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Badgers Football - 2025 Season

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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#581 » by trwi7 » Wed Sep 17, 2025 5:13 pm

humanrefutation wrote:How bad does it need to get this season for UW to swallow Fick's buyout? Does he survive with 4 wins?


I assume they'll give him next year. Our toughest games next year will be Notre Dame at Lambeau, @ Penn State and @ Iowa. If he can't come away with at least 8 wins with that schedule, you have to think they fire him at that point.
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#582 » by MVP2110 » Wed Sep 17, 2025 5:33 pm

trwi7 wrote:
humanrefutation wrote:How bad does it need to get this season for UW to swallow Fick's buyout? Does he survive with 4 wins?


I assume they'll give him next year. Our toughest games next year will be Notre Dame at Lambeau, @ Penn State and @ Iowa. If he can't come away with at least 8 wins with that schedule, you have to think they fire him at that point.


This is where I'm at. Barring an absolute disaster this season I think he gets a chance against a much more normal schedule next season. If he can't get atleast 8 or 9 wins next year then it's probably time to move on
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#583 » by Kerb Hohl » Wed Sep 17, 2025 5:51 pm

I am not tied to him as a coach, but it's just such a weird situation that I cannot accurately judge him with reasonable expectations because he's either not had his starting QB or he's played against competition that we'd never beat anyways even in pre-NIL/portal times.

The only thing thing I can say negatively is the defense against Iowa/Nebraska/Minnesota last year and maybe Longo...but I even think that's hard to judge without a QB.
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#584 » by MVP2110 » Wed Sep 17, 2025 6:00 pm

Kerb Hohl wrote:I am not tied to him as a coach, but it's just such a weird situation that I cannot accurately judge him with reasonable expectations because he's either not had his starting QB or he's played against competition that we'd never beat anyways even in pre-NIL/portal times.

The only thing thing I can say negatively is the defense against Iowa/Nebraska/Minnesota last year and maybe Longo...but I even think that's hard to judge without a QB.


The games against Iowa, Washington, Illinois, Indiana, & Minnesota this year are much more important than Bama, Michigan, Ohio St, or Penn St. You can't get embarrassed against Iowa & Minnesota again this year. If that happens then I do think Fickell could be in trouble
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#585 » by Kerb Hohl » Wed Sep 17, 2025 6:03 pm

MVP2110 wrote:
Kerb Hohl wrote:I am not tied to him as a coach, but it's just such a weird situation that I cannot accurately judge him with reasonable expectations because he's either not had his starting QB or he's played against competition that we'd never beat anyways even in pre-NIL/portal times.

The only thing thing I can say negatively is the defense against Iowa/Nebraska/Minnesota last year and maybe Longo...but I even think that's hard to judge without a QB.


The games against Iowa, Washington, Illinois, Indiana, & Minnesota this year are much more important than Bama, Michigan, Ohio St, or Penn St. You can't get embarrassed against Iowa & Minnesota again this year. If that happens then I do think Fickell could be in trouble


Minnesota especially - because last year that team was sneaky good given they lucked into a very good QB.

It looks like we've beefed up the rush defense so we're built to play in the improved "Big Ten West" and just punt the other games.
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#586 » by ReasonablySober » Mon Sep 22, 2025 3:50 pm

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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#587 » by Kerb Hohl » Mon Sep 22, 2025 4:47 pm

ReasonablySober wrote:
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Granted, I may have done this negative thought post with Gard when I thought he couldn't figure out the new era and was cooked - but I can't imagine thinking about a guy that might be an impact player in 3-4 years and likely flips/transfers when the coach changes before that haha.

(Not shooting the messenger here...it just seems meaningless right now)
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#588 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Sep 23, 2025 5:49 pm

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I'm 100% expecting Fickell to take a reduced buyout and get on the market sooner than later.
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#589 » by DingleJerry » Tue Sep 23, 2025 5:50 pm

MVP2110 wrote:
Kerb Hohl wrote:I am not tied to him as a coach, but it's just such a weird situation that I cannot accurately judge him with reasonable expectations because he's either not had his starting QB or he's played against competition that we'd never beat anyways even in pre-NIL/portal times.

The only thing thing I can say negatively is the defense against Iowa/Nebraska/Minnesota last year and maybe Longo...but I even think that's hard to judge without a QB.


The games against Iowa, Washington, Illinois, Indiana, & Minnesota this year are much more important than Bama, Michigan, Ohio St, or Penn St. You can't get embarrassed against Iowa & Minnesota again this year. If that happens then I do think Fickell could be in trouble


Right and what happened last weekend it does not look like they'll be competitive vs those teams. I've had the same take as others here that barring absolute catastrophe that he should get next year to show progress. I don't think I'd even expect 8-9 wins next year. Back to bowl game and be competitive against all non blue bloods.

Unfortunately, catastrophe looks likely right now. Like how can you not fire if they go 2-10 and lose all fbs games, or even 3-9. Especially if looks as awful and poorly coached as last week. Still, even after saying that as long as they are competitive in the IA, MN, Neb type games but lose I think I'd still give another year (just due to the ridiculous cost to fire) to show signs of life and give the ne offense a chance. This is generally the type of O they should have switched to with the new coaches, instead they did it two years too later after having killed the OL pipeline that could've made it work, so now they're behind the 8 ball on it.
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#590 » by Kerb Hohl » Tue Sep 23, 2025 6:03 pm

DingleJerry wrote:instead they did it two years too later after having killed the OL pipeline that could've made it work, so now they're behind the 8 ball on it.


How did they kill the OL pipeline? I don't think Fickell is great at this moment, but I think there's a misconception out there about this right now.
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#591 » by DingleJerry » Tue Sep 23, 2025 6:18 pm

Kerb Hohl wrote:
DingleJerry wrote:instead they did it two years too later after having killed the OL pipeline that could've made it work, so now they're behind the 8 ball on it.


How did they kill the OL pipeline? I don't think Fickell is great at this moment, but I think there's a misconception out there about this right now.


just in general you went away from power football for two years with the development that goes with it in order to go to spread smaller OL. And now two years later you're trying to shift back, so now you don't have the right guys to do it because you focused a different type the last two years.

If you'd have gone to this style of O (like a MI power O but out of shotgun) right away, you could've kept the guys you already had, generally kept doing things the same as you'd been for years and what made UW what it was. Instead you had two years with makeshift lines as you transitioned, and now you're transitioning again.
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#592 » by Kerb Hohl » Tue Sep 23, 2025 6:32 pm

DingleJerry wrote:
Kerb Hohl wrote:
DingleJerry wrote:instead they did it two years too later after having killed the OL pipeline that could've made it work, so now they're behind the 8 ball on it.


How did they kill the OL pipeline? I don't think Fickell is great at this moment, but I think there's a misconception out there about this right now.


just in general you went away from power football for two years with the development that goes with it in order to go to spread smaller OL. And now two years later you're trying to shift back, so now you don't have the right guys to do it because you focused a different type the last two years.

If you'd have gone to this style of O (like a MI power O but out of shotgun) right away, you could've kept the guys you already had, generally kept doing things the same as you'd been for years and what made UW what it was. Instead you had two years with makeshift lines as you transitioned, and now you're transitioning again.


The one thing I'm not sure about is why Rucci and Wedig left. Logically, it seems like Rucci might've gone to PSU for legacy purposes. Wedig is the interesting loss? Regardless, Wedig is done with college football and Rucci is kind of a lost cause, he gone.

The guys behind left by Chryst were forgettable other than those guys + Mahlmann/Brunner and Nelson who is also now gone. I think losing the other 2 may have been "free transfer + NIL" related. The interior line kinda sucked and it was patched by OK transfers.

They have been losing most of the top OL recruits in-state since the final ~2 Chryst years, coincidentally when NIL/wide open transfers got going.
Spoiler:
Let's look at the recruiting, though. ~2022 is roughly when NIL opened up. If you look at 2021, all of the in-state guys went to Wisconsin.
2021 (Chryst): All of the top Wisconsin guys stayed, Benschawel (meh) is the only lineman of note
2022 (Chryst): Brunner stayed, Hintzman (OSU), Schrauth (ND) gone. Both are likely NFL guys.
2023 (Both): Recruiting was hard with coaching switch but also the in-state talent was horrible
2024 (Fickell): Sexton to Penn State, Roy to Minnesota (but Roy was not really "from" Wisconsin). Kept the third guy Jensen.
2025 (Fickell): Top 2 OL in the state are going to Notre Dame
2026 (Fickell): There's a bunch of 3-star guys going to Iowa and Minnesota. I don't know what to think?


;tldr - I think the fact that guys started leaving in the Chryst era is telling me that the upperclassman issue is a money issue. We lost 2 guys to 2 helmet schools in 2022 even when we still said, "we'll pound the rock." Fickell has actually found some good, young OL elsewhere. The issue is that one of them has a torn ACL and starting RS-freshmen is bad in this era. If somebody else takes over the program, they are likely inheriting 3-4 good OL for 2027...if they can/want to keep them.
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#593 » by DingleJerry » Tue Sep 23, 2025 6:41 pm

Kerb Hohl wrote:
DingleJerry wrote:
Kerb Hohl wrote:
How did they kill the OL pipeline? I don't think Fickell is great at this moment, but I think there's a misconception out there about this right now.


just in general you went away from power football for two years with the development that goes with it in order to go to spread smaller OL. And now two years later you're trying to shift back, so now you don't have the right guys to do it because you focused a different type the last two years.

If you'd have gone to this style of O (like a MI power O but out of shotgun) right away, you could've kept the guys you already had, generally kept doing things the same as you'd been for years and what made UW what it was. Instead you had two years with makeshift lines as you transitioned, and now you're transitioning again.


The one thing I'm not sure about is why Rucci and Wedig left. Logically, it seems like Rucci might've gone to PSU for legacy purposes. Wedig might've left so he had more of an opportunity to play? Regardless, Wedig is done with college football and Rucci is kind of a lost cause.

The guys behind left by Chryst were forgettable other than those guys + Mahlmann/Brunner and Nelson who is also now gone. I think losing the other 2 may have been "free transfer + NIL" related. The interior line kinda sucked and it was patched by OK transfers.

They have been losing most of the top OL recruits in-state since the final ~2 Chryst years, coincidentally when NIL/wide open transfers got going.
Spoiler:
Let's look at the recruiting, though. ~2022 is roughly when NIL opened up. If you look at 2021, all of the in-state guys went to Wisconsin.
2021 (Chryst): All of the top Wisconsin guys stayed, Benschawel (meh) is the only lineman of note
2022 (Chryst): Brunner stayed, Hintzman (OSU), Schrauth (ND) gone. Both are likely NFL guys.
2023 (Both): Recruiting was hard with coaching switch but also the in-state talent was horrible
2024 (Fickell): Sexton to Penn State, Roy to Minnesota (but Roy was not really "from" Wisconsin). Kept the third guy Jensen.
2025 (Fickell): Top 2 OL in the state are going to Notre Dame
2026 (Fickell): There's a bunch of 3-star guys going to Iowa and Minnesota. I don't know what to think?


;tldr - I think the fact that guys started leaving in the Chryst era is telling me that the upperclassman issue is a money issue. We lost 2 guys to 2 helmet schools in 2022 even when we still said, "we'll pound the rock." Fickell has actually found some good, young OL elsewhere. The issue is that one of them has a torn ACL and starting RS-freshmen is bad in this era. If somebody else takes over the program, they are likely inheriting 3-4 good OL for 2027...if they can/want to keep them.


Yea it was trending down for Chryst when compared to the prevous 10 years of ridiculousness. That was one of the wtf of how Chryst's Os struggled, how did they mess up that development on the OL

Anyway, thats a whole different thing. Long story short, they're trying to play a power running type thing now with guys who were brought in to play spread. Or, with freshman/transfers brought in just this year. Result is they jus can't run the ball right now. Couple years of planning/training/development at this style and there's no reason it can't work not unlike Mich or even ILL is doing now. Hindsight, that's probably the offensive modernization that should've happened right away rather than the mass change. what's that saying, baby out with the bathwater or whatever

ETA: jjust noticed the spoiler. I wasn't talking about in state stuff at all like a recruiting 'pipeline'. Just meant general OL system/plan that consistently had them as a top OL school, etc.
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#594 » by Kerb Hohl » Tue Sep 23, 2025 6:54 pm

DingleJerry wrote:
Kerb Hohl wrote:
DingleJerry wrote:
just in general you went away from power football for two years with the development that goes with it in order to go to spread smaller OL. And now two years later you're trying to shift back, so now you don't have the right guys to do it because you focused a different type the last two years.

If you'd have gone to this style of O (like a MI power O but out of shotgun) right away, you could've kept the guys you already had, generally kept doing things the same as you'd been for years and what made UW what it was. Instead you had two years with makeshift lines as you transitioned, and now you're transitioning again.


The one thing I'm not sure about is why Rucci and Wedig left. Logically, it seems like Rucci might've gone to PSU for legacy purposes. Wedig might've left so he had more of an opportunity to play? Regardless, Wedig is done with college football and Rucci is kind of a lost cause.

The guys behind left by Chryst were forgettable other than those guys + Mahlmann/Brunner and Nelson who is also now gone. I think losing the other 2 may have been "free transfer + NIL" related. The interior line kinda sucked and it was patched by OK transfers.

They have been losing most of the top OL recruits in-state since the final ~2 Chryst years, coincidentally when NIL/wide open transfers got going.
Spoiler:
Let's look at the recruiting, though. ~2022 is roughly when NIL opened up. If you look at 2021, all of the in-state guys went to Wisconsin.
2021 (Chryst): All of the top Wisconsin guys stayed, Benschawel (meh) is the only lineman of note
2022 (Chryst): Brunner stayed, Hintzman (OSU), Schrauth (ND) gone. Both are likely NFL guys.
2023 (Both): Recruiting was hard with coaching switch but also the in-state talent was horrible
2024 (Fickell): Sexton to Penn State, Roy to Minnesota (but Roy was not really "from" Wisconsin). Kept the third guy Jensen.
2025 (Fickell): Top 2 OL in the state are going to Notre Dame
2026 (Fickell): There's a bunch of 3-star guys going to Iowa and Minnesota. I don't know what to think?


;tldr - I think the fact that guys started leaving in the Chryst era is telling me that the upperclassman issue is a money issue. We lost 2 guys to 2 helmet schools in 2022 even when we still said, "we'll pound the rock." Fickell has actually found some good, young OL elsewhere. The issue is that one of them has a torn ACL and starting RS-freshmen is bad in this era. If somebody else takes over the program, they are likely inheriting 3-4 good OL for 2027...if they can/want to keep them.


Yea it was trending down for Chryst when compared to the prevous 10 years of ridiculousness. That was one of the wtf of how Chryst's Os struggled, how did they mess up that development on the OL

Anyway, thats a whole different thing. Long story short, they're trying to play a power running type thing now with guys who were brought in to play spread. Or, with freshman/transfers brought in just this year. Result is they jus can't run the ball right now. Couple years of planning/training/development at this style and there's no reason it can't work not unlike Mich or even ILL is doing now. Hindsight, that's probably the offensive modernization that should've happened right away rather than the mass change. what's that saying, baby out with the bathwater or whatever


Illinois' offensive line is bad this year.

The difference is that they have lucked into a Big Ten West schedule in 2024 and 2025 and kept their QB not injured so the offense has held up.

Illinois ran for 30 yards and got sacked 8 times by Indiana. They couldn't run against Duke.

I just think this whole downfall is more about budget + some bad luck than people want to think - even if that Maryland game was an abomination.
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#595 » by Kerb Hohl » Tue Sep 23, 2025 6:56 pm

DingleJerry wrote:ETA: jjust noticed the spoiler. I wasn't talking about in state stuff at all like a recruiting 'pipeline'. Just meant general OL system/plan that consistently had them as a top OL school, etc.


To me this is all irrelevant. The system is now completely different. We can't just say, "hey, we run the ball a lot" if Indiana or Notre Dame offers a guy we want $100k more to start at guard or some team poaches one of our good depth pieces to be a starter.

That's one thing that is annoying me is the talking heads saying, "hey, just do what we did "1992-2019" when it simply just is not possible anymore.
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#596 » by DingleJerry » Tue Sep 23, 2025 7:02 pm

Kerb Hohl wrote:
DingleJerry wrote:ETA: jjust noticed the spoiler. I wasn't talking about in state stuff at all like a recruiting 'pipeline'. Just meant general OL system/plan that consistently had them as a top OL school, etc.


To me this is all irrelevant. The system is now completely different. We can't just say, "hey, we run the ball a lot" if Indiana or Notre Dame offers a guy we want $100k more to start at guard or some team poaches one of our good depth pieces to be a starter.

That's one thing that is annoying me is the talking heads saying, "hey, just do what we did "1992-2019" when it simply just is not possible anymore.


Yea I'm not saying that at all. You're kind of having an argument with yourself here on 'recruiting'. Not what I'm talking about. I'm just saying if you have small guys emphasizing planning to pass 90% of the time you can't just flip to running power with the same guys.

IDK on ILL, but they've been winning games for a few years now with the general type of O we're trying to do now. Still shotgun and modern but has the running/power aspect emphasized. MI is of course the dream or ideal. Just threw out ILL since thats of course in our wheelhouse of level or whatever you wanna call it. Surprising to hear their line has been poor so far this year, if I recall its all returning starters from last year, with multiple 4-5 year guys. It was one of the main reasons they were ranked so high to start and were a playoff sleeper. maybe some injuries have happened, idk.
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#597 » by BUCKnation » Tue Sep 23, 2025 7:04 pm

Can JJ Watt set up another disaster relief fund for our football program?
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#598 » by Kerb Hohl » Tue Sep 23, 2025 7:06 pm

DingleJerry wrote:
Kerb Hohl wrote:
DingleJerry wrote:ETA: jjust noticed the spoiler. I wasn't talking about in state stuff at all like a recruiting 'pipeline'. Just meant general OL system/plan that consistently had them as a top OL school, etc.


To me this is all irrelevant. The system is now completely different. We can't just say, "hey, we run the ball a lot" if Indiana or Notre Dame offers a guy we want $100k more to start at guard or some team poaches one of our good depth pieces to be a starter.

That's one thing that is annoying me is the talking heads saying, "hey, just do what we did "1992-2019" when it simply just is not possible anymore.


Yea I'm not saying that at all. You're kind of having an argument with yourself here on 'recruiting'. Not what I'm talking about. I'm just saying if you have small guys emphasizing planning to pass 90% of the time you can't just flip to running power with the same guys.

IDK on ILL, but they've been winning games for a few years now with the general type of O we're trying to do now. Still shotgun and modern but has the running/power aspect emphasized. MI is of course the dream or ideal. Just threw out ILL since thats of course in our wheelhouse of level or whatever you wanna call it. Surprising to hear their line has been poor so far this year, if I recall its all returning starters from last year, with multiple 4-5 year guys. It was one of the main reasons they were ranked so high to start and were a playoff sleeper. maybe some injuries have happened, idk.


Illinois has beaten a bunch of bad teams by small margins last year and early this year. I'd love to trade places with them right now, but they aren't that good. If we played their schedule and didn't have our QBs get hurt, I don't think we'd be talking about firing Fickell - as bad as that last loss was.

I don't know...if we had "power run scheme" guys it may make a small difference but we're talking about a system that allowed us to drive a Cadiallac for 25+ years and now we're in a Ford Pinto thanks to new changes but maybe if we managed scheme better, maybe we could be in a Ford Pinto with some added features.
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#599 » by DingleJerry » Tue Sep 23, 2025 7:12 pm

Kerb Hohl wrote:
DingleJerry wrote:
Kerb Hohl wrote:
To me this is all irrelevant. The system is now completely different. We can't just say, "hey, we run the ball a lot" if Indiana or Notre Dame offers a guy we want $100k more to start at guard or some team poaches one of our good depth pieces to be a starter.

That's one thing that is annoying me is the talking heads saying, "hey, just do what we did "1992-2019" when it simply just is not possible anymore.


Yea I'm not saying that at all. You're kind of having an argument with yourself here on 'recruiting'. Not what I'm talking about. I'm just saying if you have small guys emphasizing planning to pass 90% of the time you can't just flip to running power with the same guys.

IDK on ILL, but they've been winning games for a few years now with the general type of O we're trying to do now. Still shotgun and modern but has the running/power aspect emphasized. MI is of course the dream or ideal. Just threw out ILL since thats of course in our wheelhouse of level or whatever you wanna call it. Surprising to hear their line has been poor so far this year, if I recall its all returning starters from last year, with multiple 4-5 year guys. It was one of the main reasons they were ranked so high to start and were a playoff sleeper. maybe some injuries have happened, idk.


Illinois has beaten a bunch of bad teams by small margins last year and early this year. I'd love to trade places with them right now, but they aren't that good. If we played their schedule and didn't have our QBs get hurt, I don't think we'd be talking about firing Fickell - as bad as that last loss was.

I don't know...if we had "power run scheme" guys it may make a small difference but we're talking about a system that allowed us to drive a Cadiallac for 25+ years and now we're in a Ford Pinto thanks to new changes but maybe if we managed scheme better, maybe we could be in a Ford Pinto with some added features.


You're digging way to deep trying to argue. All I've said is that completely flipping from big run OL guys to a system wanting smaller quicker pass blocking guys was a tough transtion. And now flipping it back is hard as well. And that in general, trying a shift from our old way to the current one would've been easier/smoother than the way its been done. Somehow, you've turned that into a big argument about I don't even know what
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Re: Badgers Football - 2025 Season 

Post#600 » by Kerb Hohl » Tue Sep 23, 2025 7:17 pm

DingleJerry wrote:
Kerb Hohl wrote:
DingleJerry wrote:
Yea I'm not saying that at all. You're kind of having an argument with yourself here on 'recruiting'. Not what I'm talking about. I'm just saying if you have small guys emphasizing planning to pass 90% of the time you can't just flip to running power with the same guys.

IDK on ILL, but they've been winning games for a few years now with the general type of O we're trying to do now. Still shotgun and modern but has the running/power aspect emphasized. MI is of course the dream or ideal. Just threw out ILL since thats of course in our wheelhouse of level or whatever you wanna call it. Surprising to hear their line has been poor so far this year, if I recall its all returning starters from last year, with multiple 4-5 year guys. It was one of the main reasons they were ranked so high to start and were a playoff sleeper. maybe some injuries have happened, idk.


Illinois has beaten a bunch of bad teams by small margins last year and early this year. I'd love to trade places with them right now, but they aren't that good. If we played their schedule and didn't have our QBs get hurt, I don't think we'd be talking about firing Fickell - as bad as that last loss was.

I don't know...if we had "power run scheme" guys it may make a small difference but we're talking about a system that allowed us to drive a Cadiallac for 25+ years and now we're in a Ford Pinto thanks to new changes but maybe if we managed scheme better, maybe we could be in a Ford Pinto with some added features.


You're digging way to deep trying to argue. All I've said is that completely flipping from big run OL guys to a system wanting smaller quicker pass blocking guys was a tough transtion. And now flipping it back is hard as well. And that in general, trying a shift from our old way to the current one would've been easier/smoother than the way its been done. Somehow, you've turned that into a big argument about I don't even know what


Deck chairs on the Titanic, but yeah...maybe? We simply need good players again, which seems like it's going to be hard.

One of the other issues is that in essentially every game the past 2 seasons, the other team knows we have a QB that does not scare them post-injury...and of course pre-injuries, who knows if they even were feared.

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