510Reggae wrote:Mylie/Sleepy... I dont want to be a complete downer, but you are banking on:
Cohan spending money
We can't change that, can we? Neither can Mullin, nor Nellie, nor whoever we bring in as an replacement. And I think that Nellie is the best option if we have to turn D-Leaguers into NBA players (again)
Nellie giving consistent minutes to Wright/Biedrins
I don't see any reason why Biedrins minutes should drop. Wright on the other hand scares me... He simply has to get time, anything else won't make any sense.
Baron maintaining positive value via S&T
Orlando thought Rashard Lewis had value...
if Baron plays an comparable season to this one we'll be tradeable. Or, to spin this around... if Baron Davis doesn't have any value, who has?
For the scenario to work... these things unfortunately will not change. The only debatable thing really is Baron's value... if we don't get an EC back for the amount of money he's going to make (letsay, 10M+), along with a pick or player, we lost the NO trade. But here are some ECs for 09..
Ray Allen 19m
Joe Johnson 15m
Larry Hughes 13m
Ben Wallace 14m
Zydrunas Illgauskas 11m
Marcus Camby 8m
Rip Hamilton 11m
Cuttino Mobley 10m
Mike Miller 9m
Bobby Simmons 11m
Quentin Richardson 9m + Jerome James 6m
Shaq 20m
Brad Miller 12m
Kenny Thomas 8m
Now you can take most of those people out of that equation because they have talent... I'd say of the group, only Hughes, Ben, Mobley, Simmons, QRich/James, KThomas are the only legit options due to talent... would Baron want to go to CHI? CLE? LAC? MIL? NYK? SAC? Not a ton of great options there for him.
Now factor in the FA market. Andre Miller, Gilbert Arenas (if he picks up his option - likely), Mike Bibby, Raymond Felton (RFA), Jason Kidd, Allen Iverson, Luke Ridnour, Earl Watson...
I'm not seein it.
uhh... wait. I think I've missed a Nexus here. Foyle comes off the books after next season, right? Who says we have to S&T Baron for an EC? Let's say we make the playoffs with Baron-Monta-Jack-Al/Wright-Andris. Baron plays like he did against Dallas. Why shouldn't we be able to trade Baron for an young talent and an roleplayer? Am I missing something here? Why an EC?