Post#36 » by Danimals » Mon Nov 30, 2009 6:48 pm
In response to Biff: (again just for pure speculation)
I was thinking the Jefferson deal would be done nearer the trade deadline. Jefferson should be healthy and back to his old self, 20-10. OKC might still be around the 7-8th seed and realize they have no one who can score in the post and you can't compete in the playoffs without that. So maybe they decide the time to compete is now, and instead of waiting for more players to develop they make a trade for Big Al. At the same time, perhaps the Wolves have decided that for reasons of defense and offensive scheme fit, they are ready to capitalize on Jefferson's trade value. They are ready to move on and are looking hard at drafting Aldrich or bringing Pekovic over. The scenario I imagine is as follows:
Jefferson, Ellington, and Pavlovic for
Green, Harden, and Collison
(maybe picks are exchanged as well, depending on the play/development of said players)
the results are:
MN-
Flynn/Sessions/Hart
Brewer/Harden
Green/Gomes/Wilkins
Love/Collison/Jawai
Hollins/Collison/Pecherov
We are still not competing for the playoffs, but we are much more balanced. We are also becoming a much more cerebral, triangle-esque squad. We still have assets and are still taking the best player available in the upcoming draft. We still may target Turner and Aldrich. We have opened space for Pekovic. We have less capspace, but still have options, including the expirings of Bount and Wilkins to play with this year.
OKC-
Westbrook/Livingston/Ollie
Sefolosha/Weaver/Ellington
Durant/Pavlovic
Krstic/Ibanka/White
Jefferson/Thomas/Mullins
They run out a much more playoff ready starting five. Pavlovic gives them playoff experience off the bench. They may want to make a move using the expiring of Thomas to sure up their bench with playoff tested vets. They still have assets in the upcoming draft. They are still young, but slightly more proven and better balanced.
Now my reasons to do this trade and not.
Is trading a 20-10 post presence to a divison rival smart? Generally no, but this would be hoping that OKC goes forward with too weak of defense to be serious contenders, and the two best players in the league who can't make those around them better in Durant and Jefferson. Hopefully this would leave them mired in mediocrity while we rise to the top. On the other hand, we might be able to draft Turner(poetentially better version of Harden) and Aldrich, and also sign Rudy Gay(better than Green?) without giving up Jefferson. Could we make a contender out of those peices? This is the gamble of trading and drafting. You just never know.
Steph Curry—————Ricky
Michael Jordan———Ant
Lebron James————KG
Kevin Garnett————Love
Nikola Jokic—————KAT