Another Scout, Ersin Demir with an interesting mock and few players going to some interesting teams
POR @ #11 - Jakucionis, I agree with the shooting and the fit, which is why I think he would be a good pick
Henderson is the future in Portland. That’s a given. However, Jakucionis has had an incredible developmental path in the last few years. It’s easy to be intrigued by the Barcelona pedigree, but the physical improvements are also impressive. He embraced Illinois, which gave him the chance to play in his style with the ball in his hands. But that’s not his role in the NBA. His craft and generating paint touches will come in handy, despite lacking true speed. That’ll help him find ways to play with Henderson and Sharpe, who are the two pieces who’ll have the ball. Jakucionis has shown that his shot is reliable. That’s the rising factor of going to the lottery here.
Some other interesting notes:
PHI @ #3 - Tre Johnson - I could see this happening if they keep the pick. I don't see him as a PG though? The fit with Maxey\McCain makes a ton of sense. Bring back Grimes, Oubre & Yabusele, pray for a healthy year of Embid\George and they are back in contention
With Daryl Morey saying they intend to draft someone with their pick rather than exploring the trade market, they’ll likely address their need for a point guard. Despite the lack of passing reps, Johnson is a clear NBA one who has shown to thrive when leading a team.
Despite mixed results for Texas as a team, the scoring prowess, the lethal shooting touch from three, and improved creativity open the path for the Sixers to build one of the more dynamic backcourts in the NBA.
UTA @ #5 - Bailey, so a small drop, most likely and it makes sense. Could be a tough watch next year with Williams\Bailey, but if they pan out in a few years Ainge could have the last laugh.
Let’s be honest. Bailey has the most long-term potential in this class. If he hits his absolute outcome, he’ll surpass Flagg as well. But it’s very seldom that it happens. Utah is patient and knows how to develop and prepare top-tier players. Bailey would not make an impact right away, but he has a good context of where he can take one or two seasons to grow into a high starter. Bailey’s processing of the game didn’t look good at Rutgers. But the best part is that I don’t think he sought to prove anything there, as he continued to play the same way he did in high school. Jazz fans should not be sad about this pick.
WAS @ #6 - Queen, this makes too much sense for it not to happen? Sarr is an outside\in player, Queen the opposite, seems they would work well together?
With Sarr being selected last year, this might look like a logjam at center. However, the NBA continues to use lineups with two centers. The Wizards have a wise way of building their roster through athleticism and plus-positional size. But they lack a true creative initiator. Queen’s long-term potential can be hit if he’s featured. And the local kid has the best spot to do that at Washington.
His handles and self-creation on top of the face-up scoring make him a legitimate threat to play five-out. The jumper wasn’t consistent, but that’s something Washington will gladly invest in. Looking at how Queen emerged as Maryland’s leading factor this year, it’s feasible that his success continues at the next level because of how fundamentally gifted he is. In terms of footwork, there’s no better player in this draft class.
Bryant @ #10 to HOU - Adding another defender, 3&D potential, makesmore sense than CMB an interior non shooter
CHI @ #12 - Newell, I think this would be a surprise, not sure who else they would look at here though, maybe Sorber? Solid point about Newell's worth as a play finisher, needs to shoot to be more than an expendable bench player
As a classic tweener, Newell has his great athleticism as the leading factor for his lottery selection. On top of that, his consistent motor, great core strength, and touch around the rim make him a five worthy of starting in the Bulls’ rebuild. However, the other side of the coin is that Newell lacks the offensive creativity, scoring arsenal to translate his high school and college resume to the NBA. Play-finishers are utility players, and therefore expandable. For Newell, developing perimeter skills is the essential part to succeed and potentially exceed expectations. The Bulls need a five, and can bet on developing Newell in the next few years, as he fits the guard structure with his thriving as a play-finisher and vertical lob threat.
Beringer @ #13 to ATL, replacing Capela with...Capela?
SA @ #14 - Fleming
Fleming got better in each of his three seasons at Saint Joseph’s. He measured out incredibly well with a 7’5.25” wingspan, continuing to add value to his profile. Defensively, that’s the value the Spurs buy. Wembanyama should play the five, but switching physical tall wings and forwards surrounding him is the recipe for success.
That’s Fleming’s value. He’s the ultimate connecting forward as his three-point shooting prowess is the leading factor in sustaining a good offensive rating. I expect Fleming to grow into a slasher where he’ll add versatility to play the three, four, and five in the NBA. That’s worth a lottery pick.
Penda @ #15 to OKC, given they have 14 rostered picks and 3 draft picks, something has to give. They could leave Penda overseas for a year until the roster clears out.
MIN @ #17 - Essengue, another mention of having the tools of a good player but needs development. Where he goes and how he performs next year will be interesting to watch
The Wolves get a top-ten worthy prospect in Essengue. Despite the need to improve their window of winning, the best bet for them is to focus on the future as well. Consider Essengue a clean blueprint of a top-level athlete with great, two-handed touch around the rim, toughness, and aggressiveness on top of still scratching the surface of what he can develop physically.
Developing in peace is the recipe for success, and that’s what Minnesota can offer him. With their success in McDaniels’ career, the Timberwolves get another opportunity to add more versatility to their roster.
WAS @ #19 - Traore, could be a steal going so low. Makes good points about the competition he faced and how people devalued him based on his struggles
Tráore was seen as a surefire top-five pick before the season. And frankly, his rapid decline on consensus boards is laughable. That shows that despite more popularity, people still fail to rightly contextualize the numbers compared to the player’s role.
To summarize, Tráore competed on both European and national grounds. When folks talk about playing “against grown men”, Tráore faced mature, highly skilled, and fundamentally sound opponents. His lack of two-handedness is the main struggle. By blitzing or hard-hedge him, or forcing him to his weaker hand, Tráore was put under control in the majority of his games.
However, on a better-spaced NBA floor, the craft and pacing in his game help him to get downhill much easier. His role as a playmaker will boost more value when he’s improving as a team defender, which is another concern. That’s why going to Washington makes sense, as he can grow into a comfortable role, considering the talent around him.
BRK @ #20 - CMB, curious to see where he goes on draft night, most teams have him in the lottery, here he is at #20
As one of the best players in the SEC, Murray-Boyles is painted as a non-shooting undersized five, which is crazy to think of. His handles, isolation scoring prowess, and top-tier basketball IQ make him a leading factor in one of the most valuable archetypes in the league. His lack of shooting at South Carolina does not define what he’ll bring to the NBA.
In Brooklyn, he’ll fill a similar role on a younger team that's still seeking its identity. As a highly skilled combo forward, Murray-Boyles will grow into a niche with his top defense being the factor to hang his hat on early in his career.
MIA @ #20 - Egor Demin, I do like the mention of his bball IQ and in interviews I have seen he comes off as a guy who is thinking 2-3 steps ahead
Inverted pick-and-rolls come to mind when seeing a combination of Nikola Jovic and Egor Demin terrorizing smaller defenders in a few years. Demin’s ball control, creativity as a passer, and improved three-point shot give Miami an ultimate weapon at the point guard slot. That’s where they need an addition, and where all focus should be during the draft.
The area where he fits into their culture is how mature and focused he is. An example is his paint touches. Demin doesn’t drive without an idea is highly effective at the rim despite low volume. These are valuable flashes that confirm his long-term potential.
Drake Powell @ #21 to UTA, he is primarily listed as a 2nd round pick, confirmed he is staying in the draft, could definitely be the type of player who ends up in the 1st round. The type of upside\project player that teams love to take risks on
Powell is one of the best defenders in this class. Potentially that is. He hasn’t shown much throughout his role at North Carolina, but incredible testing during the NBA Draft Combine, while showing his value during the drills, will put him in first-round consideration. The fit with Utah is so solid because the Jazz have enough room to develop talent as they take their time with their rebuild. As a near 100 %ILE athlete, Powell should focus on adding a reliable three-ball to his game on top of his active cutting and ball-moving. For winning teams, adding skill and versatility to all positions is the recipe for success, and with Powell, the Utah buys low on someone who can end up as one of the best defenders in the class.
McNeeley @ #26 to BRK
Maturity means a lot in rebuilding teams. McNeeley has been a connecting piece since high school, playing alongside multiple first-rounders. In Connecticut, the context behind his role wasn’t good. He had to pick a leading role where others didn’t step up. That’s a positive helping McNeeley solidify his draft status.
His jumper is smooth and one of the best in this class. However, I don’t see a feasible role for improvement into a bigger role in the NBA. He’s a below-average athlete and lacks the toughness and strength to handle playing against bigger and stronger opponents. Despite the clear box to put McNeeley in, the lack of long-term potential hurt his value and thus led to him falling to the late first round.
Gonzalez @ #27 to BRK
While being one of the stars in the Spanish scene in the last few years, longevity and an incredible feel for the game summarize González’s game. The best part about his pro career is that he was labeled a shooter, but the jumper never convinced. That’s what's gotten better throughout the season. Despite playing a limited role at Real Madrid, González had valuable reps in meaningful games that’ll help his path at the next level.
His ball skills are undervalued, as the floor spacing, slashing, and team defending were the main strengths. González finding minutes at a Euroleague and ACB contender speaks volumes to how well he can grow into a key rotational piece. Every rebuilding team needs surefire options on its bench to grow its depth chart. González is a high-floor pick late in the first round.
Markovic @ #29 to PHX, he is a sleeper\sneaky 1st round pick
The Suns get one of the most skilled fives in the draft. Their build has been through offensive creativity and production. Despite legitimate worries about Markovic’s team defense, the fluid-moving athlete had a phenomenal year in Serbia, whereafter he’s putting himself in legitimate first-round consideration. He’s giving Phoenix a cheaper option as an inside creator, as his passing improved this year on top of his face-up scoring and ball-moving. Despite the production, he’s still the underrated name in the list, as the end of the late first round will feel like a steal for the Suns front office.
Sorber @ #30 to LAC, this one I cannot see happening, I think Sorber is more likely to go lottery than back end of the 1st round. He mentions the foot injury, if there are medical concerns (nothing I have read\heard) then a slip like this could happen, but otherwise I cannot see him falling this far.
I’m not a medical expert, but ankle injuries and center prospects are not a good combination. Sorber has had one of the best freshman campaigns of this draft and has given back Georgetown its reputation as a big-man-developing program. His physical tools, length, and toughness at such a young age are a well-regarded premium that teams are willing to pay for.
In Los Angeles, Sorber can develop alongside Zubac to be their starting five in the future. At #30, the Clippers get tremendous value.