JimmyFromNz wrote:So I listened to the most recent Bill Simmons and Joe House podcast today which had a large segment on the Jaylen Brown / analytics debate.
Such a rough discussion.
The whole premise was analytics dont account for how Jaylen single handidly carried a team of "bums" last season. On the basis you have to "watch games" - if either of them watched more than 15 games last season they'd know how dumb that sounds.
There was genuine shock as to why analytics dont favour a player whose scoring output is more easily replaced in lineups than a playmaker or elite defender... despite them comparing Jaylens analytics to other poor analytics profiles from other mid efficiency primary scorers like Carmelo, Stackhouse and Ai.
What capped it off was then in the same breathe saying that, in spite of all these misleading analytics, the Celtics would still be a 55 win team (which i agree).
Im not an analytics all or nothing guy, and not criticising Jaylen, but having these completely contradictory takes on the most influential sports entertainer in the worlds podcast does a massive disservice to the conversation. Get someone on that knows the basics please so the general nba fanbase can understand what they are reading. Rather than two drunk uncles trying to have a half assed conversation on it.
I guess im just exhausted from how terrible the public conversation on this situation has been. Zero nuance whatsoever.
The problem isn't just analytics. It's analytics that is then leading to a worrying commitment to the three pointer focused style of play. I agree that Jaylen controls the ball too much on offense and I get frustrated when he lets the limits of his ball handling skills get him into trouble leading to ugly turnovers but I don't think that that is why the team doesn't see him as the best fit next to JT. I think it is his 3pt shooting and focus on "long twos."
I totally disagree with this reasoning. Not only because it lead to trading JB, but also because this team's determination to lead the league in 3PA, doesn't lead to an effective playoff team. We lost two of the worst played playoffs series the past two years (Knicks and Sixers) because we were obsessed with the three point shot. We also had trouble defending the rim, but I think we addressed that with the addition of Mitchell Robinson. Our offense, however, has become more of a problem IMO.
With the loss of JB and the addition of Paul George, we have become more of a three point team. I don't see anyone on our roster who can consistently attack the basket off the dribble and I'm worried that we are going to be launching threes at an all time level. This will probably get a decent amount of wins in the regular season but will (as it's done the past two seasons) unravel in the playoffs.
I really wish we could have taken the addition of Mitchell Robinson and seen what two healthy Js could have done this season.