Post#108 » by tsherkin » Tue Oct 28, 2025 4:30 pm
Yak isn't super healthy and we're 4 games into the season, so I'm not too worried at the moment. We were never going to be amazing, and there are runs like this in a season where you win a little over 40 games. So that's still quite attainable at this point. We'll see what happens. Our D isn't good. It's actually worse so far than it was last year, which is likely an indicator that there's some normalization to occur as we go forward. Our O has been near-neutral, which would be a large improvement compared to last year. We're 20th at Net -3.3 at the moment. We've also been playing at the 3rd-highest pace in the league, so we'll see what happens (I say for the Nth time, heh).
We aren't going to be a particularly good team this year. I think most of us knew that. Except on the outside of things, most people were projecting 36-43 wins, or thereabouts, which is a pretty reasonable feel for this squad. Last year, teams that had a net rating of -2.8 to -3.1 won 34, 36 and 36 games, so that's on point for the low end if we don't improve at all. Which we ought to do, really, as the season progresses and we start finding some level of identity and rotation and all that.
It was always going to be a long road up, folks. On the plus side, Quick will find his 3, BI probably will too, Poeltl should get healthier, and maybe we'll see more from CMB. We'll see what Scottie's usage and approach looks like, but it's been pretty reasonable so far, which is also encouraging.