Clutch0z24 wrote:Tha Cynic wrote:
There have been hundreds of trades and picks over the two decades and you chose and picked the ones where the Nets imploded leading to high picks for the Celtics and that’s your idea of strategy and you’re calling me dense? Not to mention that team had to make numerous trades after years of being similar to the Derozan and Lowry Raptors before they became legit. That’s how luck works lol. If you want to spend a decades tanking and hoping it works while you follow that team, kudos to you. I’m dense so I’m playing percentages not NBa 2k where I can sim a decade till I get hopefully two stars.
There has been zero examples so far that multi year tanks work in your examples. Every team had some sort of major luck in trade or other team not working out after a trade. The strategy here would be trade Barnes to a team that will give you multiple picks and hope that they implode somehow and give you a top 3 pick. Your other example was a case where the team lost their best player for a year and tanked, which is when the Raptors choose to tank and have tanked in recent years.
Find me trade like the trade that OKC made please. Any trade like that with any team in the NBA, since you guys still haven’t realized that you’re using 1-2% occurrences to show how to strategize for organizations worth billions of dollars is not reality. Will even Giannis get what OKC got? Is there any GM that stupid?
So just because a team "Traded" for the picks that ultimatly ended up being high end draft picks that changes the fact that the talent it took to get that team to another level was ultimatly top draft picks is invalid because they aquired them from a trade? That makes zero sense and is not a valid argument because yes alot of teams that build a sustainable winner they get some sort of high end draft pick majority of the time....NBA History shown that and it takes a very rare curve where a team builds with late draft picks and only late draft picks...
There are multiple examples of how multi year tanks or drafting in the high parts of the draft worked in the past and in the present you just don't want to reconize them because it doesn't suit the weak arguments you are trying to make....
Rockets
Spurs
Pistons
Celtics (Even if it was a trade it took 2 top 5 picks for them to become an actual winner instead of a pretender with the Thomas era teams)
Thunder (Have multiple top picks as their best players, Even shai even if it was a trade Clippers got shai with a Lotto pick at the end of the day)
Timberwolves (Their team has totally changed after drafting Ant Man for the better)
I mean these are the best teams in the NBA right now and they all have something in common....They all have a high end draft pick (s) attached to them....Obvously Celtics are not contenders this year due to Injury but if Tatum comes back tomorrow they are 100 percent in the mix of things....
Playing the middle again like i mention in above posts has its luck of the draw just as much as winning the draft lottery does....About a 3-5% chance we ever trade for a legit franchise player or game changing talent to push us over the top (We lack the assets to get that trade done unless you trade Barnes) At that point you are just building a Bucks level team with a star with not enough depth to actually win...(Funny fact the teams that played the draft like the Spurs/Rockets type of teams are favorited to land Giannis in a trade....Hmm i wonder why....)
Also playing the Middle could result in multiple years of first round exits while never building a proper asset base because chances of drafting OGs, Siakams in the 20s of the draft are very very rare and most likely outcomes are mogbos,Dicks of the world...
So its a gamble either way you try and scream loud and say its not....Again ill bring up a point as well....Making trades for stars also does not have the sustainable winning over a long period of time as Drafting your superstars does because...
1.When you trade for a superstar its usually on the back end of their careers, or they have 1-3 year deals left where they most likely walk in free agency.
2.When you draft your team you have control of these players for 8-9 years so your window of winning is alot longer.
3.You have them on team friendly contracts so you can also build around these players by using money for vets that can help win.
Thats why in the history of the NBA when a team has drafted their stars they have more dynasty % than not...Unless you are the Lakers and get handed every star because of where you are located....
OKC=Current Dynasty= Multiple High end picks Shai/Chet/Williams
Bulls=Dynasty in the 90s=2 top picks with MJ/Pippen
GSW=Dynasty 2 high picks with Curry/Klay
Celtics=Dynasty in the 80s with 2 high picks Bird/McHale
Spurs=Dynasty with Duncan + a very smart front office + Another Dynasty potentially brewing with Wemby/Castle/Harper 3 high picks
Lakers=Dynasty with Magic/Kareem + Shaq/Kobe Lakers This is the ONLY team on the list of dynasties in NBA history that you could look at with your style of building + mix of draft picks as well...Without Kobe/Magic they do not have the dynasties they have but they also got handed superstars because of destination...
I mean you can deny the past all you want but you can't really change history....These teams were all the dynasties in the NBA and they all have something in common....They all have high draft picks on them because....Tada the percentages in the NBA like i said the higher you pick in the draft the better the outcome...
Have teams tried this method and failed....Of course they have....Is their evidence of it actually being successfull and building dynasties ....Of course it has....
Both things can be true but that doesn't mean its an invalid way to team building like you want to suggest when history and present has shown that it is a viable and good strat to building actual winners + Have a more Dynasty building % than playing the middle has produced in NBA history...