deck wrote:ConSarnit wrote:tsherkin wrote:
I think at some point, we just need to accept that this is what we've got, and see where we go from here. We've been dog-ass for a while now, so we have to hope we'll be healthy for a bit. Enjoy some > .500 seasons and some playoff games. Then see what management can do to extend that run and better the team.
We can't just always be less than thrilled with everything, because we already know from years and decades of the sport that there are ebbs and flows, and that rebuilding is a process which relies heavily upon luck. And yes, sometimes you pull the trigger too quickly, but ultimately, you can't expect a fan base to back you if you just suck ass forever and pray for picks to turn out.
The issue is that we’ve constructed a team where there is no guarantee we make the playoffs. The play-in, sure. If Ingrams health doesn’t hold up (not a great bet) we’re a low 40’s win team fighting for the 8th seed. We’ve seemingly built a team with limited upside that feels like a team that will have to be rebuilt in 2-3 years after we’ve accomplished very little. The idea that we can be the “6th seed” is great but it’s coming at a time when the East is extremely down. Earning the 6th seed this season should not really be a feather in anyone’s cap given how the East’s upper echelon has been destroyed by injury. The core of this team feels like one of a team that will easily get supplanted in the standings once the likes of IND, BOS and PHI (a big maybe) return to health.
Now, I say this as someone who doesn’t really care about the fanbase. I want to compete for titles. I get that the organization/ownership might have other goals. If those goals are building a 1st round and out team for the sake of maintaining fan interest then I am not going to be very supportive of that model.
You are making a silly mistake by assuming that we exit the rebuild as a future contender, or we will have to rebuild again.
2019 and plenty of other teams recently have shown that this kind of a predetermination of a team's future outcomes is a fallacy.
Us achieving 6th seed doesn't need to be a feather in our cap; it can be a means for us to improve the value of our roster so that we are in a better to make future trades.
The notion that you must exit a rebuild with a roster so talented that future contention is assured is terrible way to build a franchise.
Plenty of other teams? Like who?
Every title winning team has had an MVP level player on it. We don’t have anyone on this team that projects to being even close to that.
This idea that we can trade for a star is perhaps the least reasonable take of all. The Kawhi trade is an anomaly in the history of the league. No small-mid market team has ever been able to pull off a similar trade. The idea that we can put ourselves in a position to trade for a true #1 is not based in any type of reality. The trade landscape has changed massively and we are nowhere near the drivers seat. There are multiple teams with superior asset bases. There are multiple teams with superior asset bases who also play in major markets. The Giannis “dream” was largely based around his connection to Masai, who is no longer with the team.
Consider the following when acting as a proponent of trading for a star: in 2026 or 2026 some combination of the Lakers, Clippers, Heat and Nets will have max cap space. Now consider the asset base of other “desirable” markets like HOU and SAS which are equal to or better than ours. Then consider teams like OKC or UTA who clearly have better asset bases in a trade for a star. When we traded for Kawhi in 2018 none of these conditions existed. The competition level and price has gone up massively in trades. We have not done anything to build that base in comparison to other teams. If a major free agent hits the trade market (or free agency) over the next 2-3 years we are nowhere close to being in a position to make the best offer.
You need an MVP level player to win a title. You can get one three ways: draft, trade, free agency. Free agency is never going to happen. I just outlined why we are not in a good position to trade for one in a post-AD/PG trade world where prices have skyrocketed. That leaves the draft. Finding those high level players is more tenable outside the top 10 but it’s still a long shot. We basically have NO shot when it comes to trade/free agency.
If we are hoping to pull off another Kawhi level trade to return to contention we have not put ourselves in position to do so given how the trade landscape has changed. This doesn’t even touch on the fact that we completely half-assed our rebuild in the first place, which has been litigated to death.
You do not have to exit a rebuild with a roster assured of contention. There is no guarantee of great outcomes in a rebuild. BUT you do need to exit it in a better spot than having the 13th and 9th picks after missing the playoffs 3 years in a row. Or having key pieces returned being (likely) overpaid mid-tier players (RJ and IQ). Or your best player being on a 2 year deal (Ingram). These are poor outcomes from not making the playoffs for 3 straight years.