OkcSinceSGA wrote:Sounds like the Clippers are down to MBJ vs Wagler. They are not big on Acuff. My prediction of how it plays out for Clippers, Nets, Kings is this:
Clippers- pick MBJ 60%, Wagler 40%.
Nets- If Clips take MBJ, the Nets pick Acuff Jr, if not, they pick MBJ with 6.
Kings- They will be picking either Acuff Jr, MBJ, or Wagler, depending on which of the 3 drops.
This is gonna sound crazy, and honestly probably is lol, but the more and more I watch film and think out loud, the more I feel Acuff and MBJ have legitimate arguments to go #1 overall.
Let me be very clear, I absolutely do not think either will. I don’t even think they should. But I think the completely legitimate argument exists when we directly compare all the top 6 guys’ ceilings and likelihood of hitting it, combined with likely intermediate case.
I think MBJ probably has to immediately be taken out of the conversation, mainly because I also see the high bust potential.
But his ceiling is like 6’5 Donovan Mitchell with + level impactful defense and the possibility to be more clutch. That’s at worst a perennial top 15 player with some years he’s in the top of the MVP discussion, who could play at an MVP level any given playoff run. He could be 6’5 Baron Davis if he remains inefficient but effective. That’s not a ceiling comparison I’ve heard thrown around, but I think it’s an interesting one.
And Acuff? I mean his true ceiling is like CP3 meets Lillard with a dash of Curry’s shooting. There hasn’t been a prospect this polished since maybe Kyrie. And his measures came back just fine.
I’m exceptionally high on Wilson, but I understand the worry from his truly logical detractors, not those that just go,”Stromile Knox lulz!!1!!!” So why shouldn’t either or both of these guys go over him? That takes care of one of the top 4. The easy low hanging fruit.
You have Peterson, who when he’s at his best has looked otherworldly in motion. But the phantom injuries, the weird quotes and attitude, the Kawhi-like zombie personality, and on the court the lack of on ball juice? Why couldn’t, or shouldn’t, one or both these guys go over him? Peterson’s floor could be Terrence Ross. His intermediate prime Klay. The latter is still awesome, but do you take that over 25ppg CP3? Or even 6’5 Mitchell with better D? It’s a toss up. There’s 2 of the 4.
Boozer? The probable case can’t miss high floor and good chance of Kevin Love production and impact with a different albeit similar style game. Ceiling is astronomical if he keeps improving other areas of his game and becomes a unicorn. But what are the chances he hits said ceiling? Cause I’m taking Lillard or Mitchell all day over Love.
AJ? I love so much of what he does, his athleticism and measures, his overall game. But he still moves robotically, he still doesn’t have a consistent motor or aggression, still see a lot of DeRozan. Again, taking Mitchell, Clyde, CP3, Lillard, 6’5 Baron Davis over 6’9 DeRozan everyday plus an extra Sunday.
I’m just sayin’…