Overs and unders for the 08-09 season

[sendai91]

Assuming that there are no major changes between now and the beginning of the season, here's my projections about how the season. You list your over or under projections as you see it playing out.

Playoff results:

Odds of making the playoffs: 95%

Odds of winning 1st rd series: 70%

Odds of winning 2nd rd series: 55%

Odds of winning Western Conference championship: 20%

Odds of NBA championship: 10%

Season record:

56 wins, 3rd in the conference

All-star selections:

Two, Boozer and Williams as reserves

Odds of a major trade (involving either Boozer, Okur or AK) 3.5 to 1

PPG projections:

Boozer 23.0
Williams 19.5
Okur 15.0
Kirilenko 13

Williams APG 10.2, third in the NBA behind Paul and Nash

Sloan retiring at the end of the season: 3 to 1

Next year's roster:

Odds of the player in a Jazz uniform next year (2009-2010)

Fesenko: 20%

Tomic: 20%

Collins: 30%

Almond: 40%

Boozer: 45%

AK: 55%

Okur: 70%

Korver: 85%

[babyjax13]

Playoff results:

Odds of making the playoffs: 99%

Odds of winning 1st rd series: 80%

Odds of winning 2nd rd series: 50%

Odds of winning Western Conference championship: 10%

Odds of NBA championship: 5%

Season record:

59 wins, 2nd in the conference

All-star selections:

Three, Boozer, Williams, AK as reserves

Odds of a major trade (involving either Boozer, Okur or AK) 50 to 1

PPG projections:

Boozer 21.0
Williams 19
Okur 15
Kirilenko 14

Williams APG 11, third in the NBA behind Paul and Nash

Sloan retiring at the end of the season: 2 to 1

Next year's roster:

Odds of the player in a Jazz uniform next year (2009-2010)

Fesenko: 10%

Tomic: 5%

Collins: 80%

Almond: 60%

Boozer: 50%

AK: 80%

Okur: 70%

Korver: 100%

[fivas14]

Kover 100%? dis agree, he hated that he got traded here. I bet he goes back to Phlly.

[HolyToledo]

Playoff results:

Odds of making the playoffs: 100%

Odds of winning 1st rd series: 100%

Odds of winning 2nd rd series: 65%

Odds of winning Western Conference championship: 40%

Odds of NBA championship: 25%

Season record:

60 wins, 1st in the conference

All-star selections:

Boozer, Okur, and Williams as reserves

Odds of a major trade (involving either Boozer, Okur or AK) 10 to 1

PPG projections:

Boozer 21
Williams 18
Okur 18
Kirilenko 15

Williams APG 12, leader in league

Sloan retiring at the end of the season: 6 to 1

Next year's roster:

Odds of the player in a Jazz uniform next year (2009-2010)

Fesenko: 10%

Tomic: 30%

Collins: 10%

Almond: 70%

Boozer: 70%

AK: 90%

Okur: 30%

Korver: 30%

[Soul Patch]

Kover 100%? dis agree, he hated that he got traded here. I bet he goes back to Phlly.

I doubt he opts out of his contract. He's getting paid enough and he's on a contending team, I don't think he'd get paid much more to go somewhere else.

[schneiderjazz]

Playoff results:

Odds of making the playoffs: 90%

Odds of winning 1st rd series: 60%

Odds of winning 2nd rd series: 50%

Odds of winning Western Conference championship: 30%

Odds of NBA championship: 10% (This is kind of a tricky one - The harder task is getting to the Finals. If we get there I say we have a 50% chance of winning it).

Season record:

55 wins, 4th in the conference

All-star selections:

Two, Boozer and Williams as reserves (Anyone who thinks the Jazz will have 3 all-stars is crazy. I'd love to see it, but unless they win 65 games, it ain't gonna happen).

Odds of a major trade: 20 to 1. If AK states that he wants out, we might have something. The only other trade I can see happening is Fesenko for a 2nd rounder.

PPG projections:

Boozer 21.5
Williams 19.5
Okur 14.0
Kirilenko 12.5
Brewer 13.0

Williams APG 11, second in the NBA behind Paul. Nash's minutes will probably be reduced and his assists dipped a little once Shaq joined the Suns. IMO, he'll average around 10.5 apg.

Sloan retiring at the end of the season: Zero. Sloan will coach this team until he dies.

Next year's roster:

Odds of the player in a Jazz uniform next year (2009-2010)

Fesenko: 50%

Tomic: 20%

Collins: 20%

Almond: 70%

Boozer: 50%

AK: 50%

Okur: 90%

Korver: 40%

[edfmx86]

Kover 100%? dis agree, he hated that he got traded here. I bet he goes back to Phlly.

I thought he liked it here
he might have hated it when it happened but he is in a pretty good situation right now. He is on a contending team as a sixth man and an absolute fan favorite. Coach seems to like him too.

i say Korver has a pretty good chance of staying here for awhile.

[Neon Black]

Playoff results:

Odds of making the playoffs: 99.%

Odds of winning 1st rd series: 79%

Odds of winning 2nd rd series: 65%

Odds of winning Western Conference championship: 30%

Odds of NBA championship: 15%

Season record:

59 wins, 2nd in the conference

All-star selections:

Boozer and Williams as reserves

The Jazz will probably make some kind of move involving AK or Boozer in order to clear up cap space and save talent next offseason.

PPG projections:

Boozer 23.5
Williams 19.5
Okur 14.0
Kirilenko 12.5
Brewer 14.5

Williams APG 11.5 second in the NBA behind Paul.

Sloan retiring at the end of the season: If the Jazz win a championship, 99%. If not 5%.

Next year's roster:

Odds of the player in a Jazz uniform next year (2009-2010)

Fesenko: 50%

Tomic:15%

Collins: 10%

Almond: 60%

Boozer: 40%

AK: 60%

Okur: 75%

Korver: 50%