Top 10 QB's

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Jaydubb
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Re: Top 10 QB's 

Post#341 » by Jaydubb » Thu Oct 2, 2025 10:22 pm

Mariner wrote:
Jaydubb wrote:
Micah Prescott wrote:An incompletion would effect his passer rating, he has the best passer rating in the NFL. But of course stats can be misleading, be taken out of context, or be the result of another player.

Generally speaking it is extremely difficult to lead the NFL in passer rating and "suck". Or when one QB has 11 TDs (Lamar) and another has only 3 (Tyrod) it is extremely difficult for that to be a misrepresentation of who has done more for their team.

For most of us, or nearly ALL of us, stats are the only thing we can go on. None of us are watching every single game, every single Sunday. And this goes 100X for non-QBs. CBs aren't even on the screen most of the game, if a CB shuts someone down he's basically invisible to the viewer. All we can go on is metrics.

I’m not saying Lamar or anybody sucks.lol I’m just saying there’s context behind stats. Yes an incompletion affects passer rating but so do interceptions. Interceptions actually have a bigger negative effect on passer rating. If a defender drops an easy interception then the only negative value that QB gets is the incompletion. It gives a false sense of “oh that play wasn’t that bad because it’s just an incompletion”. No, the play is bad whether the defender catches it or not..lol

Looking at stats is fine but take it with a grain of salt is all I’m saying.

Dropped INts or INTs resulting in the receiver dropping the ball etc… are accounted for in some stats.
Of course you have to add context. Stats are not the be all end all but they should be weighed much heavier then the eye test.

I know you loved our old convos years ago on the eye test but this is exactly what I was talking about back then. When we didn’t have advanced data to track these things really we just went off basic stats like completions, incompletions, and interceptions.

A dropped interception back then wouldn’t affect a QBs rating much at all even though it might actually be a horrible play by that QB. It’s rare but there’s also times a defender drops an interception and a wr might catch the deflection for a TD. That QB then gets a TD on his stats and is rewarded for his bad play.

Eye test clearly showed that these weren’t good plays even if they had little to no effect on a QBs stat sheet. Now we have some data to back that up.
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Re: Top 10 QB's 

Post#342 » by Jaydubb » Thu Oct 2, 2025 10:24 pm

Micah Prescott wrote:
Jaydubb wrote:
Micah Prescott wrote:An incompletion would effect his passer rating, he has the best passer rating in the NFL. But of course stats can be misleading, be taken out of context, or be the result of another player.

Generally speaking it is extremely difficult to lead the NFL in passer rating and "suck". Or when one QB has 11 TDs (Lamar) and another has only 3 (Tyrod) it is extremely difficult for that to be a misrepresentation of who has done more for their team.

For most of us, or nearly ALL of us, stats are the only thing we can go on. None of us are watching every single game, every single Sunday. And this goes 100X for non-QBs. CBs aren't even on the screen most of the game, if a CB shuts someone down he's basically invisible to the viewer. All we can go on is metrics.

I’m not saying Lamar or anybody sucks.lol I’m just saying there’s context behind stats. Yes an incompletion affects passer rating but so do interceptions. Interceptions actually have a bigger negative effect on passer rating. If a defender drops an easy interception then the only negative value that QB gets is the incompletion. It gives a false sense of “oh that play wasn’t that bad because it’s just an incompletion”. No, the play is bad whether the defender catches it or not..lol

Looking at stats is fine but take it with a grain of salt is all I’m saying.

100% and there is really is no perfect stat.

BUT, I would challenge anyone in here to make good QB rankings WITHOUT looking at stats. It would likely result in a crap list after the top-5, or a list primarily based on which teams are winning this year and last year. And non-QB positions? Forget about it. Could probably name the top-3 of most positions but then after that you're probably screwed without stats.

I’m honestly not a fan of top 10 anything ratings. I think it’s clear some are higher tier than others but like you say here it’s nearly impossible to come up with an accurate list. It’s another thing stats might not tell the whole picture on because if one player has insanely good stats, he might’ve just played a bunch of weak defenses. The opposite could also be true.
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Re: Top 10 QB's 

Post#343 » by Mariner » Thu Oct 2, 2025 11:12 pm

Jaydubb wrote:
Mariner wrote:
Jaydubb wrote:I’m not saying Lamar or anybody sucks.lol I’m just saying there’s context behind stats. Yes an incompletion affects passer rating but so do interceptions. Interceptions actually have a bigger negative effect on passer rating. If a defender drops an easy interception then the only negative value that QB gets is the incompletion. It gives a false sense of “oh that play wasn’t that bad because it’s just an incompletion”. No, the play is bad whether the defender catches it or not..lol

Looking at stats is fine but take it with a grain of salt is all I’m saying.

Dropped INts or INTs resulting in the receiver dropping the ball etc… are accounted for in some stats.
Of course you have to add context. Stats are not the be all end all but they should be weighed much heavier then the eye test.

I know you loved our old convos years ago on the eye test but this is exactly what I was talking about back then. When we didn’t have advanced data to track these things really we just went off basic stats like completions, incompletions, and interceptions.

A dropped interception back then wouldn’t affect a QBs rating much at all even though it might actually be a horrible play by that QB. It’s rare but there’s also times a defender drops an interception and a wr might catch the deflection for a TD. That QB then gets a TD on his stats and is rewarded for his bad play.

Eye test clearly showed that these weren’t good plays even if they had little to no effect on a QBs stat sheet. Now we have some data to back that up.

The eye test is important. We are not robots and statisticians. We watch the games for a reason.
It was never about dismissing the eye test. It was more about properly weighing stats over the eye test.
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Re: Top 10 QB's 

Post#344 » by Jaydubb » Thu Oct 2, 2025 11:17 pm

Mariner wrote:
Jaydubb wrote:
Mariner wrote:Dropped INts or INTs resulting in the receiver dropping the ball etc… are accounted for in some stats.
Of course you have to add context. Stats are not the be all end all but they should be weighed much heavier then the eye test.

I know you loved our old convos years ago on the eye test but this is exactly what I was talking about back then. When we didn’t have advanced data to track these things really we just went off basic stats like completions, incompletions, and interceptions.

A dropped interception back then wouldn’t affect a QBs rating much at all even though it might actually be a horrible play by that QB. It’s rare but there’s also times a defender drops an interception and a wr might catch the deflection for a TD. That QB then gets a TD on his stats and is rewarded for his bad play.

Eye test clearly showed that these weren’t good plays even if they had little to no effect on a QBs stat sheet. Now we have some data to back that up.

The eye test is important. We are not robots and statisticians. We watch the games for a reason.
It was never about dismissing the eye test. It was more about properly weighing stats over the eye test.


I never argued only for the eye test, I’d say both are important but also that some stats can be deceiving on paper but don’t deceive the eye test when you watch the play unfold.

But I do think there’s starting to be more stats that support the eye test like this epa thing. As long as that is measured correctly I trust that more than QBrating for example.
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Re: Top 10 QB's 

Post#345 » by hermes » Yesterday 7:36 pm

how close is wentz to the top 10?

just had a 4th quarter comeback against a pretty good defense with an offensive line made up of guys off the street
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Re: Top 10 QB's 

Post#346 » by GoRapstheoriginal » Yesterday 7:44 pm

DEF NOT Geno Smith :(
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Re: Top 10 QB's 

Post#347 » by QB_Eagles » Yesterday 8:09 pm

hermes wrote:how close is wentz to the top 10?

just had a 4th quarter comeback against a pretty good defense with an offensive line made up of guys off the street

He's in the Top 10 after the Top 10 after the Top 10.
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Re: Top 10 QB's 

Post#348 » by Jaydubb » Yesterday 9:18 pm

QB_Eagles wrote:
hermes wrote:how close is wentz to the top 10?

just had a 4th quarter comeback against a pretty good defense with an offensive line made up of guys off the street

He's in the Top 10 after the Top 10 after the Top 10.

Top 30
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Re: Top 10 QB's 

Post#349 » by QB_Eagles » Yesterday 9:22 pm

Jaydubb wrote:
QB_Eagles wrote:
hermes wrote:how close is wentz to the top 10?

just had a 4th quarter comeback against a pretty good defense with an offensive line made up of guys off the street

He's in the Top 10 after the Top 10 after the Top 10.

Top 30

Top 30 but not the Top 20
Jaydubb
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Re: Top 10 QB's 

Post#350 » by Jaydubb » Yesterday 9:23 pm

QB_Eagles wrote:
Jaydubb wrote:
QB_Eagles wrote:He's in the Top 10 after the Top 10 after the Top 10.

Top 30

Top 30 but not the Top 20

Top 30 but not top 29
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Re: Top 10 QB's 

Post#351 » by Mr Swagtastic » Today 1:07 am

Is it crazy to put Daniel Jones in the top 4? I think it's Herbert, Josh Allen, Stafford and Dak has snuck his way into the top 5. He's been very good
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