Post#10 » by maccca32 » Tue Mar 24, 2009 12:22 am
I think the Jazz will go 8-5 the rest of the way. I was projecting their win-loss with 26 games to go and the Jazz havent disappointed (or suprised unfortunately) in the first 13 games thus far.
The Jazz should win out at home to finish 36-6 for the season. The next home game vs HOU is huge and also PHO as important as well.
We are an average road team at best but have showed a few positive signs on the road of late. They have had solid wins over Indiana (19-14 at home) and Oklahoma (started 2-14 at home but are 12-8 in their last 20 with wins over SAS, POR, DAL, PHI, DET and us).
I cant see us winning on the second night of a back at back on the road (L @ Pho and L @ Por). Its unlikely we win at SAS or LAL either.
The remaining three games on the road are vs DEN, NOH and DAL. Any of these would be good road wins. I want to see us take two of these three games to finish 51-31 on the season (16-25 on the road). Though we would probably have to win atleast one more road game to get home court in the first round.
I think we have NOH number. They are the weakest of the three teams at home (26-10). They have already lost at home to GSW (6-29), NYN (10-24), CHI (11-26), ATL (14-22) and POR (16-20) this season. Not to mention we have already thrashed then twice at home this season. A MUST WIN really.
The Denver game is critical to winning our division (obviously a win over POR would be great too). Even when Denver went on their 3-8 skid they were a solid 3-2 at home with only L to BOS and HOU.
They havent lost to a bad road team at home all year. LAL (24-9), SAS (21-12), CLE (25-12), ORL (24-11) and BOS (25-12) are all excellent road teams. The other losses were to NOH (18-15), HOU (18-17) and DET (16-17).
Mind you Utah should be a .500 team on the road this year like those last three teams. If the Jazz hadnt lost alot of easy road games earlier in the year (vs NYN, WAS, CHA, MIL, OKC) and also to GSW recently they would be atleast a .500 road team.
Dallas are 25-4 at home with only losses to LAL, SAS, DEN and BOS since starting the season 0-4 at home. This will be the toughest game to win.
ALL the remaining games are huge, a win against a tough home team (PHO, POR, SAS, LAL) will lift the team but a loss at home to a terrible away team (NYN, MIN, GSW, LAC) will cost us big time.
Makes this season all the more interesting.