2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves (Series tied 1-1)

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Who wins?

Poll ended at Tue Apr 21, 2026 2:58 am

Nuggets in 4
6
3%
Nuggets in 5
44
23%
Nuggets in 6
78
41%
Nuggets in 7
25
13%
Wolves in 4
4
2%
Wolves in 5
1
1%
Wolves in 6
17
9%
Wolves in 7
17
9%
 
Total votes: 192

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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#101 » by LeBronSpaghetti » Wed Apr 15, 2026 7:00 pm

Mrakar wrote:Nuggets have one of the least transpartent public relations. We have no ideao of Watson and Jones are missing whole first round series or if they will be back.
I think they will help Nuggets a bit, but they really need those 2 to save Aaron Gordon. He hasnt been healthy last 2 years and i dont think he can survive 2 though series in a row, let alone 4 that Nuggets need to get to the championship. Not having his 2 backups doesnt help at all...

Yeah the nuggets health is what makes me have zero confidence in their ability to win it all. There’s just no way AG and Watson stay healthy for a full playoff run. That’s not how these hamstring strain injuries work.

By the way AG first missed time with the hamstring strain in November of 2024! Not sure why anyone would expect it to magically be healed now. It’s a long term issue at this point.
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#102 » by erod009 » Wed Apr 15, 2026 7:27 pm

shrink wrote:
erod009 wrote:Minnesota might have the toughest path to the title of all time. The easiest series would be the finals :lol:

True! But maybe that’s what the Weird Wolves need? In the last two playoffs:

2024 vs PHX - Slight Favorites (though many predicted jump shooting Suns would be too bad a match up) - Win
2024 vs DEN - Underdogs - Win
2024 vs DAL - Favorites - Loss

2025 vs LAK - Underdogs - Win
2025 vs GSW - Favorites - Win
2025 vs OKC - Underdogs - Loss

How would they be favorites against 24 Dallas and underdogs against 25 Lakers?

I see a little bias there :lol:
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#103 » by LeBronSpaghetti » Wed Apr 15, 2026 7:33 pm

Its interesting how the playoff series between these two teams two years ago is extremely important in predicting this series but their playoff series from three years ago is completely irrelevant
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#104 » by shrink » Wed Apr 15, 2026 7:51 pm

erod009 wrote:
shrink wrote:
erod009 wrote:Minnesota might have the toughest path to the title of all time. The easiest series would be the finals :lol:

True! But maybe that’s what the Weird Wolves need? In the last two playoffs:

2024 vs PHX - Slight Favorites (though many predicted jump shooting Suns would be too bad a match up) - Win
2024 vs DEN - Underdogs - Win
2024 vs DAL - Favorites - Loss

2025 vs LAK - Underdogs - Win
2025 vs GSW - Favorites - Win
2025 vs OKC - Underdogs - Loss

How would they be favorites against 24 Dallas and underdogs against 25 Lakers?

I see a little bias there :lol:

In 2024, DEN, OKC and MIN all had great regular season records with 56 wins or more, DAL had 50. After MIN beat DEN and with OKC knocked out, people thought MIN would roll over DAL and told them they were favored, but they lost.

As for the Lakers,

Read on Twitter
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#105 » by shrink » Wed Apr 15, 2026 7:57 pm

LeBronSpaghetti wrote:Its interesting how the playoff series between these two teams two years ago is extremely important in predicting this series but their playoff series from three years ago is completely irrelevant

DEN won the ring, but several Nuggets like Bruce Brown said that their toughest match up was in the first round against the young Wolves with their physicality.
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#106 » by erod009 » Wed Apr 15, 2026 7:59 pm

shrink wrote:
erod009 wrote:
shrink wrote:True! But maybe that’s what the Weird Wolves need? In the last two playoffs:

2024 vs PHX - Slight Favorites (though many predicted jump shooting Suns would be too bad a match up) - Win
2024 vs DEN - Underdogs - Win
2024 vs DAL - Favorites - Loss

2025 vs LAK - Underdogs - Win
2025 vs GSW - Favorites - Win
2025 vs OKC - Underdogs - Loss

How would they be favorites against 24 Dallas and underdogs against 25 Lakers?

I see a little bias there :lol:

In 2024, DEN, OKC and MIN all had great regular season records with 56 wins or more, LAL had 50. After MIN beat DEN and with OKC knocked out, people thought MIN would roll over DAL and told them they were favored, but they lost.

As for the Lakers,

Read on Twitter

Specialists are often far from reality when talking about the Lakers and Lebron
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#107 » by LeBronSpaghetti » Wed Apr 15, 2026 8:14 pm

shrink wrote:
LeBronSpaghetti wrote:Its interesting how the playoff series between these two teams two years ago is extremely important in predicting this series but their playoff series from three years ago is completely irrelevant

DEN won the ring, but several Nuggets like Bruce Brown said that their toughest match up was in the first round against the young Wolves with their physicality.

Yes I remember Bruce Brown saying that. However they still won in 5.

But my greater point isn't that "Denver won in 5 three years ago so they'll win again" and neither is it "Minnesota won in 7 two years ago so they'll win again"

I kind of think both claims are a little ridiculous. We're talking about the T-Wolves pre-KAT trade, things are so different now. They have Randle and DiVincenzo but no KAT or NAW. And for Denver there are huge changes too. In 2024 Denver had probably the worst bench in the entire NBA. They're not relying on Reggie Jackson and DeAndre Jordan anymore. MPJ is gone for Cam Johnson. Jamal was injured in the 2024 series but played anyway. Naz Reid was injured in 2023 and didn't play.

I just think things are so different now between these two teams it's almost pointless to compare their past playoff series, but for some reason people are putting a huge emphasis on the 2024 series.
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#108 » by AbeVigodaLive » Wed Apr 15, 2026 8:51 pm

shrink wrote:
erod009 wrote:Minnesota might have the toughest path to the title of all time. The easiest series would be the finals :lol:

True! But maybe that’s what the Weird Wolves need? In the last two playoffs:

2024 vs PHX - Slight Favorites (though many predicted jump shooting Suns would be too bad a match up) - Win
2024 vs DEN - Underdogs - Win
2024 vs DAL - Favorites - Loss

2025 vs LAK - Underdogs - Win
2025 vs GSW - Favorites - Win
2025 vs OKC - Underdogs - Loss



Actually, Vegas had the Suns favored in that series. (-115)

It was marginal... but Phoenix was still the favorite. The Suns swept MN in the regular season, including an easy win late in the year.
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#109 » by Klomp » Wed Apr 15, 2026 9:11 pm

tsherkin wrote:The important thing to take away here is that Klomp is wrong.
Esohny wrote:Why are you asking Klomp? "He's" actually a bot that posts random blurbs from a database.
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#110 » by Klomp » Wed Apr 15, 2026 9:21 pm

This was from last season, but it's still interesting....

Image
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#111 » by Klomp » Wed Apr 15, 2026 9:26 pm

Klomp wrote:That's kind of my point. We can't fall back on beating them in the same way we did two years ago, especially not if the Nuggets are fully healthy. If we try that, we might get swept.

However, I think we can make it an interesting series through relentlessly attacking them on offense and in finding transition opportunities. I know the team still talks about its defensive identity, but I think offense is where they have their best shot of matching Denver in the series.

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tsherkin wrote:The important thing to take away here is that Klomp is wrong.
Esohny wrote:Why are you asking Klomp? "He's" actually a bot that posts random blurbs from a database.
Klomp wrote:I'm putting the tired in retired mod at the moment
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#112 » by Klomp » Wed Apr 15, 2026 9:43 pm

BelgradeNugget wrote:I think Kyle Anderson is the best option for Minny. He is big, with solid strength and super smart. In that case Gobert could be behind him to roam around the basket. In the past it worked well with Rudy sagging off of AG, while Gordon was bad 3pt shooter. Now he turned himself into 40% from 3. Maybe Rudy on Braun this time to test his 3pt shooting.

Basically 1/4th of Aaron Gordon's makes this season (15 of 61) came in 2 games (10/23 at GSW, 3/14 at LAL).

His splits are interesting too.....
In Denver (19 games): 26-80 (.325)
On the road (17 games): 35-77 (.455)
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#113 » by shrink » Wed Apr 15, 2026 11:39 pm

Which Nuggets bench players will be in the playoff rotation every game?

For the Wolves, I think Finch only plays 8, with Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu and Kyle Anderson. After that, he may have spot use for Bones Hyland (shooting), Terrence Shannon Jr (attack the hoop), Jaylen Clark (perimeter defense) and Mike Conley (settle them down), but I imagine those four pick up DNP-CDs in most games.

How’s DEN look? Will minor injuries have them playing ten or eleven deep?
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#114 » by BelgradeNugget » Thu Apr 16, 2026 7:54 am

Klomp wrote:
BelgradeNugget wrote:I think Kyle Anderson is the best option for Minny. He is big, with solid strength and super smart. In that case Gobert could be behind him to roam around the basket. In the past it worked well with Rudy sagging off of AG, while Gordon was bad 3pt shooter. Now he turned himself into 40% from 3. Maybe Rudy on Braun this time to test his 3pt shooting.

Basically 1/4th of Aaron Gordon's makes this season (15 of 61) came in 2 games (10/23 at GSW, 3/14 at LAL).

His splits are interesting too.....
In Denver (19 games): 26-80 (.325)
On the road (17 games): 35-77 (.455)


some stats from AG's 3pt shooting since coming to Denver

season 3PT% FT%

21-22 33.5% 74.3%
22-23 34.7% 60.8%
23-24 29.0% 65.8%
24-25 43.6% 81.0%
25-26 38.9% 76.7%


Big difference come in 24-25 season after his bad 3pt shooting in 24 playoffs. He moved into warehouse he turned into gym, so he is living in the gym now. Differance come in all aspects of his shooting - midrange, FT...

You could split his season into 3 parts
1st start of season 13 games 44% 3PT% (2.2-4.8)
2nd coming back from 1st injury, January 33% (1.4-4.2)
3rd end of season after 2nd injury, 39.4% March, 31.6% April. Fluctuations are result of coming back from injuries, and trying to get back into game flow. He also hit 4 3s in comeback win against Portland, two big cluch ones (4/7). He is not Murray or THJ or Cam or Strawther as designed 3pt shooters but you can't leave him open. Brown also had solid 3pt shooting season (good % small volume), and Jones has history as good shooter.

Two players you could test as 3pt shooters are Braun (bad this season, but 38.4% and 39.7% in previous two) and Watson (41.1% this season, but not much of a shooter in previous 3).

And there is question with Jokic's elbow and his shooting post injury too...
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#115 » by nomansland » Thu Apr 16, 2026 1:43 pm

shrink wrote:Which Nuggets bench players will be in the playoff rotation every game?

For the Wolves, I think Finch only plays 8, with Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu and Kyle Anderson. After that, he may have spot use for Bones Hyland (shooting), Terrence Shannon Jr (attack the hoop), Jaylen Clark (perimeter defense) and Mike Conley (settle them down), but I imagine those four pick up DNP-CDs in most games.

How’s DEN look? Will minor injuries have them playing ten or eleven deep?


Every game? Just Hardaway and Brown. If Jones is available he'll get some minutes every night, even though some nights that could be less than 5.

Of course if Watson is healthy he'll get minutes every night but it's looking like he still has a bit to go before he can/should play.

The other guy you'll see is Strawther. I wouldn't be surprised if he plays every game, but I also wouldn't be surprised if he sits a couple of nights.
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#116 » by Klomp » Thu Apr 16, 2026 6:25 pm

shrink wrote:Which Nuggets bench players will be in the playoff rotation every game?

For the Wolves, I think Finch only plays 8, with Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu and Kyle Anderson. After that, he may have spot use for Bones Hyland (shooting), Terrence Shannon Jr (attack the hoop), Jaylen Clark (perimeter defense) and Mike Conley (settle them down), but I imagine those four pick up DNP-CDs in most games.

How’s DEN look? Will minor injuries have them playing ten or eleven deep?

I think there's something to the bench piece. However, we've seen in the past that they don't need an amazing bench in order to win games in the playoffs. They just need to be a non-putrid bench.

Postseason minutes per game:
2024-25: Murray 41.3, Jokic 40.2, Braun 38.9, Gordon 37.3
2023-24: Jokic 40.2, Murray 38.5, Gordon 37.1
2022-23: Murray 40.0, Jokic 39.5, Gordon 35.7
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#117 » by Klomp » Thu Apr 16, 2026 7:36 pm

Adam Mares of DNVR Sports/All-NBA Podcast does not expect Denver to have Peyton Watson available for the duration of the first round series. (via Dane Moore NBA Podcast)
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#118 » by AbeVigodaLive » Thu Apr 16, 2026 9:57 pm

shrink wrote:Which Nuggets bench players will be in the playoff rotation every game?

For the Wolves, I think Finch only plays 8, with Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu and Kyle Anderson. After that, he may have spot use for Bones Hyland (shooting), Terrence Shannon Jr (attack the hoop), Jaylen Clark (perimeter defense) and Mike Conley (settle them down), but I imagine those four pick up DNP-CDs in most games.

How’s DEN look? Will minor injuries have them playing ten or eleven deep?



Interesting for the Wolves that for a team that struggled to find 8 quality guys for much of the season... they have a few more options to choose from in the playoffs.

- Mike Conley... after an incredibly dismal and almost inexplicable season shooting the ball (<30%), he hit 12 of his final 19 threes. Between being able to hit threes and his veteran savvy, there could be a spot for him in the rotation.
- Bones Hyland averaged 11 ppg while shooting 41% on three pointers over the past 3 months while bringing a unique brand of energy and pace. I think he's been too invaluable to overlook entirely at this point.
- TJ Shannon was supposed to be a big part of the Nikiel-Alexander replacement plan with mercurial scoring off the bench. He struggled all season... but went from deep rotation guy to averaging 27+ ppg over the past week to close out the season.
- Jaylen Clark is all about defense coming off the bench.

It'll be interesting to see how often Finch pulls the right strings. I wouldn't be surprised if 12 Wolves players see the court in this series (even if the games are close). Not every game... one game might be Bones. One game might be Conley. Maybe a sprinkle of Shannon and Clark.

In any event, who would have thought the Wolves would have 12 guys to choose from as recently as a couple of months ago. Maybe if some of these guys did better earlier in the year, the Wolves wouldn't be facing such an uphill battle vs. one of the best teams in the league.
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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#119 » by Clav » Fri Apr 17, 2026 3:56 am

shrink wrote:After this series, let’s be best friends.



Did we just become best friends?.gif hehe

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Re: 2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Post#120 » by Chuck Everett » Fri Apr 17, 2026 4:10 am

Klomp wrote:Adam Mares of DNVR Sports/All-NBA Podcast does not expect Denver to have Peyton Watson available for the duration of the first round series. (via Dane Moore NBA Podcast)


That's a shame. I do believe he's genuinely hurt and trying to get back, however, with a pending RFA upcoming and already having won a ring, his and Rich Paul's highest priority is probably making sure he is absolutely healthy for his first opportunity to make big NBA money. I know people might say, it's not in his character to do something like that, but for someone like Watson who was the last pick in the first round, he could be looking at a 9-figure contract based (4/100) on what he showed this past regular season. They are not going to mess that up and go, if he's not absolutely certain he can.
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