luciano-davidwesley wrote:Coby has proven over his full NBA career he is a combo guard, not a PG. Using him to replace a guy with elite passing is not a recipe for success.
I don't doubt that Coby is naturally more or a scoring guard than a facilitator/playmaker, the eye test and numerical comparisons prove that out. I was more asking Snidely if he didn't think it was possible Coby could run the guard screen offense better with a full offseason. Outside of Coby destroying the Hornets when he was on the Bulls, I'm not very knowledgeable about his career before becoming a Hornet and would expect a UNC fan to have much more knowledge and probably follow his earlier pro career closer than I would've.
As I've written elsewhere, I think the FO has prioritized having above average passing across the board, so I'm not too afraid of the offense falling apart without LaMelo's playmaking. To statistically back that up, I'd point out that the team had the 5th highest O rating with the 27th pace and an about league average assist rate (14th). So as a team, they scored a ton of points on not a lot of possessions, but still ended up in the middle in assisted baskets. LaMelo had the 5th highest assist per 100 possessions in the league, Coby didn't qualify, but if he did would've been 95th, so there is an obvious dearth there. However, of the 234 qualified players, Miller (81), Kon (86), Miles (94) all make the top 100 with Sion at 113 (Naz Reid 126 for those interested).
My supposition is that the guard screen offense requires an initiator that is an efficient scorer first and foremost and as a secondary function is fueled by hockey assists. Head to head comparison shows Coby to be a more efficient scorer than LaMelo over their careers, so that is good news. I would expect that an offseason of drilling the offense and getting familiar with your teammates at Knueppel fajita nights would increase Coby's assists per 100. I'd also point out that before Lee, Coby was playing in an offense designed by Billy Donnovan, who I think of personally as more of a defensive coach (best Chicago orting was 13th), but I'm not a Bulls fan so I wasn't watching those games and could be mistaken.
Maybe I'm totally wrong and the offense falls off the cliff without LaMelo's nearly +6 Assist per 100 over Coby, time will tell. LaMelo definitely created more open looks for his teammates than most players in the league and I expect to miss that, but I don't know how relevant that is to the offensive system and wasn't actually a bit of a waste for Ball's inherent talents. A year ago I was ridiculed for suggesting that the Hornets were going to be competing for a play-in spot and that the front court wasn't as big a deal with what they wanted to do, so I expect harsh feedback for this post too, but I think there are some valid considerations and questions to some of these general assumptions that have been brought up related to Coby's competence relative to LaMelo for the team.