lessthanjake wrote:ScrantonBulls wrote:Vucevic was 6th in VORP, 9th in BPM in 2018-19, and in 2020-21 when playing for Orlando and the last 1/3 of the season with the Bulls, he was 6th in VORP, 13th in BPM (he looked a whole lot better before joining the Bulls). So did the Bulls acquire a top tier star, possibly a superstar?
Vucevic isn’t even close in terms of what the data tells us.
As an initial matter, 9th in BPM and 2nd in BPM are very different things.
For another thing, you’ll notice I listed a lot of metrics, while you listed only one (VORP is just a cumulative version of BPM—they’re the same stat). That’s for good reason—a player can look much better in one stat than others, and vice versa. It’s better to take a holistic approach and look across multiple metrics, in order to get the best picture of reality. I did that with Kevin Love and it was very consistent that he was a superstar. And notice that, on the flip side, I didn’t just say Chris Bosh was 4th in PER in 2010 and therefore a superstar, but rather included that measure along with the measures Bosh did worse in and came to a conclusion that data indicated he was a borderline all-NBA player rather than superstar.
So what does all the data I listed say about Vucevic? Well, in 2019, Vucevic was 9th in BPM, 9th in PER, 19th in WS/48, 14th in EPM, 21st in RAPTOR, 12th in LEBRON, and 22nd in all-NBA voting. In 2021, Vucevic was 13th in BPM, 18th in PER, 59th in WS/48, 39th in EPM, 95th in RAPTOR, 80th in LEBRON, and 27th in all-NBA voting.
To compare again, in 2014, Kevin Love was 2nd in BPM, 3rd in PER, 4th in WS/48, 5th in EPM, 5th in RAPTOR, 6th in LEBRON, and 8th in all-NBA voting.
So yeah, these aren’t even remotely similar. Vucevic does not look like a superstar in the data (more like an all-star and borderline all-NBA guy one year, and not even that the other year you mentioned, which is when he actually went to Chicago). Kevin Love does look like a superstar in the data. And that’s becase Kevin Love was a superstar, and Vucevic was not.