Hollingers Playoff Odds - 20.8% for Finals

[El Presidente]

I understand that the guy gained a lot of fans on this board with his Jose Calderon analysis but his stats seemed to be getting out of hand.

Jersey as a 18.7% chance of making the playoffs but a 0% chance of making it in the NBA finals? There is one major thing mathematically wrong about that: if you're in the playoffs, you have a shot at winning the championship, it may be small, but it's there. Instead of Hollinger's half-ass analysis based entirely on statistics and repeatability you should consider Las Vegas odds when figuring out what teams really do have a shot, those guys know what they're talking about. If you read Holinger's explanation you'll see it's full of disclaimers, excuses and flaws about the "system".

Speaking of gambling, here are the real "odds" of winning a title:

http://www.sportingbet.com/US-Basketbal ... sFormat=EU

[UGA Hayes]

Yeah he should scrap the playoffs odds , however I have found that his power rankings are a pretty dang good predictor of what is going to happen. When Utah was having a dissapointing first half his ranking had them somewhere"crazy" like 3, and then they proceeded to go on a huge winning streak.