GuardianEnzo wrote:I’m not saying $27 isn’t about right, in a vacuum. But what incentive do the Bulls have to do that? What’s their competition, and what’s Giddey’s Plan B?
His plan B is to take a 1 year MLE ($14M) from any team that's under tax, throw up big #s like he did with Chicago, and hit FA next season for $35M+ long term. If he averaged his post ASG Bulls #s, 21 / 11 / 9 with 45% 3P shooting, all season for another team that's a max contract as a UFA. TBH even if he averaged a lot less like Scottie Barnes, Barnes was still a max contract. But let's say he doesn't get close to max but still gets $35M per year.
MLE: $14M
2026 free agency: $35M x 4 = 140
The MLE + $35M contract AAV package = $31M AAV.
Brandon Ingram, 22 / 5 / 5 and was so injured he could only play 18 games, got $40M AAV. Giddey can get $35M even doing much worse than he did in Chicago.
If he wanted to bet on himself like all NBA players do, he could refuse anything under $30M and still most likely come out ahead. $30M is just a few million more than what Miles Bridges makes.
I don't think it will come to this, last we heard Giddey was willing to sign in Chicago for $24M, although I'm not sure if that's changed given how incredible his end of season production was.