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Josh Giddey Thread 2.0

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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1361 » by sco » Sun Aug 3, 2025 1:03 pm

2weekswithpay wrote:
Infinity2152 wrote:
2weekswithpay wrote:
Elite numbers and generating elite offense aren't the same. Giddey and Coby had career best stretches post-ASB, yet the Bulls were only an average offense during that time.

Giddey costing half as much is whatever IMO. Paying double is worth it for elite 1st or 2nd options.

Statistical production no, but Curry's on-court impact surpasses both Giddey and Bridges combined IMO. Hence, I'm taking Curry over Giddey and Bridges.

Giddey might be a better contract than Murray, but I wouldn't consider him a better player. Murray isn't elite, but he can play off Jokic in ways that Giddey can't largely due to the difference in shooting ability. The Lakers don't need a PG. Lebron and now Luka initiate the offense, so the Lakers don't need a starting level PG.

If Giddey is the 3rd or 4th best player, you're probably looking to trade him like OKC did. Giddey's game isn't built to be the 3rd or 4th best player on a contender.


OKC? The team that just paid Caruso $20 mill to come off the bench? Did they ask him to be the third or fourth best player on a contender for $20 mill? Somehow they can survive paying Caruso $20 mill and win a championship, but anything over $22 mill for Giddey dooms the Bulls to failure. Giddey's game isn't built to run with another primary point guard, how about that being a bigger factor? He' a PG, SGA is a PG. They don't need two starting PG's who need the ball. Caruso comes off the bench and is effective without scoring or assists. OKC didn't need that. We do.

So you're going to build your team with all elite options? Explain how you'd afford that. 5 $50-$60 mill players better than Giddey? $250 mill in the starting lineup. Murray doesn't pass like Giddey, never came close to the assist ratio. I look for passing from my point guards more than scoring, so I give the edge to Giddey, especially at the same age. Giddey also far out rebounds Murray, which helps the team and has to count. Better shooter, works better with Jokic than Giddey would sure, would not be better if he needed to lead the team in assists and run the offense, imo. Jokic makes him viable as a starter on a contender. He averages less than 5 assists per game, didn't have a season with even 5 his first 5 years.

I said Curry was legendary. So is Doncic and probably SGA. Now let's talk about the other 12 guys in the top 15 that are not going to outproduce Giddey and Bridges on a contender. Lillard. Kyrie. Haliburton. You're severely underrating Giddey's and Bridges impact playing a combined 70 minutes a game vs Lillard playing 35 minutes and a $3 mill vet min player playing 35 minutes in Bridges place. If we're going to focus on how much salary matters, it matters all around. You don't get to be $40 mill over the cap and compare value of players. If we're paying what the Warriors were paying in luxury tax, we could add $180 mill to $25 mill Giddey, lmao! He could be the fifth highest paid player.


I don't even think Caruso's contract is good, but they don't have any issue giving it to him because SGA, Jalen Williams, and Chet are outplaying their contracts. Same reason for them paying Hartenstein almost 30M. Giddey's game isn't built to run next to most good offensive players, regardless of their position. Most star players need the ball as well as good court spacing. Giddey isn't suited for that role, and you aren't taking the ball out of Tatum's hands so Giddey can run the offense.

I never said I'd build a team of elite options, and I don't know how you got to that conclusion.

Star players generally need scoring/shooting next to them. They draw so much attention from defense and need teammates who are capable of taking advantage of that attention. Giddey doesn't excel in this role while Murray does. I don't care about leading the team in assists. Neither Giddey nor Murray is running an elite offense.

Haliburton and Kyrie were worth their contracts pre-injury at least, and both are only getting paid 40-45M. I'd rather have Kyrie/Haliburton and the extra money over those Giddey and Bridges. Dame sure those two are worth more than him, but his days as an All-NBA level talent are done.

Also, I don't think the Pacers would make the finals if you swapped Haliburton with Giddey and Bridges. Same with the Kyrie and the Mavs last season.

I don't think I'm underrating Giddey and Bridges. I don't think those two at 63M is a steal, I'd rather have Curry at 60M or Haliburton at 45M.

The discussion gets to the concept of team building. Traditionally, most teams are built around a #1 option who is good enough to get his scoring with a very high degree of efficiency against double-teams...those guys like Curry, Luka and SGA are worth $60M because they do so much for the rest of the team in terms of efficiency and are so potent offensively, you can have 1 guy on the floor who is a more defensively oriented guy without out much negative impact on offense. Then you start adding complementary pieces around that guy. The problem with our strategy, unless we totally luck out with Matas becoming a guy like that, is that we are being to pay complementary guys like Giddey and Coby without a sense of the player that we are building around or what are the right sort of skills that are needed.

A different perspective is needed with guys like Caruso. When teams thing they are 1 player away from a contending team, that player becomes worth more than his market value to that team in terms of trade compensation to get him and what to pay him.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1362 » by kodo » Mon Aug 4, 2025 8:18 pm

$57M per year for Fox.
23 ppg 6 apg with 31% 3P shooting. Not exceptional defense either way (positive or negative).

Going to be an interesting salary comp for both Giddey & White.

Also another 2026 FA off the market, as expected.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1363 » by sco » Mon Aug 4, 2025 8:25 pm

kodo wrote:$57M per year for Fox.
23 ppg 6 apg with 31% 3P shooting. Not exceptional defense either way (positive or negative).

Going to be an interesting salary comp for both Giddey & White.

Also another 2026 FA off the market, as expected.

I get the sense that SA signed him to get future trade value. It will be interesting what they are able to get for him on that deal.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1364 » by Evil_Headband » Mon Aug 4, 2025 8:58 pm

sco wrote:
kodo wrote:$57M per year for Fox.
23 ppg 6 apg with 31% 3P shooting. Not exceptional defense either way (positive or negative).

Going to be an interesting salary comp for both Giddey & White.

Also another 2026 FA off the market, as expected.

I get the sense that SA signed him to get future trade value. It will be interesting what they are able to get for him on that deal.


If he shoots poorly from 3 again, he could quickly have negative value. I wonder what his usage will be if the key guys are all healthy.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1365 » by Dominator83 » Mon Aug 4, 2025 10:33 pm

sco wrote:
kodo wrote:$57M per year for Fox.
23 ppg 6 apg with 31% 3P shooting. Not exceptional defense either way (positive or negative).

Going to be an interesting salary comp for both Giddey & White.

Also another 2026 FA off the market, as expected.

I get the sense that SA signed him to get future trade value. It will be interesting what they are able to get for him on that deal.

That will be a negative value contract this time next summer
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1366 » by meekrab » Mon Aug 4, 2025 10:51 pm

Dominator83 wrote:
sco wrote:
kodo wrote:$57M per year for Fox.
23 ppg 6 apg with 31% 3P shooting. Not exceptional defense either way (positive or negative).

Going to be an interesting salary comp for both Giddey & White.

Also another 2026 FA off the market, as expected.

I get the sense that SA signed him to get future trade value. It will be interesting what they are able to get for him on that deal.

That will be a negative value contract this time next summer

It's a negative value contract today, the question is will it even be positive value when he's expiring.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1367 » by MGB8 » Tue Aug 5, 2025 4:26 am

Just found an arguable parallel to Giddey who gives me some hope that a plus team can be constructed around him as the point - Deron Williams and the Jazz. It was a different NBA, and Williams was a pure PG rather than a point forward, you have a player who was an elite passer, a good but not great scorer, and meh on D. Giddey is currently worse, but there were flashes last season that suggested that he could claw his way up to passable - good enough on forwards and not a complete liability vs. guards (but that wasn’t consistent/ sustained).

Jazz had a lot of well rounded talent - AK47, Okur, Millsap, Korver, Boozer, and more - but bottom line is that they were a consistently good (non great) team built around a guy who may well be similarly talented to Giddey.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1368 » by dougthonus » Tue Aug 5, 2025 11:24 am

kodo wrote:$57M per year for Fox.
23 ppg 6 apg with 31% 3P shooting. Not exceptional defense either way (positive or negative).

Going to be an interesting salary comp for both Giddey & White.

Also another 2026 FA off the market, as expected.


This is kind of like seeing someone overpay for a Porsche and then going I wonder how it will impact the price of a Corolla.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1369 » by Ice Man » Tue Aug 5, 2025 1:42 pm

dougthonus wrote:This is kind of like seeing someone overpay for a Porsche and then going I wonder how it will impact the price of a Corolla.


Fox is a tertiary player. A Camry at best. That's a huge overpay for him, but I understand, this is the Spurs' long-term strategy and then had no choice but to pay to keep him.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1370 » by dougthonus » Tue Aug 5, 2025 2:01 pm

Ice Man wrote:
dougthonus wrote:This is kind of like seeing someone overpay for a Porsche and then going I wonder how it will impact the price of a Corolla.


Fox is a tertiary player. A Camry at best. That's a huge overpay for him, but I understand, this is the Spurs' long-term strategy and then had no choice but to pay to keep him.


He was all NBA 3rd team a couple years ago and led the Kings to the 3rd seed in the West as the best player. He's a plus NBA athlete and has a history of being ultra clutch when the defense locks in on him and still generate good shots / success. On high leverage moments he can play both ends of the floor.

He is coming off a down year, but he's been a 20+ PER guy in 5 of the past 7 years and is entering his athletic peak. I don't think he's a no brainer max guy by any stretch, but I definitely get it. People pay for what you can do at your peak in high leverage moments.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1371 » by Chi town » Tue Aug 5, 2025 2:34 pm

https://youtube.com/shorts/DvF_BSGZHYk?si=l92rPBRBbr3jR8q9

That 3 ball though.

With that 3 I’d take the QO
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1372 » by Jcool0 » Tue Aug 5, 2025 2:58 pm

dougthonus wrote:
Ice Man wrote:
dougthonus wrote:This is kind of like seeing someone overpay for a Porsche and then going I wonder how it will impact the price of a Corolla.


Fox is a tertiary player. A Camry at best. That's a huge overpay for him, but I understand, this is the Spurs' long-term strategy and then had no choice but to pay to keep him.


He was all NBA 3rd team a couple years ago and led the Kings to the 3rd seed in the West as the best player. He's a plus NBA athlete and has a history of being ultra clutch when the defense locks in on him and still generate good shots / success. On high leverage moments he can play both ends of the floor.

He is coming off a down year, but he's been a 20+ PER guy in 5 of the past 7 years and is entering his athletic peak. I don't think he's a no brainer max guy by any stretch, but I definitely get it. People pay for what you can do at your peak in high leverage moments.


What does what he did 3 years ago have to do with him now? He has gotten worse every year since then. FWIW when they had the 3rd seed & he was the best player, they lost in round 1 to the 6th seed GS & in the deciding game he shot 26% and had 5 turnovers and the Kings lost by 20. He is now on a team with two other players that will eat into his minutes. If they made a promise to resign him i can somewhat understand but outside of that it was a dumb move to give him big money.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1373 » by sco » Tue Aug 5, 2025 3:08 pm

Jcool0 wrote:
dougthonus wrote:
Ice Man wrote:
Fox is a tertiary player. A Camry at best. That's a huge overpay for him, but I understand, this is the Spurs' long-term strategy and then had no choice but to pay to keep him.


He was all NBA 3rd team a couple years ago and led the Kings to the 3rd seed in the West as the best player. He's a plus NBA athlete and has a history of being ultra clutch when the defense locks in on him and still generate good shots / success. On high leverage moments he can play both ends of the floor.

He is coming off a down year, but he's been a 20+ PER guy in 5 of the past 7 years and is entering his athletic peak. I don't think he's a no brainer max guy by any stretch, but I definitely get it. People pay for what you can do at your peak in high leverage moments.


What does what he did 3 years ago have to do with him now? He has gotten worse every year since then. FWIW when they had the 3rd seed & he was the best player, they lost in round 1 to the 6th seed GS & in the deciding game he shot 26% and had 5 turnovers and the Kings lost by 20. He is now on a team with two other players that will eat into his minutes. If they made a promise to resign him i can somewhat understand but outside of that it was a dumb move to give him big money.

Should it matter what he did 3 years ago for his current deal? No

That said, guys who were ALLSTARS in recent years and are still in their prime get MAX deals. Teams would rather risk dumping the inflated contract than losing the guy for nothing.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1374 » by waffle » Tue Aug 5, 2025 3:10 pm

he's been pretty meh of late...3 years is a long time
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1375 » by nomorezorro » Tue Aug 5, 2025 3:12 pm

as a giddey skeptic i think there is a decent (20%?) chance that josh giddey is a more valuable player than de'aaron fox over the next 4 years
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1376 » by nomorezorro » Tue Aug 5, 2025 3:13 pm

fox's all star year is looking a lot like luol deng 06-07 season
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1377 » by MrSparkle » Tue Aug 5, 2025 3:22 pm

Jcool0 wrote:
dougthonus wrote:
Ice Man wrote:
Fox is a tertiary player. A Camry at best. That's a huge overpay for him, but I understand, this is the Spurs' long-term strategy and then had no choice but to pay to keep him.


He was all NBA 3rd team a couple years ago and led the Kings to the 3rd seed in the West as the best player. He's a plus NBA athlete and has a history of being ultra clutch when the defense locks in on him and still generate good shots / success. On high leverage moments he can play both ends of the floor.

He is coming off a down year, but he's been a 20+ PER guy in 5 of the past 7 years and is entering his athletic peak. I don't think he's a no brainer max guy by any stretch, but I definitely get it. People pay for what you can do at your peak in high leverage moments.


What does what he did 3 years ago have to do with him now? He has gotten worse every year since then. FWIW when they had the 3rd seed & he was the best player, they lost in round 1 to the 6th seed GS & in the deciding game he shot 26% and had 5 turnovers and the Kings lost by 20. He is now on a team with two other players that will eat into his minutes. If they made a promise to resign him i can somewhat understand but outside of that it was a dumb move to give him big money.


You’re cherry-picking 1 bad closing game? He averaged 27/5/8/2 in that series (against the reigning champs), and had a (good) playoff PER of 18.9. Kings might’ve had the better record, but they were the underdogs. It was 2Y ago, but the mediocre Kings roster just kept declining in a conference with 12 good teams.

Harper and Castle are behind Fox on the depth chart. It’s a wonderful luxury having 3 two-way PGs.

Harper will need time, too. Wemby’s ready for a run in May. Maxing Fox was a no-brainer, short of trying to see what happens next. He would easily get a max offer on next year’s open market.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1378 » by Ice Man » Tue Aug 5, 2025 3:25 pm

Fox scores about the same amount as Zach LaVine with MUCH lower efficiency, gets 3 assists more per game, and has similar defensive statistics (DBPM). OK I should have called Fox "secondary," because that's what Zach is. They're equivalent players.

The bottom line is that you can spend collect as many of those guys as you like, and you're not winning a damn thing. That ain't a Porsche.
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1379 » by Red Larrivee » Tue Aug 5, 2025 3:27 pm

If the Bulls traded multiple firsts for Fox and paid him nearly 60M, we'd be having a meltdown right now. He's a good player, but I don't see how average offensive efficiency for a player who's largely valued for his offense justifies the price tag.

I don't think that's a Porsche. Maybe a Camaro or a Charger?
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Re: Josh Giddey Thread 2.0 

Post#1380 » by Jcool0 » Tue Aug 5, 2025 3:29 pm

nomorezorro wrote:fox's all star year is looking a lot like luol deng 06-07 season


Deng was a pretty consistent player throughout his career in 06-07 he averaged 18/7/2.5. From 08-13 he averaged 16.5/6.4/2.5. He was more an all around player then scorer and thanks to the Bulls winning he got some All Star appearances. Fox is more when he was the #1 option, he could put up big scoring numbers but when he isn't the top guy he doesn't bring much to make up for it.

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