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Interesting Link Analyzing Accuracy of NBA Mock Drafts

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Jammer
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Interesting Link Analyzing Accuracy of NBA Mock Drafts 

Post#1 » by Jammer » Wed Jul 2, 2008 2:47 am

Here is the Link:

http://www.sportsmedia.section30.com/

Although Chad Ford and John Hollinger are among the least accurate predictors of draft position, according to this article,

I have seen other analysis that indicates that John Hollinger's regression analysis predicting 3rd Year PER is more accurate in predicting who someone will perform in the NBA than the actual order of draftees.

See Link Below:

http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/07/01/can-a-draft-regression-outpredict-nba-experts/
Gomes3PC
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Re: Interesting Link Analyzing Accuaracy of NBA Mock Drafts 

Post#2 » by Gomes3PC » Wed Jul 2, 2008 2:54 am

After the first 3-4 picks, players rarely go in the order of their value. Teams fall in love with guys, make trades, and move around to grab 'their' guy. It's not like the MLB or NHL draft, which are pretty easy to predict because of less trades and more drafting for pure talent and not need.

Given how many trades happened this year, the odds of anyone making an accurate mock past the first 5 picks is pretty low.
TheSheriff
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Re: Interesting Link Analyzing Accuracy of NBA Mock Drafts 

Post#3 » by TheSheriff » Wed Jul 2, 2008 3:48 am

Unlike the MLB draft, teams don't pass on guys because of the agent and not wanting to meet player salaries demands in the NBA, so it is harder to predict which guys will. For instance in 2005 everyone knew Craig Hansen would fall to a big market team. I am not sure if that makes the MLB draft easier or harder to mock.

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