JN wrote:Mehar wrote:JN wrote:
I see your point that they should spend a fair bit more. That being said there still is a budget though -- say they increase their payroll by 15% that will us about $75m to spend.
Back in late September I did an analysis as follows:
- Jays are shedding about $75M of salaries this offsesason.
- That being said they are adding $40M in salaries to their current roster (raises in arb, jumps in contract such as Vlad, staggered salaries like Santander and Hoffman)
- So the net of the above is $35M
I also figured due to the success of the season they would increase payroll by at least $20 million, giving us $55M to spend on players this offseason.
That being said with the success of this season I can see them going up by $40 million (about 15%). That gives us $75M to spend, be it on Bo, Bieber, outside,
Add to that the additional 12 million or so by declining the arbitration on stiffs like Little and Varsho, and letting these two bums walk. Jays will have a good amount of money to spend this off-season to potentially be a very good team again for 2026.
Little is not arbitration eligible. He is a minimum player -- so whether its him or someone else in his spot that is a wash. But I think now that he has been "figured" out in terms of how he works currently., he is going to have a tough climb back.
As for Varsho, they are not declining his arbitration. At $10-$12M it is a perfectly fine deal.
There is a large middle ground between Randle's "He is our Team MVP". and Mehar's "He is a stiff, let's boot him out". And that middle ground is his next contract at around $12M or so. That's perfectly reasonable for what he brings. Or you offer him arbitration and trade him - you will get some value back.
The jays would be insanely stupid to decline Varshos arbitration lmfao like even if we got one of the FA OFs (Cody, Tucker, Bader) it would be to add to lineup and replace the Lukes spot. We are probably gonna go for it and having a cheap 3.5-4.0ish fWar player who came off a .833 OPS season while being still one of the best defensive players in the sport is extremely valuable. I think his arm will be better next year as well. Plus we have Satandar in RF so having an elite defender seems like a must.
