midranger wrote:midranger wrote:If you want to place a surrogate bet on the Bucks having a great year, that Doc bet is the best value. The media adores him. The media thinks we’ll be crap. The media will be talking about Doc willing the Bucks to wins despite not having Dame. A good redemption story narrative. All the extraneous things that go in to those votes would be in his favor.
Bucks win 50+ and he’s 50/50 to win that award.
80-1 is wild.
I’m thinking more about this.
They have us at 12-1 to win our division. That means more wins than the Cavs, so let’s just say they regress and were able to win it with only 52 wins.
To get to 80-1, you’d have to assume that assuming the above scenario plays out, Doc is still only about a 7-1 odds to win COTY.
That line just seems way off. If you’re a Bucks believer, it’s pretty juicy.
It's probably a blind spot for me because I'm more familiar with a certain subset of the awards voters, but the guys that I read and listen to that get to vote on these things are folks that I would say like Doc a lot as a person but would never ever ever vote for him to be COTY. Barring him becoming a completely different coach, I think we could get the 1 seed and a lot of voters still wouldn't seriously consider him. But like I said, it's probably a blindspot for me where I'm not really considering the likes of the Stephen A Smith's and such that would definitely vote for him.