Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium

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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#61 » by GiannisAnte34 » Mon Sep 8, 2025 2:46 pm

dhsilv2 wrote:
GiannisAnte34 wrote:
ball_takes23 wrote:
2011 wasnt even close to Dirks peak year, and 2006 wasnt Wade's. winning the title =/= peak


I’d take postseason performance over regular season performance. If this is purely regular season then I can understand KG being higher


Why do you not see 2004 KG's playoffs over 2011 Dirk's?


Because the Wolves only got out of the first round one time with KG, even before the pick penalty for Joe Smith started to take a toll on the team construction. The 04 run to the WCF is really good, but it isn’t iconic enough side by side with Dirks run IMO

I do think KGs peak deserves to be in the top 10 conversation but top 5 is too generous with so many other monster seasons and playoff runs
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#62 » by sikma42 » Mon Sep 8, 2025 2:50 pm

dhsilv2 wrote:
sikma42 wrote:Ginobili and Draymond being a head of some of those guys is wild.


I know dray has his haters. But what's wrong with Manu? The best offensive player on the Spurs for 2 championships.


Dwight Howard was second in the league in MVP voting, DPOY and lead his team to the Finals. I'm a fan of Manu, but don't understand how you put him ahead of Dwight. Seems like people constantly disrespecting how impactful her was
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#63 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Sep 8, 2025 2:50 pm

TheGeneral99 wrote:
sikma42 wrote:Ginobili and Draymond being a head of some of those guys is wild.


Thinking Basketball is a great channel, but this is where his ultra-focus on data analysis becomes a bit shaky.

Gibobili and Draymond are fantastic players, but does it factor in that both of them were playing alongside generational top 10 players of all-time in Curry and Duncan? Obviously their advanced stats and effectiveness will be heightened playing alongside those superstars.

Ginobili I could see being a perennial all-star without Duncan, but Draymond is a guy who without Curry is still a very good player, but I don't think anyone realistically sees him as a dominant player. His defense is elite, he's a good facilitator, but his offense is overall very average and his benefit comes from his insane connection with Curry.


Re: "but does it factor in teammates?" Yes, assume that literally anything obvious to you has been thought about.

Doesn't mean he's right, doesn't mean you have to agree, but anything that occurs to you as an "if" on this is something perhaps better asked as a "how".

Here's the simple response I'd have for Ginobili & Draymond here:

I would say Ginobili was the best offensive player on the Spurs, and Green was the best defensive player on the Warriors.

I would still consider Duncan & Curry the best players on those respective teams, but Ginobili is not getting his offense inflated by Duncan and Green is not getting his defense inflated by Curry.

(Interestingly, I'd expect my Ginobili statements are the more controversial statements here despite the fact that I think it's easier for people to see Ginobili as an all-star than Duncan.)
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#64 » by dhsilv2 » Mon Sep 8, 2025 2:58 pm

GiannisAnte34 wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
GiannisAnte34 wrote:
I’d take postseason performance over regular season performance. If this is purely regular season then I can understand KG being higher


Why do you not see 2004 KG's playoffs over 2011 Dirk's?


Because the Wolves only got out of the first round one time with KG, even before the pick penalty for Joe Smith started to take a toll on the team construction. The 04 run to the WCF is really good, but it isn’t iconic enough side by side with Dirks run IMO

I do think KGs peak deserves to be in the top 10 conversation but top 5 is too generous with so many other monster seasons and playoff runs


Well, keep in mind the bigger issue for the wolves was that they gave KG a huge deal back when the Larry Bird rule was around. Then the next year after signing him to a very long deal, the owners changed the rules and didn't do any grandfathering in for the Wolves. This prevented the Wolves from making any moves due to cap limitations. And then the VERY next year, the league took the Wolve's next 5 first round picks, making it even harder to make any trades.

And keep in mind, KG was 23 after the Joe Smith deal. Still not remotely at his peak.

But is it just that KG didn't win it all? Cause to me that Laker's Wolves series is the greatest individual series I've ever seen to this day. Guarding Shaq in the post for long stretches while being asked to run the point on offense because KG was the best ball handler left on the team once Cassell went down is still just wild. The fact they pulled a game off against that laker's squad just doesn't seem real even 20+ years later. Not to take away from Dirk's greatness in 2011 either. But to be asked to do the two more difficult and physically demanding roles on the court at the same time is wild!
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#65 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Sep 8, 2025 3:00 pm

sikma42 wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
sikma42 wrote:Ginobili and Draymond being a head of some of those guys is wild.


I know dray has his haters. But what's wrong with Manu? The best offensive player on the Spurs for 2 championships.


Dwight Howard was second in the league in MVP voting, DPOY and lead his team to the Finals. I'm a fan of Manu, but don't understand how you put him ahead of Dwight. Seems like people constantly disrespecting how impactful her was


You're focusing on the votes by other people for your justification here, and I would suggest that this isn't actually a justification. It's just saying "How can you possibly think you know better than awards voters from 15 years ago?" And in this era of basketball, I'd actually say pretty comfortably that many of us on here understand things better than the average journalist-voter from back then.

As I say that though, I did have Dwight as my MVP & DPOY depending on the years, so I'm not even saying their voters were necessarily wrong. For the MVP, '10-11 was just one of the ultimate weak competition years you'll ever see. For the DPOY, while Howard being at DPOY level wasn't wrong, people were very much overrating his defense at the time - you'd see articles back then talking about Howard as the new Bill Russell, when he really wasn't as good of a defender as prime Deke/KG/TD/Ben for reasons that weren't primarily about physical talent.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#66 » by sikma42 » Mon Sep 8, 2025 3:10 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
sikma42 wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
I know dray has his haters. But what's wrong with Manu? The best offensive player on the Spurs for 2 championships.


Dwight Howard was second in the league in MVP voting, DPOY and lead his team to the Finals. I'm a fan of Manu, but don't understand how you put him ahead of Dwight. Seems like people constantly disrespecting how impactful her was


You're focusing on the votes by other people for your justification here, and I would suggest that this isn't actually a justification. It's just saying "How can you possibly think you know better than awards voters from 15 years ago?" And in this era of basketball, I'd actually say pretty comfortably that many of us on here understand things better than the average journalist-voter from back then.

As I say that though, I did have Dwight as my MVP & DPOY depending on the years, so I'm not even saying their voters were necessarily wrong. For the MVP, '10-11 was just one of the ultimate weak competition years you'll ever see. For the DPOY, while Howard being at DPOY level wasn't wrong, people were very much overrating his defense at the time - you'd see articles back then talking about Howard as the new Bill Russell, when he really wasn't as good of a defender as prime Deke/KG/TD/Ben for reasons that weren't primarily about physical talent.


I'm just using that as short hand. The year the Magic went to the Finals, I don't think there is an argument to say Manu was ever better. Doing so would rely upon extrapolations of stats that we really don't have any basis to know whether they'd hold up. We do know what Dwight did tho and he was the second best player in the league that year behing Lebron imo.

Even a guy like Pierce, I don't really think Manu is better than him. It's just different situations, you put Paul Pierce in San Antonio with Tim Duncan and they are telling tales about how clutch and versatile he is, how good of positional defender he is etc. I hate arguing against Manu, bc he was a favorite in my family growin up (even in early early years) but I just don't think he deserves that spot based on what he did.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#67 » by dhsilv2 » Mon Sep 8, 2025 3:17 pm

sikma42 wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
sikma42 wrote:Ginobili and Draymond being a head of some of those guys is wild.


I know dray has his haters. But what's wrong with Manu? The best offensive player on the Spurs for 2 championships.


Dwight Howard was second in the league in MVP voting, DPOY and lead his team to the Finals. I'm a fan of Manu, but don't understand how you put him ahead of Dwight. Seems like people constantly disrespecting how impactful her was


If your ONLY issue is Howard should be higher than Manu, I don't see any reason to argue with you. I don't tend to agree but that's a perfectly reasonable take. But if you're trying to take Manu off this list, that's where I'd wonder what you were watching.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#68 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Sep 8, 2025 3:21 pm

sikma42 wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
sikma42 wrote:
Dwight Howard was second in the league in MVP voting, DPOY and lead his team to the Finals. I'm a fan of Manu, but don't understand how you put him ahead of Dwight. Seems like people constantly disrespecting how impactful her was


You're focusing on the votes by other people for your justification here, and I would suggest that this isn't actually a justification. It's just saying "How can you possibly think you know better than awards voters from 15 years ago?" And in this era of basketball, I'd actually say pretty comfortably that many of us on here understand things better than the average journalist-voter from back then.

As I say that though, I did have Dwight as my MVP & DPOY depending on the years, so I'm not even saying their voters were necessarily wrong. For the MVP, '10-11 was just one of the ultimate weak competition years you'll ever see. For the DPOY, while Howard being at DPOY level wasn't wrong, people were very much overrating his defense at the time - you'd see articles back then talking about Howard as the new Bill Russell, when he really wasn't as good of a defender as prime Deke/KG/TD/Ben for reasons that weren't primarily about physical talent.


I'm just using that as short hand. The year the Magic went to the Finals, I don't think there is an argument to say Manu was ever better. Doing so would rely upon extrapolations of stats that we really don't have any basis to know whether they'd hold up. We do know what Dwight did tho and he was the second best player in the league that year behing Lebron imo.

Even a guy like Pierce, I don't really think Manu is better than him. It's just different situations, you put Paul Pierce in San Antonio with Tim Duncan and they are telling tales about how clutch and versatile he is, how good of positional defender he is etc. I hate arguing against Manu, bc he was a favorite in my family growin up (even in early early years) but I just don't think he deserves that spot based on what he did.


I totally get the impulse to use accolades as short-hand, but when in a dialogue with those who aren't doing this, we gotta take it further to get anywhere - which to be fair, you're doing now.

I don't have time for a long response at this time, but I'll say:

Re: got to Finals, second best behind LeBron. So I'm glad you mentioned the second point along with the first, because of course, Dwight only got to the finals because his coach & cast was WAY ahead of LeBron's. This then to say that arguing he was 2nd best behind Bron doesn't actually concern me much, but the focus on getting a team to the Finals does, because Howard was never actually a good enough star to get his team through the East without having significant advantages like this.

Re: Pierce with Duncan telling tales about clutch & versatility. Here I'd just emphasize that you don't have to be as good as Ginobili to be a better offensive player than Duncan, and Duncan should get no credit for Ginobili being clutch or versatile.

It's hard to overstate how much people over-index on the fact that a defensive superstar leading a defensive team to a title also was his team's volume post scorer given that "volume post scorer" is largely something that has disappeared from the game for because it's just not that effective compared to pace & space.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#69 » by dhsilv2 » Mon Sep 8, 2025 3:25 pm

sikma42 wrote:
I'm just using that as short hand. The year the Magic went to the Finals, I don't think there is an argument to say Manu was ever better. Doing so would rely upon extrapolations of stats that we really don't have any basis to know whether they'd hold up. We do know what Dwight did tho and he was the second best player in the league that year behing Lebron imo.

Even a guy like Pierce, I don't really think Manu is better than him. It's just different situations, you put Paul Pierce in San Antonio with Tim Duncan and they are telling tales about how clutch and versatile he is, how good of positional defender he is etc. I hate arguing against Manu, bc he was a favorite in my family growin up (even in early early years) but I just don't think he deserves that spot based on what he did.


I think that's likely where you're differing from some others. I for example don't see much of a case for anyone outside of Lebron and CP3 that year. I think they left the league in their dust. Some metrics however in the regular season still think KG was right there with CP3 (but he missed too many games imo to really consider him). I'd add Kobe was great that year too. After that group perhaps Howard would be someone I'd look at. Though I think I'd still look at Wade over Howard.

Now I'm not sure how Ben would rank players in 2009 so I'm just speculating off my opinions. But it wouldn't shock me if I'm in the ball park here and that's where the disconnect is.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#70 » by sikma42 » Mon Sep 8, 2025 3:41 pm

dhsilv2 wrote:
sikma42 wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
I know dray has his haters. But what's wrong with Manu? The best offensive player on the Spurs for 2 championships.


Dwight Howard was second in the league in MVP voting, DPOY and lead his team to the Finals. I'm a fan of Manu, but don't understand how you put him ahead of Dwight. Seems like people constantly disrespecting how impactful her was


If your ONLY issue is Howard should be higher than Manu, I don't see any reason to argue with you. I don't tend to agree but that's a perfectly reasonable take. But if you're trying to take Manu off this list, that's where I'd wonder what you were watching.


Just glancing at the list also think Anthony Davis should be moved down.

But back to Manu, I'm actually a huge fan but I don't think he should make this list. I can't give him credit for having a better peak than a guy like Pierce just because he played on a better team at his peak. I don't even really feel that comfortable putting Ginobil over guys like Amare or Pau (if we are talking peak years). Ginobili never had to deal with superstar attention and we won't know what he'd look like in that role. There are certain quirks in his game that work on low volume, that may become a lot less efficient when asked to be the man. For example, his shot form really wasn't able to reliably create shots off the dribble. He was good at passing out and not taking those step backs (which helped his percentage) but other teams you are forced to create more and take more shots. I'm just not sure how well his shot creating scales up in the halfcourt. He also didn't really have team defensive concepts schemed primarily against him (felt like teams schemed more against parkers speed for years - and at some point Parker surpassed him). Guys like Harden had entire teams trying to take away his left hand, I don't know how Ginobili deals with that kind of coverage.

Ginobili imo like KG is favored in these convos bc they are what-ifs..and some fans really like those scenarios for whatever reason. But just looking skill set wise and based on what they actually did, I don't see him as having a high enough peak for that ranking.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#71 » by Ryoga Hibiki » Mon Sep 8, 2025 3:47 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:But I'll say that I see Green as generally the better defensive player, and also offensively a better fit when considering building a contender.

I insist that this a bit more debatable than how Ben put it down. To be in this list, imo, you should be able to contribute to a contender while being paid 35% of the cap, not 15/20% as he used to, in a realistically built team.
I would have seen his argument over Dwight much more if we assumed all time great talent around him. But I don't think it's realistic. As it is I understand the skepticism.
Something similar could be said about Manu and his minutes, to be fair. Saying this being a Manu fan before it was cool.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#72 » by Ryoga Hibiki » Mon Sep 8, 2025 3:56 pm

sikma42 wrote:I'm just using that as short hand. The year the Magic went to the Finals, I don't think there is an argument to say Manu was ever better. Doing so would rely upon extrapolations of stats that we really don't have any basis to know whether they'd hold up.

that's not the argument he's making, though.
Ben is a film guy, first and foremost, rather than an advanced stats guy.
He's not sold on Howard's offense and he believes SVG deserves more credit for being ahead of the curve and giving him a precocious level of spacing, with Hedo and Lewis on the wings (I think Tomjanovic helped Hakeem as well, at the time). And he's not sold at his all time level defense, mentioning his high number of goaltendings and the fact that he used to swat the ball on the stands.
He uses the statistical signal as a confirmation, not as the only argument.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#73 » by dhsilv2 » Mon Sep 8, 2025 3:59 pm

sikma42 wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
sikma42 wrote:
Dwight Howard was second in the league in MVP voting, DPOY and lead his team to the Finals. I'm a fan of Manu, but don't understand how you put him ahead of Dwight. Seems like people constantly disrespecting how impactful her was


If your ONLY issue is Howard should be higher than Manu, I don't see any reason to argue with you. I don't tend to agree but that's a perfectly reasonable take. But if you're trying to take Manu off this list, that's where I'd wonder what you were watching.


Just glancing at the list also think Anthony Davis should be moved down.

But back to Manu, I'm actually a huge fan but I don't think he should make this list. I can't give him credit for having a better peak than a guy like Pierce just because he played on a better team at his peak. I don't even really feel that comfortable putting Ginobil over guys like Amare or Pau (if we are talking peak years). Ginobili never had to deal with superstar attention and we won't know what he'd look like in that role. There are certain quirks in his game that work on low volume, that may become a lot less efficient when asked to be the man. For example, his shot form really wasn't able to reliably create shots off the dribble. He was good at passing out and not taking those step backs (which helped his percentage) but other teams you are forced to create more and take more shots. I'm just not sure how well his shot creating scales up in the halfcourt. He also didn't really have team defensive concepts schemed primarily against him (felt like teams schemed more against parkers speed for years - and at some point Parker surpassed him). Guys like Harden had entire teams trying to take away his left hand, I don't know how Ginobili deals with that kind of coverage.

Ginobili imo like KG is favored in these convos bc they are what-ifs..and some fans really like those scenarios for whatever reason. But just looking skill set wise and based on what they actually did, I don't see him as having a high enough peak for that ranking.


Agree with AD being oddly high here.

I just simply don't agree with Manu. He was the clear best offensive player for a long stretch on the Spurs.

Lets just take the 2005 playoffs as we all know, these lists tend to bias the playoffs.

20.8/5.8/4.2 65.2 TS%

He averaged 22.8, 20.5, 22.2, and 18.7 in each round of the playoffs. Shot near 50% outside of the second round where he shot 57%.

Now I get the first thought is that teams were focused on stopping Duncan. And that's fair. Duncan took 18.5 field goals vs 15.9 for Manu.

I would however point out the Spurs moved Manu to the bench allows him to play more minutes without Duncan. I feel it's just teams screwed up not realizing they needed to stop Manu. I don't feel it's reasonable to hold that against him. Just like I don't like it against Pierce that Doc was a moron and ran his offense in 2008 through KG and no Pierce...but there's the difference in a good and bad coach. Running the offense through the better player. I'd throw in, I know RAPM data is messy but 2005 xRAPM has Manu in the 96th percentile as defender. They have Battier in the 97th. Now that's early Battier but it just shows the level Manu was as a defender IMO. He was a great defender, just short of the all defensive level guys, but short of them.

As to your point that there's some level of "what if". Fully agree that's always a challenge here. The big what if to me however is durability. But if we're just looking at single years, I think Manu has the resume, stats, and to me the film to easily take on this list. I think Ben was conservative with Manu given all the things you pointed out. And that feels right to me. Leave him in the 20's because of minutes and durability issues. Because if this were a stats argument, obviously Manu would be top 4-8 and that seems even to me as a fan...a bit much.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#74 » by Bergmaniac » Mon Sep 8, 2025 5:05 pm

sikma42 wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
sikma42 wrote:
Dwight Howard was second in the league in MVP voting, DPOY and lead his team to the Finals. I'm a fan of Manu, but don't understand how you put him ahead of Dwight. Seems like people constantly disrespecting how impactful her was


You're focusing on the votes by other people for your justification here, and I would suggest that this isn't actually a justification. It's just saying "How can you possibly think you know better than awards voters from 15 years ago?" And in this era of basketball, I'd actually say pretty comfortably that many of us on here understand things better than the average journalist-voter from back then.

As I say that though, I did have Dwight as my MVP & DPOY depending on the years, so I'm not even saying their voters were necessarily wrong. For the MVP, '10-11 was just one of the ultimate weak competition years you'll ever see. For the DPOY, while Howard being at DPOY level wasn't wrong, people were very much overrating his defense at the time - you'd see articles back then talking about Howard as the new Bill Russell, when he really wasn't as good of a defender as prime Deke/KG/TD/Ben for reasons that weren't primarily about physical talent.


I'm just using that as short hand. The year the Magic went to the Finals, I don't think there is an argument to say Manu was ever better. Doing so would rely upon extrapolations of stats that we really don't have any basis to know whether they'd hold up. We do know what Dwight did tho and he was the second best player in the league that year behing Lebron imo.

Even a guy like Pierce, I don't really think Manu is better than him. It's just different situations, you put Paul Pierce in San Antonio with Tim Duncan and they are telling tales about how clutch and versatile he is, how good of positional defender he is etc. I hate arguing against Manu, bc he was a favorite in my family growin up (even in early early years) but I just don't think he deserves that spot based on what he did.

I love Dwight, but 2009 Dwight was certainly not the second best player in the league - that wasn't his best year and he has no real argument over Kobe, Wade and of course LeBron that season. CP3 was probably better too.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#75 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Sep 8, 2025 6:21 pm

Ryoga Hibiki wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:But I'll say that I see Green as generally the better defensive player, and also offensively a better fit when considering building a contender.

I insist that this a bit more debatable than how Ben put it down. To be in this list, imo, you should be able to contribute to a contender while being paid 35% of the cap, not 15/20% as he used to, in a realistically built team.
I would have seen his argument over Dwight much more if we assumed all time great talent around him. But I don't think it's realistic. As it is I understand the skepticism.
Something similar could be said about Manu and his minutes, to be fair. Saying this being a Manu fan before it was cool.


Well I'm not going to insist any of this stuff is beyond debate. Perfectly fine to disagree.

Re: Contribute to a contender at 35% of the cap. I get why some folks put it in these terms but it doesn't really resonate for me because to me value is value regardless of salary. Was GS quite fortunate that Curry & Green weren't making as much as they deserved when they acquired Durant, and that means we're at risk of winning bias in the evaluation of the players, but to the extent my evaluation is accurate, I wouldn't separately factor in salary.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#76 » by dhsilv2 » Mon Sep 8, 2025 6:29 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
Ryoga Hibiki wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:But I'll say that I see Green as generally the better defensive player, and also offensively a better fit when considering building a contender.

I insist that this a bit more debatable than how Ben put it down. To be in this list, imo, you should be able to contribute to a contender while being paid 35% of the cap, not 15/20% as he used to, in a realistically built team.
I would have seen his argument over Dwight much more if we assumed all time great talent around him. But I don't think it's realistic. As it is I understand the skepticism.
Something similar could be said about Manu and his minutes, to be fair. Saying this being a Manu fan before it was cool.


Well I'm not going to insist any of this stuff is beyond debate. Perfectly fine to disagree.

Re: Contribute to a contender at 35% of the cap. I get why some folks put it in these terms but it doesn't really resonate for me because to me value is value regardless of salary. Was GS quite fortunate that Curry & Green weren't making as much as they deserved when they acquired Durant, and that means we're at risk of winning bias in the evaluation of the players, but to the extent my evaluation is accurate, I wouldn't separately factor in salary.


Worth adding when they won in 2022, Sure Green was at about 20% but Klay was at a stupid percentage and was contributing at the level of a 5th or 6th man. Sorta offsets his "discount" salary in that context imo. But to each their own on that one.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#77 » by Ryoga Hibiki » Mon Sep 8, 2025 11:15 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
Ryoga Hibiki wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:But I'll say that I see Green as generally the better defensive player, and also offensively a better fit when considering building a contender.

I insist that this a bit more debatable than how Ben put it down. To be in this list, imo, you should be able to contribute to a contender while being paid 35% of the cap, not 15/20% as he used to, in a realistically built team.
I would have seen his argument over Dwight much more if we assumed all time great talent around him. But I don't think it's realistic. As it is I understand the skepticism.
Something similar could be said about Manu and his minutes, to be fair. Saying this being a Manu fan before it was cool.


Well I'm not going to insist any of this stuff is beyond debate. Perfectly fine to disagree.

Re: Contribute to a contender at 35% of the cap. I get why some folks put it in these terms but it doesn't really resonate for me because to me value is value regardless of salary. Was GS quite fortunate that Curry & Green weren't making as much as they deserved when they acquired Durant, and that means we're at risk of winning bias in the evaluation of the players, but to the extent my evaluation is accurate, I wouldn't separately factor in salary.

the point here is that a player must be included in a realistic team construction, not an all star team. The fact that Dray at 35% of the cap instead of 15-20% might mean you don't have enough resources for a great offense is the crux of the problem.
these top25 are the ones supposedly creating the most value. and, in the NBA, value translates into money.
to be in this list, teams should be confortable paying you the supermax and still be able to field a great team.
now, I am not saying that you can’t have a great team with Dray at that price. just this is a question that we need to answer, for a top25 player. if the answer is no, he's not worth of this list.
otherwise we are not comparing apples to apples.
this is not the 1st vs 2nd vs 3rd option thing. I don't care about that. this is about putting our money where our mouth is. if you are great you deserve rhe money. if you don't deserve rhe money, maybe you are not that great.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#78 » by Ryoga Hibiki » Mon Sep 8, 2025 11:19 pm

dhsilv2 wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
Ryoga Hibiki wrote:I insist that this a bit more debatable than how Ben put it down. To be in this list, imo, you should be able to contribute to a contender while being paid 35% of the cap, not 15/20% as he used to, in a realistically built team.
I would have seen his argument over Dwight much more if we assumed all time great talent around him. But I don't think it's realistic. As it is I understand the skepticism.
Something similar could be said about Manu and his minutes, to be fair. Saying this being a Manu fan before it was cool.


Well I'm not going to insist any of this stuff is beyond debate. Perfectly fine to disagree.

Re: Contribute to a contender at 35% of the cap. I get why some folks put it in these terms but it doesn't really resonate for me because to me value is value regardless of salary. Was GS quite fortunate that Curry & Green weren't making as much as they deserved when they acquired Durant, and that means we're at risk of winning bias in the evaluation of the players, but to the extent my evaluation is accurate, I wouldn't separately factor in salary.


Worth adding when they won in 2022, Sure Green was at about 20% but Klay was at a stupid percentage and was contributing at the level of a 5th or 6th man. Sorta offsets his "discount" salary in that context imo. But to each their own on that one.

still they had wiggins at the 25% max, that was a very expensive team.
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#79 » by wegotthabeet » Mon Sep 8, 2025 11:20 pm

Ryoga Hibiki wrote:I have seen many comments here and there, but I wanted to create a thread to discuss the full list.
This is where were right now:
HM: Russell Westbrook, Allen Iverson, Derrick Rose, Jimmy Butler, Paul Pierce, Pau Gasol, Ray Allen, Paul George, Deron Williams, Damian Lillard
25) Jason Kidd
24) Jayson Tatum
23) Dwight Howard
22) Draymond Green
21) Manu Ginobili
20) James Harden
19) Tracy McGrady
18) Luka Doncic
17) Joel Embiid
16) Anthony Davis
15) Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

My forecast for the final list (not my ranking)

14) Steve Nash
13) Chris Paul
12) Kawhi Leonard
11) Dwyane Wade
10) Dirk Nowitzki (high risk he might take Wade ahead, here)
9) Kevin Durant
8) Giannis Antetokounmpo
7) Kobe Bryant
6) Timmeh Duncan
5) Kevin Garnett
4) Steph Curry
3) Shaquille O'Neal
2) Nikola Jokic
1) LeBron James

What generated the most comment on line are Iverson's and Westbrooks's only HM, Harden too low, Dray in the list, Manu in the list.
To me, I was really not convinced by TMac at 19. I understand where he's coming from, but there's really no enough data to have that as a median outcome. I can see having a super high range, up to the top10, but I would have him at Tatum's level.


Would have been nice if you wrote the year next to each player. I’m I suppose to guess what I think their peak season was?
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Re: Thinking Basketball Top25 Single Year Peaks of the Millennium 

Post#80 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Sep 9, 2025 1:05 am

Ryoga Hibiki wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
Ryoga Hibiki wrote:I insist that this a bit more debatable than how Ben put it down. To be in this list, imo, you should be able to contribute to a contender while being paid 35% of the cap, not 15/20% as he used to, in a realistically built team.
I would have seen his argument over Dwight much more if we assumed all time great talent around him. But I don't think it's realistic. As it is I understand the skepticism.
Something similar could be said about Manu and his minutes, to be fair. Saying this being a Manu fan before it was cool.


Well I'm not going to insist any of this stuff is beyond debate. Perfectly fine to disagree.

Re: Contribute to a contender at 35% of the cap. I get why some folks put it in these terms but it doesn't really resonate for me because to me value is value regardless of salary. Was GS quite fortunate that Curry & Green weren't making as much as they deserved when they acquired Durant, and that means we're at risk of winning bias in the evaluation of the players, but to the extent my evaluation is accurate, I wouldn't separately factor in salary.

the point here is that a player must be included in a realistic team construction, not an all star team. The fact that Dray at 35% of the cap instead of 15-20% might mean you don't have enough resources for a great offense is the crux of the problem.
these top25 are the ones supposedly creating the most value. and, in the NBA, value translates into money.
to be in this list, teams should be confortable paying you the supermax and still be able to field a great team.
now, I am not saying that you can’t have a great team with Dray at that price. just this is a question that we need to answer, for a top25 player. if the answer is no, he's not worth of this list.
otherwise we are not comparing apples to apples.
this is not the 1st vs 2nd vs 3rd option thing. I don't care about that. this is about putting our money where our mouth is. if you are great you deserve rhe money. if you don't deserve rhe money, maybe you are not that great.

While understand the idea that a championship team with Green is going to need to pay for scoring talent, and that takes money, I chafe for two reasons:

1) I don’t think the 2015 or 2022 teams had any scorers aside from Steph who were really that great. I’d basically consider peak Klay and Wiggins to be fringe all-star level guys.

2) I can understand a perspective where the demand for scorers being so out of whack compared to value that you simply have to pay more for point of value for scoring than anything else… but this is then essentially penalizing players with skills that are underrated by NBA teams, which strikes me as backwards from a team building perspective.

Fine to not pay Green up to his value because you can get away with it, but getting that value at that price is only a positive, right? I get the value of the player and I get to underpay him? Yay!

Meanwhile, if everyone else is paying fringe all-star scorers more than money per point of impact than other players are getting, cool, let’em. Keep paying those running backs tons of money, and I’ll find cheap replacements and spend my money on a quality left tackle.


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