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Josh Giddey Thread 2.0

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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#441 » by jStuNNa » Fri Jul 4, 2025 6:22 pm

ch434355 wrote:
Red8911 wrote:
DrModesty wrote:The "Gulf of Mexico" comment makes me think Giddey is chasing a very large number, because it was already in the aether during the season that he would likely be looking at $30m or so. I wonder if Giddey is asking for above $35m and the Bulls are in the mid to low 20s.

I am higher on Giddey than most, and I think there is a solid chance he could play up to a $35m deal. But that is a number where given the market conditions it would be bad business by the Bulls to give it to him. I'd be confident in Giddey remaining a positive trade asset on anything $30m or less.

Gulf of Mexico doesn’t even exist anymore so that comment throws me off even more. Why would he use that as an example? Is there no offer at all from the bulls ?


Oh God, 10 years from now people will laugh at the morons who called it Gulf of America for a while.


Yeah... But I think Red's questioning if there was some kind of deeper meaning or hint by specifically phrasing it that way. After he says it, Marks kinda laughs and says to figure out what that means.

We might be overanalyzing the comment, but like Red, I wondered the same.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#442 » by jStuNNa » Fri Jul 4, 2025 6:31 pm

Personally, I took the Gulf of Mexico phrasing to very intentionally mean that they're so far apart that they're not even agreeing on the basics or sharing the same perspective, let alone negotiating productively.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#443 » by DrModesty » Fri Jul 4, 2025 6:56 pm

Infinity2152 wrote:
DrModesty wrote:
Infinity2152 wrote:
What we should be worried about is people are worried about paying Giddey $30 mill and/or overpaying him in a summer where no team has cap space and he's restricted, but think we're re-signing Coby to a value deal next summer as an unrestricted FA in a summer with a ton of money out there.

We underpaid Coby for years. He's a staple. Giddey had a great half-season here. He watched the Lavine negotiations and he sees what's happening with Giddey. If we "overpay" Giddey, what are the odds we get a great deal with Coby?


There is a bit of a market correction going on with score first, can't defend guards.

Jazz had to add a 2nd to trade Sexton for Nurkic and both were expiring on the same size contracts.
Portland had to add multiple seconds to trade an expiring Simons for Jrue who has 3 years left, is viewed as overpaid, and might be starting to hit the wall.
Ty Jerome just had a break out, 6MOTY level season and the Cavs let him walk, and he ended up signing elsewhere for under $10m per year.
Malik Beasley won the actual 6 MOTY award on a crazy shooting season and Detroit were only going to offer him 3/42 before this gambling stuff. That is despite most of their rotation being unable to shoot 3's.

Coby probably needs to make the all star team to have a shot at getting real big money.


Almost all those deals expire next year. There will be a ton of teams with cap next year. I keep saying, you cannot think what's happening this summer will happen next summer. Only one team had money this summer, and announced they weren't signing free agents. Next summer will be way different.

A score first guard (Jalen Green) was just the best player piece sent in a trade for Durant. He's arguably on Coby's level.

Ty Jerome signed for a 1 year deal, because he expects to get paid much more next year in a much better free agency.

Jrue Holiday is an infinitely better player than Simons and clearly they're looking for a vet to lead the young guys. They bought out Ayton, money is not a concern for them right now. Wasn't Jrue on the All Defense team last year? Plus they have Shaedon Sharpe and Scoot Henderson.

I would think Coby is valued much higher than Malik Beasley. Last season was the first since 2020 Beasley has averaged over 13 pts. He got 16 last year. And he's 29.


I disagree with the Jalen Green take you have. The main asset in that offer was the #10 pick. Dillion Brooks as a known starting level 3&D wing (who fits with Booker and is in his prime on a good contract) was also a more important component in that trade than Green. Green was the worst asset in the trade, but I understand there are some who still think highly of his potential. Getting a lottery pick and a known, prime age starting level 3&D wing that fits with Booker is the meat of that return. Green was in their because Phoenix couldn't leverage Houston in to giving up any other players/salaries. They didn't want another expensive shooting guard with Booker, Beal and Greyson Allen on big money. Coby is better than Green who I think is a negative value contract.

One thing Green and Giddey have in common is random bursts of looking like a star. But when Green doesn't look like a star he has been a sharply negative player who scores inefficiently and does nothing else. Giddey at least keeps rebounding and creating.

Ty Jerome signed a 3 year $28 million deal with no player options for the Grizzlies. Not sure where you saw 1 year.

Jrue Holiday didn't only not make all defense last year. He didn't get a single vote for first or second team. His stats went down across the board (pts, rebounds, assists, and efficiency) and he wasn't able to bring back that impact in the playoffs this past post season. People widely questioned Portland making that decision, but then the Sexton deal happened. People are starting to come around that these guys actually just aren't valuable.

I should be clear. I don't think Coby will be getting peanuts next off season. He is a good player and should get paid accordingly. But I think a player of his type that is good but isn't getting all star nods is probably going to be about 4/100 - 4/120 or so.

Not trying to be combative, I just feel the wind is blowing this way given what we are seeing.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#444 » by Dan Z » Fri Jul 4, 2025 7:57 pm

I saw this on the General Board:

Jake Fischer: “Cam Thomas—no—does not really have a market, to my understanding. Josh Giddy also—I think people know what his price tag, he would like it to be. We’ve heard he wants $30 million as well. I don’t see a widespread market for that on the open market right now too.”

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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#445 » by boozapalooza » Fri Jul 4, 2025 9:02 pm

Read on Twitter


Happy 4th yall, first real Giddey negotiation update I’ve seen, from Cowley. He wants the 30M/yr Suggs deal, Bulls not budging yet. I don’t blame Josh for asking, nor do I blame AKME for knowing they don’t have to go there yet.

My guess, he ends up signing 4 years 110 mil (27.5M per)
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#446 » by MisterRoy » Fri Jul 4, 2025 9:14 pm

boozapalooza wrote:
Read on Twitter


Happy 4th yall, first real Giddey negotiation update I’ve seen, from Cowley. He wants the 30M/yr Suggs deal, Bulls not budging yet. I don’t blame Josh for asking, nor do I blame AKME for knowing they don’t have to go there yet.

My guess, he ends up signing 4 years 110 mil (27.5M per)

$30M, huh? Go figure... :wink:
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#447 » by HomoSapien » Fri Jul 4, 2025 9:16 pm

boozapalooza wrote:
Read on Twitter


Happy 4th yall, first real Giddey negotiation update I’ve seen, from Cowley. He wants the 30M/yr Suggs deal, Bulls not budging yet. I don’t blame Josh for asking, nor do I blame AKME for knowing they don’t have to go there yet.

My guess, he ends up signing 4 years 110 mil (27.5M per)


$30m seems to be the magic number. Curious what we are offering and how big the gap is. Wonder if we can close it by offering exactly what he wants but tying it to incentives. I've never been a huge Suggs fan and thing Giddey compares favorably to him.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#448 » by Dez » Fri Jul 4, 2025 9:41 pm

Andi Obst wrote:
Dez wrote:People really not understanding how contract negotiations work?


To be fair, Bulls fans have no experience with a front office that negotiates. This is new.


"Wait? We don't have to immediately offer you 10M more per season than you're worth with no competition? Why didn't anyone tell me that with Patrick Williams? F***!"
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#449 » by MissileMike » Fri Jul 4, 2025 9:41 pm

If (and that's a big if) this is true, then Josh is not delusional at least.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#450 » by Chi town » Fri Jul 4, 2025 10:04 pm

Not a dollar more than 25M per.

I bet AK is at 22
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#451 » by Chi town » Fri Jul 4, 2025 10:06 pm

Dez wrote:
Andi Obst wrote:
Dez wrote:People really not understanding how contract negotiations work?


To be fair, Bulls fans have no experience with a front office that negotiates. This is new.


"Wait? We don't have to immediately offer you 10M more per season than you're worth with no competition? Why didn't anyone tell me that with Patrick Williams? F***!"


Yep.

PW should have gotten the Okoro deal 3/33.

5/90 with a player option is crazy.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#452 » by Dan Z » Fri Jul 4, 2025 10:19 pm

HomoSapien wrote:
boozapalooza wrote:
Read on Twitter


Happy 4th yall, first real Giddey negotiation update I’ve seen, from Cowley. He wants the 30M/yr Suggs deal, Bulls not budging yet. I don’t blame Josh for asking, nor do I blame AKME for knowing they don’t have to go there yet.

My guess, he ends up signing 4 years 110 mil (27.5M per)


$30m seems to be the magic number. Curious what we are offering and how big the gap is. Wonder if we can close it by offering exactly what he wants but tying it to incentives. I've never been a huge Suggs fan and thing Giddey compares favorably to him.


If they cave and give him 30 million a year I hope they get a team option for the last year.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#453 » by HomoSapien » Fri Jul 4, 2025 10:21 pm

Dan Z wrote:
HomoSapien wrote:
boozapalooza wrote:
Read on Twitter


Happy 4th yall, first real Giddey negotiation update I’ve seen, from Cowley. He wants the 30M/yr Suggs deal, Bulls not budging yet. I don’t blame Josh for asking, nor do I blame AKME for knowing they don’t have to go there yet.

My guess, he ends up signing 4 years 110 mil (27.5M per)


$30m seems to be the magic number. Curious what we are offering and how big the gap is. Wonder if we can close it by offering exactly what he wants but tying it to incentives. I've never been a huge Suggs fan and thing Giddey compares favorably to him.


If they cave and give him 30 million a year I hope they get a team option for the last year.


I was saying he gets the $30m based on incentives, I.E - making the playoffs, making the all-star team, starting a certain number of games, etc.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#454 » by Dan Z » Fri Jul 4, 2025 10:22 pm

HomoSapien wrote:
Dan Z wrote:
HomoSapien wrote:
$30m seems to be the magic number. Curious what we are offering and how big the gap is. Wonder if we can close it by offering exactly what he wants but tying it to incentives. I've never been a huge Suggs fan and thing Giddey compares favorably to him.


If they cave and give him 30 million a year I hope they get a team option for the last year.


I was saying he gets the $30m based on incentives, I.E - making the playoffs, making the all-star team, starting a certain number of games, etc.


That might not be so bad.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#455 » by Muzbar » Fri Jul 4, 2025 10:54 pm

Well if Giddeys camp is set on Suggs contract numbers and the Bulls cave, I've been saying this for a while, but I hope the Bulls scale it the same as Suggs as well.

This is what Suggs contract looks like:

2025
$35.0M
2026
$32.4M
2027
$29.6M
2028
$26.8M
2029
$26.7M

5yrs/150.5m
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#456 » by sco » Fri Jul 4, 2025 11:11 pm

Muzbar wrote:Well if Giddeys camp is set on Suggs contract numbers and the Bulls cave, I've been saying this for a while, but I hope the Bulls scale it the same as Suggs as well.

This is what Suggs contract looks like:

2025
$35.0M
2026
$32.4M
2027
$29.6M
2028
$26.8M
2029
$26.7M

5yrs/150.5m

That bothers me less. I'd try to get a TO after year 3 or 4.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#457 » by rosenthall » Sat Jul 5, 2025 2:47 am

Muzbar wrote:Well if Giddeys camp is set on Suggs contract numbers and the Bulls cave, I've been saying this for a while, but I hope the Bulls scale it the same as Suggs as well.

This is what Suggs contract looks like:

2025
$35.0M
2026
$32.4M
2027
$29.6M
2028
$26.8M
2029
$26.7M

5yrs/150.5m


I've said multiple times that the Bulls should insist on a flat or declining contract if they meet Giddey's desired AAV. You could actually decline it even more than this and have his last year be closer to 23-24 million, if I'm not mistaken. A declining contract is a nice insurance policy against his role not working out here. In 2029 the cap should be ~ 220 million, so that last year equates to about 16 million in today's dollars, which is less than what Zach Collins makes.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#458 » by rosenthall » Sat Jul 5, 2025 2:47 am

sco wrote:
Muzbar wrote:Well if Giddeys camp is set on Suggs contract numbers and the Bulls cave, I've been saying this for a while, but I hope the Bulls scale it the same as Suggs as well.

This is what Suggs contract looks like:

2025
$35.0M
2026
$32.4M
2027
$29.6M
2028
$26.8M
2029
$26.7M

5yrs/150.5m

That bothers me less. I'd try to get a TO after year 3 or 4.


Pretty sure a TO is only possible on the last year of a contract, so it'd have to be in year 4 if it's a 5 year contract.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#459 » by Muzbar » Sat Jul 5, 2025 2:56 am

rosenthall wrote:
Muzbar wrote:Well if Giddeys camp is set on Suggs contract numbers and the Bulls cave, I've been saying this for a while, but I hope the Bulls scale it the same as Suggs as well.

This is what Suggs contract looks like:

2025
$35.0M
2026
$32.4M
2027
$29.6M
2028
$26.8M
2029
$26.7M

5yrs/150.5m


I've said multiple times that the Bulls should insist on a flat or declining contract if they meet Giddey's desired AAV. You could actually decline it even more than this and have his last year be closer to 23-24 million, if I'm not mistaken. A declining contract is a nice insurance policy against his role not working out here. In 2029 the cap should be ~ 220 million, so that last year equates to about 16 million in today's dollars, which is less than what Zach Collins makes.

I think a declining scaled contract works in everyone's favour (to a degree). Giddey gets the amount he's after and the Bulls get a contract that gets cheaper each year, making it easier to trade (if they so wish) with each season.

You don't want another Zach situation.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#460 » by rosenthall » Sat Jul 5, 2025 3:16 am

Muzbar wrote:
rosenthall wrote:
Muzbar wrote:Well if Giddeys camp is set on Suggs contract numbers and the Bulls cave, I've been saying this for a while, but I hope the Bulls scale it the same as Suggs as well.

This is what Suggs contract looks like:

2025
$35.0M
2026
$32.4M
2027
$29.6M
2028
$26.8M
2029
$26.7M

5yrs/150.5m


I've said multiple times that the Bulls should insist on a flat or declining contract if they meet Giddey's desired AAV. You could actually decline it even more than this and have his last year be closer to 23-24 million, if I'm not mistaken. A declining contract is a nice insurance policy against his role not working out here. In 2029 the cap should be ~ 220 million, so that last year equates to about 16 million in today's dollars, which is less than what Zach Collins makes.

I think a declining scaled contract works in everyone's favour (to a degree). Giddey gets the amount he's after and the Bulls get a contract that gets cheaper each year, making it easier to trade (if they so wish) with each season.

You don't want another Zach situation.


The biggest risk to having Giddey on a 5 year contract at 30m+ is that we eventually acquire someone else on the team who's better with the ball in his hands, which turns Giddey into Kyle Anderson. But if he declines into ~ 25 million a year he won't be much more than 10% of the cap his final year, which is 5th starter / 6th man money, so it makes the worst outcome a lot more palatable, since I think a lot of teams would still have an interest in Giddey as an insurance policy to their primary playmaker and someone who can lead bench squads.

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