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Amare is still a bad defender

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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#21 » by Go7enKs » Wed Nov 11, 2009 12:20 am

WTFsunsFTW wrote:I care, and he isnt doing enough for $17M

Oh and lemme tell you something, he never will. In an ideal world Amare Stoudemire is not worth a Max contract. NEVER, EVER. In the crazy NBA of a couple of years ago he would get one but I'm not sure there will be suitors this summer especially if the cap continues to shrink. Throwing a max contract this summer is gonna be a HUGE gamble, even more than normally. Imagine the cap keeps shrinking for the next 3 seasons. A big contract is gonna kill some teams.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#22 » by Krush32 » Wed Nov 11, 2009 1:37 am

Tsherkin, the big men are having good games against the suns because that is there defensive plan. The people beating us are the big men that can shoot jumpers. The suns are doing a great job at containing the pick n roll right now, and making the big man beat us with a perimeter jumpshot. Camby/speights/blatch/rasheed/Bass all took plenty of shots, and if you think about it who would you rather get beat by? Igoudala/Wade/Baron Davis/Rondo getting in the lane?

Also, with New Orleans coming up I have no idea how they are going to keep Chris Paul contained. :[
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#23 » by lilfishi22 » Wed Nov 11, 2009 4:55 am

CP3 can't be contained. He's averaging some ridiculous numbers right now and against our defense, he's gonna have a field day.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#24 » by tsherkin » Wed Nov 11, 2009 6:21 am

Krush32 wrote: Igoudala/Wade/Baron Davis/Rondo getting in the lane?


Yes, actually, I would prefer that. Iguodala and Baron Davis don't shoot 65% from the field and pop off on the Suns the same way and Baron can be induced into shooting a lot of bad 3s. Rondo's a problem, but he's going to be a problem whether you game plan for it or not.

Anyway, it's 8 games in; you guys will disagree with me for about another dozen games or so, and then you'll see what I'm talking about; history, math and the nature of the game are on my side and you'll see soon enough.

I'm not saying Phoenix is going to regress so hard that they are going to be a bad team, they'll still be a 53+ win team, probably, because they're still going to have a great offense and the FT% increase will somewhat mollify the decrease in 3P%, but there's going to be a step back in the offense and the defensive short-comings will be exposed against better offensive teams as the strength of the schedule increases.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#25 » by JohnVancouver » Wed Nov 11, 2009 7:28 am

tsherkin wrote:
Krush32 wrote: Igoudala/Wade/Baron Davis/Rondo getting in the lane?


Yes, actually, I would prefer that. Iguodala and Baron Davis don't shoot 65% from the field and pop off on the Suns the same way and Baron can be induced into shooting a lot of bad 3s. Rondo's a problem, but he's going to be a problem whether you game plan for it or not.

Anyway, it's 8 games in; you guys will disagree with me for about another dozen games or so, and then you'll see what I'm talking about; history, math and the nature of the game are on my side and you'll see soon enough.

I'm not saying Phoenix is going to regress so hard that they are going to be a bad team, they'll still be a 53+ win team, probably, because they're still going to have a great offense and the FT% increase will somewhat mollify the decrease in 3P%, but there's going to be a step back in the offense and the defensive short-comings will be exposed against better offensive teams as the strength of the schedule increases.



You don't see any possibility that the defense will continue to improve, maybe get them to between 15th and 10th?
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#26 » by garrick » Wed Nov 11, 2009 11:21 am

"http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Z-x05PoOpk&feature=related"
I came across this compilation of STAT in HS which I never seen before, I'm sure the NBA scouts saw the same footage so I'm surprised how low he fell in the draft.
Anyway back to the original topic I agree that yes Amare is a weak defender but as long as he gives effort to box out or make the defensive stops it will make a world of a difference.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#27 » by tsherkin » Wed Nov 11, 2009 4:02 pm

JohnVancouver wrote:

You don't see any possibility that the defense will continue to improve, maybe get them to between 15th and 10th?


I don't believe it will happen.

The best they ever were was in 06-07 when they were 13th and that was with a healthy Bell and Marion. Other than that, they've been 16th to 18th (or 26th last season).

Gentry isn't a defensive coach, they have fewer good defensive players... I don't see it happening. They haven't added defensive rebounders, they haven't added good pressure defenders, they haven't added anything of note that indicates that they will be able to beat their peak defensive performance with Nash and STAT.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#28 » by justinb80 » Wed Nov 11, 2009 4:31 pm

The main thing that caught my attention here was talking about the Suns having an exceptionally weak schedule. This is where one of those annoying SNL "Really?" skits comes in.

Six of their first eight games on the road. In Orlando. In Boston. In Miami. Five games in seven nights, including two back-to-backs. That sounds kind of difficult to me.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#29 » by grumpysaddle » Wed Nov 11, 2009 5:00 pm

justinb80 wrote:The main thing that caught my attention here was talking about the Suns having an exceptionally weak schedule. This is where one of those annoying SNL "Really?" skits comes in.

Six of their first eight games on the road. In Orlando. In Boston. In Miami. Five games in seven nights, including two back-to-backs. That sounds kind of difficult to me.


This caught my eye, also. 15 of the first 20 games for the Suns are on the road. How is that in any way an exceptionally weak schedule to start off the season? I'd say it's one of the toughest in the NBA. Considering the Suns have handed two teams in a 5-game road swing their only losses thus far, I'd say they've outdone themselves. While the team is shooting at a ridiculous percentage right now, and I agree they can't keep those %'s up over an entire season, every teams offense tends to pick up as the season goes on. Offenses start off a little slow, and I definitely see the Suns offense starting to click more and more as the season goes on.

Defensively, they may not have a Marion, or Bell... but they are a different team mentally this year. It's not about one or two players being the main defensive forces. This year is about a complete team effort. The fact that almost the entire team showed up to get in shape and practice weeks before any other teams did shows that they have a desire to make up for last year's dissappointment. While Stat may not be a lock-down defender, he's definitely upped the effort. Numbers won't always show a player's performance. I've definitely noticed Amar'e boxing out on almost every shot that goes up this season. And if you watch after he boxes out, a lot of times he makes a ton of effort to get to where the ball is. Also the boxing out has allowed the Suns guards to pick up more of those rebounds that would tend to go to the big men on other teams. I see Dudley getting more and more playing time as the season goes on. He's already shown his hustle over and over, and coaches and other players have noted that he's gotten under their skin. He's a disruptor and tends to force players on the other team to make mistakes because of how annoying he can get on D.

While I agree that the shooting %'s will decrease a bit through the season, I think you kind of have a gloomy outlook and it's depressing to constantly read Suns fans thinking the worst of their team.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#30 » by tsherkin » Wed Nov 11, 2009 5:02 pm

justinb80 wrote:The main thing that caught my attention here was talking about the Suns having an exceptionally weak schedule. This is where one of those annoying SNL "Really?" skits comes in.

Six of their first eight games on the road. In Orlando. In Boston. In Miami. Five games in seven nights, including two back-to-backs. That sounds kind of difficult to me.


The road games and the number of games are considerations, but the teams they were playing (aside from Orlando, against whom they lost, and Boston, against whom they played very well and won), none of those teams are worth mentioning. Miami is not improved from its 43-win incarnation last season. They are a good defensive squad with Wade, and nothing else of consequence.

realsunsfan wrote:UNITY, CHEMISTRY, DESIRE AND ABILITY..............that is what will make the difference, and yes before you say it, that makes no sense in the basketball stat world, but it makes all the sense in a teams belief in itslef.


It makes no sense in the scope of what has been achieved in 6 decades of basketball. Desire and chemistry alone are insufficient. This has been proven time and again. Unless you have a dominant defensive anchor, you don't get away with playing middling defenders and getting by on rotations. The Spurs get this done because they have Duncan, for example. The Celtics because they have Garnett. The Magic because they have Howard.

Last season, the Cavs had Lebron as an outstanding defender, and a very good defensive scheme set up by Mike Brown (Popovich's protege) that included properly using Zydrunas Ilgauskas and a series of well-timed and -orchestrated rotations, but in essence, they had an anchor and rotational defenders who were very good, overseen by a very clever defensive coach (if only he had that offensively...). The Bobcats had Okafor, for a chunk of the season they also had Raja Bell, they had Gerald Wallace, and they were coached by Larry Brown.

Every one of the top defensive teams last year had a litany like this. The Rockets, the Lakers, the Jazz, the Heat, etc, etc.

What do the Suns have in comparison? What suggests that they will overtake these teams this year without better coaching (speaking from only a defensive standpoint, of course) or comparable pieces on defense?

As far the team when Marion and Bell played for us, that team was based on individual players defensive talent, D'Antoni never coached defense, ever, he relied on these guys to get it done on their own with their natural ability and talent. Now todays team is being coached a team defensive strategy that does not rely on any one particular players strengths but rather the team as a whole.

Soon, your stats will reflect that as well.


We shall see.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#31 » by rsavaj » Wed Nov 11, 2009 5:13 pm

tsherkin wrote:
JohnVancouver wrote:

You don't see any possibility that the defense will continue to improve, maybe get them to between 15th and 10th?


I don't believe it will happen.

The best they ever were was in 06-07 when they were 13th and that was with a healthy Bell and Marion. Other than that, they've been 16th to 18th (or 26th last season).

Gentry isn't a defensive coach, they have fewer good defensive players... I don't see it happening. They haven't added defensive rebounders, they haven't added good pressure defenders, they haven't added anything of note that indicates that they will be able to beat their peak defensive performance with Nash and STAT.


I'd just like to point out that during the 05/06 season, Phoenix actually reached FIFTH in DefEFF. I can't find the screenshot, but January 06, we were fifth. Then KT went down and we slipped big time. I'm not contradicting anything you said because what you're saying makes a lot of sense, but I just love that statistic.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#32 » by aIvin adams » Wed Nov 11, 2009 5:18 pm

^^ i was just about to add that. the suns were killing it on defense before KT went down then the suns (understandably) fell apart on defense.

what a great season
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#33 » by Cash » Wed Nov 11, 2009 6:48 pm

tsherkin wrote:
Krush32 wrote: Igoudala/Wade/Baron Davis/Rondo getting in the lane?


Yes, actually, I would prefer that. Iguodala and Baron Davis don't shoot 65% from the field and pop off on the Suns the same way and Baron can be induced into shooting a lot of bad 3s. Rondo's a problem, but he's going to be a problem whether you game plan for it or not.

Anyway, it's 8 games in; you guys will disagree with me for about another dozen games or so, and then you'll see what I'm talking about; history, math and the nature of the game are on my side and you'll see soon enough.

I'm not saying Phoenix is going to regress so hard that they are going to be a bad team, they'll still be a 53+ win team, probably, because they're still going to have a great offense and the FT% increase will somewhat mollify the decrease in 3P%, but there's going to be a step back in the offense and the defensive short-comings will be exposed against better offensive teams as the strength of the schedule increases.


That sounds about right.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#34 » by tsherkin » Thu Nov 12, 2009 8:30 pm

rsavaj wrote:I'd just like to point out that during the 05/06 season, Phoenix actually reached FIFTH in DefEFF. I can't find the screenshot, but January 06, we were fifth. Then KT went down and we slipped big time. I'm not contradicting anything you said because what you're saying makes a lot of sense, but I just love that statistic.


And that just reinforces my point; Kurt Thomas, Shawn Marion and Raja Bell in prime form. And Diaw wasn't so bad that year either. Marion was playing 40.3 mpg, 37.5 mpg from Bell and Barbosa was playing alright D, too (and, as mentioned, Diaw).

The Suns were a pretty good defensive team that year because they had the personnel to play it. Those guys are all absent.

That was a Hell of a season, though; the Suns were playing without Holey-McSuck on defense at the 4/5 and had replaced him with Kurt Thomas and Diaw, which made a massive difference. Suddenly, they just had to cover for Nash (because no one else was especially poor on defense on that team aside from scattered deep-bench guys, and Nash has always been a sound team defender), and they were very good at it. You can cover for one guy, especially if he's not a low-post guy.

Even after Thomas went down, they were only marginally below-average (16th) compared by rank. That year, they were third in the West (behind the 60-win Mavs and the 63-win Spurs).

FWIW, they were actually BETTER than league-average (105.8 against 106.2) in team DRTG that year.

But again, that's what two awesome man defenders (guard and post) will do in conjunction with an awesome help defender who happens to also play good man defense at 3 positions.

The Suns were at exactly league-average in opposition eFG% (49%), were still bad at forcing turnovers and getting defensive boards and only the Pistons fouled LESS than they did (they had the second-lowest opposition FT/FGA), though that last is a product of pace increasing the number of jumpers being taken and consequently reducing that stat in their favor (to at least some extent).

In any case, while they didn't force a lot of turnovers, they had the individual defenders playing pretty well and they didn't have a lot of breakdowns that resulted from being out of position on help rotations. That Suns team was nasty.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#35 » by rsavaj » Thu Nov 12, 2009 8:33 pm

I actually think that 05/06 was when we were closest to the championship. In the regular season we absolutely murdered Miami...just completely ran them off the floor. I think that if Raja hadn't gone down with that calf injury, we would have been on our way to our first title :( Having KT healthy would have been nice too.

I know that our fanbase has become known for blaming injuries/suspensions, but seriously....the bad breaks we've had over the years is just kinda saddening.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#36 » by tsherkin » Thu Nov 12, 2009 8:43 pm

rsavaj wrote:I actually think that 05/06 was when we were closest to the championship. In the regular season we absolutely murdered Miami...just completely ran them off the floor. I think that if Raja hadn't gone down with that calf injury, we would have been on our way to our first title :( Having KT healthy would have been nice too.


I thought 05 might have been the closest, because JJ missed 6 playoff games due to injury.

Raja's injury, like JJ's injury, though, is just part of the game. Lots of teams have that issue. That BS suspension on Amare/Diaw, though, that remains a legit gripe.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#37 » by Biff » Thu Nov 12, 2009 9:04 pm

tsherkin wrote:
rsavaj wrote:I actually think that 05/06 was when we were closest to the championship. In the regular season we absolutely murdered Miami...just completely ran them off the floor. I think that if Raja hadn't gone down with that calf injury, we would have been on our way to our first title :( Having KT healthy would have been nice too.


I thought 05 might have been the closest, because JJ missed 6 playoff games due to injury.

Raja's injury, like JJ's injury, though, is just part of the game. Lots of teams have that issue. That BS suspension on Amare/Diaw, though, that remains a legit gripe.


While I agree, it's frustrating when people say our style of play can't win a championship. Had we not suffered those injuries and suspensions, do we win at least 1? I think we had a fairly good chance. Winning a championship often takes a lot of luck and everyone being healthy. When was the last time any team won without one of their best players? I guess Bynum wasn't 100% last year but the Lakers are ridiculously stacked. There's no real drop off having Odom and Gasol starting and Bynum coming off the bench vs Gasol and Bynum starting.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#38 » by tsherkin » Thu Nov 12, 2009 9:37 pm

Biff wrote:While I agree, it's frustrating when people say our style of play can't win a championship. Had we not suffered those injuries and suspensions, do we win at least 1? I think we had a fairly good chance.


In '05, I think it's possible that the Suns would have beaten the Pistons. Detroit was a nasty defensive squad with good offensive balance, but the transition attack would have been a lot more interesting than Spurs vs. Pistons, that's for sure. They were 1-1 against Detroit that year, winning the game where they scored 100 points and losing the one where they scored less.

The Suns are perceived as a run-and-gun team, but people frequently forget that they only score about 25% of their points on the fast break and that MOST of their damage is done in a manner not dissimilar to the Stockton/Malone Jazz... endless screen-and-rolls from the wing, with a big lug thundering into the paint to cram it on his opponent (though Amare trades a lot of Malone's muscle for raw speed and leaping ability and Nash is considerably better as a shooter than was Stockton).

I think the big thing that people see is that the Suns are frequently below-average on defense and that they are a weak rebounding team vulnerable to low post players. They would not, for example, have had a chance against Shaq/Kobe.

But in 05, they had Marion, Bell and Joe Johnson, Q wasn't that bad, Barbosa was OK and even Steven Hunter wasn't totally useless (he was worth nearly 3 wins that year, actually, in about 14 mpg, blocking nearly 1.5 shots per game). He was even the 7th man in the playoff rotation that year.

That team had the nuts and bolts to cover up Amare and Nash at least to some extent, as they did the year after while KT was healthy.

What the Suns really need is basically DeAndre Jordan. They need a non-star center who's 6'11 or 7'0 tall and loves to rebound, block a few shots, play decent post D, can score efficiently around the basket when he's set up (we're talking lobs and dunks here, maybe a hook shot or two, nothing outside of 8 feet), can throw a decent outlet pass and runs the floor like a deer.

Tyson Chandler comes to mind, but DeAndre Jordan was just WAITING to be taken, and the Suns failed and instead took RoLo. Lopez is a nice guy, but that was a senseless oversight.

That's what has killed them lately. But in 05 and 06, they definitely had a real shot at winning a title.

In 06, they lost not to the Spurs (who the Mavs defeated) but to Dallas, a team that did not dominate them inside but picked them apart with their own game: perimeter shooting and screen-and-rolls.

In that series, Dirk was consistently dominant, but they had a rotating cast of Sun-killers. In game one it was Devin Harris (of course, Phoenix won that game). Then it was Josh Howard in games two and three. The Suns won game 4 without a single Mav scoring 20 points, which was big. Then the next game, Dirk dropped 50 on them and Josh Howard burned them again. Then Howard and Dirk dominated them again to close out the series.

Through it all, the Mavs had superior bench production and their defense destroyed the Suns, who scored under 90 points once and were held to under 100 points three times.

That season, they were just beaten. I don't think Kurt Thomas would have made the difference there. Had they REACHED the Finals, they would have had a real shot, but Shaq would have torn them up in a way that he couldn't manage against Dampier.

I maintain 05 was the best shot.
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Re: Amare is still a bad defender 

Post#39 » by Biff » Thu Nov 12, 2009 9:57 pm

How about the year Amare and Diaw were suspended? I think we definitely had a shot that year.
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