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Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV

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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#281 » by payitforward » Sat Oct 18, 2025 1:14 pm

Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:...I'm posting to say right now that Nique Clifford is far better than Tre...

This has got to be the weirdest thread ever....

At Tre's age, Freshman Nique Clifford played a total of 54 minutes! In those minutes he posted a TS% of 27.7%.

Wow, huh? :)

Does this mean Clifford can't become a good NBA player? Of course it doesn't!

Hence, whadd'ya think? Perhaps we should stop writing off Tre Johnson?
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#282 » by nate33 » Sat Oct 18, 2025 2:57 pm

Tre is going to be just fine. I'm actually liking his on ball defense so far this preseason. His off ball defense is a mess, but that's expected with young players. Offensively, he just needs to get stronger. He has toothpicks for arms right now and he's not effective enough at creating space when defenders crowd him. He also looks a bit rushed as he adjusts to the speed of the NBA. That's also very common. Let's see how he looks after he has 20 games under his belt. I think those 3's and floaters will start to drop.
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#283 » by 9 and 20 » Sat Oct 18, 2025 3:13 pm

I don't think anyone is writing Tre off completely, only that he doesn't look very good out there right now. He looked good against summer league scrubs and not so much in preseason, against a mix of NBA starters and backups. Not that controversial, imo. He seems like a hard worker, is very young, and was good in college so chances are he gets better at the season goes on - hopefully that happens.
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#284 » by closg00 » Sat Oct 18, 2025 4:03 pm

Early observation qualification (relax board minders)

Tres is out there kind of floundering around operating within an offense that never gets off the ground, he is putting-in good effort, but like Bub, he doesn't have the juke-moves/quickness/strength YET to beat NBA defenders, he is taking some tough shots, but also missing good looks. The team needs a point guard and offense that will benefit Tre and Bub's strengths, we need a Point Guard and new coach, otherwise this group will never reach its potential. My two cents.
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#285 » by payitforward » Sat Oct 18, 2025 4:56 pm

Why do we need a new coach I wonder? Because we're 1-2 in pre-season?
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#286 » by Northwest Roddy » Sat Oct 18, 2025 7:58 pm

Tre isn’t passing my eye test, but Tre is a smidge shorter and lighter than SGA. In his rookie year, SGA averaged just under 11 points a game. I’m a Bullets/Wiz fan for almost 50 years so am, naturally, an undying optimist. Let’s see how his rookie year goes. Tre is a hard worker.

If not, let’s get balco on the phone and get him on some Hulk Hogan vitamins.
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#287 » by Northwest Roddy » Sat Oct 18, 2025 7:59 pm

closg00 wrote:Early observation qualification (relax board minders)

Tres is out there kind of floundering around operating within an offense that never gets off the ground, he is putting-in good effort, but like Bub, he doesn't have the juke-moves/quickness/strength YET to beat NBA defenders, he is taking some tough shots, but also missing good looks. The team needs a point guard and offense that will benefit Tre and Bub's strengths, we need a Point Guard and new coach, otherwise this group will never reach its potential. My two cents.

You are totally right. With a better point guard and a better structured offense, he would certainly look much better.
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#288 » by Northwest Roddy » Sat Oct 18, 2025 8:01 pm

nate33 wrote:Tre is going to be just fine. I'm actually liking his on ball defense so far this preseason. His off ball defense is a mess, but that's expected with young players. Offensively, he just needs to get stronger. He has toothpicks for arms right now and he's not effective enough at creating space when defenders crowd him. He also looks a bit rushed as he adjusts to the speed of the NBA. That's also very common. Let's see how he looks after he has 20 games under his belt. I think those 3's and floaters will start to drop.

Once again, Nate’s cool logic pulls me back from the ledge.
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#289 » by tontoz » Sat Oct 18, 2025 8:14 pm

I am not worried about his jumper at all, from anywhere. He has a quick, high release and routinely makes contested jumpers. He attempted 7 3s a game in college against defenses that were game planning to prevent them and still shot 40%.

I just think he needs to change his approach trying to finish inside. Instead of going up quickly I would like to see him keep his pivot foot down and be patient. Force the defender to commit before going up.
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#290 » by AFM » Sat Oct 18, 2025 8:24 pm

In the first week or two Tre is gonna have a game where he hits like 5 3s and everyone is going to magically stop fretting
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#291 » by The Consiglieri » Sun Oct 19, 2025 2:12 am

payitforward wrote:Why are so many of you taking this kid apart?
It's just the identical opposite from a bunch of people predicting greatness from him before he'd ever played an NBA minute! :)

No one has the slightest idea how this young man will fare in the league.


Probably because we got completely hosed out of 1 of Flagg, Harper, Edgecome or Bailey, and with Flagg, Harper and Bailey (not aware of what's happening with Edgecombe) all killing it, any hint that the miracle rise to potentially 3rd on some boards of Tre down the stretch being a fools errand of post-college season nonsense hype b.s. is freaking people out. Could it just be yet another example of someone who was clearly 2 tiers below the top guys (the big 3+1), being hyped up with offseason workouts, rather than actual in game data, and so its all illusory horse ----?

That's what's happening.

People want the good news breadcrumbs that comes in off-season, and with summer league and preseason performance, the long slog of waiting for huge sample sizes of data is something few can bare to stomach knowing we already got totally ----ed in the only lottery that really mattered for us the past decade AN ABSOLUTE TON. This is rampant anxiety basically, and because some of it is based on logic and reason, it's more sticky than the sort of anxiety my mother bothered me with for hours today lol.

For me, I'm gonna panic if he clearly is just what I feared in terms of overall impact (again, not a player comp, just an impact comp), which was Cal Cheney of 32 years ago, but I'm gonna give Tre a lot of rope until I panic. It would just be so so so much more comfortable if he gave us the sort of stuff the big 4 of this class are clearly giving, which is they are what the scouts thought they were: STUDS. It would be nice if Tre just rained 3 pointers and jumpers in the face of everyone left and right all day, but we will have to wait I guess. I'm not gonna panic until at least 50 games, and even then I'll have some hope unless it goes the way of Johnny Davis lol, which it won't.

Personally I'm just irate. We deserved luck for once, and instead we got prison ---- from the lottery. A franchise tortured for 45 years got yet another kick straight in the nuts last may, and who knows, maybe another kick comes next may. That, for me anyway, is my frustration. Why in the ---- did ----ing San Antonio, who had already landed 3 generational big men in thirty years, have to also freaking land a generational PG prospect? Why did Philly, who got gifted how many --- damned top 3 picks the past decade have to get a top pick too? How did freaking DALLAS, Dallas, have to have a rigged lottery, or the biggest bull---- timed pile of luck land in their laps too? Was it not enough that they won a title and have played for a title 3 times in 20 years? Do we have to suffer for freaking 100 years? WTF?!?!?! Sanguine is a feeling I've literally never had in my entire life as a Wizards fan.

That's part of the reason I'm amazed at you. You're not 50 like me. You should be even less patient with the bull--- lottery flattening that was patently obviously designed to make rich teams richer, and totally screw over franchises like ours, suffering FOREVER. But you're patience. I need what you're drinking, PLEASE :).
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#292 » by penbeast0 » Sun Oct 19, 2025 12:17 pm

First: Tre didn't just kill it in offseason workouts, he was a genuine college standout as a freshman. Probably more so than Harper or Bailey though they were higher rated in high school. They are the ones that showed more in measurements, and skill workouts and were drafted higher because of it.

Second: No signs that Harper is a generation point guard prospect that I've seen. Good prospect, good size, good downhill ability, we will see whether he develops the court vision or 3 point ability of a top level point guard but he hasn't proven those things yet. I think he's getting a bit overhyped.
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#293 » by payitforward » Sun Oct 19, 2025 1:09 pm

The Consiglieri wrote:
payitforward wrote:Why are so many of you taking this kid apart?
It's just the identical opposite from a bunch of people predicting greatness from him before he'd ever played an NBA minute! :)

No one has the slightest idea how this young man will fare in the league.


Probably because we got completely hosed out of 1 of Flagg, Harper, Edgecome or Bailey, and with Flagg, Harper and Bailey (not aware of what's happening with Edgecombe) all killing it, any hint that the miracle rise to potentially 3rd on some boards of Tre down the stretch being a fools errand of post-college season nonsense hype b.s. is freaking people out. Could it just be yet another example of someone who was clearly 2 tiers below the top guys (the big 3+1), being hyped up with offseason workouts, rather than actual in game data, and so its all illusory horse ----?

That's what's happening.

People want the good news breadcrumbs that comes in off-season, and with summer league and preseason performance, the long slog of waiting for huge sample sizes of data is something few can bare to stomach knowing we already got totally ----ed in the only lottery that really mattered for us the past decade AN ABSOLUTE TON. This is rampant anxiety basically, and because some of it is based on logic and reason, it's more sticky than the sort of anxiety my mother bothered me with for hours today lol.

For me, I'm gonna panic if he clearly is just what I feared in terms of overall impact (again, not a player comp, just an impact comp), which was Cal Cheney of 32 years ago, but I'm gonna give Tre a lot of rope until I panic. It would just be so so so much more comfortable if he gave us the sort of stuff the big 4 of this class are clearly giving, which is they are what the scouts thought they were: STUDS. It would be nice if Tre just rained 3 pointers and jumpers in the face of everyone left and right all day, but we will have to wait I guess. I'm not gonna panic until at least 50 games, and even then I'll have some hope unless it goes the way of Johnny Davis lol, which it won't.

Personally I'm just irate. We deserved luck for once, and instead we got prison ---- from the lottery. A franchise tortured for 45 years got yet another kick straight in the nuts last may, and who knows, maybe another kick comes next may. That, for me anyway, is my frustration. Why in the ---- did ----ing San Antonio, who had already landed 3 generational big men in thirty years, have to also freaking land a generational PG prospect? Why did Philly, who got gifted how many --- damned top 3 picks the past decade have to get a top pick too? How did freaking DALLAS, Dallas, have to have a rigged lottery, or the biggest bull---- timed pile of luck land in their laps too? Was it not enough that they won a title and have played for a title 3 times in 20 years? Do we have to suffer for freaking 100 years? WTF?!?!?! Sanguine is a feeling I've literally never had in my entire life as a Wizards fan.

That's part of the reason I'm amazed at you. You're not 50 like me. You should be even less patient with the bull--- lottery flattening that was patently obviously designed to make rich teams richer, and totally screw over franchises like ours, suffering FOREVER. But you're patience. I need what you're drinking, PLEASE :).

Rebuilding is an inherently dynamic, & therefore interesting, process. & an uncertain one -- lottery or no lottery.

Suppose we'd gotten Amen Thompson in '23 instead of Bilal. Would the rebuild be further along? Yep, it would -- that kid is terrific! But our record in '22-23 (35-47) meant that we had extremely long odds of moving up in the lottery. Can't complain that we didn't get Wemby. Our record would have put us at 6, where Anthony Black was taken; instead, we traded up from 8 to take Bilal at 7.

Would we be further along if we'd stayed at 8 & taken Cason Wallace or Derrick Lively? Meh.... maybe a little?

But Amen went 4th that year. How about if we'd traded up further & taken Brandon Miller (2) or Scoot Henderson (3)...? Not so much.... :)

Obviously, we did ok in the '24 lottery.

So... what this comes down to is the fact that tied for the worst record last year, the lottery screwed us. Not only didn't we get Flagg, but we clearly missed on the other 2 seemingly (i.e. so far) elite prospects (Harper & Ace).

Fair to complain, but it doesn't take us very far, & the data from the previous couple of years clearly looks different.

As to age (& I'm 83 not 80), one thing it teaches you is to find ways to enjoy the present! :)
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#294 » by The Consiglieri » Tue Oct 21, 2025 3:11 pm

penbeast0 wrote:First: Tre didn't just kill it in offseason workouts, he was a genuine college standout as a freshman. Probably more so than Harper or Bailey though they were higher rated in high school. They are the ones that showed more in measurements, and skill workouts and were drafted higher because of it.

Second: No signs that Harper is a generation point guard prospect that I've seen. Good prospect, good size, good downhill ability, we will see whether he develops the court vision or 3 point ability of a top level point guard but he hasn't proven those things yet. I think he's getting a bit overhyped.


He was also a pretty meh to crap defender in college which is one of two key reasons teams didn't have him in the same tiers as the Flagg, and Harper/VJ/ Bailey tiers), and that would be defense (yes I know he was asked to carry the offensive load, and so took time off under heavy usage on d, and I know he has the measurements to at least be average in time, but there's a fundamental difference between an argument for an elite defender, a good defender, and elite measurables for defense, and "maybe he becomes solid due to his measurables and less heavy usage" take on a players defense and defensive potential) and athleticism.

Tre's got his ticket to success, it's highly unlikely he busts, but the ceiling was always lower than the big 4 because of the athletic and defensive short comings. No doubt the higher floor than Bailey, but definitely not the higher ceiling than any of those 4.

I think you're the first person I've come across that views Harper as good, rather than elite. I'm not saying Harper's a locked in 1.01 for any draft, but he'd be the 1.01 in most solid to good drafts, and he is generally tiered out similarly to guys like Ant, Ja, and the like from their classes, and I think he has a greater upside than Ja if not Ant.

Theathletic did a nice piece on Tre Johnson repeatedly talking to scouts about him, they generally really like him, see high likely outcomes, but like me, they seem skeptical of stardom, view him as the 3rd guy on a legit team, and this draft had 4 guys who had top 2 guy potential (and when I say that, I mean "reasonably likely", obviously there are guys peppered throughout the draft with high ceilings, but far less likely projected outcome that would reach such heights, whereas the big 4 in this class were generally seen as 40%+ and better to spit ball it, whereas as a say, Maluach, could have a through the roof outcome, but it's far less likely).

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6720995/2025/10/16/tre-johnson-what-scouts-are-saying/

Beyond frustrating as a wizards fan/victim to just perenially be screwed in this way. It's possible I'm wrong on his ceiling, I hope so, but I think the rush up the charts you saw with his prospect status from consensus 5th-7th (depending upon how high people had Kon ranked) to as high as 3rd on some boards, like Vecennie, is going to most likely disappear, and he'll settle in amongst the second or third tier of this class beyond the studs (Flagg+er's). Pray I'm wrong, but that is definitely the most likely outcome.
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#295 » by doclinkin » Tue Oct 21, 2025 4:11 pm

The Consiglieri wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:
Second: No signs that Harper is a generation point guard prospect that I've seen. Good prospect, good size, good downhill ability, we will see whether he develops the court vision or 3 point ability of a top level point guard but he hasn't proven those things yet. I think he's getting a bit overhyped.


I think you're the first person I've come across that views Harper as good, rather than elite. I'm not saying Harper's a locked in 1.01 for any draft, but he'd be the 1.01 in most solid to good drafts, and he is generally tiered out similarly to guys like Ant, Ja, and the like from their classes, and I think he has a greater upside than Ja if not Ant.



Me. I agree with the penbeast assessment. Said so in the run up to the draft. I wanted Ace over him.

I think he’s a high floor player since he was born into the game. His understanding of the game is ahead of most. Handle. Ability to get his shot up in traffic. Split defenses. All high rankings.

But his athleticism isn’t on the Ja Antman tier you cite. He’s not powering over players or blowing past them with footspeed. He’s Cade Cunningham without a 3pt shot. And it’s not like he was shutting down opponents on defense in college either.

Maybe he develops that shot. Maybe he grows his already high tier on ball game to draw fouls on the SGA trajectory. But he’s an on ball player without extended range who doesn’t yet make the players around him better. A big combo guard who needs the ball to be useful. Now he’s lucked into a situation with a god tier talent as a passing target. But I don’t see the synergy between him and Castle. There’s a reason he came off the bench in preseason. Until one of those two adds reliable range you can’t really play them together. Well unless Wemby is hitting 50% from 3 like he can.
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#296 » by doclinkin » Tue Oct 21, 2025 4:12 pm

As for Tre

Look. I wanted Ace, would trade up to get him. I wanted Maluach if we stuck where we were. Flagg of course if we won. Wouldn’t hate on Harper if we caught him. But Tre as a consolation prize is not worth wearing a hair shirt and bemoaning the fates. If he lives up to scouts expectations he’s a player that every team needs. A high volume high efficiency gunner with extended range. A clutch time option who can score regardless of the defense.

Granted we haven’t seen it yet. He’s caught in a guard reshuffle with Bub CJ Key Kispert and even Riley making a play for minutes there. But Vets CJ and Middleton give him the nod as a true shooter. He definitely can get his shot up quick and clean. You expect a rookie to struggle to recalibrate against bigger quicker players and longer range. But the shot looks real. It will fall.

He needs muscle of course but again he’s a workout demon. If coaches say he needs to add strength I have no doubt he’ll put in the work. Check the transformation of a guy like Kyshawn under this management. He’s young. He will grow.

Remember he is one of two players in our draft who reclassified to jump early. (Our own Will Riley). Tre will be a teenager until March 7th. Our last game of the year is April 12. So for all but one month of the season he’ll still be a baby. He’s got years of growth left.

That’s the plan though. Draft a class of NBA interns. College undergrads working on their degree in professional ball. Then give them on the job training to grow up together. We have doubled down on youth every year because we can’t afford to risk the Knicks pick. And the Suns swap.

Tre was not my pick in the run up to the draft. But his profile is a natural fit on any team. A QuickDraw gunner with range who can hit off the dribble or off the catch. That player fits next to anybody we draft next year. Much as I like Ace they’ve had to design an offense where he doesn’t have to dribble or make decisions within the scheme. And like I said with Harper, if you can’t play him next to last years ROY then it’s awkward for building a team. Not Tre. If he comes as advertised he makes the stars around him better. KG wouldn’t have a ring without Ray Allen.

And it will be nice if the Wiz have finally drafted a player who doesn’t have to be taught to shoot the ball.

Anyway. Will Riley is going to make your complaints moot. In a future redraft of this year Willy J Ball is going to be top 5 in the hindsight shoulda coulda yammering. Book it. 6’10” point guard. Defining a new archetype where teams try to emulate the ‘Wizards model’ of drafting young long skilled smart players to bring up through the system. A system where anybody gets touches if they show they can handle it. And Riley exemplifying it, playing with poise and savvy vision and range. Passing over the heads of defenders to find Tre in the corner for that sweet 3 when you need it.

We just have some work to do between now and all that future stuff.
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#297 » by Zonkerbl » Tue Oct 21, 2025 4:50 pm

The Consiglieri wrote:
payitforward wrote:Why are so many of you taking this kid apart?
It's just the identical opposite from a bunch of people predicting greatness from him before he'd ever played an NBA minute! :)

No one has the slightest idea how this young man will fare in the league.


Probably because we got completely hosed out of 1 of Flagg, Harper, Edgecome or Bailey, and with Flagg, Harper and Bailey (not aware of what's happening with Edgecombe) all killing it, any hint that the miracle rise to potentially 3rd on some boards of Tre down the stretch being a fools errand of post-college season nonsense hype b.s. is freaking people out. Could it just be yet another example of someone who was clearly 2 tiers below the top guys (the big 3+1), being hyped up with offseason workouts, rather than actual in game data, and so its all illusory horse ----?

That's what's happening.

People want the good news breadcrumbs that comes in off-season, and with summer league and preseason performance, the long slog of waiting for huge sample sizes of data is something few can bare to stomach knowing we already got totally ----ed in the only lottery that really mattered for us the past decade AN ABSOLUTE TON. This is rampant anxiety basically, and because some of it is based on logic and reason, it's more sticky than the sort of anxiety my mother bothered me with for hours today lol.

For me, I'm gonna panic if he clearly is just what I feared in terms of overall impact (again, not a player comp, just an impact comp), which was Cal Cheney of 32 years ago, but I'm gonna give Tre a lot of rope until I panic. It would just be so so so much more comfortable if he gave us the sort of stuff the big 4 of this class are clearly giving, which is they are what the scouts thought they were: STUDS. It would be nice if Tre just rained 3 pointers and jumpers in the face of everyone left and right all day, but we will have to wait I guess. I'm not gonna panic until at least 50 games, and even then I'll have some hope unless it goes the way of Johnny Davis lol, which it won't.

Personally I'm just irate. We deserved luck for once, and instead we got prison ---- from the lottery. A franchise tortured for 45 years got yet another kick straight in the nuts last may, and who knows, maybe another kick comes next may. That, for me anyway, is my frustration. Why in the ---- did ----ing San Antonio, who had already landed 3 generational big men in thirty years, have to also freaking land a generational PG prospect? Why did Philly, who got gifted how many --- damned top 3 picks the past decade have to get a top pick too? How did freaking DALLAS, Dallas, have to have a rigged lottery, or the biggest bull---- timed pile of luck land in their laps too? Was it not enough that they won a title and have played for a title 3 times in 20 years? Do we have to suffer for freaking 100 years? WTF?!?!?! Sanguine is a feeling I've literally never had in my entire life as a Wizards fan.

That's part of the reason I'm amazed at you. You're not 50 like me. You should be even less patient with the bull--- lottery flattening that was patently obviously designed to make rich teams richer, and totally screw over franchises like ours, suffering FOREVER. But you're patience. I need what you're drinking, PLEASE :).


oh you HAD TO BRING UP CAL CHEANEY

uuuuuuuuugh
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#298 » by penbeast0 » Tue Oct 21, 2025 5:39 pm

The Consiglieri wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:First: Tre didn't just kill it in offseason workouts, he was a genuine college standout as a freshman. Probably more so than Harper or Bailey though they were higher rated in high school. They are the ones that showed more in measurements, and skill workouts and were drafted higher because of it.

Second: No signs that Harper is a generation point guard prospect that I've seen. Good prospect, good size, good downhill ability, we will see whether he develops the court vision or 3 point ability of a top level point guard but he hasn't proven those things yet. I think he's getting a bit overhyped.


He was also a pretty meh to crap defender in college which is one of two key reasons teams didn't have him in the same tiers as the Flagg, and Harper/VJ/ Bailey tiers), and that would be defense (yes I know he was asked to carry the offensive load, and so took time off under heavy usage on d, and I know he has the measurements to at least be average in time, but there's a fundamental difference between an argument for an elite defender, a good defender, and elite measurables for defense, and "maybe he becomes solid due to his measurables and less heavy usage" take on a players defense and defensive potential) and athleticism.

Tre's got his ticket to success, it's highly unlikely he busts, but the ceiling was always lower than the big 4 because of the athletic and defensive short comings. No doubt the higher floor than Bailey, but definitely not the higher ceiling than any of those 4.

I think you're the first person I've come across that views Harper as good, rather than elite. I'm not saying Harper's a locked in 1.01 for any draft, but he'd be the 1.01 in most solid to good drafts, and he is generally tiered out similarly to guys like Ant, Ja, and the like from their classes, and I think he has a greater upside than Ja if not Ant.

Theathletic did a nice piece on Tre Johnson repeatedly talking to scouts about him, they generally really like him, see high likely outcomes, but like me, they seem skeptical of stardom, view him as the 3rd guy on a legit team, and this draft had 4 guys who had top 2 guy potential (and when I say that, I mean "reasonably likely", obviously there are guys peppered throughout the draft with high ceilings, but far less likely projected outcome that would reach such heights, whereas the big 4 in this class were generally seen as 40%+ and better to spit ball it, whereas as a say, Maluach, could have a through the roof outcome, but it's far less likely).

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6720995/2025/10/16/tre-johnson-what-scouts-are-saying/

Beyond frustrating as a wizards fan/victim to just perenially be screwed in this way. It's possible I'm wrong on his ceiling, I hope so, but I think the rush up the charts you saw with his prospect status from consensus 5th-7th (depending upon how high people had Kon ranked) to as high as 3rd on some boards, like Vecennie, is going to most likely disappear, and he'll settle in amongst the second or third tier of this class beyond the studs (Flagg+er's). Pray I'm wrong, but that is definitely the most likely outcome.


I agree that Harper was consistently rated higher than Tre but from what I read pre-draft, he was also consistently rated second tier, much closer to Tre than to a Cooper Flagg type. My reading of the draft was

Flagg
. . .
Harper
Edgecomb
Tre Johnson
Bailey (higher if you believed he wanted to play for you)
. . .
Malauch
Kueppel
etc.

I thought we were screwed by the lottery, yes, and we needed a PG of which Harper is the only one likely to be a playmaker, much more than we needed a wing scorer. But I also thought that Charlotte reaching for Kueppel early saved us and let us still bring in a tier 2 draftee. Is he more than a Tyler Herro type? Will he even become that? I don't know. Some guys have looked good so far (including Malauch and Kueppel), he has not and that's worrisome.

But he was a dynamic shooter as a college freshman, not a guy who didn't produce in college but was picked because of workouts and measurements, which was my main point. Whether that translates to the pros, I don't claim to know. My record of draft predictions is not very good so I'm more in a wait and see and hope mode.
“Most people use statistics like a drunk man uses a lamppost; more for support than illumination,” Andrew Lang.
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#299 » by tontoz » Tue Oct 21, 2025 5:53 pm

Anyone that watched Harper understands why he was the consensus number 2. I had him at 1 early in the season when Cooper was struggling with his jumper. Harper's ability to get to the rim and finish is better than any college player in recent memory.

The most impressive game i saw from anyone all season was Harper shredding Alabama the night after shredding Notre Dame. I remember the broadcaster before the game talking about how impressive Harper was against Notre Dame but then added 'but he hasn't faced a defense like Alabama.' Then Harper dropped 37 on Alabama without making a 3. After that teams started doubling Harper a lot.

Harper was absolutely an elite prospect but he wasn't an option for us. I am not at all convinced that Flagg with be better than Harper. I do think the Spurs are a bad fit for him which might slow him down temporarily.
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Re: Tre Johnson: welcome to the DMV 

Post#300 » by FAH1223 » Yesterday 8:54 am

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Northwest Roddy wrote:Tre isn’t passing my eye test, but Tre is a smidge shorter and lighter than SGA. In his rookie year, SGA averaged just under 11 points a game. I’m a Bullets/Wiz fan for almost 50 years so am, naturally, an undying optimist. Let’s see how his rookie year goes. Tre is a hard worker.

If not, let’s get balco on the phone and get him on some Hulk Hogan vitamins.


Tre passes the eye test to me. He put some moves on Scottie Barnes and Ron Holland that show me he has a bag.

And by all accounts, he is obsessed with basketball and becoming a great player. So I'm not too worried about him. He will struggle but he'll show the flashes.
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