Donkey McDonkerton wrote:-= original quote snipped =-
I agree....if player X plays 10 minutes, and player Y plays 2 minutes, it is obvious that player X has a better chance to get hurt JUST because he on the floor more. It doesn't mean that his chances of injury increase more in the 3-10 minute mark though because he has been playing....does that make sense?
Sure. That is the linear part of it. Simply being exposed more. But now push this to the limit. We are talking max minute players not the difference between 2 min and 10 mins. Max minutes means when compared to the entire league, these people are pushing the limits beyond what the entire league of players are doing.
At that level you do get exposed to more injury because your tired and tired people don't react as quickly. I don't think that is in debate. I don't know about you but when I'm on my 4th game of BB or have been working out for an hour, I get tired and I don't move a fast and my feet don't shuffle as quickly. If you were to come at my legs, it wouldn't be able to get out of the way as quickly.
Also when you push this hard, you get joint problems. Look at DS and his knee.
You also get muscle problems. You get stains and pulls.
Come on. This isn't really a debate is it? This is common knowledge to anyone who have pushed themselves athletically. You get things like tendinitis because you pushed yourself to hard.
Sure some of this is genetic but you have to evaluate it for all things being equal. It would be to hard to evaluate for ever factor that could be involved. And as mentioned, that data set isn't even complete and doesn't account for injured players who still play. Look at Kobe's finger or a player like Brett Favre who played with lots of bad injuries.
We aren't talking about each persons pain threshold which is a whole nothing factor.
But some things do really stand out like, was the player just coming off injury? In that case, I would definitely lower their load.