jmr07019 wrote:Hal14 wrote:Fierce1 wrote:The organization will also prefer the Cs having a shot at the ECF than playing it safe and the Cs just end up exiting in the 1st round.
If that's the case, then the organization is run by a bunch of morons if they would prioritize *maybe* going to the ECF but have a higher risk of Tatum getting hurt and suffering a career-ending injury, rather than prioritizing his long term health.
For pretty much every player ever who's torn their achilles, they missed a full season.
Yes, obviously players can get hurt at anytime. But everyone knows that the risk for re-injury is higher if you come back early.
Like for example, if the average recovery time for an injury is 4-6 weeks, then coming back any sooner than 6 weeks is coming back early. And having a higher risk for re-injury.
If pretty much every player who's ever torn their achilles missed a full season, then coming back at any point during the season is coming back early - and having a higher risk for re-injury.
Why would you want him to come back early and have a higher risk for re-injury? Would you really prefer the possibility of us *maybe* getting to the ECF (which is not going to happen with a team that has no bigs and a star player coming off a torn achilles with no training camp and will take awhile to get fully ramped up and back to being able to play at game speed, at playoff intensity, etc.) over a higher chance for us to have Tatum healthy long term?
He's 27 years old. We want him healthy till he's 36. For us to have the highest odds of that happening, he sits out the whole season.
Tatum is the franchise player, in his prime, on the richest contract in NBA history. Suffered one of the most serious injuries a basketball player can suffer (and still have a chance to have their career continue). The team is going to be more cautious and more careful than any team has ever been with a player coming back from injury.
Plus, we just won a title last year. So it's not like there's tons of pressure for us to win a ring, which might cause the team to possibly bring him back sooner. There's no pressure. No reason to bring him back early.
I disagree with your general idea that the longer a person takes to recover from an injury the better. If an injury is supposed to take 4 weeks to recover from and it ends up taking 8 weeks, that's a cause for concern. Same thing with an achilles. If it's supposed to take 9 months and it takes 12+ how is that a good thing?
There's no injury where it's supposed to take 9 months to recover. You're using a fake, made up example.
Torn achilles pretty much always mean the player misses a full season. That's a fact.
If an injury is supposed to take 4 weeks and it takes 8, sure that might be cause for concern but that isn't anything I have mentioned here. You're making up scenarios to try and fit an agenda.
Tons of players have torn their achilles. Tatum is not the first one to get surgery very soon after the injury. And he's not the only one who was young (27 really isn't that young for an NBA player..average age of an NBA player is 26. Tatum is 27).
If anything, it's more common for younger players to take their time coming back from a really serious injury since they have more to lose if they come back too soon and re-injure it. Chet Holmgren, serious injury and sat out entire rookie year. Jamal Murray was only like 24, sat our entire season with torn ACL. Haliburton is out for this whole season with torn achilles at age 25. Embiid missed a full season early in his career. MJ missed pretty much a full season early in his career. Wemby? Spurs weren't taking any chances with their franchise player and shut him down for the season.
That early in the career, these guys don't take any chances. There's more to lose.
But with older guys, we have seen some of them come back sooner because they are pretty much all done anyways so they have less to lose, like Kobe coming back from torn achilles, Danny Green came back late in the season from torn ACL when he was like 35 yrs old, etc.
Helpful article:
https://www.boston.com/sports/boston-celtics/2025/05/17/jayson-tatum-celtics-achilles-rehab-kevin-durant-latest/?
Jayson Tatum has a long and uncertain road ahead of him as he recovers from his ruptured Achilles. However, he’s looking at one of the success stories of a star athlete’s rehab from an Achilles tear and hoping he can have a similar road to recovery.
The Celtics star is expected to use Kevin Durant’s rehab from his Achilles injury in 2019 as a template and will consult the NBA all-time great during the process, ESPN’s Shams Charania reported.
“One prime example of a tremendous rehab from an Achilles tear is Kevin Durant,” Charania said on ESPN’s “NBA Countdown.” “Both surgeries were quick. Kevin Durant had his two days after suffering the Achilles tear. Jayson Tatum had his one day after suffering his Achilles tear. Both happened at the Hospital for Special Surgery in New York City.
“The expectation around Tatum is that he’ll consult with Kevin Durant about that rehab that Kevin Durant had several years ago and that’s going to be used as a template because Durant made the best recovery of a player from this injury.”
As Charania noted, Durant’s return from his Achilles tear in 2019 has been viewed as the gold standard in the rehab of an injury that has a history of derailing careers. Durant’s continued to score at a high level in the five seasons since he returned from the Achilles tear, averaging 27.9 points per game over the last five years.
Durant missed the entire 2019-20 season after tearing his Achilles in the 2019 NBA Finals that June. There had been some hope that he could’ve returned when the NBA resumed play following the COVID-19 pause in the summer of 2020, but he ruled himself out as he felt he wasn’t “ready for that type of intensity.” Durant eventually returned to play when the 2020-21 season opened in December 2020, marking an 18-month absence.
Most NBA players who had the injury were sidelined for more than a calendar year, with Kobe Bryant being one of the few exceptions.
Of course, Kobe came back too soon, then got re-injured, missed even more time and then after that his effectiveness on the court plummeted.
Idk about you, but I'd rather see Tatum be a good player after he comes back. That means sitting out a season - like KD did..not coming back after 8-9 months, like Kobe.