MagicNolesFSU wrote:-= original quote snipped =-
How can you know this when Dwight hasnt even entered his prime yet? Get real kid. People make so many (Please Use More Appropriate Word) statements on realgm.
Exhibit A of a (Please Use More Appropriate Word) statement: your own post.
I have no love for Shaq. He's arrogant, and he's been overrated by a lot of people who haven't seen other bigs, but he's certainly better than Howard. I would have to think that when I say Shaq is much better than Howard, or anything Howard will ever become, that I'm much more objective than you.
Elite big men typically don't improve too much over the course of their careers. They generally put up their best stats early, maybe perhaps 4-5 years into their career and then plateau for a while before eventually declining. Take a look at Wilt, Russell, Kareem, Hakeem, Robinson, Shaq, and Ewing. I'll account for the fact that Howard is 3-4 years younger than these guys, and he still doesn't compare (or to a guy like Moses). And keep in mind that these guys faced stiffer competition.
What am I supposed to think when I see that rookie Shaq, at age 20, put up 23.4/13.9/1.9/0.7/3.5 on 56.2% shooting, number already better than 4th year Howard at age 22, in his so-called breakout year? Facing stiff competition against guys like Hakeem, D-Rob, Ewing, Mutombo, etc., rather than just Yao? That second-year Shaq was able to put up 29.3/13.2/2.4/0.9/2.9 on 59.9% shooting? Basically, a younger Shaq with less NBA experience than Howard is able to put up better stats against better competition.
Furthermore, Shaq has an impact on the game that goes beyond his numbers. I'm hard pressed to think that Howard can match those numbers, let alone his impact. True, he's athletic, but young Shaq was a bigger and more athletic version of Howard before he became a fat slob. I doubt Howard's work ethic alone will put him above Shaq. In fact, I guarantee it.
I can tell that prime Howard won't touch Shaq because I can observe the development patterns of similar players and reasonably ascertain what his potential might be. I certainly don't just ride my favorite player and heap unreasonable expectations upon him. It's fairly unbecoming, and the Magic already have one Stan.