The Toronto Raptors can be a 50 win playoff home team. Here is how.

[wegotthabeet]

I think we're an 82 win team.

Aim higher.

[Jim Todd Jr.]

bro submitted an essay about why were slightly above average but maybe more than slightly if if if

[Axe Dragon]

Damn, I was down on the team before reading that

But f@ck it, let's do it for the wife

Yeah, me too.

I’m rooting for James_Raptors’ wife first and the Raptors second.

Go wife ! ‘Ten+ wins!

… and Raptors. Fifty wins…

Axe


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro no

[LoveMyRaps]

Nvm we’re winning 30 games max

Read on Twitter

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[djsunyc]

Nvm we’re winning 30 games max

Read on Twitter

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that's not this offseason. jakobe cut his hair. he doesn't have that look anymore.

[Thaddy]

I have Walter as the break out candidate. He has the best primary, secondary and even third skill. He can shoot, defender, and handle the ball in spurts. I didn't even mention his foul drawing skills. He has it in him to be a very skilled player due to his wingspan and size.

The next best prospect is probably CMB if he can do what I'm expecting. He'll likely still finish well around the basket and be able to get there. He's going to be a dominant small ball 5 off the bench.

Dick I'm pretty low on. He didn't have a sophomore slump. In order to have a slump you need to be good at one point. He screams of a player that'll max out as a specialist shooter. I am hoping we trade him with RJ to capitalize on their value.

[MoneyBall]

I think we're an 82 win team.

Aim higher.

82 + 16 ?

[MoneyBall]

Nvm we’re winning 30 games max

Read on Twitter

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Lol of course the only white guy can't dance.

[Tha Cynic]

I vibe with this thread. I’m optimistic this team is better than most think it is. I agree we did a lot to lose last year. I think we had players shoot a ton of shots they weren’t good at intentionally. I think we flipped a switch when the losing got too much. Let’s hope it helps them with their progress this season.

[Westside Gunn]

To keep it simple without participating in a statistical orgy about wins and o/d ratings, this is a playoff team.

I dont know how many games they will win during the season, but again this is a playoff team. And that's all that matters for now. IQ + BI need to stay healthy. Scottie Barnes needs to take his game to the next level, and Barrett needs to do what he did last year. Easy playoffs

Enjoy the season.

[WaltFrazier]

I'm going to put my own prediction out there heading into this 2026 NBA season, even though it's ages away (unfortunately).
I have the Raptors at 50-32 with home court advantage in the 1st round.

Here's my break down.

My 50 (ish) win is a bit tongue-in-cheek, but I think we're going to surprise a lot of people, including some in the Nest. And I am not suggesting we're going to be some elite team like 50 wins or more might suggest. First I think , I KNOW we played possum through large portions last season. That's one of the reasons it was one of my least enjoyable Raptors seasons since 1995, and I mean that sincerely. We had acted like an upper echelon NBA franchise for so many years, seeing us intentionally tank in such disgusting methods , I felt it was absolutely unethical and it made me sick to my stomach ( as a die hard old school basketball fan from the 70's).

So not only do I have confidence we had another gear, then you factor in our injuries (legit, stretched out, and fake) and there's potentially another level of play/record. Speaking of injuries, let's talk Brandon Ingram. He instantly becomes one of the better off-season-mid-season acquisitions in the entire NBA, IF he is healthy and plays up to his standards. Do I believe he'll stay healthy? Are you **** nuts? Hell no. But it's one of those quagmire paradox thingies. A healthy Brandon who produces like he should will add wins to this roster. If everything falls into place there will be nights when we look back and say "we won because of Brandon Ingram, he was that dominant". That's the type of player he was (and likely still is). There will be more nights when he will win us games, than cost us a victory. The problem is there will be more nights he sits in street clothes than the other two combined. I Kid , I jest, kind of, sort of.

I could go on about internal growth, how much I feel IQ is undervalued here (by some), why Scottie will look better, how we have the capabilities to be a top 10 defensive team, but I'll just add one last point, and that is, the Eastern Conference is wide open (during the regular season) from #3 on (Cavs will take #1, unless Darius continues to ail and others' fall prey to the injury bug). I have the Knicks at #2. They'll have a full season with KAT and whatever you think of him (especially defensively) he'll be a legit #2 guy and put them in that 55 win category. Brown can do **** in the reg season, not a diss on the coach, just being real here. It's Finals or bust for their team next season, after firing coach Thibs following their first ECF since before Masai joined us (lol). We have a legit chance of being better than Hali/Turner-less Pacers and half-their-team-less-Celtics, and I'm legit serious about that. In fact, I'm quite confident Celtics tank this season (they own their 1st in 2026), and it pisses me off, but that's another story for another Dallas-1st-overall-time.

If healthy I see the Hawks making the largest leap this season in the East (not counting the Raptors). This is coming from someone who can't stand watching (or looking at) Trae Young, everything about him annoys me. That being said I'm HUGE stans for Jalen Johnson and Onyeka Okongwu, basically since they entered the league.Clearly they need to be healthy, which is still a question mark.They added the Unicorn.He's another NBA player I've felt was overhyped (and often injured).Injury will always be an issue with him, but you can't argue that he wins, plays defense, a legit 40% threat from deep (shooting 41.2% last season) and gives the Hawks a legit efficient 20ppg two-way-player.Add in NAW as a defensive specialist theoretically , who shot .38.5% from 3 over the last 223 NBA games, and decent efficiency over that stretch for a SG (.576).I'd consider him a liability on offense, overall though, but with Trae, Porzingis, JJ, 2nd year Risacher and whomever else I'm forgetting, they'll be much improved with GOOD health. Hawks were 18th last season in defense. They'll be top 10 this upcoming season (health). And a 17th on offensive RTG will definitely see a bump (possibly top 10 as well).

Most people would toss Orlando in that upper tier. I'm sold on them defensively, and maybe on offense (by adding Bane, mostly, but mega overpay imo). I was listening to Frank Isola and Brian Scalabrine (don't laugh) on SiriusXM on the road today, and i think they said some goofy stat, like (paraphrasing) "Orlando has had a below NBA average offense for 18 straight seasons", but I may have heard wrong. They may break that streak this season, and they'll need their health (mostly Suggs) and if they ace those, they are above us.

I'm not sold on:
Pistons (low ceiling, no slight on Cunningham), or Duren.They lose THJR (and Malik 7-card-stud Beasley), but re-signed Reed (yawn), added Duncan Robinson and Caris LeVert.Too bad they didn't draft the better Thompson twin. Oh, hold me now.

Philly (No-one in their right mind should trust their health, ever. Have you heard of Paul George Da Third?).

Bucks:
Lillard plays 0 games instead of 58.Kuzma had a -0.7 VORP, 0.18 wS/48, negative defensive and offensive BPM, below average PER and TS for his position. Congratulations on that acquisition, just by being on your team he's made you worse.Say what you will about 36-year old Brook Lopez but he was your 2nd best VORP (next to Lillard), a net positive defender, and positive OBPM, and 2nd most efficient scorer. Thank goodness you basically spent over 200 mill signing (including eating Dame's contract) overrated Myles Turner (yes I typed that).I guess they had to do whatever they could to keep the Freak there.He's not a bad addition, but I believe they'll be worse, and hand-tied, such as it is when you desperately hold off a rebuild, but that's another, you guess it...

...and I think teams like the:

Heat (will need a big trade or they're first round fodder at best)
Bulls (play-in until new upper management?)

Celtics (1st overall pick or play-in , 8th seed-sh fodder)
Pacers are beneath us, at least for one season.

If this was a normal season, without a weak East and without that BI trade, I'd probably have the Raptors at a middling .500 ish team. But the
East is noticeably missing some stars and normally strong teams (lately), and there's a home seed or two up for grabs.

On a side note, and not to get any charity +1's, but I live out in Newfoundland and my wife has been battling inoperable cancer. Her only treatment (forever) is chemotherapy, which she has been doing off and on since last year. She has 10+ tumors and is mostly ben-ridden, so it's been tough on both of us, for different reasons.Well, we were in St.John's, our provincial capital, on Canada Day, as it turns out, and we found out that the specialists reversed their decision, and she is finally eligible for radiation treatment.There was a specific large cancer tumor on her liver that didn't respond to chemotherapy and has continued to grow.It mostly causes her to be bed-ridden most of the time, so finding out we have a new weapon in the proverbial arsenal was more uplifting than I could ever adequately put into words on RealGM.

Well, long story short, we love the Raptors dearly, and have been fans of hoops decades before Toronto (where I was born) obtained their franchise. We used to go to their road games, and recently before the Pandemic, we were in Indiana, Philly, Florida, and so on. They're the only sport we're both into , and the Raptors long surpassed hockey in our household, but I digress, again. And I'm likely using my wife's positive news at the hospital to create added hype and positive predictions when it comes to our favorite franchise, the Toronto Raptors. I am sticking to my guns though, as delusional as I may sound to some, I think we're in a bit of a weird spot in a very unlucky/lucky Eastern Conference. We have the capabilities of being lotto-to-play-in if bad stuff happens (BI continues to get injured every 3seconds, CMB shoots 11.2%.,Scottie knocks up lady #2,IQ no longer stands for intelligence quotient and RJ has to be packaged with "sweetener" if traded) or a legit threat to at least win round 1 of the playoffs and maybe more if we're lucky with seeding and health.

So I had to make a choice. Do I choose the likely, which is at least some injuries and either meander into a 1st round match-up, likely lose and end 2026 that way. Or things go much further south, and injuries only tell one half the story.We're in the lottery and questions who the heck we even are at that point.Boy that sounds like fun!(not).Whether that's legit practical or not, it doesn't seem enjoyable at all.So I was feeling good and in a better place in our lives, and that probably played a role in my version of heads, tails,spin-the-bottle- season, I decided I'll go ahead and put myself out there and go with a really high end optimistic approach to the 2025 Toronto Raptors NBA season.I stand firm on 50-32!

We can agree on one thing, even though we're heading into the Dog Days of Summer, this 2025 is going to be one hell of an upcoming NBA season, with the Raptors stories and all the incoming draft picks.Let's kick off Summer League and have a blast!


This is all in good fun. Let's go Raptors!
What is your predictions, if you have any yet?

(below: yes this is me, during the 2019 season, at COSTCO 6'7 dude, super hyped over our Raptors, days before we played Golden State. These were random people my wife and I met. Everyone wanted to get a picture with the weird giant Raptor dinosaur man child, being a goofball)

I think every member of the board should make their own thread like this, with a personal anecdote, pic, and long detailed analysis/prediction for the season.

[MiamiSPX]

I'll ride you with at 50-32.

I've been mostly down on our dog shyt roster the last 3 years but I see us as being so much deeper this year. Our bench minutes would always kill us. As I've mentioned before, we had too many guys where we already knew they had no business being in the NBA (Flynn, OPJ, Thad, etc) Contrast that with this season where we will have so many young guys competing for minutes. I foresee some healthy competition, making our bench one of our strengths.

The East is pretty bad still IMO. A (relatively) healthy BI, and a strong season from Barnes, and we're right there.

[djsunyc]

some guys on the ringer said that detroit and the sixers are sure fire better than us. they also said milwaukee is too. other teams were knicks, cavs, magic and atlanta. if everything goes right, they think .500.

[wegotthabeet]

I think we're an 82 win team.

Aim higher.

82 + 16 ?

Higher!

[Merit]

We only lost Chris Boucher this offseason…. (Whose barely a subtraction because he didn’t really play last year)

While adding: Ingram, CMB, Martin, and Mamu

It ain’t rocket science - we got a lot more firepower, our young guys are bound to take the next step, and the East is gonna be extremely weak next season.

I think we’ll be pretty good next season. Could easily see us being a 50 win team. But we need to be healthy and need at least 65-70 games from Ingram.

I agree, we're definitely in the running (for sure in the East) as one of those Most Improved Record, type of teams. I do believe some of that is deceiving (deliberate tanking last season and BI played 0 games even though he was technically on our roster post trade deadline).My 50 win season was definitely one of those best case scenario type of deals.But Who else picked The #1 and #2 seeds to miss the ECF when the playoffs started this year, or all these career and franchise altering major injuries all at once, in the same conference? At the very least, the door is (more) open, and as others are depleted of talent, we'll be adding and hopefully (wishfully thinking) healthier.It just so happens, the #3 and #4 seeds made the finals.Guess which seeds I'm referring to in my original post?Bingo.

Ya just never know, and as long as the door is open even a tinier bit more, I'm pushing the dang thing open!

Optimism is the only way. I wish your wife health, your family peace and the raptors a 50+ win season. In that order.

Kudos to you for going through it and doing your best every day.

[Merit]

my formula for next season

8-10th best drtg
15-18th best ortg
= 45 wins

Let’s aim for more! I see you dj!

[Merit]

Here's why I think this is a 40-win team.

1) Defence
I don't buy the defensive resurgence from the second half of the season. The quality of the opponents fell off a cliff and the 2nd rated defence (post All-Star Break) was paired with the 5th worst offence in the league. My belief is that the defence looked better with 2nd-string and G League players fighting for their lives against similarly skilled teams. On top of that, opposing teams shot a league-worst 33.2% from three - a full percentage point lower than the next best three-point defence. That, to me, is largely based on shooting variance and not anything special that they achieved as a team.

2) Availability
Last season highlighted how this team cannot survive an injury to any of the starters. If Poeltl goes down for any significant stretch of time, I don't see how this team plays even .500 basketball. The injury history of Quickley and Ingram, in particular, would suggest that we should expect some lost time. Who steps up behind that? This team may have depth, but it is theoretical depth based on potential. If someone steps up, that's great, but the probability is that they may fall short of the starting standards.

3) Top-end Talent
We need Scottie Barnes or Brandon Ingram to play at an All-Star / All-NBA level to be a confirmed playoff team. I'm skeptical of whether they can hit that level, but only time will tell.

Fair points. My counterpoint:

We were tanking and still had the second rated defence. If we can get there playing guys who aren’t in the league rn, then we can use similar principles to our advantage in the early season.

Offensively, we have yet to see IQ/RJ/BI/Scottie/Jak play even one minute together.

Our bench is better because of internal growth and because we added two “dawgs” in CMB and Martin.

Our coach is a tbd, but is finally allowed to play to win. Darko has done exceptionally well with creating a team environment, being likeable in a lost season, keeping morale high and of course, player development.

We have options to move in trade.

We have one of the most talented summer league rosters in our history and the makings of an 11/10 bench mob.

While Poeltl is a major part of our team, we finally have a non-g-league backup option in Mamu and we have other players who can play spot minutes at the 5.

BI’s injury history has been a concern, but we have one of the best, if not the best medical teams in the league. As for IQ - his injuries were tank related imo - but if nothing else were freak injuries.

Our depth is not theoretical. We have positional versatility so even if say IQ goes down as the pg we still have Scottie, BI, RJ and Shead who can initiate the offense. Similarly, we have at least one NBA quality player to back up our starters. Iq/shead; RJ/Ochai; BI/gradey; Scottie/Mogbo; Jak/Mamu. After those dudes we still have Jakobe and cmb and that’s before the deep bench.

I’m optimistic - because if history has proven anything about the raptors it’s that their whole is always greater than the sum of their parts.

[Appostis]

I really hope so.

The media keeps nailing them as a 10-8 seed at best...I thought they had a chance at 6#.

[JB7]

Nvm we’re winning 30 games max

Read on Twitter

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Lol of course the only white guy can't dance.

Look at Darko getting into it, in the back though

[JB7]

I'm going to put my own prediction out there heading into this 2026 NBA season, even though it's ages away (unfortunately).
I have the Raptors at 50-32 with home court advantage in the 1st round.

Here's my break down.

My 50 (ish) win is a bit tongue-in-cheek, but I think we're going to surprise a lot of people, including some in the Nest. And I am not suggesting we're going to be some elite team like 50 wins or more might suggest. First I think , I KNOW we played possum through large portions last season. That's one of the reasons it was one of my least enjoyable Raptors seasons since 1995, and I mean that sincerely. We had acted like an upper echelon NBA franchise for so many years, seeing us intentionally tank in such disgusting methods , I felt it was absolutely unethical and it made me sick to my stomach ( as a die hard old school basketball fan from the 70's).

So not only do I have confidence we had another gear, then you factor in our injuries (legit, stretched out, and fake) and there's potentially another level of play/record. Speaking of injuries, let's talk Brandon Ingram. He instantly becomes one of the better off-season-mid-season acquisitions in the entire NBA, IF he is healthy and plays up to his standards. Do I believe he'll stay healthy? Are you **** nuts? Hell no. But it's one of those quagmire paradox thingies. A healthy Brandon who produces like he should will add wins to this roster. If everything falls into place there will be nights when we look back and say "we won because of Brandon Ingram, he was that dominant". That's the type of player he was (and likely still is). There will be more nights when he will win us games, than cost us a victory. The problem is there will be more nights he sits in street clothes than the other two combined. I Kid , I jest, kind of, sort of.

I could go on about internal growth, how much I feel IQ is undervalued here (by some), why Scottie will look better, how we have the capabilities to be a top 10 defensive team, but I'll just add one last point, and that is, the Eastern Conference is wide open (during the regular season) from #3 on (Cavs will take #1, unless Darius continues to ail and others' fall prey to the injury bug). I have the Knicks at #2. They'll have a full season with KAT and whatever you think of him (especially defensively) he'll be a legit #2 guy and put them in that 55 win category. Brown can do **** in the reg season, not a diss on the coach, just being real here. It's Finals or bust for their team next season, after firing coach Thibs following their first ECF since before Masai joined us (lol). We have a legit chance of being better than Hali/Turner-less Pacers and half-their-team-less-Celtics, and I'm legit serious about that. In fact, I'm quite confident Celtics tank this season (they own their 1st in 2026), and it pisses me off, but that's another story for another Dallas-1st-overall-time.

If healthy I see the Hawks making the largest leap this season in the East (not counting the Raptors). This is coming from someone who can't stand watching (or looking at) Trae Young, everything about him annoys me. That being said I'm HUGE stans for Jalen Johnson and Onyeka Okongwu, basically since they entered the league.Clearly they need to be healthy, which is still a question mark.They added the Unicorn.He's another NBA player I've felt was overhyped (and often injured).Injury will always be an issue with him, but you can't argue that he wins, plays defense, a legit 40% threat from deep (shooting 41.2% last season) and gives the Hawks a legit efficient 20ppg two-way-player.Add in NAW as a defensive specialist theoretically , who shot .38.5% from 3 over the last 223 NBA games, and decent efficiency over that stretch for a SG (.576).I'd consider him a liability on offense, overall though, but with Trae, Porzingis, JJ, 2nd year Risacher and whomever else I'm forgetting, they'll be much improved with GOOD health. Hawks were 18th last season in defense. They'll be top 10 this upcoming season (health). And a 17th on offensive RTG will definitely see a bump (possibly top 10 as well).

Most people would toss Orlando in that upper tier. I'm sold on them defensively, and maybe on offense (by adding Bane, mostly, but mega overpay imo). I was listening to Frank Isola and Brian Scalabrine (don't laugh) on SiriusXM on the road today, and i think they said some goofy stat, like (paraphrasing) "Orlando has had a below NBA average offense for 18 straight seasons", but I may have heard wrong. They may break that streak this season, and they'll need their health (mostly Suggs) and if they ace those, they are above us.

I'm not sold on:
Pistons (low ceiling, no slight on Cunningham), or Duren.They lose THJR (and Malik 7-card-stud Beasley), but re-signed Reed (yawn), added Duncan Robinson and Caris LeVert.Too bad they didn't draft the better Thompson twin. Oh, hold me now.

Philly (No-one in their right mind should trust their health, ever. Have you heard of Paul George Da Third?).

Bucks:
Lillard plays 0 games instead of 58.Kuzma had a -0.7 VORP, 0.18 wS/48, negative defensive and offensive BPM, below average PER and TS for his position. Congratulations on that acquisition, just by being on your team he's made you worse.Say what you will about 36-year old Brook Lopez but he was your 2nd best VORP (next to Lillard), a net positive defender, and positive OBPM, and 2nd most efficient scorer. Thank goodness you basically spent over 200 mill signing (including eating Dame's contract) overrated Myles Turner (yes I typed that).I guess they had to do whatever they could to keep the Freak there.He's not a bad addition, but I believe they'll be worse, and hand-tied, such as it is when you desperately hold off a rebuild, but that's another, you guess it...

...and I think teams like the:

Heat (will need a big trade or they're first round fodder at best)
Bulls (play-in until new upper management?)

Celtics (1st overall pick or play-in , 8th seed-sh fodder)
Pacers are beneath us, at least for one season.

If this was a normal season, without a weak East and without that BI trade, I'd probably have the Raptors at a middling .500 ish team. But the
East is noticeably missing some stars and normally strong teams (lately), and there's a home seed or two up for grabs.

On a side note, and not to get any charity +1's, but I live out in Newfoundland and my wife has been battling inoperable cancer. Her only treatment (forever) is chemotherapy, which she has been doing off and on since last year. She has 10+ tumors and is mostly ben-ridden, so it's been tough on both of us, for different reasons.Well, we were in St.John's, our provincial capital, on Canada Day, as it turns out, and we found out that the specialists reversed their decision, and she is finally eligible for radiation treatment.There was a specific large cancer tumor on her liver that didn't respond to chemotherapy and has continued to grow.It mostly causes her to be bed-ridden most of the time, so finding out we have a new weapon in the proverbial arsenal was more uplifting than I could ever adequately put into words on RealGM.

Well, long story short, we love the Raptors dearly, and have been fans of hoops decades before Toronto (where I was born) obtained their franchise. We used to go to their road games, and recently before the Pandemic, we were in Indiana, Philly, Florida, and so on. They're the only sport we're both into , and the Raptors long surpassed hockey in our household, but I digress, again. And I'm likely using my wife's positive news at the hospital to create added hype and positive predictions when it comes to our favorite franchise, the Toronto Raptors. I am sticking to my guns though, as delusional as I may sound to some, I think we're in a bit of a weird spot in a very unlucky/lucky Eastern Conference. We have the capabilities of being lotto-to-play-in if bad stuff happens (BI continues to get injured every 3seconds, CMB shoots 11.2%.,Scottie knocks up lady #2,IQ no longer stands for intelligence quotient and RJ has to be packaged with "sweetener" if traded) or a legit threat to at least win round 1 of the playoffs and maybe more if we're lucky with seeding and health.

So I had to make a choice. Do I choose the likely, which is at least some injuries and either meander into a 1st round match-up, likely lose and end 2026 that way. Or things go much further south, and injuries only tell one half the story.We're in the lottery and questions who the heck we even are at that point.Boy that sounds like fun!(not).Whether that's legit practical or not, it doesn't seem enjoyable at all.So I was feeling good and in a better place in our lives, and that probably played a role in my version of heads, tails,spin-the-bottle- season, I decided I'll go ahead and put myself out there and go with a really high end optimistic approach to the 2025 Toronto Raptors NBA season.I stand firm on 50-32!

We can agree on one thing, even though we're heading into the Dog Days of Summer, this 2025 is going to be one hell of an upcoming NBA season, with the Raptors stories and all the incoming draft picks.Let's kick off Summer League and have a blast!


This is all in good fun. Let's go Raptors!
What is your predictions, if you have any yet?

(below: yes this is me, during the 2019 season, at COSTCO 6'7 dude, super hyped over our Raptors, days before we played Golden State. These were random people my wife and I met. Everyone wanted to get a picture with the weird giant Raptor dinosaur man child, being a goofball)

Wishing your wife and family the best of luck. Keep the positive vibes going!