Red Larrivee wrote:BullsSD wrote:boozapalooza wrote:
I realize this isnt the best strategy for team building, but what happens if we sign Kuminga to a 4/90 deal and he shows out next year? Stays healthy and becomes a 20ppg scorer. Only 22 years old right now.
Thats a valuable trade chip next offseason / down the road…may not have cap space for free agents but we would have a valuable trade asset on a reasonable deal
This is exactly why you do it. If you clear out Vuc AND add in a 22 year old 20/3/6 guy, even if he doesn't fit, there is a BKN or a Portland or someone who would be willing to give us first rounders and expirings.
Next to Giddey and Buz with opportunity, his floor with the Bulls is his ceiling with GS. You do this deal if we don't give up assets, period.
I think you guys have a very optimistic view of how that signing could end up. I get the allure because of age, but he's really not a good fit with this team.
Generally the way the FA market works is that the odds of someone making big improvements are baked into the next contract. The next contract goes to the most optimistic team able to bid, because they will pay him the most. The contract is bad unless the player outperforms the estimates of the most optimistic team unless there were artificial constraints stopping the most optimistic team from bidding.
So obviously we have a lot of constraints:
Max contract (lots of max players end up on good deals)
Roster constraints (some bidders don't have room on the roster or in the rotation)
Salary Cap (teams that can make a bid with cap room, MLE, TPE, or S&T etc)
If you look at Kuminga's situation there is some reason to be optimistic the caps around him might create a value situation. No cap space teams are likely to bid on him, and the amount he can make is also limited by the amount GS may take back in a S&T. Now those constraints may not make him a value contract (like if you think he's a sub MLE player those constraints don't really matter), but they do create some potential.
I remain pretty skeptical on Kuminga given the Warrios definitely had room to play him if he was a really good player, and he played his way out of their rotation. His skillset on offense is a terrible fit for what we need too, but I can see why someone might be excited about him.
If we did a S&T into the Zach exception to save GS money, his salary is capped at starting at 17M. The Bulls and GS could possibly cooperate to get that done in a way that GS basically tells Kuminga that they're not taking back more money for him once this offer is on the table. Maybe that still ends up too rich for your blood, and I wouldn't blame you, I don't have so much thoughts on Kuminga personally, just philosophizing a bit.