wiff wrote:And honestly you can go stat geek all you want, but I find it interesting that you claim the only thing Westbrook did as well as Roy was steal the ball. Mean while he also rebounded better and handed out more assists.
ok. let's discuss rebounding. i was wrong when i stated that rebounding is not meaninful in this comparison, since one thing that russell westbrook does inordinately well is get offensive rebounds. westbrook grabbed 6.8% of all offensive rebound chances, and that's a lot for a guard, and probably is the best rate on the whole team. westbrook is actually a worse defensive rebounder than roy was, but his offensive rebounds push him ahead overall in this regard.
that said,
wiff wrote:Of course you just gloss over the fact that he is a better rebounder like it doesn't contribute to the game. As Charles Barkley once said, "You can't score unless you have the ball".
it contributes to the game, but the rebounding overall is a slight difference between the players (except offensive rebounds). it certainly comes nowhere near making up for the huge differences in the pertinent guard metrics.
the fact that westbrook 'hands out more assists' is deceptive and does not tell the whole story, and it's not about being a stat geek, it's common sense. assists are a statistic that is part of a larger measurement: ball handling. an appropriate analogue would be points per game being part of scoring [efficiency]. a player who contributes 20 points per game on 15 shots is almost always worth more as a scorer than a player who scores 22 points on 20 shots. even though one player is scoring more points per game, he's wasting more team possessions to do so, usually to the detriment of the team. most people understand this concept.
similarly, russell westbrook wastes a lot of possessions in order to put up his assist numbers. more precisely, for every 1.6 assists he hands out he turns the ball over, resulting in a wasted possession, and often a fast break opportunity for the other team. there is nothing worse than a turnover in the nba, as it will always result in an extra possession for the other team, and often an easy bucket or free throws. this is why in many composite statistics turnovers are so costly, and it is one of the main reasons russell westbrook's PER is so low despite what might appear as pretty good volume production.
even without looking at statistics, if you watched westbrook play this season he was a selfish player. he took many difficult shots and generally played a wild brand of basketball. this tendency is clearly reflected in the statistics. the fact that he averaged more assists than brandon roy did as a rookie is immaterial.
to go one step further, take a look at mike bibby. mike bibby averaged 5.0 assists this year for the hawks. russell westbrook averaged 5.9 assists for the thunder. what does that tell you about the players? it doesn't tell you anything, really. looking deeper at the entire 'ball handling' picture, you see that mike bibby only commited 1.6 turnovers a game to every 5.0 assists. mike bibby facilitated offense without 'giving it back' to the opposition. nobody in their right mind would consider russell westbrook a better point guard, ball handler, or assist man than mike bibby was this year. the same could easily be said when comparing brandon roy's rookie season with westbrook's.
wiff, i like russell westbrook. he's a dynamic player who, if he can solve a lot of his problems on the court, could be a really unique point guard. even if he doesn't make it, i think he has a shot of being a great shooting guard. but please let's get real about what he did on the court in his rookie season.