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2025 Draft prospects - thread 3

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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#981 » by nomorezorro » Wed Jun 25, 2025 8:57 pm

Dresden wrote:Why on earth do they spread this out over 2 days? It's only a 2 round draft for Pete's sake.


surprisingly, it isn't a dumb ploy for money/extra tv revenue - the teams asked for it for operational reasons

they didn't like cramming the second round in late at night with just 2 minutes per pick; bumping it to its own day let them increase it to 4 minutes per pick + gave em time between day 1 and day 2 to sort out potential trades and other stuff
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#982 » by Chi town » Wed Jun 25, 2025 9:13 pm

HomoSapien wrote:Question. If KJ is the guy and Blazers pick him, would you trade 12 and the Blazers pick for him?


Not if Noa is there at 12.
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#983 » by CobysHairpick » Wed Jun 25, 2025 9:13 pm

From Sam Vecenie an hour ago:
It’s worth noting as well that Maluach is a player who has become the subject of trade speculation league-wide, with several late lottery teams interested in sliding up the board to acquire him. I’ve heard Chicago, Atlanta (before its deal for Kristaps Porziņģis) and San Antonio all having varying degrees of interest in him.

Maluach may be more than a pipe dream after all!
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#984 » by Chi town » Wed Jun 25, 2025 9:17 pm

CobysHairpick wrote:From Sam Vecenie an hour ago:
It’s worth noting as well that Maluach is a player who has become the subject of trade speculation league-wide, with several late lottery teams interested in sliding up the board to acquire him. I’ve heard Chicago, Atlanta (before its deal for Kristaps Porziņģis) and San Antonio all having varying degrees of interest in him.

Maluach may be more than a pipe dream after all!


Trade up for Maluach or Beringer?

One of them will be there at 12.

Only guy I’d trade up for is KJ or if Tre fell to 9.
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#985 » by Muzbar » Wed Jun 25, 2025 9:24 pm

I'm not falling for any of this Maluach noise. He'll be gone before the Bulls pick.
Here to argue about nonsensical things and suck away your joy. :kissmybutt:
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#986 » by ChiTownHero1992 » Wed Jun 25, 2025 9:24 pm

If i was AKME, i'd be on the phone trying to get #7-9 pick while trying to keep #12. Throw basically anything at it besides Matas.

Then with the early pick you draft Maluach at 7,8 or 9. This pushes Suns and others into the C frenzy, likely dropping KJ to #12 and Bulls get both of their guys!

Pipedream to say the least but i'd be trying to make it happen. Matas/KJ/Maluach looks nice, adding in Giddey would be great at the right price too!
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#987 » by TheJordanRule » Wed Jun 25, 2025 9:33 pm

CobysHairpick wrote:
TheJordanRule wrote:
CobysHairpick wrote:Givony with some updates that opens up a path for Maluach to fall to 12. The Pelicans GM is from the DMV area and his son was a GA on Maryland's staff. There are rumblings that they are very interested in Queen.

7. Pelicans - Queen
8. Brooklyn - Tre Johnson/whoever the Nets apparently know will be there at 8 (they also have Claxton, Sharpe, and Clowney on the roster already, although none of them should preclude the Nets from drafting a center i know)
9. Raptors - Essengue
10. Suns - Bryant/CMB, can also resign Nick Richards
11. Blazers - Drafted Clingan last year

12. Bulls - Maluach!

I'm not the biggest Maluach fan given how extremely raw and reliant on lobs he is, but I understand swinging for the fences. He showed some range during the Olympics so the jumpshot potential is there at least. Hard to get your hopes up I know, but if Maluach "slides" like Matas did then a Giddey, Coby, Matas, and Maluach core is probably as good as one could've asked for with the 11th and 12th picks the past two drafts.


LOL I love your post, brother, but why would Coby be part of the core somehow? I like Coby but he's not really a core type player. If he signs a cheap contract we could consider him as that, but that hasn't happened yet. How much do you want us to be able to pay the kid for his good if somewhat streaky offense and mid to bad defense?

The Bulls are in no position to let go of a 45-37-90 20ppg player. $30m/yr is like 15% of the cap. Why can't he be Jamal Murray for the Bulls? (we have no jokic I know)

Dayum! Strong points. Jamal Murray is not a bad comp offensively. Technically, Murray spreads it around a little better, averaging one more assist per game (4.7 vs 3.8) and about a thousand more assists per season but I think a convincing case could be made that Murray's extra assist per game comes from a function of working with better teammates instead of any real Lonzo-like or Giddey-like court vision. But I'm an old head and predictably defense is what I'm worried about most. The Jordan Pippen Harper PittBull type defense is what got us there in the past, and I know the kids love the three point bonanzas and regular 50+ point game outings of the new generation, but we can never lose sight of the fact that defense is 50 % of the game. On the flip side $30 million per year is only 15 % of the cap, which means I have no clue how contracts work these days. I remember when Jordan got $30 mil for one year. It was a big freakin deal. Coby resigned at 15 % of the cap could be worth it for the off chance that he continues to pick up his game. I think that's pretty unlikely. He's likely to become a Zach clone at best, and when I review Zach's time with us, I have to say that Zach was ultimately worth less than the sum of his parts. A cutting unfair analysis, perhaps. Jamal got 1.4 steals per game this past year, to Coby's 0.9 and while I understand that the steals stat is broken with its lack of ability to account for the times a defender got caught out of position gambling on a passing lane, I still think Coby's far more likely to be caught out of position than Jamal. Jamal's edge on steals, therefore, is a strong edge backed up by the numbers. What I enjoy about Coby on the defensive end is that he's not scared to crash the boards. For a guy his size, his defensive rebound ability has been greatly enhanced by his effort. I love that Coby's effort is never the problem. He upgraded his D. Maybe he can continue to do that. I'm still lukewarm on Coby, but I greatly respect your passion for resigning that kid.
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#988 » by WindyCityBorn » Wed Jun 25, 2025 9:43 pm

ChiTownHero1992 wrote:If i was AKME, i'd be on the phone trying to get #7-9 pick while trying to keep #12. Throw basically anything at it besides Matas.

Then with the early pick you draft Maluach at 7,8 or 9. This pushes Suns and others into the C frenzy, likely dropping KJ to #12 and Bulls get both of their guys!

Pipedream to say the least but i'd be trying to make it happen. Matas/KJ/Maluach looks nice, adding in Giddey would be great at the right price too!


You have draft fever. Most of these players will be busts and are not worth trading for.
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#989 » by GuardianEnzo » Wed Jun 25, 2025 9:47 pm

Chi town wrote:
CobysHairpick wrote:From Sam Vecenie an hour ago:
It’s worth noting as well that Maluach is a player who has become the subject of trade speculation league-wide, with several late lottery teams interested in sliding up the board to acquire him. I’ve heard Chicago, Atlanta (before its deal for Kristaps Porziņģis) and San Antonio all having varying degrees of interest in him.

Maluach may be more than a pipe dream after all!


Trade up for Maluach or Beringer?

One of them will be there at 12.

Only guy I’d trade up for is KJ or if Tre fell to 9.


Beringer? It would be so AK to trade up for a guy you could probably trade down several spots and take.

I think you solicit offers from Brooklyn and OKC to move down, stand pat and hope Malauch, KJ, or Essengue are there at 12 (collectively, maybe a better than 50-50 chance). If not, trade down if they've made you a decent offer.

Only way I consider trading up is if Ace makes a really meteoric descent and is still there at 8 or something.
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#990 » by Infinity2152 » Wed Jun 25, 2025 9:50 pm

TheJordanRule wrote:
CobysHairpick wrote:
TheJordanRule wrote:
LOL I love your post, brother, but why would Coby be part of the core somehow? I like Coby but he's not really a core type player. If he signs a cheap contract we could consider him as that, but that hasn't happened yet. How much do you want us to be able to pay the kid for his good if somewhat streaky offense and mid to bad defense?

The Bulls are in no position to let go of a 45-37-90 20ppg player. $30m/yr is like 15% of the cap. Why can't he be Jamal Murray for the Bulls? (we have no jokic I know)

Dayum! Strong points. Jamal Murray is not a bad comp offensively. Technically, Murray spreads it around a little better, averaging one more assist per game (4.7 vs 3.8) and about a thousand more assists per season but I think a convincing case could be made that Murray's extra assist per game comes from a function of working with better teammates instead of any real Lonzo-like or Giddey-like court vision. But I'm an old head and predictably defense is what I'm worried about most. The Jordan Pippen Harper PittBull type defense is what got us there in the past, and I know the kids love the three point bonanzas and regular 50+ point game outings of the new generation, but we can never lose sight of the fact that defense is 50 % of the game. On the flip side $30 million per year is only 15 % of the cap, which means I have no clue how contracts work these days. I remember when Jordan got $30 mil for one year. It was a big freakin deal. Coby resigned at 15 % of the cap could be worth it for the off chance that he continues to pick up his game. I think that's pretty unlikely. He's likely to become a Zach clone at best, and when I review Zach's time with us, I have to say that Zach was ultimately worth less than the sum of his parts. A cutting unfair analysis, perhaps. Jamal got 1.4 steals per game this past year, to Coby's 0.9 and while I understand that the steals stat is broken with its lack of ability to account for the times a defender got caught out of position gambling on a passing lane, I still think Coby's far more likely to be caught out of position than Jamal. Jamal's edge on steals, therefore, is a strong edge backed up by the numbers. What I enjoy about Coby on the defensive end is that he's not scared to crash the boards. For a guy his size, his defensive rebound ability has been greatly enhanced by his effort. I love that Coby's effort is never the problem. He upgraded his D. Maybe he can continue to do that. I'm still lukewarm on Coby, but I greatly respect your passion for resigning that kid.


One big problem. Comparison is very apt, I agree. How much did Jamal Murray just get? 4yr/$208 mill extension in 2024. Coby getting $30 mill AAV in 2026 looks like a huge paycut, doesn't it? Even if Murray is a little better, it's not much.

Looking at contracts of similar players: Jordan Poole, Jalen Green, Anfernee Simons, RJ Barrett, Jamal Murray, not seeing how $30 mill is close to Coby's max in 2026 with a good season. He's more efficient than most of those guys, and their defense isn't any better either.

All it would take is ONE team to make a huge offer, and then AK bids over that rather than lose Coby for nothing. Or AK to think it's smart to come up with an unbeatable preemptive contract offer day 1.
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#991 » by Dez » Wed Jun 25, 2025 10:21 pm

Get Rocco Zikarsy in the 2nd round, do it AK.
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#992 » by MrSparkle » Wed Jun 25, 2025 10:27 pm

Infinity2152 wrote:
TheJordanRule wrote:
CobysHairpick wrote:The Bulls are in no position to let go of a 45-37-90 20ppg player. $30m/yr is like 15% of the cap. Why can't he be Jamal Murray for the Bulls? (we have no jokic I know)

Dayum! Strong points. Jamal Murray is not a bad comp offensively. Technically, Murray spreads it around a little better, averaging one more assist per game (4.7 vs 3.8) and about a thousand more assists per season but I think a convincing case could be made that Murray's extra assist per game comes from a function of working with better teammates instead of any real Lonzo-like or Giddey-like court vision. But I'm an old head and predictably defense is what I'm worried about most. The Jordan Pippen Harper PittBull type defense is what got us there in the past, and I know the kids love the three point bonanzas and regular 50+ point game outings of the new generation, but we can never lose sight of the fact that defense is 50 % of the game. On the flip side $30 million per year is only 15 % of the cap, which means I have no clue how contracts work these days. I remember when Jordan got $30 mil for one year. It was a big freakin deal. Coby resigned at 15 % of the cap could be worth it for the off chance that he continues to pick up his game. I think that's pretty unlikely. He's likely to become a Zach clone at best, and when I review Zach's time with us, I have to say that Zach was ultimately worth less than the sum of his parts. A cutting unfair analysis, perhaps. Jamal got 1.4 steals per game this past year, to Coby's 0.9 and while I understand that the steals stat is broken with its lack of ability to account for the times a defender got caught out of position gambling on a passing lane, I still think Coby's far more likely to be caught out of position than Jamal. Jamal's edge on steals, therefore, is a strong edge backed up by the numbers. What I enjoy about Coby on the defensive end is that he's not scared to crash the boards. For a guy his size, his defensive rebound ability has been greatly enhanced by his effort. I love that Coby's effort is never the problem. He upgraded his D. Maybe he can continue to do that. I'm still lukewarm on Coby, but I greatly respect your passion for resigning that kid.


One big problem. Comparison is very apt, I agree. How much did Jamal Murray just get? 4yr/$208 mill extension in 2024. Coby getting $30 mill AAV in 2026 looks like a huge paycut, doesn't it? Even if Murray is a little better, it's not much.

Looking at contracts of similar players: Jordan Poole, Jalen Green, Anfernee Simons, RJ Barrett, Jamal Murray, not seeing how $30 mill is close to Coby's max in 2026 with a good season. He's more efficient than most of those guys, and their defense isn't any better either.


Yeah, yet Coby rates worse than all of them in most categories ... has had a slower development cycle... and all 5 guys are definitively considered overpaid, so I don't know why a GM would go ahead and pull the same mistake overpaying such a player. The rewards are a mixed bag when you're saddled with an overpaid player. Jalen wasn't the deciding factor in the Suns trade, it was the #10 pick.

(And Jamal is a whole other category; his recent decline doesn't take away that he had a really dominant post-season and helped Jokic win the championship, right before he got paid)

I agree he'll get money, but I'm not sure about anything over $30M+. He hasn't established he's as good as a Jalen nor RJ (and he's 2 seasons older than JG).
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#993 » by Chi town » Wed Jun 25, 2025 10:30 pm

Dez wrote:Get Rocco Zikarsy in the 2nd round, do it AK.


I’d love to pair him with Giddey.

I was so high on Rocco after last draft. Most mocks had him top 10. Then this year he just fell of a map.
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#994 » by kodo » Wed Jun 25, 2025 10:36 pm

CobysHairpick wrote:From Sam Vecenie an hour ago:
It’s worth noting as well that Maluach is a player who has become the subject of trade speculation league-wide, with several late lottery teams interested in sliding up the board to acquire him. I’ve heard Chicago, Atlanta (before its deal for Kristaps Porziņģis) and San Antonio all having varying degrees of interest in him.

Maluach may be more than a pipe dream after all!

Well Chicago obviously will have the highest "varying degree" of interest since ATL has Capela/Okongwu/Porzingis and SAS has Wemby.
Wonder if the 12 + Portland pick gets us high enough.
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#995 » by Infinity2152 » Wed Jun 25, 2025 10:40 pm

MrSparkle wrote:
Infinity2152 wrote:
TheJordanRule wrote:Dayum! Strong points. Jamal Murray is not a bad comp offensively. Technically, Murray spreads it around a little better, averaging one more assist per game (4.7 vs 3.8) and about a thousand more assists per season but I think a convincing case could be made that Murray's extra assist per game comes from a function of working with better teammates instead of any real Lonzo-like or Giddey-like court vision. But I'm an old head and predictably defense is what I'm worried about most. The Jordan Pippen Harper PittBull type defense is what got us there in the past, and I know the kids love the three point bonanzas and regular 50+ point game outings of the new generation, but we can never lose sight of the fact that defense is 50 % of the game. On the flip side $30 million per year is only 15 % of the cap, which means I have no clue how contracts work these days. I remember when Jordan got $30 mil for one year. It was a big freakin deal. Coby resigned at 15 % of the cap could be worth it for the off chance that he continues to pick up his game. I think that's pretty unlikely. He's likely to become a Zach clone at best, and when I review Zach's time with us, I have to say that Zach was ultimately worth less than the sum of his parts. A cutting unfair analysis, perhaps. Jamal got 1.4 steals per game this past year, to Coby's 0.9 and while I understand that the steals stat is broken with its lack of ability to account for the times a defender got caught out of position gambling on a passing lane, I still think Coby's far more likely to be caught out of position than Jamal. Jamal's edge on steals, therefore, is a strong edge backed up by the numbers. What I enjoy about Coby on the defensive end is that he's not scared to crash the boards. For a guy his size, his defensive rebound ability has been greatly enhanced by his effort. I love that Coby's effort is never the problem. He upgraded his D. Maybe he can continue to do that. I'm still lukewarm on Coby, but I greatly respect your passion for resigning that kid.


One big problem. Comparison is very apt, I agree. How much did Jamal Murray just get? 4yr/$208 mill extension in 2024. Coby getting $30 mill AAV in 2026 looks like a huge paycut, doesn't it? Even if Murray is a little better, it's not much.

Looking at contracts of similar players: Jordan Poole, Jalen Green, Anfernee Simons, RJ Barrett, Jamal Murray, not seeing how $30 mill is close to Coby's max in 2026 with a good season. He's more efficient than most of those guys, and their defense isn't any better either.


Yeah, yet Coby rates worse than all of them in most categories ... has had a slower development cycle... and all 5 guys are definitively considered overpaid, so I don't know why a GM would go ahead and pull the same mistake overpaying such a player. The rewards are a mixed bag when you're saddled with an overpaid player. Jalen wasn't the deciding factor in the Suns trade, it was the #10 pick.

(And Jamal is a whole other category; his recent decline doesn't take away that he had a really dominant post-season and helped Jokic win the championship, right before he got paid)

I agree he'll get money, but I'm not sure about anything over $30M+. He hasn't established he's as good as a Jalen nor RJ (and he's 2 seasons older than JG).


I could pull up the stats, those guys were most certainly not better than Coby in most categories last year. Especially the second half of the season after Zach left.

Coby was scoring 15pts/gm his second season, to 12 for Poole, 8 for Simons, he was not that slow a developer, lol. His role changed and we had Zach Lavine.

You say all 5 guys are overpaid. That's the point. 25-26 old scoring guards are ALWAYS going to be overpaid. There will always be tons of teams willing to compete for them in free agency. No matter how bad the contract, they're still tradeable. Only reason Beal isn't gone is because of his no trade clause, somebody would take him. Orlando was just trying to get Coby, and give up firsts to do it reportedly. The logic can't be teams won't do what they always do, because they'll learn from it. Name just one 25-26 yr old guy scoring 20+ without serious injury issues that didn't get PAID as an unrestricted free agent. It will never happen, as long as some teams have cap space. Scoring and three point shooting is king now.

So let's not say it can't happen when it usually does. Now what is the worst case scenario for a Coby contract, not the best?
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#996 » by Dresden » Wed Jun 25, 2025 10:44 pm

Not much consensus on our pick:

12. Chicago Bulls

USA TODAY: Noa Essengue, Ratiopharm Ulm (Germany)

Bleacher Report: Asa Newell, Georgia

Yahoo Sports: Derik Queen, Maryland

The Athletic: Carter Bryant, Arizona

CBS Sports: Kasparas Jakučionis, Illinois
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#997 » by Chi town » Wed Jun 25, 2025 10:47 pm

The Good News is it seems NOT to be Asa, Queen or Demin
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#998 » by Infinity2152 » Wed Jun 25, 2025 10:49 pm

Chi town wrote:The Good News is it seems intent be Asa, Queen or Demin


That's good news? Which do you want? Could get behind Newell, but don't want to add a possibly minus defensive player this draft like Queen or Denim.
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#999 » by _txchilibowl_ » Wed Jun 25, 2025 10:54 pm

Chi town wrote:The Good News is it seems intent be Asa, Queen or Demin



I don't get that feeling at all. In fact, I don't have preconceptions about how this will shake out.
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Re: 2025 Draft prospects - thread 3 

Post#1000 » by MrSparkle » Wed Jun 25, 2025 11:00 pm

Infinity2152 wrote:
MrSparkle wrote:
Infinity2152 wrote:
One big problem. Comparison is very apt, I agree. How much did Jamal Murray just get? 4yr/$208 mill extension in 2024. Coby getting $30 mill AAV in 2026 looks like a huge paycut, doesn't it? Even if Murray is a little better, it's not much.

Looking at contracts of similar players: Jordan Poole, Jalen Green, Anfernee Simons, RJ Barrett, Jamal Murray, not seeing how $30 mill is close to Coby's max in 2026 with a good season. He's more efficient than most of those guys, and their defense isn't any better either.


Yeah, yet Coby rates worse than all of them in most categories ... has had a slower development cycle... and all 5 guys are definitively considered overpaid, so I don't know why a GM would go ahead and pull the same mistake overpaying such a player. The rewards are a mixed bag when you're saddled with an overpaid player. Jalen wasn't the deciding factor in the Suns trade, it was the #10 pick.

(And Jamal is a whole other category; his recent decline doesn't take away that he had a really dominant post-season and helped Jokic win the championship, right before he got paid)

I agree he'll get money, but I'm not sure about anything over $30M+. He hasn't established he's as good as a Jalen nor RJ (and he's 2 seasons older than JG).


I could pull up the stats, those guys were most certainly not better than Coby in most categories last year. Especially the second half of the season after Zach left. You say all 5 guys are overpaid. That's the point. 25-26 old scoring guards are ALWAYS going to be overpaid. There will always be tons of teams willing to compete for them. Orlando was just trying to get Coby, and give up firsts to do it reportedly. The logic can't be teams won't do what they always do, because they'll learn from it. Name just one 25-26 yr old guy scoring 20+ without serious injury issues that didn't get PAID as an unrestricted free agent. It will never happen, as long as some teams have cap space. Scoring and three point shooting is king now.


I don't disagree. I think he'll get paid.

However, I do think the 2nd apron will tighten up drunken spending. I really think that's it. Tonight's draft should set the direction for a lot of teams too. A lot of teams aren't really preparing cap space for 2026. BRK, LAL will have flexibility, but they'll probably plan bigger. I can see LAC, DET, WAS and UTA showing interest. Important to note that Lavine, Harden, Powell, Reaves have player options... Ivey, Mathurin, Braun, Dyson, Sharpe, etc. hitting RFA. There will be a lot of competition. Coby ranks #32 on this list: https://hoopshype.com/lists/2026-nba-free-agent-rankings-the-best-players-available-next-year/

There's an argument he's more a top-25 target, cause of his age, and obviously some guys aren't declining their options (Beal, Lillard, Sexton). But he still has to elevate his game.

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