A false dilemma, also referred to as false dichotomy or false binary, is an informal fallacy based on a premise that erroneously limits what options are available. The source of the fallacy lies not in an invalid form of inference but in a false premise. - Wikipedia
We've all heard the terms "floor-raiser" and "ceiling-raiser" thrown around online to describe NBA players and their impact on the game. A floor-raiser helps to elevate a lesser group of talent by taking on a larger burden, role, and responsibility. A ceiling-raiser co-co-exists with a talented cohort, improving them by finding ways to fit in without being an overbearing sap on usage.
There are certain skill sets described as corresponding more to one or the other. FLOOR-RAISING SKILLS: On-ball scoring, off-the-dribble playmaking, shot creation; CEILING-RAISING SKILLS: defense, rebounding, off-ball scoring, and secondary/connective-tissue passing. Players, based on these abilities, are thus categorized as more of a ceiling-raiser or floor-raiser.
I won't lie, it's a pretty sound premise in general. But I think people can misinterpret the concepts and create false narratives. About what a winning basketball team looks like. What it
can look like. It's often repeated on this forum that you can't build a team around *this guy* or *that guy*. Or that *this guy* can't be the best player or *number-one option* on a championship team.
I've never liked these sort of discussions because I think they're a bit of a false dichotomy and miss the nuance and intricacies inherent in basketball - a
team sport.
Which leads me to Draymond Green: the quintessential "ceiling-raiser." We all know about his game and how important he was and still is to Golden State. There's no need for me to rehash his absolutely wild impact metrics that give his legacy the official stamp of approval. Especially online and here. We all know.
But there's one issue I want to discuss, and that's his potential as a "floor-raiser." Most people would point to 2019-20 as proof that he can't elevate subpar talent in a role with more primacy and responsibility. But I'm not sure this is fair. That team wasn't built around Draymond Green. And I don't think it's fair to judge him for that.
My opinion is that I think Dray could absolutely elevate a weak supporting cast. One that fits his talents. I would point to guys like Jason Kidd and 2004 Andrei Kirilenko as examples of players who raised the floor of porous squads despite lacking "flooring-raising" skill sets.
Utah was predicted to be one of the worst teams in the NBA after losing Stockton and Malone. They won 42 games in a tough Western Conference despite featuring a cast of players including Greg Ostertag, Raja Bell, Carlos Arroyo, Jarron Collins, Raul Lopez, DeShawn Stevenson, Sasha Pavlovic, and Matt Harpring.
Those were the top-eight players in minutes played that supported Andrei, who was an All-Star that season. Everything from the game footage, raw play-by-play data and lineup statistics, RAPM numbers, and box score-derived advanced metrics point to an elite floor-raising impact.
But because of the false narratives and/or dichotomy of "floor-raising" and "ceiling-raising," many would look at Kirilenko's box score and see a role player. And attribute the success of the team more to everyone as a collective effort. But Tracy McGrady puts up big scoring numbers and leads a similarly weak Orlando team to 42 wins in a weaker conference the year before and he's seen as a floor-raiser. Ditto with LeBron winning 42 games in 2005 while putting up 27/7/7.
You can kind of see what I'm getting at. I just don't believe in the rigidity of some of these concepts.
A bad team being elevated by a superstar can look any number of ways. A superstar (or high-level impact player) can look any number of ways. Those conventional volume-scoring floor-raisers tend to dominate the ball and often limit the potential and impact of their teammates. Like Oladipo, Sabonis, and Grant in OKC with Westbrook.
And, like Jason Kidd and Andrei Kirilenko, I think Draymond Green could elevate subpar supporting casts in classic floor-raising fashion. I remember peak Dray went 6-3 without Steph in 2016. Six of those games came in the playoffs. All games were against playoff teams: Atlanta, Houston, Dallas, and Portland. He averaged the following:
- 9 games
- 16.6 points, 11.0 rebounds, 8.7 assists, 1.7 steals, 1.6 blocks, 2.4 turnovers
- 52.02% TS, 37.2% 3PT, 70.5% FT