elrod enchilada wrote:KG's rebounding is way down from the past eight seasons, even if you factor in that he is playing less minutes.
Can one of the number crunchers who study these things explain to me why this is no big deal. Until I get reassurance, I think those two or three fewer possessions per game are a real problem.
This is part of a bigger problem. KG's rebounding is way down and Ray Allen is having his worst season in a decade. I love these guys but this is not what we bargained for.
Maybe one of our numbers experts can reassure me about Ray, too.
So funny that this thread got out of hand without anyone actually doing what Elrod asked.
First off KG's rebounding is not down significantly compared to the last 8 years, his career rebounding rate is 17.2 vs the 16.8 he is posting now. It is down in comparison to the last 4 years which encompass his MVP and the 3 years his team failed to make the playoffs. So his 4 best rebounding years encompass his team's best season and 3 worst, it really isn't a very accurate indicator of anything on its own.
As a team Boston is a great defensive rebounding team (5th) and a poor offensive rebounding team (21). This is again a somewhat misleading indicator only Cleaveland is in the top 10 of offensive and defensive rebounding. Why you can't be good at both I don't know my guess is pace of play, even if you are it doesn't mean much the 2nd best combinded rebounding team is the Timberwolves I think. The Jazz are also the only team that shoots the ball well that rebounds well on the offensive end.
Efficency ratings tell the story. Boston 6th in offense, 1st on defense. Boston 3rd in eFG% and 1st eFG% allowed. More important than any of this is differential and they are still at a record setting pace.
Individually KG is certainly impacted by the fact that for the first time in his career he actually has a decent rebounder next to him at all times, whether it is Perk, Davis, Powe, or Pollard they are all 13+ rebounders and even Posey is an 11.
Why are KG, Ray, and Paul's numbers down individually? Because they have to do less. To directly relate to them crumbling due to age is as ignorant as thinking the Pats can't run the ball because they are turning you inside out with the passing game.
The focus for the rest of the regular season is not going to be to pad the 3 stars individual stats, just the opposite it will be to increase the real and apparent production of Rondo, Tony, Perk, Posey, Davis, House, Powe and whoever else is in there. Come playoff time teams will be able to take Paul or KG or Ray away, hell maybe two of them but they are going to leave one or all of these other options wide open and they have to be able to step up into that role. Maybe you have watched every game this season but maybe you are watching the wrong things. Garnett has played with an unselfishness you don't see in this league. He never fights a teamate for a rebound he knows what one more rebound can mean to Perk or Davis or what throwing down a dunk can mean for Posey. In the bigger and scarier he can make Perk look on that stat sheet the easier it will make his life in the playoffs.
Every game isn't life and death anymore. Who was the first guy to take shots down the stretch the other night against Toronto? Eddie House, did you ask yourself why?