Post#476 » by Severn Hoos » Thu Jun 25, 2009 6:44 pm
Well, "in the mix for the Eastern Conference championship" is somewhat vague. What would qualify to make that statement reality? Because I expect the Wiz to probably be the 4th best team in the Conf - or at least 5th, which puts them in that 4-5 first round matchup. And let's face it - if we were to get homecourt advantage for a playoff series, it'd be the first time in, what, 25 years? That ain't nothing, folks.
So if you win that 1st round series and are competitive in the 2nd round against the top seed (Cleveland, most likely), does that count as "in the mix"? Because if it does, then I definitely think we'll be "in the mix." And if they can shock the world by knocking off Cleveland or Boston in the 2nd round, then playing in the Conf. Finals would, by definition, be "in the mix."
Point is, I don't think it's as outlandish a statement as it may seem. I do expect the Wiz to be better than the Hawks and Heat (they certainly have a lot more depth than either team), and I don't see anyone else challenging for the #4 seed. Maybe Philly, but that's about it. Then, factor in that Orlando could lose Turkoglu, Cleveland could lose Sideshow Andy, how will Shaq fit in? Can he stay healthy? Will KG come back? Will Ray Allen be dealt? Can Boston's Big 3 stay healthy all year?...
Is it completely inconceivable that a deep Wiz team that draws one of the top 3 teams in the 2nd round could knock them off? Each of those teams (Boston/Cleveland/Orlando) are hugely dependent on one guy. If something happens to that one guy, all bets are off.
Is it likely that the Wiz will be in the ECF? No, of course not. But it's not outlandish, either. So I guess that means they might be "in the mix."
"A society that puts equality - in the sense of equality of outcome - ahead of freedom will end up with neither equality nor freedom. The use of force to achieve equality will destroy freedom" Milton Friedman, Free to Choose