick wow

basketballRob · Post #1155 » by **basketballRob** » Tue May 13, 2025 2:02 am

I think you have to take Sorber if he's available at 16.

RookieStar · Post #1156 » by **RookieStar** » Tue May 13, 2025 2:04 am

This is Silver punishing those tanking teams.

UTA and WAS was so shameless even we durig the Paolo draft couldve taken some notes.

So where did they pick?

RookieStar · Post #1157 » by **RookieStar** » Tue May 13, 2025 2:06 am

KillMonger wrote:
basketballRob wrote:Sorber is a beast!

Read on Twitter
?s=19

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Dwight like numbers

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How does he compare to Duren body-wise? 10packs and biceps on his triceps?

basketballRob · Post #1158 » by **basketballRob** » Tue May 13, 2025 2:08 am

RookieStar wrote:
KillMonger wrote:
basketballRob wrote:Sorber is a beast!

Read on Twitter
?s=19

Sent from my SM-G998U1 using RealGM mobile app
Dwight like numbers

Sent from my [Sidekick 5G] using RealGM mobile app

How does he compare to Duren body-wise? 10packs and biceps on his triceps?

He's bigger than Duren.

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Post #1159 » by **Bensational** » Tue May 13, 2025 2:15 am

RookieStar wrote:
Bensational wrote:
RookieStar wrote:GA to MIL?

MIL gonna need frontcourt help if they are rebuilding. Also... if they are moving Castle, they cant get rod of #2( harper/bqiley/vj/whoever)

lol wut?

Giannis back to Milwaukee after they trade him for a rebuild package? Would be some smooth operating.

My bad. GA to SA.

But my point stands. SA would trade Castle ( wing) + #2 ( another wing) ?who would be left?

Sorry didn’t read your post well enough to pick up what you were saying.

GA should cost Castle + #2, IMO, but the NBA has proven me wrong on that plenty before.

basketballRob · Post #1160 » by **basketballRob** » Tue May 13, 2025 2:19 am

After watching a video on Sorber, I changed my mind. He can’t hit an outside shot, and he doesn't look like he has a lot of pop on his jumps.

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What should we do?