Vertical Limit wrote:SA37 wrote:No issue taking a flyer on Kuminga if it is a a contract that either declines over the years or remains steady and can increase with performance-based bonuses.
Just for reference, Jalen Johnson has a flat-rate $30M/season contract. So either Miami pays Kuming a top rate in the $25M range or it's a flat rate around $20M with incentives/bonuses built in.
I have his contract looking like Malik Monk’s contract at the moment which he signed with sacramento at 4 years 77 million..
Maliks numbers at the moment are 17.4 last season, 18.8 in 25/16, 20.1 the following and then a 21.5 player option in 27/28
We have been paying Duncan Robinson those kind of numbers and he is not as good as Malik..

but anyways
I think those numbers is a good guide of what Kuminga may land..
But ……… don’t be shocked if some small market team desperate to add talent offers him 4 years 100.. or higher..
Yeah, I think your valuation is spot-on given Kuminga has shown so little, but lots of factors -- some you mentioned -- will lead him to get higher offers. He originally wanted the max, I believe. He's not getting that, but I have a feeling his agent will tell him not to take anything under $100M over 4-years or $131M over 5 in guaranteed money, which is the rate Jaden McDaniels signed for last year (5-years, $131M).
Not sure who offers him that, but that's basically Miles Bridges (3-years, $75M)/Cam Johnson (4-years, $95M)/Mikal Bridges (4-years, $90M)/DeAndre Hunter (4-years, $90M) money with a bit of inflation built in.
I prefer he be on a declining contract because if he doesn't work out, he's easier to trade over time. If it works out, Miami gets some cap flexibility as the years pass.