You make a valid point, but what does this roster actually look like going forward if you trade Jrue and KP? You’re not getting anything close to equal value in return, and now you're stuck with a worse roster. They’re not winning a championship next year unless Brad pulls off some incredible moves — and he’s very limited in what he can actually do.keevsnick1 wrote:WeLikeOurGuys wrote:Celts17Pride wrote:Like I said, I'm sure Tatum is looking forward to rehabbing then coming back to wait 4/5 years for a draft pick to develop during the prime years of his career.
Realistically, the trade packages being discussed for Jrue and KP so far have been pretty underwhelming. If you remove both of them and replace them with lesser players, is this even still a championship contender? I just don’t see a clear path next year, especially if you keep Brown. The only way they remain true contenders is if they bring back the same core — and that would mean paying a massive luxury tax bill, which seems unlikely.
Don’t get me wrong — I’d like to keep Brown. But you have to ask: what does this roster look like in 3-4 years? You’re potentially looking at an aging Jaylen Brown and Tatum coming off a serious Achilles injury. That’s why if a team comes in and gets desperate, offering a top-2 pick for Brown, I don’t hesitate to pull the trigger. It’s hard, but probably the smarter long-term move.
If you are trading Brown primarily for draft picks then imo you might as well trade Tatum too. People always underestimate the amount of time it takes draft picks to truly contribute to high level basketball.
Even picks who are "good" right away at age 19-20 don't typically hit their winning prime until at least 23 years of age. Tatum was very impactful as a rookie but he didn't really reach his prime until about his 4th season. And that's really as early as it happens for these guys, Jaylen Williams has been really good for the Thunder in his 3rd year, but he was also an older rookie and is 24.
If you pick a 19-year-old chances are you are waiting 4 years before he's really, truly ready to be a #2 on a title team. So you are just burning those years of Tatum's prime. And there's no guarantee anybody you draft EVER even gets there. Here are the #2 picks going back the last 17 years:
-Alex Sarr -> Might be good, too soon to say.
-Brandon Miller-> Might be good, too soon to say.
-Chet Holgren-> Is good but injury prone.
-Jalen Green-> Been a bust so far, high usage chucker.
-James Wiseman-> Huge bust
-Ja Morant-> Good, but not a guy you want to build a team around.
-Marvin Bagley-> Huge bust
-Lonzo Ball-> Bust
-Brandon Ingram-> One time all star now on his 3rd team.
-DeAngelo Russel-> One time all star jounryeman.
-Jabari Parker-> Bust
-Victor Oladipo-> Two time all star who flamed out too young.
-Michael Kid-Gilchrist- Bust
-Derick Williams-> Bust
-Evan Turner-> Fine career, not a star.
-Hasheem Thabeet-> Bust
-Mmichael Beasley-> Bust
How many of those guys who you trade Jaylen Brown for knowing how their careers turned out or how they look so far? Not many. Of those guys the only guy I'd maybe take over Jaylen is Chet, but injuries could derail that.
Trading know all-star level guys for draft pick packages is a rebuilding move, its a move you make when you know you have multiple years of being bad to boost your own draft stock. Its far, far too risky to do when you rebuilding window is one year.
Then you’re looking at the 2026–2027 roster with a 31-year-old Jaylen Brown, Tatum potentially coming off an Achilles injury, and Derrick White at 32. On top of that, you’ve got marginal picks and no real young talent to build around. That’s a bleak outlook.
This roster was always viewed as having a 2–3 year window — three if they actually won a title. they got bounced by the Knicks in the second round, maybe you start thinking about trading Brown for a high draft pick, getting a haul for Tatum, and rebuilding the Thunder way. But that’s a lot easier said than done.