Post#22 » by Jammer » Sun Apr 6, 2008 1:39 pm
Nice work Bleeding Green.
NO specific numbers, but some general ones.
The Celtics are 25-5 against the West, which prorates to 50-10; whereas all the Western Teams have lost more than 20 games while winning in the low fifties.
Detroit's record against the West is comparable to the top Western Teams, so one is left trying to explain the Celtics remarkable success against the West.
The Celtics lost 8 of their 15 losses when rotation players were injured or not available, where rotation is defined as 10 players, a starter and backup for each position.
So, the Celtics have rarely lost (7 times) when everyone was healthy and available.
Two of those losses (Washington) were when Rajon Rondo missed a game due to a hamstring injury, and limped around for 21 minutes in the other.
The Celtics got two wins against Sacramento before Mike Bibby was well, and one before Ron Artest was available.
The Celts also got a win against San Antonio when Tony Parker was out, but then beat San Antonio without Kevin Garnett.
Kobe was defended relentlessly by Ray and Tony Allen in the two Laker games, and Kobe was never able to get it going.
Bleeding Green's stats would indicate that the Western Conference is tougher. Except I disagree to some extent, with no data to back it up.
Cleveland started the year off without Varejao, and that didn't help their situation with Pavlovic's troubles also. So, they were undermanned at the start, LeBron injured his finger, and then Drew Gooden got all bent out of shape at Varejao's contract after Gooden took less than market when he re-signed, forcing them to trade Gooden. They've never been the same since the trade, they are slower without Larry Hughes, and seem less of a threat now than they were before the All-Star break, despite the strong inside play of Illgauskas, LeBron, and Joe Smith/Varejao off the bench.
Orlando is very dependent on their point guard play, the only real constants are Dwight Howard, Turkoglu, and Rashard Lewis. If they ever get consistent play from their bench forwards they will be a threat to make the ECF.
It seems that Orlando seems to try their hardest, and shoot well, against the Celtics. They are a matchup problem in some areas for the Celtics also.
I think that the teams that I fear the Celtics having to play, league wide, are:
Orlando (matchup problems, tough to defend when Orlando shoots well)
Philadelhia (Andre Miller, Iggy and Thaddeus Young are a formidable 1-2-3 combo with Dalembert in the middle, 7 foot smooth shooting Jason Smith at power forward (with the athletic Reggie Evans), and athletic guys like Rodney Carney, Willie Green and Louis Williams.
Utah
Phoenix (still dangerous when Shaq has gas in the tank)
San Antonio (they look old some nights, but if they get their act together, can play). The biggest difference is their supporting players.
And, if the referees continue to give New Orleans the breaks/Luv that they've been giving them all season, that team actually has a chance to make the finals until the Laker team returns healthy (probably next season, when Portland will become the next big thing).