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pepe1991 wrote:There seems to be huge gap between what most fans on forum here think in contrast of how rest of people ( General Board, Reddit, Twitter, youtubers ) view this move.
What makes this gap, to me, seems to be answering different questions.
This trade can be viewed through several key talking points, and based on different question, you will be led in different direction to asset quality of a move.
Two splitting directions come from answering two different questions at once:
1) Did Magic get better?
2) Are Magic now contender/ favorites?
3) supporting questions would be: fit, salary cap etc.
1)Short answer to first question is yes. Bane is very good player. You get legit player that has been for past 4 years 20-21 ppg player on 58-60% TS, 4-5 assists and rebounds.
But answering to second question is driving force in contrasted opinions among board vs rest of the world.
Magic gave up Mikal Bridges / Rudy Gobert / Durant to Suns / Pierce and KG on Nets type of haul for Desmond Bane.
Desmond Bane is 27 years old, 0 times all star, 0 times all nba, 0 times anything player. All above mentioned names were established stars but Mikal. But Mikal played in nba finals, Mikal was 2# in DPOY voting in 2022 and Mikal only costs $20M a year.
Also just because other similar trades happen, that doesn't mean this one makes them justifiable, nor that this one is justifiable. It's not. It's ugly overpay for above average player who is btw, on overpaid via being max contract player in era where we should finally stop throwing max contracts at every single above average player.
And back to answering question two. Are Magic now contenders? Maybe? Like, they are not favorites to win East, in comparison to some teams from West, they are not. It's not like OKC is going anywhere any time soon. Rockets still have +50 wins team + all the picks. Lebron/Luka/Lakers are a thing. Cavs are going nowhere. Pacers still have all the picks but 26 one.
Bane isn't point guard. You can try to spin this narrative to fit opinion and justify trade from fit POV, but he simply isn't point guard. He is guy who can make plays, in regular season. Who was trusted to run PG in 2023-24 as guard, but without any pressure of result. 27-55 team and 30# ranked offense as a result (as he got hurt and missed half of the season ).
This year Grizzlies tried this no pick&roll gimmick. Worked wonders for half of a season, until it didn't. After it stopped working, they went from 2# seed to play in, and into 4 games series vs OKC in one of worst beatdowns i can remember in modern nba history. But once again, trying to run offense without traditional pg duty, does not make him point guard ( also Morant played 50 games and they were better with Morant than without him, as expected) .
So, addition of yet another NOT play maker still leaves Magic with same problems, against elite teams. When it's time to have safe ball handler with a ball, making calls and calling plays in close games. Magic again won't have that natural lead- guard to do so.
Only difference is that now 2 iso scorers will be offset with one great catch&shoot,shoot off dribble guy. Can it solve offense ? Maybe.
Will be helpful, but still not solving existing issue.
Overall this is endgame of rebuild. Magic played all their hands in poker betting on strong hand, but not strongest hand. With pretty much all tradable picks gone, you can't just "fix" this any more without firesale, nor will firesale return you lost picks. This is it.
When you look at salary cap, it's dire situation pass 25-26. For 27-28 Magic will have +$200M payroll in 6 men, without any objective way how to get better but to resign current players, vet minimum guys and find second round picks worth anything.
Historically, going all in makes sense if you are close and/or if guy you go all in is top 10 player.
Magic got neither top 10-15 player nor are close to winning title. Shorter teams it will make team better, mid term makes them capped out on 4 players, 2 can maybe become top 15 players and 2 on max deals that won't crack top 20 at any point.
Long term is just flat out bad due how much cap capital is gone.
I'm not biggest pick-lover, it's no secret, but because how new CBA is set picks are more valuable than ever. Trading 5 first round picks, 4 without any protection on it for not top 10 player is simply dumb move.
When you take in consideration all of this, giving this trade more than C would feel like short sighted look.
Pros:
- makes team better
- solves some problems
- helps worst shooting team of decade not be that any more
- helps playmaking a little bit
Cons:
- epic overpay
- selling picks in years when picks are way too valuable to trade them like that
- still not title contender
- traded player is overpaid on it's own
Ultimate bet: 4 not top 15 players can win you a title with almost no bench, as salary tied into them will peal away remaining good players year after year.
here are my points.
1 - who cares what people on GB, Twitter, etc think about a trade. really, who cares? does it affect the team and the product on the court? no, so big deal.
2 - did the Magic get better? absolutely. Their now core 4, when healthy, can compete with almost any team in the East and many teams in the West. Yes, we lose some 1st rounders, but the front office had been hit or miss with those anyways (Jett, Cole, Chuma, etc). we still have 1st rounders in off years and there is almost always a late 1st that is available for sale. our picks will be in the mid 20's now anyways, not exactly known for impact players.
3 - are Magic contenders - in the East, absolutely. depending on how the fill out the rest of the roster. in the NBA? we wont know for awhile. Most people were picking OKC to sweep Indy, or at most a gentlemen's sweep, and that is tied 2-2 with Indy still a good chance to win.
4 - remaining moves, salary cap - that will be interesting to watch. I bet we are on more ring chasers radar than we were 2 days ago.
As for the "epic overpay", NY sent 5 first round picks last year. Gobert was traded for 4 first round picks. I would say Bane is more offensively skilled than Bridges, Bridges better defensively. Bane has never been an all-star, but his play is very close. 4 years 18ppg+, 41% career from 3 on high volume. Ill take that and not care that he didnt win a popularity contest in the West for an all-star game.
as usual, you devolved into your Chicken little syndrome again before the roster finalized and a single game played.