Post#26 » by Icness » Thu Jul 3, 2008 1:32 pm
Checking back in a few months later...
Martz is now the OC in San Francisco. Let's review the offense in SF:
QB is a battle between Shaun Hill and Alex Smith. Smith is far too inaccurate and panicky to run a Martz offense, even if MM tones it down. Hill has the accuracy but he can't get the ball down the field. He's a smart checkdown QB with no mobility.
The OL is in flux. Joe Staley is moving to LT, and I think he will eventually be fine. But Martz requires his LT to block on an island with no help on almost every play. I consider Joe Staley a friend, but even Joe will tell you they are asking him to do things he's never done before, and at an extremely high level. If he is as good as Jeff Backus was in DET the last two years it's probably a success, and Detroit fans want Jeff Backus hanging from the goalposts by his testes. They are okay at G-C-G, nothing special but as good as what MM has in Detroit. They're trying an immobile rookie G (Chilo Rachal) at RT because Jonas Jennings is consistently lousy. Ask any Lions fan about how a Martz offense works with a subpar RT...
WR will be improved. Bryant Johnson should be a great fit in the MM offense, though he does get alligator arms when the safety is closing quickly. Isaac Bruce can still contribute and mentor as well. Arnaz Battle could thrive as the Furrey-type drag route guy. I like Jason Hill but he has one career catch; Josh Morgan is running as the #4 and he's a rookie who has poor acceleration off the line, which is a death knell for Martz. Ashley Leile is very fast and nothing else and I expect him to get cut.
I read all these fantasy predictions where Vernon Davis is going to explode under Martz. I would argue the exact opposite--I don't see how he'll stay on the field. MM demands absolute perfection in route running and 100% mental concentration on every snap, every detail. That sound like Vernon Davis to anyone? Didn't think so. They're trying him as a slot WR in the 4-wide set and I could see how Davis will get some nice matchups, but he still has to catch the ball. Assuming it clicks early for Davis, that he stops pouting and starts listening, starts looking the ball in and stops worrying about where he's going to run, even with that I don't see more than 60 catches for 700 yards and 3-4 TDs. That's Owen Daniels territory, not Gates or K2 turf. Don't forget Martz loves to try the unconventional in the Red Zone, throwing fades to Shaun McDonald instead of Roy Williams or the Kitna QB draw on 3rd & Goal from the 7.
Good luck Niners fans, you're going to need it!
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