Michael Jordan/Tim Duncan vs. LeBron James/Kevin Garnett

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Which duo would you rather build around?

Michael Jordan/Tim Duncan
28
62%
LeBron James/Kevin Garnett
17
38%
 
Total votes: 45

lessthanjake
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Re: Michael Jordan/Tim Duncan vs. LeBron James/Kevin Garnett 

Post#21 » by lessthanjake » Fri Sep 19, 2025 1:11 pm

homecourtloss wrote:
lessthanjake wrote:I just don’t really subscribe to a take that involves saying KG provides particularly great spacing. He certainly provides some spacing, since he had a very good mid-range shot, but LeBron has usually had at least one big who actually has three-point range (Love, Bosh in the later Miami years, 2020 Davis, role players like Frye and old Rashard Lewis, etc.), so a PF that has sub-three-point range would arguably be *less* spacing than LeBron had for a lot of his career. Of course, Garnett can definitely make up for that in a lot of other ways (being a very good passer, amazing defender, etc.), but on the issue of spacing I just don’t see Garnett as being a particular positive. He’s not a negative (unless we put him in today’s NBA and didn’t assume he improved his three-point shooting—in which case he would be a spacing negative), but I don’t think it’s a particular positive or something that you really want your offense geared around.


Again, he was able to create all-time impact with non three point shooters in Andy and Z as well as TT as the sole big, so whether KG doesn't provide ideal spacing wouldn't matter.


LeBron got much more consistently good offensive results in the playoffs when he had three-point spacing from his bigs.

I feel like this should be obvious to anyone who has followed LeBron’s career, and it also just makes a huge amount of sense based on LeBron’s style of play, but just for reference, see the numbers in Djoker’s offensive legends thread: https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?t=2448658. The general story is that LeBron’s playoff offenses often struggled or at least weren’t great until the Heat started experimenting with lineups that were small and/or had three-point spacing from a big. And that includes not great playoff offenses in years that were in the heart of his best years (2010, 2011), so this isn’t a he-wasn’t-as-good-back-then thing. Subsequent to that, the one prime year that he didn’t really get that small ball and/or three-point spacing from a big (2015 due to injuries) was the year where the playoff offense went back down to the levels it had generally been at before. The only real exception to this storyline was the Cavs playoff offense being great in 2009. Credit to LeBron for that, but it’s pretty clearly more of an exception to a general storyline than it is the rule, and that makes sense when we realize it was easily the best he shot from mid-range in the playoffs. Him being on fire from mid-range basically made him completely uncounterable even without good spacing, but that mid-range shooting was not the norm for him in general. In general, spacing from bigs definitely helps him a lot, because it massively facilitates his drive-and-kick game. This is not a particularly bad thing to be the case, because you actually want spacing from your bigs anyways. But it is a reason to think that a pairing with Garnett isn’t entirely ideal.

All that said, I’m not convinced Garnett couldn’t develop three-point range if it was deemed important. He did have a good mid-range shot but just played in an era where spacing out to the three-point line wasn’t considered particularly important. If Garnett played with LeBron (or just in the modern era), maybe he’d develop a three-point shot. It wouldn’t surprise me at all. In which case, I don’t really have any concerns about fit with LeBron.

The other thing I’d note about this is something I believe I already mentioned: A team with LeBron and Garnett could potentially go small and put Garnett at the C position, and potentially with LeBron at the PF. At that point, the team would have the kind of spacing LeBron wants, even if Garnett didn’t exactly space out to the three-point line (assuming that the PG, SG, and SF are all guys who can shoot, but that isn’t exactly a huge lift in terms of roster construction). The negative there is that going small hurts the team’s defense and rebounding. I guess you wouldn’t really want Garnett guarding a massive center like Shaq or Jokic, but it’d probably generally be fine. You do lose some rebounding advantage by slotting Garnett at C instead of PF, but he’s a great rebounder, so I don’t think the team would get killed on the boards. So perhaps that’s what the team would do. And it would probably work very well. But there’s still some compromise there caused by Garnett’s relative lack of spacing.
OhayoKD wrote:Lebron contributes more to all the phases of play than Messi does. And he is of course a defensive anchor unlike messi.
jalengreen
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Re: Michael Jordan/Tim Duncan vs. LeBron James/Kevin Garnett 

Post#22 » by jalengreen » Sat Sep 20, 2025 9:27 pm

I like imagining Garnett translating to the modern era. He took a lot of long 2s and was legitimately good at them, and those are the shots that have been most affected by the 3pt revolution. I think he's a solid bet for developing a serviceable 3pt shot in the modern game.

Image

At worst, he doesn't develop that 3pt shot but is a more reliable mid range shooter than AD anyhow
Top10alltime
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Re: Michael Jordan/Tim Duncan vs. LeBron James/Kevin Garnett 

Post#23 » by Top10alltime » Fri Sep 26, 2025 1:13 pm

lessthanjake wrote:
Top10alltime wrote:
lessthanjake wrote:
I don’t agree with all of this, but it seems a relatively fair analysis IMO. That said, I will note that I don’t really think farming drive-and-kick mid-range jump shots for Garnett would actually be super efficient offense, unless it were in a real deadball era. It would definitely be good—Garnett’s mid-range shooting percentage is actually very good—but I don’t know that you really want that to be your bread and butter. You’d still probably rather drive and kick for a three from some random role player, no?


What don't you agree with? And yes, you used the same analysis as who's better is the better team (although that doesn't work like that, if you understand real basketball, not saying you don't!).

Lebron can farm drive & kick because he has top 5 gravity all-time, and top 1 rim pressure ever IMO. Since KG will make up for Lebron's deficiencies as a shooter, off-ball player, and fits in nearly perfectly with Lebron, he will be able to do this. Of course, there's other ways to do this, but I think that form of KG scoring will be the most valuable.

There is another problem, which is how much rim pressure Lebron has, and how much spacing KG has. Where will the defense go? I'd say to go to Lebron, but KG 1-on-1 or wide open is a force of nature, offensively, That's yet another problem the opponents will have to face, and Lebron+KG duo is CLEARLY a better duo than Duncan+Jordan.

Plus all the other points makes it clear, that the choice is Lebron+KG. Anyways, have a blessed day, and may Christ bless you!


I just don’t really subscribe to a take that involves saying KG provides particularly great spacing. He certainly provides some spacing, since he had a very good mid-range shot, but LeBron has usually had at least one big who actually has three-point range (Love, Bosh in the later Miami years, 2020 Davis, role players like Frye and old Rashard Lewis, etc.), so a PF that has sub-three-point range would arguably be *less* spacing than LeBron had for a lot of his career. Of course, Garnett can definitely make up for that in a lot of other ways (being a very good passer, amazing defender, etc.), but on the issue of spacing I just don’t see Garnett as being a particular positive, particularly compared to the spacing LeBron had in reality during significant spans in his career. Garnett’s not a spacing negative (unless we put him in today’s NBA and didn’t assume he improved his three-point shooting—in which case he would be a spacing negative), but I don’t think it’s a particular positive or something that you really want your offense geared around.


Just like how era relative Dirk is a better spacer than Curry, KG is also a sub-all timer in spacing era-relative. It's even clearer when you adjust to position, which I don't do, but he's a strong elite spacer anyways. Lebron can playmake in other ways, as well. Even today, we all know at worst he is an elite 3 point shooter today, he would adjust just fine (I don't know if he'd be better than Jokic today or no, but that's a topic for another time). Garnett has elite spacing, at worst. It is something you would want your offense to be geared around.. what do you think happened in 2004? Or even 2003 (much worse team, same player outside getting a bit better outside offensively), and it's clear cut that KG was the best offensive player on those Wolves teams.

2003 RS KG on: +5.0 offense on, -11.1 off

2004 RS KG on: +5.5 offense on, -9.7 off

Now, the playoffs, where he was supposedly mid at his peak:
+2.7 rORTG opp adjusted vs Lakers, without Cassell!

So, what's the point of this? It's to show, that you can build a strong offense around KG as the 1st option. With Lebron, this team will be a GOAT level offensive and defensive team now.

So, there seems to be no evidence for Duncan+Jordan over KG+Lebron. Duncan and Jordan just doesn't mesh well enough, like KG with his all-time scalability does with Lebron. Thank you, and have a blessed day!
lessthanjake
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Re: Michael Jordan/Tim Duncan vs. LeBron James/Kevin Garnett 

Post#24 » by lessthanjake » Fri Sep 26, 2025 2:10 pm

Top10alltime wrote:
lessthanjake wrote:
Top10alltime wrote:
What don't you agree with? And yes, you used the same analysis as who's better is the better team (although that doesn't work like that, if you understand real basketball, not saying you don't!).

Lebron can farm drive & kick because he has top 5 gravity all-time, and top 1 rim pressure ever IMO. Since KG will make up for Lebron's deficiencies as a shooter, off-ball player, and fits in nearly perfectly with Lebron, he will be able to do this. Of course, there's other ways to do this, but I think that form of KG scoring will be the most valuable.

There is another problem, which is how much rim pressure Lebron has, and how much spacing KG has. Where will the defense go? I'd say to go to Lebron, but KG 1-on-1 or wide open is a force of nature, offensively, That's yet another problem the opponents will have to face, and Lebron+KG duo is CLEARLY a better duo than Duncan+Jordan.

Plus all the other points makes it clear, that the choice is Lebron+KG. Anyways, have a blessed day, and may Christ bless you!


I just don’t really subscribe to a take that involves saying KG provides particularly great spacing. He certainly provides some spacing, since he had a very good mid-range shot, but LeBron has usually had at least one big who actually has three-point range (Love, Bosh in the later Miami years, 2020 Davis, role players like Frye and old Rashard Lewis, etc.), so a PF that has sub-three-point range would arguably be *less* spacing than LeBron had for a lot of his career. Of course, Garnett can definitely make up for that in a lot of other ways (being a very good passer, amazing defender, etc.), but on the issue of spacing I just don’t see Garnett as being a particular positive, particularly compared to the spacing LeBron had in reality during significant spans in his career. Garnett’s not a spacing negative (unless we put him in today’s NBA and didn’t assume he improved his three-point shooting—in which case he would be a spacing negative), but I don’t think it’s a particular positive or something that you really want your offense geared around.


Just like how era relative Dirk is a better spacer than Curry, KG is also a sub-all timer in spacing era-relative. It's even clearer when you adjust to position, which I don't do, but he's a strong elite spacer anyways. Lebron can playmake in other ways, as well. Even today, we all know at worst he is an elite 3 point shooter today, he would adjust just fine (I don't know if he'd be better than Jokic today or no, but that's a topic for another time). Garnett has elite spacing, at worst. It is something you would want your offense to be geared around.. what do you think happened in 2004? Or even 2003 (much worse team, same player outside getting a bit better outside offensively), and it's clear cut that KG was the best offensive player on those Wolves teams.

2003 RS KG on: +5.0 offense on, -11.1 off

2004 RS KG on: +5.5 offense on, -9.7 off

Now, the playoffs, where he was supposedly mid at his peak:
+2.7 rORTG opp adjusted vs Lakers, without Cassell!

So, what's the point of this? It's to show, that you can build a strong offense around KG as the 1st option. With Lebron, this team will be a GOAT level offensive and defensive team now.

So, there seems to be no evidence for Duncan+Jordan over KG+Lebron. Duncan and Jordan just doesn't mesh well enough, like KG with his all-time scalability does with Lebron. Thank you, and have a blessed day!


A few quick things:

1. I think you’re defining “strong offense” pretty broadly here. Those numbers you listed are good but not particularly great. And that seems important in a discussion about duos that we would expect to dominate the league. The bar for what the better duo would do is extremely high.

2. Whether you “can build a strong offense around KG as the 1st option” is not even really the question here, because he wouldn’t be the first option in this scenario. The question is more how he would mesh offensively as a secondary offensive star behind LeBron. That’s what my comments have been geared towards assessing.

3. You say “we all know at worst he is an elite 3 point shooter today.” I’m not actually sure which guy you’re talking about because the context of your statement is a bit unclear to me, Since this is a discussion about Garnett’s shooting, I *think* you’re talking about him. But we have no indication that Garnett would be an elite 3 point shooter today. I don’t think your statement is correct either if you’re referring to LeBron, but that’s a different discussion.

4. You say Garnett was a great spacer “era-relative.” But that’s only relevant if we are putting these players in Garnett’s era (or earlier). If we did that, then Garnett’s spacing wouldn’t be a relative problem in general. That said, I happen to think that LeBron is naturally better in eras with more spacing—particularly when it comes to playoff resilience—because I think he benefits from spacing more than most all-time greats do (since he relies a lot on a drive-and-kick game, and doesn’t have a good mid-range shot). So I think LeBron is left worse off with Garnett, whether it’s because Garnett is providing bad era-relative spacing or because the era is a low-spacing era and that’s not great for LeBron. (Of course, one could certainly argue what eras would be more or less good for Jordan/Duncan as well—and it seems plausible to me that the answer to this thread might well depend on what era the hypothetical is putting these players in).

5. Definitely don’t think Dirk was a better spacer than Steph, era-relative or not, but that’s a different discussion.
OhayoKD wrote:Lebron contributes more to all the phases of play than Messi does. And he is of course a defensive anchor unlike messi.

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