Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread)

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MVP in 25-26?

Jokic
90
26%
SGA
37
11%
Luka
68
20%
Giannis
47
14%
Edwards
4
1%
Wembanyama
78
23%
Mobley
2
1%
Brunson
3
1%
Davis
0
No votes
Other (post below)
17
5%
 
Total votes: 346

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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1001 » by bbms » Yesterday 5:50 pm

Snake3 wrote:
MMyhre wrote:
Special_Puppy wrote:
SGA has the best supporting cast in the NBA

And yet the Thunder offense is -19.8 points worse per 100 possessions when Shai sits. That's higher than Jokic by the way.
It's about time we focus less on the supporting cast narrative, and start realizing that Shai is a generational player that is about to his his peak years.

He is getting better this season and closing in on 40 % from three for the season (averaging 2.9 threes made on 48.9 % in his last 8 games), with a lot of those shots being stepback threes in the clutch. He is also on pace to have the best volume shooting season from 10-16 feet in NBA history, surpassing Durant in 22-23. He is leading the 25-26 clutch stats by a shitton.

He is just a beast and the race is going to be between him and Jokic, again. Luka is third, Wemby & Giannis are likely out as their teams will lose a lot without them, with too bad of a record to compete with the top 2.


Yeah, SGA is a +20.6 offensively. That's better than Jokic is who is currently a +19.4. The fact that SGA even matches up or surpasses Jokic in the offensive category is a testament to not only how good he is, but how much the team relies on him. But Giannis is better than both of them in that regard and is a +21.8. He won't get any nods to mvp because his team won't be nearly as good as the other two, and he is probably the most injury-prone out of the three.

I think all the top 4-5 mvp candidates are great in their regard. It's natural to nitpick. So the supporting cast will always play a role in it. The better the teammates are or the better on court chemistry you have will help the individual on the court and/or help your team win games. Sometimes the lower the +/- stats are the indicator of how good the team is. You always have to use context with it.

With Jokic, for example, he has more guys who could hide and help on defense. And the team has a different defensive coach from last year. So, his defensive impact numbers should be better than last year, even though his rim protection is still net zero or slightly worse.


sure there is sample size issues, i expect jokic to overcome shai as the season goes on on the offensive end. but as of now in this limited sample size shai is in all serious impact metrics a hair above jokic offensively.

and that means a lot since i have jokic as arguably the best offensive player of all time and to thing sga simply exists in that realm, in that wavelenght of offensive performance and impact just blows my mind and make me very happy.

of course the thunder would be a playoff team without shai (with jdub), mostly riding on all time defensive effort (which shai is a strong contributor). what happens is that shai elevates an offense that would have trouble getting close to league average, to a consistent top 5 unit. in fact daigneault has managed a portion of his playing time with g league level players such as barnhizer, dieng, carlson, and an nba lineup with all those guys together shouldn't even survive an nba floor and they do because shai manages to make them competitive on his own.
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1002 » by Eightnineborn » Yesterday 7:57 pm

Lmao Don isnt even in the list and you have that stick dumb head overrated weirdo with zero personality in Mobley ? Im so done with this overrated bum. More so mentally. Yuck.
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1003 » by Exp0sed » Yesterday 9:12 pm

Jokic and SGA are neck to neck again,this race will probably go down to wire, between the two

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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1004 » by CobraCommander » Today 2:26 am

Cubbies2120 wrote:
CobraCommander wrote:
Cubbies2120 wrote:
Isn't that just a product of coach rotations though (SGA sitting the 4th)?

Up until two games ago they were both averaging exactly 33.9 minutes, both having 33.9 minutes to 'fill up the stat sheet and carry the load'.

I'd be shocked if they are more than 1.5 mpg apart by the end of the season. Would mean Jokic wasn't getting as much rest as hoped for. He's down 2.2 MPG from last season, ideally he's playing 32-33 MPG.

Sga putting up 9 shots is indicative of him not stat padding in a win. The voters won’t remember, they will
Just look at the raw numbers and give the nod to the person with the best numbers and narrative.


Despite only taking 9 shots last game (not stat padding), SGA has attempted 84 more FG's than Jokic, despite playing only 47 more minutes so far.

Jokic takes fewer shots per game and jokic has played less games…
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1005 » by Profound23 » Today 2:34 pm

Bucks offensive rating with Giannis on the floor is higher than any team with their star player (including Denver with Joker)
Bucks defensive rating without Giannis on the floor is lower than any team without their star player (including Denver without Joker)
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1006 » by Cubbies2120 » Today 3:10 pm

Profound23 wrote:Bucks offensive rating with Giannis on the floor is higher than any team with their star player (including Denver with Joker)
Bucks defensive rating without Giannis on the floor is lower than any team without their star player (including Denver without Joker)


What's the source for this?

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/2026-nba-player-offensive-rating-rankings
https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/2026-nba-player-defensive-rating-rankings
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1007 » by Optms » Today 4:22 pm

MVP Shai with another GOAT level season coming up.

No J-Dub and Chet missing 4 games, but he has the Thunder on pace to eclipse 70 wins. Even Curry needed Klay to stay healthy to break the Bulls record. Back to back MVP's and Finals MVPs coming up. What can't this guy do.
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1008 » by Doctor MJ » Today 4:22 pm

Cubbies2120 wrote:
Profound23 wrote:Bucks offensive rating with Giannis on the floor is higher than any team with their star player (including Denver with Joker)
Bucks defensive rating without Giannis on the floor is lower than any team without their star player (including Denver without Joker)


What's the source for this?

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/2026-nba-player-offensive-rating-rankings
https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/2026-nba-player-defensive-rating-rankings


So, first, I think Stat Muses is giving you Dean Oliver's Offensive & Defensive Rating, as opposed to team Offensive & Defensive points per 100 possessions when the player is playing.

If I go on the current numbers from nba.com here are some key big minute players:

Jokic (DEN) 126.9
Randle (MIN) 125.4
Shai (OKC) 124.3
Giannis (MIL) 123.5
Sengun (HOU) 123.4

So by those numbers, the statement about Giannis being higher than Jokic & Shai is wrong... but not by a ton, and it is certainly quite impressive.
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1009 » by jg77 » Today 4:36 pm

Optms wrote:MVP Shai with another GOAT level season coming up.

No J-Dub and Chet missing 4 games, but he has the Thunder on pace to eclipse 70 wins. Even Curry needed Klay to stay healthy to break the Bulls record. Back to back MVP's and Finals MVPs coming up. What can't this guy do.


If they get to 74 wins then how can you not give it to SGA?
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1010 » by bbms » Today 4:47 pm

i really hope the thunder don't win vs the jazz :lol:

between that pick and shai's mvp, i'm taking the pick all day everyday
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1011 » by Exp0sed » Today 5:18 pm

jg77 wrote:
Optms wrote:MVP Shai with another GOAT level season coming up.

No J-Dub and Chet missing 4 games, but he has the Thunder on pace to eclipse 70 wins. Even Curry needed Klay to stay healthy to break the Bulls record. Back to back MVP's and Finals MVPs coming up. What can't this guy do.


If they get to 74 wins then how can you not give it to SGA?


if the Thunder win 74 games, SGA will win MVP no question
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1012 » by mademan » Today 5:44 pm

Exp0sed wrote:
jg77 wrote:
Optms wrote:MVP Shai with another GOAT level season coming up.

No J-Dub and Chet missing 4 games, but he has the Thunder on pace to eclipse 70 wins. Even Curry needed Klay to stay healthy to break the Bulls record. Back to back MVP's and Finals MVPs coming up. What can't this guy do.


If they get to 74 wins then how can you not give it to SGA?


if the Thunder win 74 games, SGA will win MVP no question


even 70, and probably high 60's. Nuggets wont be more than mid-high 50's, imo. Jamal is too inconsistent, both in play and durability, for them to win huge in the RS. A 10+ game gap gets it for Shai, as long as he's putting up historic MVP numbers, albeit, significantly less historic than Jokic
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1013 » by Optms » Today 5:57 pm

mademan wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:
jg77 wrote:
If they get to 74 wins then how can you not give it to SGA?


if the Thunder win 74 games, SGA will win MVP no question


even 70, and probably high 60's. Nuggets wont be more than mid-high 50's, imo. Jamal is too inconsistent, both in play and durability, for them to win huge in the RS. A 10+ game gap gets it for Shai, as long as he's putting up historic MVP numbers, albeit, significantly less historic than Jokic


Thunder rank 1st in defensive rating and 1st in points in the paint allowed.

Nuggets rank 3rd in defensive rating and 12th in points allowed in the paint. And I expect those numbers to get worse as they face better opponents. Unfortunately that second stat has a lot to do with Jokic because he simply isn't a paint protector or weakside premium defender. They aren't on par with OKC at all, not because Murray is too inconsistent or whatever, (He's actually been consistently great this year and the Nuggets are still 10-3 despite playing bad teams) but defensively they don't compare to OKC. Point blank, Jokic isn't making any All NBA defensive teams any time soon. That is the difference maker in team record. And ultimately the differences between the two players. Shai is one of the best defensive guards in the game. Jokic at center will always be a liability against competent offensive teams.
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1014 » by Doctor MJ » Today 6:25 pm

Exp0sed wrote:
jg77 wrote:
Optms wrote:MVP Shai with another GOAT level season coming up.

No J-Dub and Chet missing 4 games, but he has the Thunder on pace to eclipse 70 wins. Even Curry needed Klay to stay healthy to break the Bulls record. Back to back MVP's and Finals MVPs coming up. What can't this guy do.


If they get to 74 wins then how can you not give it to SGA?


if the Thunder win 74 games, SGA will win MVP no question


Agreed, but I just don't think any team is going to aim for 74-8 specifically because the Warriors lost the finals after going 73-9. I think teams will just coast if they get far enough ahead.

Doesn't mean SGA can't win MVP, but there's a good chance his candidacy is going to get undermined by the team prioritizing the playoffs.
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1015 » by Ambrose » Today 6:38 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:
jg77 wrote:
If they get to 74 wins then how can you not give it to SGA?


if the Thunder win 74 games, SGA will win MVP no question


Agreed, but I just don't think any team is going to aim for 74-8 specifically because the Warriors lost the finals after going 73-9. I think teams will just coast if they get far enough ahead.

Doesn't mean SGA can't win MVP, but there's a good chance his candidacy is going to get undermined by the team prioritizing the playoffs.


They might be good enough to win 70 regardless.
hardenASG13 wrote:They are better than the teammates of SGA, Giannis, Luka, Brunson, Curry etc. so far.
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1016 » by mademan » Today 7:57 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:
jg77 wrote:
If they get to 74 wins then how can you not give it to SGA?


if the Thunder win 74 games, SGA will win MVP no question


Agreed, but I just don't think any team is going to aim for 74-8 specifically because the Warriors lost the finals after going 73-9. I think teams will just coast if they get far enough ahead.

Doesn't mean SGA can't win MVP, but there's a good chance his candidacy is going to get undermined by the team prioritizing the playoffs.


Are they pushing now? Chet has missed 4 games for them out of 15 and theyre clearly taking a cautious approach with Jdub. Caruso even, year over year one of the most impactful per minute players on his team, has also missed 5 games. Im sure Shai will sit a few games when Jdub is back, but theyre still good enough to win a lot of those games

They might get 70 without even pushing. Theyre that much better than everyone else
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1017 » by mademan » Today 8:00 pm

Optms wrote:
mademan wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:
if the Thunder win 74 games, SGA will win MVP no question


even 70, and probably high 60's. Nuggets wont be more than mid-high 50's, imo. Jamal is too inconsistent, both in play and durability, for them to win huge in the RS. A 10+ game gap gets it for Shai, as long as he's putting up historic MVP numbers, albeit, significantly less historic than Jokic


Thunder rank 1st in defensive rating and 1st in points in the paint allowed.

Nuggets rank 3rd in defensive rating and 12th in points allowed in the paint. And I expect those numbers to get worse as they face better opponents. Unfortunately that second stat has a lot to do with Jokic because he simply isn't a paint protector or weakside premium defender. They aren't on par with OKC at all, not because Murray is too inconsistent or whatever, (He's actually been consistently great this year and the Nuggets are still 10-3 despite playing bad teams) but defensively they don't compare to OKC. Point blank, Jokic isn't making any All NBA defensive teams any time soon. That is the difference maker in team record. And ultimately the differences between the two players. Shai is one of the best defensive guards in the game. Jokic at center will always be a liability against competent offensive teams.


Jokic isnt the best defensively, but if and when they ultimately fail, it's gonna be because -of all the top contenders - he has the least amount of strong top end players surrounding him and the worst depth. Luka has Lebron-Reaves, Shai has Jdub-Chet, Sengun has KD-Amen (KD carrying the duo here)...Jamal-Gordon just doesnt match up, and they dont have the depth to make it up. Jokic being absolutely insane is the only reason the Nugs are on the same level/better than these teams
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1018 » by Infinite Llamas » Today 8:09 pm

Denver has had an easy schedule but so has OKC. They have played against 4 good teams all year. Yes, they are missing some pieces, but consistently playing teams like Sacramento and Utah and Charlotte won’t exactly test their defense.
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1019 » by Exp0sed » 54 minutes ago

Doctor MJ wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:
jg77 wrote:
If they get to 74 wins then how can you not give it to SGA?


if the Thunder win 74 games, SGA will win MVP no question


Agreed, but I just don't think any team is going to aim for 74-8 specifically because the Warriors lost the finals after going 73-9. I think teams will just coast if they get far enough ahead.

Doesn't mean SGA can't win MVP, but there's a good chance his candidacy is going to get undermined by the team prioritizing the playoffs.


even if they lose the last couple of games because they'll be a lock for 1st and sit everyone out, SGA will still win it ofc

besides, they might win many of those games too haha
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Re: Who do you think wins MVP this season? (2025-26 NBA MVP Discussion Thread) 

Post#1020 » by mademan » 51 minutes ago

Infinite Llamas wrote:Denver has had an easy schedule but so has OKC. They have played against 4 good teams all year. Yes, they are missing some pieces, but consistently playing teams like Sacramento and Utah and Charlotte won’t exactly test their defense.


How many good teams are there right now though? Houston/Denver/OKC/LA/Minnesota and....Detroit in the east? That's it? If youre one of those teams, youre just not gonna play a lot of 'good' squads.

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