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Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available

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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1181 » by Brinbe » Fri Jun 20, 2025 2:10 am

positivetension wrote:
Brinbe wrote:Ware is a nice piece but Riley likes his superstars and will always be in win-now mode if possible

I don't know if Herro/KD/Bam is a contender but the East will be wide open so who knows

That team is closer to the play-in than they are to contention. I feel like Bam is too young to be falling off but he did not have a great season this year.

I think that's just what more pressure without jimmy out there to carry looks like. but getting a KD will help to some degree.
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1182 » by mtcan » Fri Jun 20, 2025 2:12 am

djsunyc wrote:how soon after the finals will we get the shams tweet?

Certainly didn't take Woj long to start spewing BS about Washington wanting Masai and offering ownership stake.
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1183 » by tsherkin » Fri Jun 20, 2025 2:20 am

PushDaRock wrote:No, I am saying he was better as a starter than off the bench as a Knick so the idea that he's less efficient as a starter than as a bench player isn't true.


Right, for a remarkably short and unreliable sample, he looked better as a starter. Keep in mind, he wasn't starting prior to the trade, then shot horribly for us inside the arc but maintained from 3 on like 40% more 3pt volume, and had more passing responsibilities and touches.

To your point, on his career, his more efficient as a starter than as a reserve by 1.3%, but it's 98 vs. 226 games, and he was like +0.6% from his reserve TS% with us this year, so we're largely basing this on post-trade Quickley, bear in mind.
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1184 » by niQ » Fri Jun 20, 2025 2:30 am

mtcan wrote:
djsunyc wrote:how soon after the finals will we get the shams tweet?

Certainly didn't take Woj long to start spewing BS about Washington wanting Masai and offering ownership stake.


They can make it up by tweeting Raps eyeing Shai after the finals :P
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1185 » by douggood » Fri Jun 20, 2025 2:55 am

mtcan wrote:
djsunyc wrote:how soon after the finals will we get the shams tweet?

Certainly didn't take Woj long to start spewing BS about Washington wanting Masai and offering ownership stake.

this year it will be presti and lakers
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1186 » by PushDaRock » Fri Jun 20, 2025 2:55 am

tsherkin wrote:
PushDaRock wrote:No, I am saying he was better as a starter than off the bench as a Knick so the idea that he's less efficient as a starter than as a bench player isn't true.


Right, for a remarkably short and unreliable sample, he looked better as a starter. Keep in mind, he wasn't starting prior to the trade, then shot horribly for us inside the arc but maintained from 3 on like 40% more 3pt volume, and had more passing responsibilities and touches.

To your point, on his career, his more efficient as a starter than as a reserve by 1.3%, but it's 98 vs. 226 games, and he was like +0.6% from his reserve TS% with us this year, so we're largely basing this on post-trade Quickley, bear in mind.


Sure, but the numbers still are what they are and he's been better in a larger role against starters than he has been off the bench. Even if you want to dismiss the sample size, it's still a positive to be performing better against starters no?

He's also in his prime now and projected to be a starter for the foreseeable future, so are we not expecting him to at least maintain this level of play that he has as a starter going forward?
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1187 » by Tor_Raps » Fri Jun 20, 2025 2:59 am

douggood wrote:
mtcan wrote:
djsunyc wrote:how soon after the finals will we get the shams tweet?

Certainly didn't take Woj long to start spewing BS about Washington wanting Masai and offering ownership stake.

this year it will be presti and lakers


If Presti wins a title, he will ask for the highest salary number in the history of north american sports and he'll get it.
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1188 » by tsherkin » Fri Jun 20, 2025 3:06 am

PushDaRock wrote:Sure, but the numbers still are what they are and he's been better in a larger role against starters than he has been off the bench. Even if you want to dismiss the sample size, it's still a positive to be performing better against starters no?


It's something. It's not really much I'd care to call "seriously good," which is what the initial discussion point which got me talking about Quickley was at the start, though.

He's also in his prime now and projected to be a starter for the foreseeable future, so are we not expecting him to at least maintain this level of play that he has as a starter going forward?


Ish, sure? Not clear on the relevance. Quickley's a solid player, this isn't a point of contention. I've been looking forward to him being healthy to help improve spacing and what-not. And he's not a bad playmaker either. He isn't a natural point, but whatever, he does well enough compared to anyone else we've got, after all.
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1189 » by Son Goku 25 » Fri Jun 20, 2025 3:53 am

niQ wrote:
mtcan wrote:
djsunyc wrote:how soon after the finals will we get the shams tweet?

Certainly didn't take Woj long to start spewing BS about Washington wanting Masai and offering ownership stake.


They can make it up by tweeting Raps eyeing Shai after the finals :P


Even better if they say Shai is eyeing coming home and playing for the Raptors
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1190 » by GLF » Fri Jun 20, 2025 12:41 pm

YogurtProducer wrote:
Duffman100 wrote:
GLF wrote:

Why do you hate TS% as a barometer? I agree btw but I just wanted to see if our reasoning is the same lol


League average vs positional.

You don't want to compare PGs to centres

Not just that, but role is incredibly important.

League average TS% encompasses all shots taken. These include put back dunks, wide open catch and shoot 3's, transition dunks, etc. The league average TS% is not a great comparison for guys who take harder shots, are put in worse positions, etc.

Like last year the leaders in TS% were Jarrett Allen, Jalen Duren, Gobert,, etc. - like Dugg said - mostly centers.

But we also had Christian braun and Keon Ellis in the 4th and 5th slots - aka guys who do next to no self creating (but props for finishing their opportunities).

But to Duff's point - you can just simply look at position and see what the average TS%'s are, which I have (based on basketballreference positions)

PG - 55.7
SG - 57.0
SF - 57.4
PF - 57.8
C - 60.7

By this metric - IQ has been an above average efficiency player, which should be obvious to anyone who actually like... watches the games.

Change this sample to be the top 100 players in terms of FGA's this year (per game, filtered for guys who played at least 918 minutes to include IQ) you see the TS% looks like this:

PG - 57.6
SG - 58.7
SF - 58.3
PF - 58.0
C - 60.1

So even here when looking at only higher usage guys, we see that IQ is average among high usage players. Which is not a bad thing by any means and should actually be a positive future sign for us. In fact, in that list there are 9 PGs who were more efficient than IQ was this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - 0.637
Damian Lillard - 0.621
Stephen Curry - 0.618
Tyrese Haliburton - 0.616
Jalen Brunson - 0.605
Darius Garland - 0.6
Luka Dončić - 0.587
Jamal Murray - 0.584
James Harden - 0.582
Immanuel Quickley - 0.57
Trae Young - 0.567
De'Aaron Fox - 0.567
Cade Cunningham - 0.565
Ja Morant - 0.563
Tyrese Maxey - 0.562
De'Aaron Fox - 0.56
CJ McCollum - 0.55
Keyonte George - 0.539
LaMelo Ball - 0.536
Jalen Suggs - 0.536
Stephon Castle - 0.522
Fred VanVleet - 0.515
Dejounte Murray - 0.494


So like not to be a dick, but it is not surprising Scase is just incredibly biased here. We have VERY good reason to be excited about IQ's future contributions to this offense.


Yup! We are on the same page as I expected. It’s the lack of context when people on here post these TS% that I hate. There are so many factors that can affect a players TS and comparing them to just any player makes no sense to me without context. Thanks for your detailed explanation :)
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1191 » by MiamiSPX » Fri Jun 20, 2025 12:47 pm

I suspect a deal is done with either MIA or HOU and it will be announced after Game 7.
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1192 » by Mikistan » Fri Jun 20, 2025 12:47 pm

Son Goku 25 wrote:
niQ wrote:
mtcan wrote:Certainly didn't take Woj long to start spewing BS about Washington wanting Masai and offering ownership stake.


They can make it up by tweeting Raps eyeing Shai after the finals :P


Even better if they say Shai is eyeing coming home and playing for the Raptors
maybe Doris Burke will go on stage st the championship celebration post game and ask the finals MVP where they plan to play next year
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1193 » by douggood » Fri Jun 20, 2025 12:53 pm

MiamiSPX wrote:I suspect a deal is done with either MIA or HOU and it will be announced after Game 7.

if its done it would get leaked, and we have 2 day break before game 7 right time to announce it.
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1194 » by WuTang_OG » Fri Jun 20, 2025 1:13 pm

MiamiSPX wrote:I suspect a deal is done with either MIA or HOU and it will be announced after Game 7.


I could see PHX getting antsy and making Monday their deadline. I dont think they wait till draft day although teams like TOR (if they are even in this) would wait until draft night to see who falls.
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1195 » by tsherkin » Fri Jun 20, 2025 1:16 pm

GLF wrote:Yup! We are on the same page as I expected. It’s the lack of context when people on here post these TS% that I hate. There are so many factors that can affect a players TS and comparing them to just any player makes no sense to me without context. Thanks for your detailed explanation :)


Worth looking at that...

PG - 55.7
SG - 57.0
SF - 57.4
PF - 57.8
C - 60.7


They're the least-efficient guys on the floor, by far. 60% of the positions have fairly comparable efficiency. Little dudes don't typically handle scoring volume well, so running scoring possessions to them is often a bad idea unless they are able to push their efficiency higher. IQ, then, is hovering around average for three positions (and indeed, around league average overall, because most centers don't score in significant volume).

Like I said earlier, volume matters, but even as you look at it... league average was 57.6% in 2025.

So let's look at teams with starting PGs who were at/above 57% TS, just to tie it in with the other positions.

Spoiler:
ATL - Trae was at 56.7%. Weak finisher, mediocre volume 3pt shooter, good draw rate. Excellent playmaker, though, as an offset.
BOS - Jrue was at 56.5%, but only took 9.2 FGA/g
BRK - Three different guys started 20+ games at the point for the Nets, I don't think we should care about those samples
CHO - 53.6% on 21.3 FGA/g; brutal scoring season, and he isn't short. Injured, but not much different than usual for him. Pete Maravich 2025, ish.
CHI - 57.0% on 11.4 FGA/g
CLE - 60.0% on 15.7 FGA/g
DAL - 58.3% from Luka when he was there, 55.3% on 8.6 FGA/g from Dinwiddie; 55.3% on 11.1 FGA/g as a starter
DEN - 58.4% on 16.7 FGA/g from Jamal Murray
DET - 56.5% on 20.8 FGA/g from Cade (mind that, like Ball, he isn't sized like a conventional PG)
GSW - 61.8% because it's technically Steph
HOU - 51.5% on 12.7 FGA/g, shot 37.8% FG; VanVleet sucked as a scorer, but added defense and playmaking. "When no one else can make a shot..."
IND - 61.6% from Hali
LAC - 58.2% from Harden
LAL - 59.0% from Luka
MEM - 56.3% from Morant (no 3pt shot, athleticism-dependent, small, injured)
MIA - called him a SG, but it's Herro other than the bench guys; 60.5%
MIL - 62.1%
MIN - 57.3% on 6.6 FGA/g
NOP - 55.0% on 17.9 FGA/g
NYK - 60.5%
OKC - 63.7%
ORL - Suggs was at 13.7 FGA/g and 53.6%; 54.2% on 11.2 FGA/g as a starter for Cole Anthony
PHI - 56.2% on 21.0 FGA/g
PHO - 58.5% on 8.4 FGA/g
POR - 55.7% on 16.1 FGA/g from Simmons; he was at 58%+ for 3 straight years before falling off the last 2
SAC - 56.7% on 19.6 FGA/g from Fox when he was there
SAS - 58.0% on 7.1 FGA/g from Paul,
TOR - 57.0% on 13.3 FGA/g from Quick when he played
UTA - 51.4% on 9.1 FGA/g from Carrington (19 yo rook)
WAS -


A lot of what we see in terms of inefficiency is when the little guys try to shoot too much. Obviously, the bigger guys at the positional have it a little easier, and someone like Carrington dragged the positional average but may not remain at that efficiency as he grows. Fox is another one was shooting way too much for his tools and ability, though there is a degree of necessity behind that. Archetype matters, but so too does the reality of a team's roster.

There is a reason PGs are so inefficient, and wiping that away doesn't make sense. They're typically the smallest guys on the court, they tend not to finish well inside when they can even get there, and tend to be heavily reliant upon perimeter shooting. No surprises there, and in a similar vein, the more efficient guys at the position tend to be bigger, and/or better shooters. Brunson's short, but he has a powerful lower body and a good shot coupled to his other skills, so he makes due. He obviously struggled with elevated volume in the playoffs as far as maintaining, but that's a separate issue not specifically related to his size, nor unique to PGs.

Acknowledging that it takes a fairly atypical PG to be worth shooting volume, on the other hand, is important. Like I said earlier, obviously there's some juggling to be done with shooting volume and playmaking value, sometimes due to a dearth of shot creation. Houston wasn't very good on offense in terms of shotmaking, so they had to make that up with ball protection and offensive rebounding. FVV served the purpose of initiating offense and creating shots, which had any value, which was necessary for them to function. He didn't stun because he was such a poor scorer, but still exerted a positive offensive impact with game management and playmaking.
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1196 » by WuTang_OG » Fri Jun 20, 2025 2:02 pm

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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1197 » by YogurtProducer » Fri Jun 20, 2025 2:16 pm

tsherkin wrote:There is a reason PGs are so inefficient, and wiping that away doesn't make sense. They're typically the smallest guys on the court, they tend not to finish well inside when they can even get there, and tend to be heavily reliant upon perimeter shooting. No surprises there, and in a similar vein, the more efficient guys at the position tend to be bigger, and/or better shooters. Brunson's short, but he has a powerful lower body and a good shot coupled to his other skills, so he makes due. He obviously struggled with elevated volume in the playoffs as far as maintaining, but that's a separate issue not specifically related to his size, nor unique to PGs. .

This is ignoring PGs have the ball in their hands more, and their shots are more likely to be self created than any of the other positions. That in turn is going to lead to lower efficiency even simply from late clock bail out situations in which guards are typically more able to get a shot off (even a bad one).

Like i showed before - league average efficiency is not a good indicator to determine anything. It is way more relevant to compare players to other players in similar situations at similar positions. Rudy Gobert is one of the leagues more efficient players, but we all know he is a horrible offensive player.

Same with a guy like AJ Green. 62TS% but their is so much context needed behind that figure.

Both Green and GObert (and guys like that) boost up the league average TS%, so it isn't fair to say someone is league average in TS% like it is a bad thing. Being higher volume and still hitting that average is a good thing, not a bad thing.

It is only the elites of the league who have high volume and the 60+TS%'s.
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1198 » by CoinTossRoss31 » Fri Jun 20, 2025 2:21 pm

WuTang_OG wrote:
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Would be hilarious if PHX rolled into next year with KD.

This is all just a ploy though
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1199 » by tsherkin » Fri Jun 20, 2025 2:54 pm

YogurtProducer wrote:This is ignoring PGs have the ball in their hands more, and their shots are more likely to be self created than any of the other positions. That in turn is going to lead to lower efficiency even simply from late clock bail out situations in which guards are typically more able to get a shot off (even a bad one).


Yes, and that primarily affects the ones who are smaller and less athletic, weaker shooters, etc.

Absolutely, they tend to have the ball in their hands more and lean in towards a lower proportion of assisted buckets, but I think the other things I mentioned are more important factors. Particularly since there are guys at other positions who have similar/greater loads and do better. Size matters. And given the shot volume of the guys we're talking about in many cases, other things emerge, you know?

Like i showed before - league average efficiency is not a good indicator to determine anything.


Disagree. I think it's a pretty strong benchmark for whether or not it makes sense to use a guy in a volume role.

It is way more relevant to compare players to other players in similar situations at similar positions. Rudy Gobert is one of the leagues more efficient players, but we all know he is a horrible offensive player.


Sure, but his shooting volume is low for a reason.

Both Green and GObert (and guys like that) boost up the league average TS%, so it isn't fair to say someone is league average in TS% like it is a bad thing. Being higher volume and still hitting that average is a good thing, not a bad thing.


It's an okay thing, depending on context.

It is only the elites of the league who have high volume and the 60+TS%'s.


Sure. But this is a clear illustration of WHY you don't want to run your volume through a small guy, unless he's a Brunson-level or better scorer.

If you're taking 9 FGA/g, you're probably not harming your team overmuch if you're at 56% TS. It isn't great, but you're not shooting too much, so the difference between you and that 8 FGA/g center who doesn't score except on spoon-fed lobs and ORBs isn't THAT much per game, particularly if you're contributing in other ways.

If you're De'Aaron Fox? No, you should stop shooting so much, 100%, because you're a poor option in volume, absolutely. If you're Chris Paul at 8 FGA/g and less than 30 mpg, then yeah, your 58% TS is nice, but again, lower impact and only so meaningful, for sure.

No participation trophies for guys who shoot too much at poor efficiency. Being a little better relative to the least-efficient position in the game isn't a justification for high volume.

Now again, what's high-volume? Quick isn't a high-volume guy, so him flirting with league-average isn't a problem. It also isn't "seriously good," it's just solid. And in the context of our crap offense, his presence was greatly missed last year because of our overall dearth of scoring ability, certainly.
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Re: Stein/Fischer: Toronto willing to deal RJ Barrett, IQ, Poeltl for Significant Upgrades // #9 Available 

Post#1200 » by Kingsway_fan » Fri Jun 20, 2025 2:59 pm

Lol Durant is old.. wtf is Phoenix expecting???

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