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2025 Draft Thread - Part 3

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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#61 » by nate33 » Mon Jun 9, 2025 4:38 pm

closg00 wrote:
pancakes3 wrote:i don't think tre lasts til 6 is the problem.


I think there’s a good chance that Tres will be there at 6 if you believe the mocks, Fears is now mocked to Utah as has Kon Knueppel.

The consensus big board still has Tre going 5th:

https://www.rookiescale.com/2025-consensus-board/
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#62 » by AFM » Mon Jun 9, 2025 4:42 pm

Have there been rumblings about Beal that I’ve missed? My understanding is that he refuses to nix his NTC as his wife and kids like living in Phoenix.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#63 » by nate33 » Mon Jun 9, 2025 4:51 pm

AFM wrote:Have there been rumblings about Beal that I’ve missed? My understanding is that he refuses to nix his NTC as his wife and kids like living in Phoenix.

The logic to this would be that Phoenix sucks so Beal would have motivation to leave them and join a team with title aspirations. By approving a trade here with an agreement in place to buy him out, Beal can then negotiate with contending teams to sign him to an MLE-caliber deal. Everybody wins.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#64 » by DCZards » Mon Jun 9, 2025 4:56 pm

nate33 wrote:
DCZards wrote:
nate33 wrote:The solution here is to negotiate with Beal. Tell him we're not going to waive him, nor play him at all and condemn him to being under contract and missing out on 2 seasons of his career, unless he works with us to find a new destination with a team willing to pay him a reasonable salary commensurate with his ability.

Despite what we might think of his play or contract, Beal is clearly one of the good guys in the NBA and players and agents around the league know that he doesn't deserve to be "condemned" like that. It would also put our youngins in the middle of a truly funky situation.

Is that really the kind of culture that we want the Zards to become known for? That's a bad idea that would set our rebuild back.

You are missing the point. We don't have to make that threat overtly. It's just implied. It's the leverage we have to work with.

I get your point. It’s an approach to negotiating that you’ve articulated in the past. I just happen to totally disagree with it.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#65 » by doclinkin » Mon Jun 9, 2025 4:57 pm

AFM wrote:Weren’t you the one that said athleticism is frequently confused for potential? Or have I been misattributing that to you this whole time.

Yeah, Bailey is longer and taller. But Tre has good size for a SG and is more skilled.

Bailey might be a slightly more attractive prospect but not nearly worth trading up for IMO.


That was probably me. My viewpoints are evolving. Or leastways the situation is different.

Right now I'm not looking for instant results as much as long term best player.

Tre is a good shooter. Not an active defender. Sees himself as Ray Allen. I can see that. An off ball scorer who can hit from range off the catch or off the dribble with good movement. A nice fit here since we need shooters. And since I think Bub is a better lead guard than he is being given credit for. Tre has at least one skill that is instantly useful to any team. He has an NBA caliber outside shot.

But I'm looking for a defense bender. A mismatch. A player who is potentially useful at both ends. Switchable on offense and defense.
Multi position. And ideally with the highest upside. Ace is longer, quicker, better bounce, better lane agility, better shuttle run. You can say Tre is more skilled, yes as a shooter, but Ace's athleticism let him play positions 2-5 this year on a team that had no actual bigs. If you check the comparison Tre was better at shooting, and that is it:

https://www.tankathon.com/players/compare?players=ace-bailey--tre-johnson

Ace stuffed the stat sheet. Skilled or not.

Upside wise I'm looking at Ace in the same role as Tre. Defense bending off guard. Except this one has the length of a PF and can shoot over players. Every year you can find shooters. A top end scorer with length and athleticism is more rare. Respect to Tre that he shot well enough to get into the top 5 conversation. But nobody is mocking him at 3. He overachieved this year as a high usage scorer who hit a nice % outside and at the line. If Ace overachieved this year he'd be in the conversation with Flagg. The question is if you can get him to achieve that upside. Given time, coaching, and a developmental program.

We are trying to earn next year's lotto pick, while drafting a slow roll-out of all-stars. We figure we can grow our own 'skill' if we have the raw materials to do so. In normal drafts I am Memphis, looking for BBIQ stats and box score heroes. But we haven't truly tanked before. Not on purpose anyway, and not with a multi year mission to do so.

In these drafts I am looking for a baseline of skill, talent, plus youth, then asking the question which the guys we pick have All-Star future if they fully grow into their talent. And do they love the game enough to get there. I want a first option A-1 scorer who can score against anybody and themselves is an asset on defense, or a yard defending Big dog who is dominant at both ends.

To me that is:
Ace
Maluach

I'd consider a floor general who can pilot a whole team and force fouls on opposing defenders. (Hali/SGA). Or a high energy freak of nature who affects the game at both ends even if he started out just as a raw talent (Giannis).

That may be:
Fears
Essengue.

But if you want Ace, he's not available at 6. If the scouts and Wiz brain trust say he's worth the work, then you only get him if you go up to get him. Otherwise sit still and see who falls. If the consolation prize is a nice shooter, okay, but I think we can get that guy any year. What you don't get every year is the chance at stealing those top 3 difference makers that more consistently show up in the HOF rankings.

'Skilled' players slide every year. A guy like CMB is probably the smartest basketball player in this draft. He's mocked lower because he lacks ideal measurables for the position and he's not catching above the square on the back board. That means he'll be a damned good value when he slides and is stolen lower down. You don't take him at 6. It's not effective asset management.

I could build a team with damned good value. But the thing that I have bumped into in the past is that NBA success may be less subject to Moneyball strategy if you luck out at the top end. Yes you can build championship teams out of good roster work. And maybe we are in the era of parity with different winners every year. Maybe it is more possible now. But traditionally the dynasty teams have been built with both good roster work AND top end talent. Not one time winners. But year after year contenders. You need an MVP candidate with a team around them. And the odds show the top of the top, the highest producing stars, are more consistently available at the top end of the draft. Yes there are exceptions when you take the entire field of all draft picks, I'm just saying if you are shooting fish in a barrel, when doing historical draft analysis, there are more fish in those 1-5 slots. Get you a top fish. Shoot your shot when you got a chance at one.

I think OKC is doing that right now. As is Houston. San Antonio I think. In the NBA we are between dynasties right now, on the tail end of the LBJ and Curry eras. I think within the next 10 years we have a chance to be one of those type of teams. It just means we have to maximize our long term potential by taking full advantage of the suck right now. Maximum possible suck for maximum upside. THEN we can draft solid producers when/if we slide lower down due to improved win records.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#66 » by dckingsfan » Mon Jun 9, 2025 4:58 pm

nate33 wrote:
closg00 wrote:
pancakes3 wrote:i don't think tre lasts til 6 is the problem.


I think there’s a good chance that Tres will be there at 6 if you believe the mocks, Fears is now mocked to Utah as has Kon Knueppel.

The consensus big board still has Tre going 5th:

https://www.rookiescale.com/2025-consensus-board/

The NBA 2025 Consensus Mock has us with Fears. But to be honest, their isn't a consensus on the 6th pick.

Texas guard Tre Johnson seems to be firming up the fifth spot, with a 12-point cushion on Duke’s Kon Knueppel. Each has some variance in the profile: Johnson is pegged between 3rd and 8th, while Knueppel sits between 4th and 9th. Oklahoma PG Jeremiah Fears is right there, and his range appears to be narrowing as three mocks each have him tabbed for 6th, 7th or 8th; it’ll only take one believer for him to sneak into the top 5.


https://www.nba.com/news/2025-consensus-mock-draft
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#67 » by dckingsfan » Mon Jun 9, 2025 5:04 pm

nate33 wrote:
AFM wrote:Have there been rumblings about Beal that I’ve missed? My understanding is that he refuses to nix his NTC as his wife and kids like living in Phoenix.

The logic to this would be that Phoenix sucks so Beal would have motivation to leave them and join a team with title aspirations. By approving a trade here with an agreement in place to buy him out, Beal can then negotiate with contending teams to sign him to an MLE-caliber deal. Everybody wins.

This is going to be a very interesting year. You have Durant and Giannis that both might try to force the hands of the teams you are in.

And then you have the third rate players (I view Beal in that light "now") that may also try to force their team to do something.

I think with the new CBO, a player like Durant has much less leverage than in the past. Although Jimmy Butler was able to pout his way onto GS, so there is that... I think Beal will have very little leverage. If we do a deal, this FO should be entirely brutal, IMO.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#68 » by closg00 » Mon Jun 9, 2025 5:04 pm

If Tre is taken ahead of us, the pick should be Fears or Maluach.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#69 » by dckingsfan » Mon Jun 9, 2025 5:05 pm

closg00 wrote:If Tre is taken ahead of us, the pick should be Fears or Maluach.

It seems like that is the way it is trending if you believe the consensus mocks... this is going to be fascinating, no? :dontknow:
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#70 » by nate33 » Mon Jun 9, 2025 5:18 pm

DCZards wrote:
nate33 wrote:
DCZards wrote:Despite what we might think of his play or contract, Beal is clearly one of the good guys in the NBA and players and agents around the league know that he doesn't deserve to be "condemned" like that. It would also put our youngins in the middle of a truly funky situation.

Is that really the kind of culture that we want the Zards to become known for? That's a bad idea that would set our rebuild back.

You are missing the point. We don't have to make that threat overtly. It's just implied. It's the leverage we have to work with.

I get your point. It’s an approach to negotiating that you’ve articulated in the past. I just happen to totally disagree with it.

Yeah, and disagreeing with that approach is how you end up with Beal-style max contracts with no-trade clauses. I advocated a hard-line stance on Beal's last contract and you poo-poo'd it as unnecessarily confrontational.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#71 » by 80sballboy » Mon Jun 9, 2025 5:30 pm

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/45464827/2025-nba-draft-player-prospect-comps-14-projected-lottery-picks-cooper-flagg
Top 15 picks are comped here from Jeremy Woo. I'll transcribe for those who do not have ESPN+



We're back for another year to draw pro comparisons for ESPN's projected lottery prospects in the 2025 NBA draft, which runs from June 25-26 (8 p.m. ET on ABC and ESPN).

It's often a useful exercise, if done responsibly. Sometimes that's easier said than done, as it's a process that often invites hyperbole.

The goal here isn't to draw a perfect comparison for each of the 14 projected lottery picks -- we'd be guaranteed to be wrong. This exercise serves as a lens to think about a prospect's future role, examine his range of potential outcomes, and consider which areas of development are most critical to long-term success.

This type of thought process can help in player evaluation from a conceptual standpoint and in envisioning how a prospect's profile might fit a certain team.

With that in mind, and with the draft just a few weeks away, let's look at both high- and low-end comparisons for each prospect projected to be drafted among the first 14 picks, plus a bonus selection who is on teams' radars as a potential lottery pick.


1. Cooper Flagg, SF/PF, Duke

Mock draft projection: No. 1 to Mavericks | Top 100: No. 1

High end: Jayson Tatum with more defense
Low end: Andre Iguodala with more offense

Flagg is the consensus No. 1 pick for good reason: Statistically and empirically speaking, he's on a trajectory to become one of the top wings in the NBA. The question that has been asked all season, including by NBA executives, has been about what type of heights Flagg will reach. His well-rounded offense and stellar defense give him incredible baseline versatility for an 18-year-old entering the league, something the Mavericks should be able to exploit to their advantage next season. Some around the league have likened him to a modern Scottie Pippen, while Flagg himself has said he patterns his game after Tatum, who is his favorite player.

If Flagg continues to make strides creating his own shot -- where he has flashed comfort level in the midrange but needs refinement -- the possibility of a Tatum-like scoring leap is on the table. He has improved that facet of his game over the past couple of years, becoming more comfortable from long range and leaving room for optimism that he'll grow comfortable improvising and operating off the bounce. If he doesn't evolve into a legitimate No. 1 option, he might settle best as a second star alongside a more scoring-oriented teammate.

While Flagg figures to offer more offensively than Iguodala, who never topped the 20-point-per-game mark in his career, that comparison illustrates the ways he might add value apart from putting the ball in the basket by himself. As is the case with most of these comparisons, the likely outcome is often somewhere in the middle. In his case, the range of possibilities is more exciting than anxiety-inducing for NBA evaluators.

2. Dylan Harper, PG/SG, Rutgers

Mock draft projection: No. 2 to Spurs | Top 100: No. 2

High end: Jalen Brunson but bigger
Low end: D'Angelo Russell

Harper's blend of size, power, scoring and playmaking makes him a highly attractive pro prospect, with the skill set to lead an offense as a high-usage star in a best-case scenario. Although Harper's size (6-foot-6, 215 pounds) should make him a more valuable player on the defensive end, the Brunson comp makes sense through a macro lens: Both rely on craft, creating contact and attacking angles to manipulate defenses. Brunson was a better 3-point shooter coming out of Villanova, something Harper will have to improve over time to maximize his potential. But there's a world where he gets there and becomes a foundational player and offensive fulcrum.

Harper's high floor, due in part to his size advantage handling the ball, is a big part of his appeal -- his mix of strengths makes it hard to see him flunking the NBA test. In projecting his lower-end outcomes, the odds are still that he becomes a viable starting-caliber player. He could wind up as an average shooter, and his defensive impact could be inconsistent based on past tendencies. Those possibilities would limit his impact on winning games as a No. 1 or No. 2 option, but his game could still scale down effectively.

Russell, who was the No. 2 pick in 2015 and an All-Star in his fourth season, has been a productive player, but he still hasn't figured out how to lead a consistent winning team. Harper should be impactful early on, but how his career unfolds from there will depend on context and continued improvement.

3. Ace Bailey, SG/SF, Rutgers

Mock draft projection: No. 3 to 76ers | Top 100: No. 3

High end: Michael Porter Jr.
Low end: Andrew Wiggins

Bailey is the draft's most dynamic shotmaker, a skill that makes plain his significant scoring potential. The major long-term question is how he'll harness it, with the rest of Bailey's skill set still developing. He has the size to rise and shoot over most defenders, a knack for making off-balance shots, and a stroke that projects well catching and shooting from range.
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But he's not a naturally creative ball handler, tending to pick up his dribble and settle for a shot rather than weave his way around defenses, making his style predictable at times, albeit not always easy to stop.

It's difficult to bank on Bailey developing the playmaking ability and handle that would warrant heavy on-ball usage, which makes Porter Jr. an interesting player to consider as a comp. As a draft prospect out of Missouri in 2018, Porter had similar questions around his passing and handling skills, and he benefited from landing with the Denver Nuggets, a team where his shooting has been maximized by having playmakers around him, and where he hasn't been asked to step out of his comfort zone as a creator.

It's easy to see Bailey's efficiency and game transforming positively in that type of context as a second or third scorer, but it's harder at this stage of his career to squint and see a bona fide No. 1 option. If that never happens, his career could wind up more in the vein of Wiggins, who has been a productive scorer his entire career but hasn't always been an accessory to winning basketball.

4. VJ Edgecombe, SG, Baylor


Mock draft projection: No. 4 to Hornets | Top 100: No. 4

High end: Victor Oladipo
Low end: Jaden Ivey

The elevator pitch with Edgecombe centers largely around the possibility that he develops into a capable on-ball creator, where his speed, strength and elite explosiveness could best create problems for defenses.

Getting him the reps he needs to make that leap will be step one wherever he lands, but the downhill, hyperathletic slashing mold he fits makes Oladipo a valid point of comparison. It took Oladipo time to settle in in the NBA, and he broke out fully in his fifth season (2017-18) before a 2019 knee injury derailed his career. There are some similarities in their styles of play and trajectories entering the league, including the need to develop a more consistent outside shot and flesh out their ability to create offense while handling the ball.

Edgecombe has All-Star upside if everything clicks for him. While there's risk built into his profile given the level of adjustments he might need to maximize his physical tools, it's also easy to see a useful floor due to his likely value as a high-energy perimeter defender and transition player.

The Ivey comparison is a little tricky because the Detroit Pistons guard is still developing in his own right, but things started to click for him this past season before an injury in January. Slashing guards in this mold who have to learn to make good decisions with the ball often take time to find success.

The range of outcomes for Edgecombe offensively might be pretty wide, but at worst, he should still be a highly useful backcourt contributor -- adding to his appeal as a top-five selection.

There are similarities between two-time NBA All-Star Victor Oladipo and Baylor's VJ Edgecombe, a shooting guard who could be a contributor at the next level.

5. Jeremiah Fears, PG, Oklahoma


Mock draft projection: No. 5 to Jazz | Top 100: No. 7

High end: Monta Ellis
Low end: Jerryd Bayless

Fears' profile has interesting stylistic elements that make him a tricky comp. He gets downhill and pressures the paint with more daring and craft than a typical guard his size, but he's also not a historically good 3-point shooter (28.4% on 3s at Oklahoma this past season), making for a sort of a throwback baseline archetype.

Considering his age (18) and the progress he made with the Sooners, Fears has a chance to be a dangerous scorer and playmaker, but there's a lot riding on whether he can be efficient. Either his perimeter shooting will have to progress -- a feasible thing to expect, considering his strong free throw percentages (85.1% this past season) -- or his interior scoring will have to translate well enough to prop up the rest of his game.

Although this tracks back a decade or so, Ellis is an interesting stylistic comparison as a smaller high-volume scorer and creator who struggled with turnovers and inconsistent long-distance shooting for much of his career. It's certainly possible Fears could surpass that, but it's also maybe a big step to bank on him becoming a top-end jump shooter, albeit he should improve as he gains strength and experience. If that doesn't happen, he could end up as more of a Bayless type -- a combo bench scorer in the long run, offering developmental downside given how high a team will have to select him on draft night.

Fears' major flashes of talent leave room for optimism, but there's a somewhat wide berth of outcomes given all the variables that need to go his way to become a star.

6. Tre Johnson, SG, Texas

Mock draft projection: No. 6 to Wizards | Top 100: No. 5

High end: Michael Redd
Low end: Cam Thomas, but taller

Johnson is a fairly simple prospect to understand. He's likely going to shoot it well; he's probably going to shoot a lot; and whatever else he ends up giving his future team will be gravy, not necessarily baked into their expectations.
2025 NBA draft



Johnson's clean and compact stroke will make him a threat from long range, and he has flashed ability to get to it off the dribble, with a level of fearlessness required to succeed as a volume scorer but also one that can get him into trouble with shot selection at times. His efficiency inside the paint and finishing will have to improve, too.

If Johnson can come close to the type of career Redd put together (although Redd's peak in the early 2000s was eventually hampered by serious knee injuries in 2009), that would be a pretty outstanding result, and there are some similar components here. Redd became one of the top 3-point shooters of his era and shouldered a heavy workload due more to the threat of his unorthodox jumper than anything else. It's worth underscoring that Johnson is well ahead of Redd at the same age (the latter was a career 31.9% shooter from 3 at Ohio State and a second-round pick). Johnson's mechanics are far cleaner and project more safely.

It's a reasonable bet Johnson can evolve into a dynamic volume shooter -- the question is whether he can do it efficiently, and whether he'll be able to do it in a winning context. Those are similar questions that have hovered over Thomas' value due to similar tendencies he has shown four years into his NBA career (2021-25).

7. Khaman Maluach, C, Duke

Mock draft projection: No. 7 to Pelicans | Top 100: No. 6

High end: Rudy Gobert, but quicker
Low end: Daniel Gafford, but bigger

Maluach fits neatly into the rim-protecting, rim-running center archetype that has remained valuable through the NBA's various stylistic shifts of the past couple of decades. He is still learning the game and improving his defensive habits; his sheer size acts as a deterrent in the paint, with above-average mobility for his 7-2 frame that points to major defensive upside. An efficient finisher who is limited in other ways offensively, Maluach could eventually become a topflight player within his mold.

While Gobert can read as a slightly obvious comparison point for paint-protecting 7-footers, in this case, it illustrates Maluach's upside as a player who could potentially provide major defensive backbone in a winning context. It's certainly not a given that he'll reach NBA Defensive Player of the Year-caliber heights, but there's security in what he offers already, coupled with the feasible areas for improvement, particularly if he adds a 3-point shot.

Maluach's floor as a useful contributor feels pretty sound regardless: Centers with his sheer dimensions, above-average mobility and role awareness -- such as the comp to Gafford -- tend to find their place in the league.

Duke's Khaman Maluach a player to watch in the NBA draft

Duke big man Khaman Maluach, who came up through the NBA Academy Africa, is a player to watch in the NBA draft.

8. Kon Knueppel, SG/SF, Duke

Mock draft projection: No. 8 to Nets | Top 100: No. 8

High end: Desmond Bane
Low end: Joe Harris

Knueppel has a case as the best shooter in the draft, but it's the breadth of his all-around offensive game that has elevated him as a potential top-five pick. NBA teams were pleasantly surprised by Knueppel's decision-making and passing acumen at Duke, where he succeeded in a large role that required him to facilitate offense and space the floor at a high level. His average athletic profile -- he's not especially fast or quick -- is the primary concern in his projection, potentially capping some of his high-end outcomes if he's not able to create elite-level offense.

Bane was an undervalued draft prospect in 2020 coming out of TCU, where he was a career 43.2% 3-point shooter but was viewed as an average athlete with short arms who lacked big-time upside. He outkicked those expectations fast, becoming a crucial player for the Grizzlies in his second season, with Memphis investing in his skill set and the chance he could become more than simply a 3-and-D player, giving him opportunities to make plays and shoulder more responsibility. Although he won't sneak up on anyone the way Bane did, Knueppel's best-case scenarios fall along those lines.

Considering Knueppel's age (he turns 20 on Aug. 3, whereas Bane played four years in college), his career peak could surpass Bane's in the right situation, adding to NBA teams' bullishness on his future. If things don't quite click for him as a shot creator deserving of heavy bandwidth, Knueppel should still be a top shooter who plays valuable minutes on good teams in a lesser capacity, similar to Harris.

9. Collin Murray-Boyles, PF/C, South Carolina


High end: Al Horford
Low end: Xavier Tillman

Murray-Boyles projects as a solid gadget player in the frontcourt, capable of playing all over the floor on offense thanks to his intelligent passing, guarding multiple positions using his length, plus his physicality and toughness. Maximizing his potential depends on the development of his questionable 3-point shot; if he can present a threat from outside, it'll help cover for his lack of ideal size at power forward.

If his shot develops, Murray-Boyles could wind up in the vein of a modern Horford -- a versatile big who can be instrumental to winning as a defensive stalwart with complementary offensive utility.

If Murray-Boyles were to completely stagnate at the NBA level -- an unlikely scenario, considering his age (he turns 20 on June 10) and trajectory -- he should still hold down a spot on a roster as a useful depth player à la Tillman, who shared some of his intrinsic strengths but was older and far less mobile coming out of Michigan State.
play



10. Kasparas Jakucionis, PG, Illinois

Mock draft projection: No. 10 to Rockets | Top 100: No. 10

High end: Austin Reaves
Low end: Delon Wright

Jakucionis is a savvy playmaker as a 6-6 guard, with the instincts and skill level to handle the ball and an improving shooting stroke. Reliant on pace, timing and improvisation instead of top-end speed, he excels in screen situations and plays an unselfish style that should allow him to succeed whether or not he develops into a full-time lead guard. He has to improve his ball security (3.7 turnovers per game) and 3-point shooting (31.8%), but his demanding role at Illinois required him to take risks and contributed to some of those inefficiencies.

It's feasible Jakucionis will wind up valued similarly to Reaves, another crafty combo guard with whom he shares stylistic similarities. Reaves entered the NBA at a much older age and worked his way into a mainstay for the Los Angeles Lakers in short order. Jakucionis might take longer, but he is well ahead of where Reaves, who played four years in college and went undrafted out of Oklahoma, was at the same age.

And in a worst-case scenario, his well-rounded skill set and ability to play both guard spots should still warrant a long-term spot in the NBA as a reserve.

11. Egor Demin, PG/SG, BYU

Mock draft projection: No. 11 to Trail Blazers | Top 100: No. 11

High end: Deni Avdija and Josh Giddey
Low end: Kyle Anderson

It's easy to see the appeal and sheer talent Demin brings as an oversized playmaker, with arguably the best passing vision in the class. Those types of players are ever-popular, with NBA teams coveting size and feel on the perimeter that can scale into an array of roles.

There are two key factors in Demin's projection: How much time he'll earn handling the ball and his consistency from long range. His below-average foot speed and streaky 3-point stroke create some risk factors. He's not quick creating off the dribble and will need to keep defenses honest with his shot to maximize his pathway to minutes.

Although not perfect comparisons, Giddey, a historically below-average shooter who is at his best making plays with the ball, and Avdija, who has settled in the past couple of seasons as a multiskilled off-ball forward, can be used to illustrate different roles Demin could eventually settle into. Whether he's capable of playing as a quasi-lead guard or adds more value as a connective player away from the ball remains to be seen, but both pathways are feasible depending how he develops.

If his development stagnates and doesn't lead to a top rotation role, he could still provide long-term utility depth, similar to the way Anderson has for much of the past decade.

12. Derik Queen, C, Maryland

Mock draft projection: No. 12 to Bulls | Top 100: No. 11

High end: Alperen Sengun
Low end: Sandro Mamukelashvili

Queen brings a lot to the table offensively, with the face-up skills and passing ability to play all over the floor and facilitate good offense. The success of players such as Sengun, who fell into the teens on draft night in 2021 and was viewed as an unorthodox prospect, helps lay the groundwork for Queen's potential. He needs to become a more aggressive rebounder and engaged defender -- two things that would be aided by improving his frame and conditioning. He also needs to develop a more reliable 3-point shot.

There's a place for skilled, offensive-minded bigs in today's NBA, but there's also a level of risk built in when relying on players with subpar physical and defensive skills, something considered in how teams project Queen's value moving forward. If he doesn't maximize his ability and develop into a cornerstone for a team, at worst, his talent and basketball IQ will still help him find a role.

Mamukelashvili, an offensive-minded big who has settled into a deep bench role in the NBA, is an extreme case -- Queen is far more talented -- but that comp is meant to underscore the downside if Queen is unable to stay on the floor defensively. The most likely outcome is in the middle.
Houston's Alperen Sengun serves as a high-end comparison for Derik Queen, the Maryland big who is projected as a lottery pick in June's draft.

13. Joan Beringer, C, Cedevita Olimpija (Slovenia)

Mock draft projection: No. 13 to Hawks | Top 100: No. 15

High end: Clint Capela
Low end: Jaxson Hayes

Beringer's projected NBA role is simple and proven: He is going to catch lobs, rim-run, protect the paint and potentially switch a little bit defensively. Considering he doesn't turn 19 until November and has been playing basketball for only three years, NBA teams see attractive upside thanks to his strong physical tools and above-average agility for a young center. He's still very early in his development, which builds in some risk but also creates a long runway for Beringer to be brought along by his next team as a potential long-term starter at the 5.

When describing this specific mold of center, Capela is kind of the classic point of reference. Although Beringer isn't likely to space the floor or threaten with his jumper, these types of bigs can still succeed with shooting and playmaking around them, capable of finishing plays and posing a threat around the basket without designed touches.

Hayes, who was the No. 8 pick out of Texas in 2019 due to his incredible tools and a similar upside case, has never settled in as a starting-level player, but he continues to hold a role in the NBA after six seasons -- now with the Lakers. Beringer will likely fall somewhere on this spectrum, depending on how quickly he can pick up the NBA game and get the most out of his talent.


14. Carter Bryant, SF/PF, Arizona

Mock draft projection: No. 14 to Spurs | Top 100: No. 12

High end: Trey Murphy III
Low end: Royce O'Neale

Bryant's appealing combination of perimeter size, defensive versatility, passing IQ and a clean shooting stroke fit into a valuable NBA archetype. He should offer lineup coverage at multiple positions on both ends of the floor, with room to grow offensively. It's hard to expect a huge leap from Bryant in terms of creating his shot; major gains in that department could put him on a trajectory similar to that of Murphy, another late-blooming 3-and-D type who took time to blossom as a scorer.

Admittedly, this comparison would have been better before Murphy's unheralded scoring leap last season in New Orleans. It's hard to expect that level of output from Bryant, but he has time. If he can develop into a higher-volume threat from distance, he could add value even if he never cracks the 20-point threshold like Murphy just did.

And if Bryant were to stagnate as merely a useful bench player, he could still profile as a bigger version of O'Neale, who has filled in gaps and shot it well at both forward spots for much of his career.
Bonus comp!


15. Noa Essengue, PF, Ratiopharm Ulm (Germany)


High end: Pascal Siakam
Low end: Jarred Vanderbilt

Essengue has increasingly made a case for himself over the past few months in Germany, displaying tangible strides in consistency and motor and playing an active style that has been additive to winning. Still just 18 years old, Essengue has a combination of size, mobility, explosiveness and projectable frame that gives him a wide array of pathways to ultimately succeed in the NBA. Forwards in his mold who defend multiple positions, add value on the glass and can step out onto the perimeter comfortably are hard to find.

If Essengue can build off this season, he can become an excellent NBA player who relies on his motor and physicality, while improving his skill level over time, similar to Siakam. Essengue has been valuable without needing focused touches, shows good instincts in the run of play and finds ways to produce. A big offensive leap would still need to happen for him to maximize his potential, particularly as a perimeter shooter, where he still struggles with consistency.

If an offensive breakthrough doesn't happen for him, Essengue should still be a useful role player, offering rebounding and defensive value off the bench similar to the way Vanderbilt has.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#72 » by 80sballboy » Mon Jun 9, 2025 5:38 pm

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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#73 » by 80sballboy » Mon Jun 9, 2025 5:39 pm

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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#74 » by DCZards » Mon Jun 9, 2025 5:46 pm

nate33 wrote:
DCZards wrote:
nate33 wrote:You are missing the point. We don't have to make that threat overtly. It's just implied. It's the leverage we have to work with.

I get your point. It’s an approach to negotiating that you’ve articulated in the past. I just happen to totally disagree with it.

Yeah, and disagreeing with that approach is how you end up with Beal-style max contracts with no-trade clauses. I advocated a hard-line stance on Beal's last contract and you poo-poo'd it as unnecessarily confrontational.
What you see as confrontational I see as opaque bullying.

In my approach to negotiating, Beal and his camp would know upfront what we’re trying to accomplish. He wouldn’t be “condemned” into doing it.

But, hey, to each his own.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#75 » by The Consiglieri » Mon Jun 9, 2025 6:17 pm

DCZards wrote:
nate33 wrote:The solution here is to negotiate with Beal. Tell him we're not going to waive him, nor play him at all and condemn him to being under contract and missing out on 2 seasons of his career, unless he works with us to find a new destination with a team willing to pay him a reasonable salary commensurate with his ability.

Despite what we might think of his play or contract, Beal is clearly one of the good guys in the NBA and players and agents around the league know that he doesn't deserve to be "condemned" like that. It would also put our youngins in the middle of a truly funky situation.

Is that really the kind of culture that we want the Zards to become known for? That's a bad idea that would set our rebuild back.


I'm not taking him on no matter what. But Good Guys? A good guy would have quietly told the team he was going to bail (though admittedly, the FO/Ownership, should have known, like I did, that he was always going to get the bag, then demand the trade once he was appropriately completely done with losing) early enough to allow us to figure out the best way to rebuild without him, getting a decent trade done. He did literally the worst thing humanly possible:

1. He lied about his bull---- desire to stay here, to get the bag (and got a lot of you guys to believe that nonsense, while only a minority, like me, knew he was full of ----).

2. He got the ridiculous max his play never merited. No home town discount whatsoever (understood, but still, not a nice guy move, just a normal self-interested move).

3. He then managed to get it sweetened by our idiot owner with the NTC.

4. He only demanded a trade, when his contract, and his play meant, he would be impossible to move for a good deal to rebuild around.

5. He activated his NTC, so he could direct his own trade, which guaranteed that we would get the worst of all possible offers.

He is, when it comes to fanbases, an absolute mother------. He laid waste to the city, napalmed the survivors, and salted the earth for good measure.

The only reason we survived this, with some semblance of a plan intact, was the grand mal idiocy of the Suns to add so many pick swaps, and our decision to hire a GM/Front Office team with an actual CV, and a history of actually running a tear down properly, unlike all the idiots we've employed since Ferry departed.

Beal might be known as a good guy around the league, might be a good guy to Ted, might be good to his teammates, but to the only people that matter in DC, the poor, totally ----ed over fans following this Clippers East/Charlotte North/"Aint's" of the NBA ---- show for the past 10, 20, 30, 40, 45 years, he was a terrorist/bank robber, holding up the franchise for a ridiculous contract he never deserved, adding components he never should have had that went off like C4, the second we tried to move him, and then making sure to activate his trade demands at literally the worst time possible in his career to make such a demand.For fans, the only aspect of Beal that mattered is that last sentence: for a franchise that has been one of the 5 or 6 worst in sports in this country for the past 45 years, he quadrupled the pain of said fandom, and for what?

No, he's a scumbag, when it comes to fandom, I don't really give a ---- if he treats valet's well, strippers at the club well, the owner well, or other multi-millionaire athletes well, the only thing that ever mattered is that he worked well with the FO to help the team during his time here, and at the most critical point, the only point that mattered during his decade here, he indulged his most selfish and most destructive interests humanly possible. So ---- him.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#76 » by nate33 » Mon Jun 9, 2025 6:20 pm

DCZards wrote:
nate33 wrote:
DCZards wrote:I get your point. It’s an approach to negotiating that you’ve articulated in the past. I just happen to totally disagree with it.

Yeah, and disagreeing with that approach is how you end up with Beal-style max contracts with no-trade clauses. I advocated a hard-line stance on Beal's last contract and you poo-poo'd it as unnecessarily confrontational.
What you see as confrontational I see as opaque bullying.

In my approach to negotiating, Beal and his camp would know upfront what we’re trying to accomplish. He wouldn’t be “condemned” into doing it.

But, hey, to each his own.

No. In your approach, you would have accepted a $4M buyout instead of negotiating for a $30M buyout.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#77 » by Doug_Blew » Mon Jun 9, 2025 6:29 pm

The Consiglieri wrote:
DCZards wrote:
nate33 wrote:The solution here is to negotiate with Beal. Tell him we're not going to waive him, nor play him at all and condemn him to being under contract and missing out on 2 seasons of his career, unless he works with us to find a new destination with a team willing to pay him a reasonable salary commensurate with his ability.

Despite what we might think of his play or contract, Beal is clearly one of the good guys in the NBA and players and agents around the league know that he doesn't deserve to be "condemned" like that. It would also put our youngins in the middle of a truly funky situation.

Is that really the kind of culture that we want the Zards to become known for? That's a bad idea that would set our rebuild back.


I'm not taking him on no matter what. But Good Guys? A good guy would have quietly told the team he was going to bail (though admittedly, the FO/Ownership, should have known, like I did, that he was always going to get the bag, then demand the trade once he was appropriately completely done with losing) early enough to allow us to figure out the best way to rebuild without him, getting a decent trade done. He did literally the worst thing humanly possible:

1. He lied about his bull---- desire to stay here, to get the bag (and got a lot of you guys to believe that nonsense, while only a minority, like me, knew he was full of ----).

2. He got the ridiculous max his play never merited. No home town discount whatsoever (understood, but still, not a nice guy move, just a normal self-interested move).

3. He then managed to get it sweetened by our idiot owner with the NTC.

4. He only demanded a trade, when his contract, and his play meant, he would be impossible to move for a good deal to rebuild around.

5. He activated his NTC, so he could direct his own trade, which guaranteed that we would get the worst of all possible offers.

He is, when it comes to fanbases, an absolute mother------. He laid waste to the city, napalmed the survivors, and salted the earth for good measure.

The only reason we survived this, with some semblance of a plan intact, was the grand mal idiocy of the Suns to add so many pick swaps, and our decision to hire a GM/Front Office team with an actual CV, and a history of actually running a tear down properly, unlike all the idiots we've employed since Ferry departed.

Beal might be known as a good guy around the league, might be a good guy to Ted, might be good to his teammates, but to the only people that matter in DC, the poor, totally ----ed over fans following this Clippers East/Charlotte North/"Aint's" of the NBA ---- show for the past 10, 20, 30, 40, 45 years, he was a terrorist/bank robber, holding up the franchise for a ridiculous contract he never deserved, adding components he never should have had that went off like C4, the second we tried to move him, and then making sure to activate his trade demands at literally the worst time possible in his career to make such a demand.For fans, the only aspect of Beal that mattered is that last sentence: for a franchise that has been one of the 5 or 6 worst in sports in this country for the past 45 years, he quadrupled the pain of said fandom, and for what?

No, he's a scumbag, when it comes to fandom, I don't really give a ---- if he treats valet's well, strippers at the club well, the owner well, or other multi-millionaire athletes well, the only thing that ever mattered is that he worked well with the FO to help the team during his time here, and at the most critical point, the only point that mattered during his decade here, he indulged his most self and most destructive interests humanly possible. So ---- him.


I have as much hate towards Beal as just about anybody, and You've written another brilliant post. But I always thought the departure of Beal was driven by Dawkins and Winger. Beal didn't fit in their plans. I'm guessing Beal would have stayed with the Wiz and made us miserable until the last year of his contract.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#78 » by Chocolate City Jordanaire » Mon Jun 9, 2025 6:34 pm

nate33 wrote:
Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:
WizarDynasty wrote:DQ immediately becomes the best offensive player on this team and its not even close. No way he passes us if our GM is any good.
I've been saying this, but i think our GM is fixated on long, no-game-having athletic specimens.

They are fixated on every player being an average or better defender. They will not draft Queen at #6. I'm not even sure they would take him at #18.
It would be freaking absurd if they passed him at 18.
Bye bye Beal.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#79 » by Chocolate City Jordanaire » Mon Jun 9, 2025 6:41 pm

DCZards wrote:Some of us wouldn’t have a problem trading 6 & 18 to move up to 2 to draft Harper. Do we make that same deal for #3 and Ace?

#6 and 18 to Philly for #3 and 35?
I think that it's a bad idea.

In this draft, #6 might be better than #2, and #18 might be better than any current Wizards player.
Bye bye Beal.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 3 

Post#80 » by Chocolate City Jordanaire » Mon Jun 9, 2025 6:44 pm

doclinkin wrote:
nate33 wrote:
Dat2U wrote:
I'm not comfortable with the skill level if he's a F. The length is really good but he's less than 200 lbs so C may not be ideal. His best attribute is F mobility with
C length but the C-like skill means he can't take advantage of that benefit offensively. The Giannis comparison does not exist - Noa's face up game appears to still be in its infancy stage.

I tend to believe he is one of those, 'can do a little of everything, but not really excels at anything' types. Defensively, while he's long, he's not a true rim deterrent. And while mobility is good, the motor could use some juice. I'd pass because he doesn't have one thing he can truly rely on - and I don't know the FT rate is translatable. He could really struggle offensively to start out his career and I still question how good his hands are.

He is a defensible pick as a project at 18 but I wouldn't be too interested. I would probably freak out if he was the pick at 6.

He is a freak athlete with great measureables, and he plays with a good motor and puts up good numbers and a good on/off differential despite having no refined basketball skills whatsoever. You gotta love that he can produce despite not knowing what he is doing. That speaks to his competitiveness, basketball instincts, and willingness to be physical.

Essengue is a massive project with a high ceiling and a low floor. Like with any project, the real question is his character and work ethic. He has so much work ahead of him, both on his strength and on skill development. I'd like to know more about his background. How long has he been playing basketball? Is there a good reason that his skills are so undeveloped? How hard does he work in practice? These are questions that need to be answered with interviews and background checks more so than watching film. Without access to that type of research, I don't really know how to grade him.

At this point, I'd have to place Maluach ahead of him on my board just because I know Maluach has a firm floor as a rotation big. But if the Wizards end up drafting Essengue after extensive interviews and background checks, I'll be open-minded.


That’s my deal. He’s not my guy. And if he was I’d rather get him on a trade up from 18 or back from 6. But saying what a guy ‘is’ or is not seems short sighted when you consider he started his pro season at 17 years old.

If you pick him it’s because you know a teenager has a lot of development ahead of him. If a kid this young is producing at a high level and carrying his team into the playoffs —and actually improving on his shortcomings in the most important games— then you can reasonably project him to continue to improve with big league trainers and coaching.

He was off my radar most of the season but he is doing the Bilal thing of peaking when it matters most.

Again the only nit I pick with the Dat assessment on drafts is that there’s no curve for grading by age. Tough to say a guy will be this or that compared to another player when they’re actually performing at a higher level than the comparator was at the same age.

My same deal with Sorber/Wolf. Thomas Sorber as a freshman in the Big East (3rd toughest conference) outperformed Wolf as a freshman in the Ivy League. Compare the freshman Wolf’s 62% FT percentage and sad 48% 2FG to Sorbers 72% FT and 60% 2FG against far tougher opposition.

Younger. Bigger. Producing similar numbers this year as Wolf this year but at an earlier age. Me I’m betting on the improvement of the young guy who comes in with an already veteran game. If the numbers are close, take the younger one. Especially if he’s already a better defender.
Trade back to get Sorber.

Draft Clifford or Fleming.

Get Coward or Dixon in round two.
Bye bye Beal.

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