Kobe Feels Young

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kooldude
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#61 » by kooldude » Sun Aug 24, 2008 2:16 am

Rerisen wrote:Celtics faced WEAK competition in the east all last season which accounts for part their inflated stats. Put them in the West and all their numbers would have fell significantly.

As for Kobe, it will be interesting to see how close to his prime he can keep as he ages, as people have wondered about the staying power of early entrees like him and KG since they came in the league and started logging big minutes every year.


wow, how can someone with 17K+ posts make a stupid comment like that. Celtics won 25 out of 30 games vs the West last yr. That's a higher winning % than they had against the 'weak' East. And they beat the best offensive team in the West quite convincingly.
Warspite wrote:I still would take Mitch (Richmond) over just about any SG playing today. His peak is better than 2011 Kobe and with 90s rules hes better than Wade.


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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#62 » by bballcool34 » Sun Aug 24, 2008 2:21 am

ChocolateThundr wrote:
obinna wrote:
ChocolateThundr wrote:Its an opinion. Not a fact. So it cant be wrong

HA

you lose


"Kobe Bryant is the worst player in the NBA"

That is an opinion but it is obviously wrong. Know why? Cause it can be easily discredited, just like your silly opinion.


LOL

"Kobe is the worst player in the NBA" = obviously wrong

"Kobe lead last two championships" = opinion of a much minor party, but arguable

nice try

you lose again

HA


Is your love for Kobe so strong that you have to try and discredit Shaq by saying that he wasn't as much of a factor as Kobe in the Lakers championships?

It's strange how you disrespect the main reason the Lakers had 3 championships.

I'm of the opinion that Kobe played a 1b. sort of role on those championship teams, but don't see how you see him as the #1 option.

You believe that Kobe was the main option, and that it's arguable- so argue it.
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#63 » by Ballings7 » Sun Aug 24, 2008 2:24 am

Rerisen wrote:Celtics faced WEAK competition in the east all last season which accounts for part their inflated stats. Put them in the West and all their numbers would have fell significantly.


Good point. Which also relates to comparing them to the Knicks (which I think was in your intent).
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#64 » by Rerisen » Sun Aug 24, 2008 2:27 am

kooldude wrote:
Rerisen wrote:Celtics faced WEAK competition in the east all last season which accounts for part their inflated stats. Put them in the West and all their numbers would have fell significantly.

As for Kobe, it will be interesting to see how close to his prime he can keep as he ages, as people have wondered about the staying power of early entrees like him and KG since they came in the league and started logging big minutes every year.


wow, how can someone with 17K+ posts make a stupid comment like that. Celtics won 25 out of 30 games vs the West last yr. That's a higher winning % than they had against the 'weak' East. And they beat the best offensive team in the West quite convincingly.


What would be stupid, would be thinking they would have as good a record, point differential, and defensive stats if they had played better competition all season long. :roll:

Look at the Box Scores, you think Boston was crushing the West even in their wins vs what they did to the East? No.

Boston Defense vs East Top 8 Teams last year

89.6 PPG .423 FG%

Boston Defense vs West Top 8 Teams last year

95.3 PPG .453 FG%

Vs All East

88.5 PPG .412 FG%

Vs All West

92.5 PPG .436 FG%
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#65 » by Bgil » Sun Aug 24, 2008 3:04 am

5) WRT SAS?

With Regard To
San Antonio Spurs

1) Pace is not mean you have a better defense


I did not say Pace = better defense. I said defensive teams often use pace as a defensive tactic. That does not exclude the existence defensive teams that don't, really bad teams that play at slow paces, or any other instance. However, my point about many defensive teams using pace manipulation as a tactic is FACT.

Again, Defensive Rating says Denver > CLE and Utah and I don't think anyone here agrees with that, probably not even Nuggets players.

2. Pace is a defensive and offensive tactic. For instance, slowing the PHX or GS offense down to a slow half court game has been a tactic that has worked very well against them, regardless of their shooting percentage. The NBA is a game of runs... controlling those runs leads to wins.

3. The 'handcheck rule' was inacted the following year and was caused to defensive drop.

4. Handchecking on the perimeter wasn't disallowed in 94-95. I have no idea what would make you think that.
I'm not even going to discuss the idea that it didn't affect defensive play. NOTHING supports that and there's a mountain of evidence against you.
"I'm sure they'll jump off the bandwagon. Then when we do get back on top, they're going to want to jump back on, and we're going to tell them there's no more room." - Kobe in March of 2005
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#66 » by Bgil » Sun Aug 24, 2008 3:16 am

Ballings7 wrote:
Rerisen wrote:Celtics faced WEAK competition in the east all last season which accounts for part their inflated stats. Put them in the West and all their numbers would have fell significantly.


Good point. Which also relates to comparing them to the Knicks (which I think was in your intent).


Well one could argue that the league was overexpanded in the Knicks era and that the best offensive teams played in the West.
"I'm sure they'll jump off the bandwagon. Then when we do get back on top, they're going to want to jump back on, and we're going to tell them there's no more room." - Kobe in March of 2005
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#67 » by Don Draper » Sun Aug 24, 2008 3:38 am

Bgil wrote:
5) WRT SAS?

With Regard To
San Antonio Spurs

1) Pace is not mean you have a better defense


I did not say Pace = better defense. I said defensive teams often use pace as a defensive tactic. That does not exclude the existence defensive teams that don't, really bad teams that play at slow paces, or any other instance. However, my point about many defensive teams using pace manipulation as a tactic is FACT.

Again, Defensive Rating says Denver > CLE and Utah and I don't think anyone here agrees with that, probably not even Nuggets players.

2. Pace is a defensive and offensive tactic. For instance, slowing the PHX or GS offense down to a slow half court game has been a tactic that has worked very well against them, regardless of their shooting percentage. The NBA is a game of runs... controlling those runs leads to wins.

3. The 'handcheck rule' was inacted the following year and was caused to defensive drop.

4. Handchecking on the perimeter wasn't disallowed in 94-95. I have no idea what would make you think that.
I'm not even going to discuss the idea that it didn't affect defensive play. NOTHING supports that and there's a mountain of evidence against you.


You are a funny guy.

1) I meant to say after the 94-95 season. But that is irrelevant

2) I know slowing the game down can be a tactic
Slower pace only really makes games closer since there are fewer chances to score in the game.

But some things result in a slower pace (ie. getting back on D instead of crashing board, working the ball into the post, zones, structured offenses, etc.) But the point is pace has no bearing on whether or not a team's defense is good or not, because you said
1. Pace is a major part of defense hence why the best defensive teams use a slower pace and the worst defensive teams use a much faster pace (think Suns and Warriors vs Rockets, Pistons, Celtics, and Spurs). Removing it invalidates the entire discussion.

Which was disproved in my earlier post.

3) Teams get roughly the same amount of possessions in a game. So slowing the pace down might reduce the number of possessions for your opponent but it also reduces the number of possessions for your own team. Most NBA teams just run their offense to their strengths. Heavy underdogs, especially in the NCAA tourney, will slow the game down to a crawl in order to create very few possessions. It is more effective in college because a) shorter game b) semi-continuous clock c) longer shot clock.

4) Now i will prove what you said I could not. Let's look at the league average defensive ratings for from the 92-93 to 97-98. (three years before the hand-checking rule and three years after)
92-93 : 108.0
93-94 : 106.3
94-95 : 108.3
95-96 : 107.6
96-97 : 106.7
97-98 : 105.0

Based on your analysis, teams should be scoring more efficiently so the defensive rating should get considerably worse. But as you can see this is not the case. The ratings actually get better after the hand-checking. So this statement:
The 'handcheck rule' was inacted the following year and was caused to defensive drop.


Is 100% false. Maybe they were less steals but defenses overall actually got a little better.

I want to let you know the stuff I am saying is based on science. The people who pioneered these numbers are on NBA payrolls, some of them are GMs. I have backed up everything I have said.
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#68 » by Bgil » Sun Aug 24, 2008 4:00 am

Rerisen wrote:Celtics faced WEAK competition in the east all last season which accounts for part their inflated stats. Put them in the West and all their numbers would have fell significantly.

As for Kobe, it will be interesting to see how close to his prime he can keep as he ages, as people have wondered about the staying power of early entrees like him and KG since they came in the league and started logging big minutes every year.


I doubt Kobe will keep his high stats if the team keeps improving. he's not that type of player. If Farmar and Bynum (Ariza? Sasha?) fufill their potential then he'll gladly take a less dominant role probably focusing more on defense than offense. I think getting a DPOY is a big goal of his... a few years back (2004) he even said he valued it more than getting a scoring title.

If he's going to get that DPOY soon then this is the perfect year. With Bynum behind him and the team letting him roam his defensive impact will be higher than it's ever been.
"I'm sure they'll jump off the bandwagon. Then when we do get back on top, they're going to want to jump back on, and we're going to tell them there's no more room." - Kobe in March of 2005
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#69 » by kooldude » Sun Aug 24, 2008 4:11 am

Rerisen wrote:What would be stupid, would be thinking they would have as good a record, point differential, and defensive stats if they had played better competition all season long. :roll:

Look at the Box Scores, you think Boston was crushing the West even in their wins vs what they did to the East? No.

Boston Defense vs East Top 8 Teams last year

89.6 PPG .423 FG%

Boston Defense vs West Top 8 Teams last year

95.3 PPG .453 FG%

Vs All East

88.5 PPG .412 FG%

Vs All West

92.5 PPG .436 FG%


Boston already had the better record against the West than East when they faced 'better' competition so not sure why the eye rolling is necessary or even make sense.

The point differential is pretty much the same. Though the West teams scored more PPG than the East opponents, the Celtics also scored more PPG against West teams too. The margin of victory is about 10PPG, about identical against both conferences. Again, based on box scores, right?

You may be right about the opponent FG% though. But once you 'switch' Boston to the West conference (52 games against West, 30 against East), their opponent FG% is still by far the best in the league (granted not as great as in the East).

So essentially Boston won a higher percentage against the West, with almost the same margin of victory.
Warspite wrote:I still would take Mitch (Richmond) over just about any SG playing today. His peak is better than 2011 Kobe and with 90s rules hes better than Wade.


Jordan23Forever wrote:People are delusional.
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#70 » by Bgil » Sun Aug 24, 2008 4:29 am

4) Now i will prove what you said I could not. Let's look at the league average defensive ratings for from the 92-93 to 97-98. (three years before the hand-checking rule and three years after)
92-93 : 108.0
93-94 : 106.3
94-95 : 108.3
95-96 : 107.6
96-97 : 106.7
97-98 : 105.0


You are mistaken. The 'handcheck rule' refers to a decision by the league, after the 2004 season, to remove much of the perimeter contact from the game by instructing officials to call the game to the letter of the rule (wrt to perimeter contact). At the league meeting where the changes were introduced they cited the excessive perimeter contact and defensive style that was used by the 2004 Pistons against the Lakers. They claimed this defensive style and level of contact dropped scoring and would also hurt ratings.

Not sure where you got the 94-95 season as the source of the 'handcheck rule'.

NBA.com interview with Stu Jackson:
Three years ago, before the ’04-05 season, we also began to really interpret and enforce the forearm and body check, where by we had defenders either placing a hand or a forearm on an offensive player’s shoulder or hip in an effort to slow them down and give them a defensive advantage in terms of sliding in front of the offensive player. When we disallowed that – the use of the hand, the use of the forearm to the shoulder, the hip, the body – that in conjunction with the hand check interpretation started to give offensive players on the perimeter more offensive freedom.

The two charts included in the interview:
http://www.nba.com/media/stu_ppg_big.jpg
http://www.nba.com/media/stu_fgp_big.jpg

http://www.nba.com/features/stujackson_ ... 70503.html

But some things result in a slower pace (ie. getting back on D instead of crashing board, working the ball into the post, zones, structured offenses, etc.) But the point is pace has no bearing on whether or not a team's defense is good or not, because you said


No you're mixing statistical correlation with influence. The two are different. Pace and defense don't correlate but one does influence the other as pace manipulation is a defensive (or offensive) tactic.

Which was disproved in my earlier post.

No, you disproved direct correlation... which I never claimed.
"I'm sure they'll jump off the bandwagon. Then when we do get back on top, they're going to want to jump back on, and we're going to tell them there's no more room." - Kobe in March of 2005
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#71 » by Don Draper » Sun Aug 24, 2008 4:40 am

1994-95
• Shortened the three-point line (22 feet in the corners extending to 23 feet, nine inches at the top of the key) to a uniform 22 feet around the basket.
• Awarded three foul shots for any player fouled while attempting a three-point field goal.
• Any player who leaves the bench during a fight automatically suspended for a minimum of one game and fined a maximum of $20,000; in addition to losing 1/82nd of his salary for each game, he is suspended.
• Any player who commits two flagrant fouls in one game will be ejected.
• Hand-checking eliminated from the end line in the backcourt to the opposite foul line.
• Technical foul fines increased to $500 each. Formerly, the fines were $100 for the first technical and $150 for the second.
• “Clear path” rule changed to include contact in the backcourt. If a defender, grabs a player when the player has a clear path to the basket on a breakaway, two foul shots will be awarded.
• The second or more of back-to-back timeouts when the ball is not inbounded will be limited to 45 seconds.

http://www.nba.com/analysis/rules_history.html

Maybe the made some minor rules changes but it was first enforced 94-95.

Even if I use numbers after the 04-05 season the result is still the same. Just admit you are wrong.
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This is the state of modern day political discourse.
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#72 » by Bgil » Sun Aug 24, 2008 5:23 am

obinna wrote:
1994-95
• Shortened the three-point line (22 feet in the corners extending to 23 feet, nine inches at the top of the key) to a uniform 22 feet around the basket.
• Awarded three foul shots for any player fouled while attempting a three-point field goal.
• Any player who leaves the bench during a fight automatically suspended for a minimum of one game and fined a maximum of $20,000; in addition to losing 1/82nd of his salary for each game, he is suspended.
• Any player who commits two flagrant fouls in one game will be ejected.
• Hand-checking eliminated from the end line in the backcourt to the opposite foul line.
• Technical foul fines increased to $500 each. Formerly, the fines were $100 for the first technical and $150 for the second.
• “Clear path” rule changed to include contact in the backcourt. If a defender, grabs a player when the player has a clear path to the basket on a breakaway, two foul shots will be awarded.
• The second or more of back-to-back timeouts when the ball is not inbounded will be limited to 45 seconds.

http://www.nba.com/analysis/rules_history.html

Maybe the made some minor rules changes but it was first enforced 94-95.

Even if I use numbers after the 04-05 season the result is still the same. Just admit you are wrong.


Obviously the numbers aren't the same as you can see by the graphs I posted... which come directly from the NBA. Not to mentipn Stu Jackson's interview backs me up completely.

From your own link:
2004-05
• New rules were introduced to curtail hand-checking, clarify blocking fouls and call defensive three seconds to open up the game.
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#73 » by Don Draper » Sun Aug 24, 2008 5:42 am

So if it was only due to hand-checking (which you are implying) why was the defensive rating in 92-93 higher than in 2004-2005?

He mentions 3 things:
2004-05
• New rules were introduced to curtail hand-checking, clarify blocking fouls and call defensive three seconds to open up the game.


IT IS NOT JUST HAND CHECKING.
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#74 » by Bgil » Sun Aug 24, 2008 6:14 am

why was the defensive rating in 92-93 higher than in 2004-2005?


Because defenses are superior in terms of technique and scheme in the later era. Further, regardless of rules the level of perimeter contact was not constant. For example, even in 2008 (post 'handcheck rule') there is still more perimeter contact in most games than there was in the 80's.

IT IS NOT JUST HAND CHECKING.

No **** sherlock. That's why I put 'handcheck rule' in quotes. Either way it's irrelevant to my point about the rule changes following the 2004 season making defense harder to play. Stu Jackson backs me up. Your link backs me up. The NBA's own charts back me up.
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#75 » by Don Draper » Sun Aug 24, 2008 6:33 am

Bgil wrote:Because defenses are superior in terms of technique and scheme in the later era. Further, regardless of rules the level of perimeter contact was not constant. For example, even in 2008 (post 'handcheck rule') there is still more perimeter contact in most games than there was in the 80's.

I am talking about the 90s Knicks, not any 80s teams. Have you ever heard of Derrick Harper?
The
IT IS NOT JUST HAND CHECKING.

No **** sherlock. That's why I put 'handcheck rule' in quotes. Either way it's irrelevant to my point about the rule changes following the 2004 season making defense harder to play. Stu Jackson backs me up. Your link backs me up. The NBA's own charts back me up.[/quote]

This is what you said.
3. The 'handcheck rule' was inacted the following year and was caused to defensive drop.

You didn't include anything else. I've constantly refuted damn near everything you said. Go back and read the posts.
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This is the state of modern day political discourse.
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#76 » by GreenWithEnvy » Sun Aug 24, 2008 6:56 am

kooldude wrote:
Rerisen wrote:Celtics faced WEAK competition in the east all last season which accounts for part their inflated stats. Put them in the West and all their numbers would have fell significantly.

As for Kobe, it will be interesting to see how close to his prime he can keep as he ages, as people have wondered about the staying power of early entrees like him and KG since they came in the league and started logging big minutes every year.


wow, how can someone with 17K+ posts make a stupid comment like that. Celtics won 25 out of 30 games vs the West last yr. That's a higher winning % than they had against the 'weak' East. And they beat the best offensive team in the West quite convincingly.


wowwwwwwww destroyed haha
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#77 » by Bgil » Sun Aug 24, 2008 9:18 am

ME:
3. Detroit wasn't the best defense for the entire season because Sheed only played 22 regular season games for them. That pretty much invalidates all those season-long stats anyway.


You:
3) It doesn't invalidate anything. You can deal in what ifs. You evaluate team's seasons based on what happened not on what would have happened. The next year he played 79 games and their defense was actually a little worse. So you argument is invalid


Me:
3. The 'handcheck rule' was inacted the following year and was caused to defensive drop.


You:
Is 100% false. Maybe they were less steals but defenses overall actually got a little better.


--------------------
Notice how that last statement you made is false? How you figured the Detroit-Sheed thing was refering to a 94-95 rule will be an unsolved mystery but the fact that you're just flat out wrong (as confirmed by Stu Jackson and the NBA.com charts on the subject) still stands.
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#78 » by Rerisen » Sun Aug 24, 2008 3:14 pm

kooldude wrote:Boston already had the better record against the West than East when they faced 'better' competition so not sure why the eye rolling is necessary or even make sense.


Because I seriously cannot believe someone would be arguing that if the Celtics played 42 more games against the West last year (including the Western Conference playoffs) instead of against the East teams that they did actually play, they would have done even better. Or more specifically that their defense would be even better. Which is what the context of the discussion is about. It already clearly was not better as they gave up more points and higher FG% to the west. The limited 30 game sample size here is not as relevant as the plethora of other stats that tell us the West had much better teams if we were to try and predict out more games vs those teams, or a whole season played in the West.

In the regular season, the Celtics regularly romped the poorer Eastern Conference teams, and had games won by the end of the third quarter, resting their stars for much of the 4th. If they played all those games out with their stars they would have won many of those games by 25 or 30 points, making the East look even more terrible.

The East was by and large very poor last season. There is no denying it. The conference has been at one of its weaker points the last couple years. In the context of defense which is what the discussion was about, Boston was obviously aided by playing in this weak conference. The wins and losses are frankly not as relevant when we are trying to look at how good their defense is. Unless you would line up the best defenses of all time simply in order of team record. Which would be silly.
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#79 » by prekazi » Sun Aug 24, 2008 3:48 pm

According to Freud it's called Denial Process or Abnegation. :)

Watching old Kobe is more entertaining than the young, selfish one so I've no problems with him aging.
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Re: Kobe Feels Young 

Post#80 » by DraftBoy10 » Sun Aug 24, 2008 3:48 pm

Kobe can probably play till he is about 69.

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