Mavrelous wrote:Jta444 wrote:This series is closer than what many people have said the past week. The matchups are very close.
Two top 10 players in the league with high impact in SGA vs Haliburton
Two experienced vets with championship experience in Caruso vs Siakam
Versatile big men in Hartenstein/Chet vs Turner/Toppin
Great defensive players who can score when needed in Dort/Jalen Williams vs Nembhard/Nesmith
Good bench pieces Cason Wallace/Joe/Wiggins vs TJ McConnell/Mathurin/Sheppard
Great coaching Daigneault vs Carlisle
I don’t see any matchup where one team has the clear upper hand over the other.
We got ourselves a series
I got the Pacers in 6 or 7. Hali is just on another level of confidence right now and he might just match the production of the MVP SGA. With that matchup a wash, I trust Siakam more than JDub/Chet at this point. Thunder got the way higher ceiling though and if they figure it out quick they will win it.
This is very simplistic (and wrong) way of looking at it
SGA is top 3, Hali is top 10 after this run, he wasn't considered top 10 before, and everyone has significant gap between SGA and Haliburton.
JDubb and Siakam are similar, both top 25 players, most would have JDub over Siakam.
Siakam is much bigger key to Raptors championship than Caruso to the Lakers.
Chet > Turner, it's not really close, and OKC have Hartenstein and JWill to boost, much better than Toppin/Bryant.
Caruso/Dort/Wallace > Nembhard/Nesmith/Sheppard, again it's not really close.
Carlsile > Diagnault, more experienced, more creative, and has lots of tools at his disposal.
If Pacers win they'd be overcoming a serious talent gap, maybe next year we'd be saying different things, Neismith will establish himself as a elite 3&D wing, Nembhard as great 3&D combo guard, but before this series started, there was a significant talent gap between the 2 teams.
Yes, simplistic.
First of all, Haliburton is a premier shot maker in the clutch. SGA hasn't proven that. So there's that, which was the difference in the last 15 seconds of game 1.
I like JDubb but Siakam is money this time of year. He finishes in close, always makes the right play, great all around player. My respect for him has tripled this year. For the same reasons, Turner over Holmgren. Much more consistent presence at both ends.
Toppin over any other 4-5 that OKC has. Makes big shots.
Caruso/Dort/Wallace are impactful defensive players, no question. But Naismith/Nembhard/Sheppard bring way more offense. Naismith will win a game by himself this series like he did vs NY, and Nembhard is every bit the defender as Caruso & Dort (who are awesome defenders).
On top of all that, Carlisle has them playing calm and confident. They act like they've been here before. Each series they've come back from way down in the 4th on the road. It would not shock me if this is a short series.