Realistic Blockbuster??? ----> SAC - CLE - TOR

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Post#41 » by rpa » Tue Jan 8, 2008 9:11 pm

rjaw wrote:Im taking all aspects into consideration. Is Bibby better than Conley, Rondo and Miller right now? The answer may be yes but his contract and injuries make him less valuable as a trade asset. Bibby seems to be past his prime and that's a shame because he truly was a great PG.


Correct me if I'm wrong but you took exception to Smills referring to Bibby as a "top tier PG" (and to my reference that he was still a pretty damn good PG). Neither of those phrases pertain much to his trade value but more to his actual ability.
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Post#42 » by wajr » Tue Jan 8, 2008 9:14 pm

Read my post right above yours. I'm not just looking at who is a better player because that is a given between bibby and conley, bibby and rondo. LIke I said I'm taking all aspects into consideration. Age, potential, current abilities, contract, etc. On a side note I appreciate all the feed back. It's been fun and helped me kill and hour at work. :D
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Post#43 » by wajr » Tue Jan 8, 2008 9:17 pm

rpa wrote:-= original quote snipped =-



Correct me if I'm wrong but you took exception to Smills referring to Bibby as a "top tier PG" (and to my reference that he was still a pretty damn good PG). Neither of those phrases pertain much to his trade value but more to his actual ability.


I didn't take exception. Rather I just disagreed with his assesement. I know bibby is a good player. No doubt in my mind. I just don't think his trade value is as high as some other people might think. That is all.
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Post#44 » by wajr » Tue Jan 8, 2008 9:21 pm

I mean if it were up to me Bibby would be his old self because I am a fan of the NBA period. The only time I didn't like the Kings was when they were playin my Raps. I used to love watchin SAC playoff games on the tube. You guys have some of hte loudest fans and that Arena must have been magic a few years back. I hope you guys dont get the wrong idea about me as a fan. BIbby was great and is still a very good baller. It's just that his value has seriosly diminished the past few years.
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Post#45 » by rpa » Tue Jan 8, 2008 9:27 pm

Alfred wrote:Only in this case, you're singling out Raptors fans as lacking this certain objectivity that everyone else has (apart from Knicks and Lakers fans apparently).

As for your definition of credibility in this case, does it not assume any qualities of intelligence? The ability to realistically grasp the worth of a player on your team's IS a type of intelligence, I don't really see how you can say otherwise. If I refused to trade my beat up junker of a car for a Ferrari out of loyalty to the car that I currently owned, I would obviously be lacking the ability to understand objective worth. That's a type of intelligence, and that's why your whole argument falls flat on it's face.

Your attempt to tie this to the political realm, where many matters are completely subjective, is a poor metaphor. The reason is because Basketball worth is often extremely cut and dry, can be boiled to to the basics of how much a contract is worth compared to the worth of the player on the court and the need of the trading teams. In a sense people can be right, or they can be wrong, and there isn't a lot of middle ground. In politics, this becomes much more muddled, where almost every viewpoint is subjective, because there are many supportable positions to take on almost every issue.

You are trying to equate an extremely subjective system (politics) with a relatively objective system (basketball). That's why your example fails: they simply do not match up well enough. You ARE trying to say that Raptors fans aren't smart enough to comment on these issues, except you are trying to hide behind a poorly constructed veil. Frankly, you aren't doing a very good job, it just seems like you're trying to cover up your original stance (I don't blame you, it was pretty unsupportable).


To be honest. Anyone who thinks that evaluating Basketball players is almost as objective to math isn't worth the time. There's a reason there are thousands of basketball analysts out there, hundreds of evaluating systems to determine better players, and thousands of people who visit the player comparison board every day (as an example of only ONE of these types of boards). Basketball is anything but a cut and dry type science when it comes to evaluating the value or ability of players. There are cases where it's obvious (just like in politics where sometimes it's obvious what's right and what's wrong).

Alfred wrote:While this may be true, there is a system of evaluation that can determine worth. PER, for example is a relatively reliable system of evaluating players, and there are many different qualitative analyses for dollar-to-production value in regards to players. There is definitely enough quantitative and qualitative evidence that knowing about player value is a type of intelligence.


As stated above (or inferred) how exactly can rating basketball players (as an absolutely) be so objective when there are hundreds of different systems to rate them by? At some point there IS a case of bias. Say I used Hollinger's PER and you used simple PER. Does choosing one make a person dumber than the other? No. It only means they have a bias to one of them. Neither form of PER can be proven to be correct.

Alfred wrote:What you are trying to say here is that Raptor fans lack the type of intelligence required to make good estimations on player value. THAT IS WHAT YOU ARE TRYING TO SAY. Just because you are attempting to obfuscate your original point doesn't mean that you are somehow overcoming this point, you are simply attempting to avoid it by muddying the water so to speak.


You're trying to argue objectivity (intelligence) in a subjective realm (player value). Those 2 things just don't go together at all.
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Post#46 » by Smills91 » Tue Jan 8, 2008 9:38 pm

I did say top tier and he IS...in his ONE down year while playing injured for the vast majority of the season on his shooting wrist he still put up some pretty gaudy numbers. Looking at his stats only, he's improved EVERY year statistically, minus his injury riddled campaign last year and from being coached by Mr. Incompetance - Musselman.

rjaw wrote:
rpa wrote:-= original quote snipped =-



1) Steve Nash
2) Jason Kidd
3) Tony Parker
4) Chris Paul
5) Deron WIlliams
6) Chauncey Billups
7) Gilbert Arenas
8) Baron Davis

INSERT - Mike Bibby Here.

9) Devin Harris
10) Jason Terry
11) Jose Calderon
12) TJ Ford
13) Mike Conley
14) Raymond Felton
15) Shaun Livingston
16) Andre MIller
17) Jameer Nelson
18) Stephon Marbury
19) Luke Ridinour
20) Rajon Rando
21) Jamaal Tinsley
22) Mo WIlliams
23) Lous WIlliams

The PG position maybe thin our your squad but throughout the NBA we have some amazing PG's.


I'd say Andre Miller, Jason Terry and Mo Williams are a right after Bibby. Ridnour is garbage. Marbury is garbage. Harris, Felton, Nelson, Tinsley are not as good as Bibby is even today...the first three will get there, but not now. Bibby still a top 10 PG in this league. If you can't admit that, then you're showing your own incompetence in player evaluation. I'm looking at a player's ability NOW in their career to come to these conclusions and Bibby is still a top 10 PG at the ripe age of 29 years.
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Post#47 » by Alfred » Tue Jan 8, 2008 10:13 pm

rpa wrote:To be honest. Anyone who thinks that evaluating Basketball players is almost as objective to math isn't worth the time. There's a reason there are thousands of basketball analysts out there, hundreds of evaluating systems to determine better players, and thousands of people who visit the player comparison board every day (as an example of only ONE of these types of boards). Basketball is anything but a cut and dry type science when it comes to evaluating the value or ability of players. There are cases where it's obvious (just like in politics where sometimes it's obvious what's right and what's wrong).


First of all, let me get this off of my chest, because we've been ignoring it's profound ineptness for a while now: your original statement.

rpa wrote:But then again, I just realized that you're a Raptors fan which means that your opinion really doesn't hold any credibility here.


What you are attempting to say here is completely different that what you are saying now, which is that basketball is completely subjective, and that the value of players can't be completely known because there are multiple supportable positions. If this whole thing is so subjective, then why are all Raptors fans not able to hold their own opinions?

Your original statement implies that Raptor fans are not to be trusted with their opinions on trades. But how could you know that to be the case if everything is so darned subjective? Could it be that there is a level of OBJECTIVITY within basketball that allows people to ascertain the relative value of how much players are worth, and in doing so, be able to evaluate trades in a satisfactory manner? If things are as subjective as you say, you are actually arguing AGAINST your original point.

Furthermore, your original statement is SO FLAWED that it cannot possibly hold water, no matter how much you want to plug the holes. Not only does it have multiple fallacies built into it, like the falacy of division but it's also just an incredibly misguided thing to say.

You've strayed so far from your original point that now you're trying to say that Basketball is this thick, swampy soup where there are no wrong answers, only opinions on the matter, and objective analysis can't be relied upon. Please, not only is this totally untrue, it hardly supports the point you originally tried to make.

The thing about basketball is that it isn't totally subjective. There is a science and an intelligence to the aquisition of players that makes it intriuging. Here is the point that will sink your argument once and for all. If there is no intelligence associated with the ability to correctly evaluate players, like you are suggesting, then why are certain General Managers better than others? Why do some General Managers manage to create winning teams after winning teams, making the correct trade more often than not? Is it because they have a level of basketball intelligence that sets them apart from the others? The same lack of intelligence that you are accusing Raptors fans of not having?

As stated above (or inferred) how exactly can rating basketball players (as an absolutely) be so objective when there are hundreds of different systems to rate them by? At some point there IS a case of bias. Say I used Hollinger's PER and you used simple PER. Does choosing one make a person dumber than the other? No. It only means they have a bias to one of them. Neither form of PER can be proven to be correct.


My point was never that basketball was completely objective, or a completely known commodity. My point was that your assumption that there doesn't exist a system of evaluation that can be relied upon is incorrect. There are many metrics that evaluate the stock market as well, are you actually arguing that even they aren't useful tools? Knowing the different tools that are available to you regarding the stock market will help you make the correct decisions, and as your understanding of those tools increases your knowledge about the stock market grows. That's a type of intelligence.

In the same way, knowing what PER is, how eFG works, how assists per minute or rebounding rate works will help you evaluate a player in the NBA. That is a type of intelligence that you originally stated that Raptors fans do not have enough of to make qualified decisions on basketball. SO YOU WERE INSULTING MY INTELLIGENCE. End of story. You're wrong.

You're trying to argue objectivity (intelligence) in a subjective realm (player value). Those 2 things just don't go together at all.


This could not be further from the truth. Not only does your new interest in subjectivity not sync up with your original point, basketball IS NOT totally subjective. Things that are totally subjective are things like art or fashion, which are governed entirely by taste and opinion.

In the case of basketball, there are stats, contracts to evaluate, and even more stats at your fingertips to evaluate how good a players is. Does it tell you the full story? No, but it tells you enough about a player so that you can make a decision that isn't entirely based on opinion. What YOU are trying to say is that it's all relative, which is clearly wrong.

Basically, what this all boils down to is the fact that when I challenged your obviously wrongheaded opinion that you can't classify how intelligent people are based on the place on earth they come from, you branched off onto a fruitless foray into subjectivity which, from reading what you have written, you don't really understand very well. When you take the arguments that you are using now, and compare them to what you wrote originally, they don't support what you were saying, and it's clear that you were only attempting to obfuscate things so that it wouldn't be clear that you lost this argument. Well guess what? You lost this argument. Sorry!

And just for poops and giggles, I'll repeat my request, where are you from? I want to make some baseless accusations about your intelligence based on where you are on the globe.
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Post#48 » by chriswebb86 » Tue Jan 8, 2008 10:17 pm

Alfred wrote:-= original quote snipped =-



Bibby is TERRIBLE and has one of the worst contracts in the league. How you could possibly imagine that this is a bad deal for the Kings is beyond me.

Please tell me how he has the worst contract in the league. He has 28 million left over two years. There are players out there with much much more owed and are worse players.
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Post#49 » by Smills91 » Tue Jan 8, 2008 10:21 pm

chriswebb86 wrote:-= original quote snipped =-


Please tell me how he has the worst contract in the league. He has 28 million left over two years. There are players out there with much much more owed and are worse players.


He has 14.5 next season and HALF a season left on this one..the fact that he gets traded is just an $ for $ excahnge THIS season and has little to no bearing on the salary cap outside the 25% match needed to make the trade. So for THIS season you measure his production...which makes the remainder of his deal a moot point since you're shipping out at LEAST 75% of his salary in order to obtain him...then a 14.5 million dollar EXPIRING contract(if he opts in)??????????????? When was a 14.5 million dollar expiring contract EVER a bad contract to have?
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Post#50 » by Alfred » Tue Jan 8, 2008 10:27 pm

chriswebb86 wrote:-= original quote snipped =-


Please tell me how he has the worst contract in the league. He has 28 million left over two years. There are players out there with much much more owed and are worse players.


It was hyperbole.
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Post#51 » by Rasheed36 » Tue Jan 8, 2008 10:31 pm

Horrible for Sac. Kings aren't trading 2 all stars for a bunch of scrubs.
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Post#52 » by chriswebb86 » Tue Jan 8, 2008 10:32 pm

Smills91 wrote:-= original quote snipped =-



He has 14.5 next season and HALF a season left on this one..the fact that he gets traded is just an $ for $ excahnge THIS season and has little to no bearing on the salary cap outside the 25% match needed to make the trade. So for THIS season you measure his production...which makes the remainder of his deal a moot point since you're shipping out at LEAST 75% of his salary in order to obtain him...then a 14.5 million dollar EXPIRING contract(if he opts in)??????????????? When was a 14.5 million dollar expiring contract EVER a bad contract to have?
I agree with you on that. I was just curious why his contract was so bad.
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Post#53 » by chriswebb86 » Tue Jan 8, 2008 10:33 pm

Alfred wrote:-= original quote snipped =-



It was hyperbole.
After reading what was said, I understand now. I guess lot of what you guys are disagreeing about has to do with a players value against their ability.
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Post#54 » by Smills91 » Tue Jan 8, 2008 10:36 pm

Saying Bibby's value is low in trades due to his contract is pure garbage. His value is low now, because he's been injured, and that will change next week. But to say his value is low due to his contract is pure garbage and an unthoughful realization of what is really going on.
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Post#55 » by chriswebb86 » Tue Jan 8, 2008 10:39 pm

Smills91 wrote:Saying Bibby's value is low in trades due to his contract is pure garbage. His value is low now, because he's been injured, and that will change next week. But to say his value is low due to his contract is pure garbage and an unthoughful realization of what is really going on.
Yeah I agree with that. I think if he had been playing all season, most people wouldnt even be having this talk.
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Post#56 » by Smills91 » Tue Jan 8, 2008 10:40 pm

chriswebb86 wrote:-= original quote snipped =-

Yeah I agree with that. I think if he had been playing all season, most people wouldnt even be having this talk.


I personally think he would have been dealt by now if he wasn't injured.
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Post#57 » by loserX » Tue Jan 8, 2008 10:41 pm

Smills91 wrote:He has 14.5 next season and HALF a season left on this one..the fact that he gets traded is just an $ for $ excahnge THIS season and has little to no bearing on the salary cap outside the 25% match needed to make the trade. So for THIS season you measure his production...which makes the remainder of his deal a moot point since you're shipping out at LEAST 75% of his salary in order to obtain him


You're mostly right up to this point. The question is whether his production is worth 125% (or whatever it ends up being to correspond to finances) of the production being sent out, too. But in general terms, your point is correct.

Smills91 wrote:...then a 14.5 million dollar EXPIRING contract(if he opts in)??????????????? When was a 14.5 million dollar expiring contract EVER a bad contract to have?


And here you go off the beam a little. The Kings aren't going to take back long contracts for Bibby, we all know that...they may even insist on expirings. So by trading those expirings, the acquiring team may be giving up the chance to have ZERO on the books next year. A $14.5M contract may very well be a bad idea compared to that.
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Post#58 » by Smills91 » Tue Jan 8, 2008 11:04 pm

loserX wrote:-= original quote snipped =-



And here you go off the beam a little. The Kings aren't going to take back long contracts for Bibby, we all know that...they may even insist on expirings. So by trading those expirings, the acquiring team may be giving up the chance to have ZERO on the books next year. A $14.5M contract may very well be a bad idea compared to that.



That's probably true that the Kings don't take back a contract any lnger than Bibby's, but the fact still remains that an EXPIRING contract still has positive value, and from a player that produces, it's still yet another positive.

I'm curious to refute your idea though, which team has PURE expirings that would want to net Bibby? Cavs don't, the Heat might, lakers don't(and the Kings won't deal him there anyways). So any Bibby deal will involve maybe SOME expirings and equal length contracts...so in essence it's actually probably MORE valuable to have the one large lump sum next season to either A) have come off your books or B) use in another mega blockbuster deal if the opportunity arises.
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Post#59 » by Mr Swagtastic » Wed Jan 9, 2008 4:33 pm

Bac2Basics wrote:I can see Kings fans being open to sending Artest to Toronto, but this isn't the deal to do it.

My guess would be that a SAC/TOR deal with have as a base

Ron Artest & Kenny Thomas (& Filler as needed)
for
Jose Calderon, Rasho (& Filler as needed)

Of course this would probably have to wait until TJ Ford came back.


Toronto does this :rofl: to you! Why would we take on Kenny Thomas' ulgy contract and give up the best player in the deal Calderon for Artest and Thomas? Where is Thomas going to play and fit? I don't see Toronto having any intrest in him unless we are getting Martin in return and we both know that will never happen.

Toronto wouldn't touch this deal just to get a rental on Artest and take a gamble on him. Rasho for Thomas is even overpaying at this point I would take Rasho then Thomas.
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Post#60 » by Bac2Basics » Wed Jan 9, 2008 5:01 pm

xbl_sucks wrote:-= original quote snipped =-
Toronto does this :rofl: to you! Why would we take on Kenny Thomas' ulgy contract and give up the best player in the deal Calderon for Artest and Thomas? Where is Thomas going to play and fit? I don't see Toronto having any intrest in him unless we are getting Martin in return and we both know that will never happen.
Toronto wouldn't touch this deal just to get a rental on Artest and take a gamble on him. Rasho for Thomas is even overpaying at this point I would take Rasho then Thomas.


Begging your pardon sir
but Artest is the best player in the deal, Calderon is just the best player Toronto gives up.

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