There's an insider
article by Hollinger today about the free agent market. The gist of the article is that the NBA owners are spending like crazy for whatever unrestricted talent is available, but no one is making any moves for the restricted free agents.
In turn, this has to be chilling news if you're Rajon Rondo, Luis Scola, Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge, Andrea Bargnani, Ronnie Brewer or Foye, all of whom will be restricted free agents next summer if they don't sign extensions by opening day. (Brandon Roy, who is all but certain to get a maximum extension, needn't worry.) The restricted free agents in the class of '09 couldn't get a sniff of big money even in a very underwhelming free-agent market; what can they possibly expect a year from now when the likes of LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh, Dirk Nowitzki and Amare Stoudemire could be available unrestricted?
On the other hand, the unrestricted free agents could once again make out like bandits -- perhaps providing a carrot for the likes of Lee, Millsap and Williams to take the qualifier and play for a below-market-value price this season in hopes of recouping the difference next summer.
Last year Ben Gordon left money on the table to get his unrestricted status and that paid off. I wonder if we'll see a lot of that this summer. I could see agents advising their clients that with all that cap room set aside for next season the situation could be a lot better if you shed the restricted label. Some teams are going to miss out on the big names and they'll still want to spend their money since that's what they always do.