Infinity2152 wrote:Dan Z wrote:Infinity2152 wrote:
If you go back, you'll see I added the equivalent value part before you responded. What exactly is a first round pick level of value? I think that's the whole question. We have a 17.5 mill trade exception that expires in July. AK typically keeps his cards close to his chest, we're all just guessing. He's spending money this summer with all these expirings, imo.
Value is highly important to me. There is no absolute value to a first round pick, the team, the year of the pick, the protections, PLUS how much that team values picks all weigh into it. In every deal, I'm trying to get the most that I can get. Worked years selling real estate and doing appraisals and let me tell, there's a huge difference between sale price and appraised value in a lot of situations. What you appraise as Vucevics value only plays part of what his final sale price will be.
GS and the Lakers are the easy answers, but like I said, it could be the Bucks if they lose Lopez or some team we're not even thinking about. If I'm Vucevic's agent, no way we took less than $20 mill/yr on his last contract, f**k what Bulls fans think. If I can't find a team in the league to get me $20 mill for my guy putting up 19/10, I'm not good at my job. People here are really jaded with his defense, which is exaggerated, no center has rated high defensively in Donovan's defense. I'd be damned if I couldn't convince a team to give me a first for Vucevic shooting 40% from three.
I'm AK, there's no way I don't find that first or value I feel is equivalent for Vucevic. He'd be here till the deadline at least before I took less.
As Dez points out they tried to get a first, but that didn't happen.
Vucevic is a career .348 three point shooter. Why would a team think that he'll continue to shoot .400 from three? He's done that twice in his 14 year career and in both situations he regressed the next season.
A first round pick's value depends on the team trading it (are they good? bad?), the protections on it, and the year it's conveys. Maybe a team gives up a late first if it means the Bulls take on salary, but like I said it doesn't sound like AK is willing to do that.
Why would a team like Miwaukee give up it's 2031 first round pick for Vucevic? It's one of the few assets that they have and they give it up for a soon to be 35 year old center who isn't good at defense...? Giannis, Vucevic, and Kuzma will go how far next year (Lillard is hurt)? Then in a year Vucevic is up for a contract and will be 36. That seems like a bad plan to me.
Honestly, do you think even half the NBA has a solid plan on what they're doing right now? The Bucks were just dealing with Giannis trade rumors, for instance. He says he wants to stay, they need to upgrade fast with little resources. How would I or you or anybody know how much they value a 2031 draft picks? Personally, it's almost valueless as an asset. Again, I'm not even going to try to project teams needs before the draft and before free agency starts. Orlando upgraded their starting SG today and Grizzlies severely downgraded. Their plans may have changed. Don't care who he goes to, we could guess, but we'd probably be wrong. We should still try to get as much as we can.
I'll say it again. Pull any center ranking for the 2024-2025 season and see where Vucevic sits. All the teams below that number he's effectively an upgrade, according to whichever ranking you'll pull. Some of those teams above him will lose their starting center. If you can find a ranking where he's lower than 30 (30 teams in the league), ANY ranking outside Bulls fan posts, I'll concede nobody would want him as an upgrade.
Then we can argue why no team in the NBA would give up a first for $20 mill expiring, that's additional benefit outside the player himself.
It's one of the few assets that the Bucks have. Why would they give it up for an older player who has spent the majority of his career on losing teams?
I agree with you that he has value as an expiring contract, but in that case it most likely means the Bulls would have to take on additional salary and it sounds like AK isn't willing to do that.
If the Bulls couldn't get a first for him during the last trade deadline then why will they get one now?